Welcome to college football DFS for Week 13 and another main slate take down. This is your one stop shop for Cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy CFB weekend!
If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player Y feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @FF_TravisM. I’d be glad to help.
So without further ado, let’s dive in.
There are some pretty chalky quarterbacks on this week’s slate and one no-brainer.
|Quarterback||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Pass Comp + Rush Att Per Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Pass Yds/Game Allowed|
Studs to Start
Brock Purdy ($8100, Iowa State) faces off with the ever impressive Kansas defense this week and averages nearly 29 points playing non-Kansas Jayhawk teams. The Cyclones are expected to score 42 or more. Chalkiest play on the board.
Justin Fields ($8600, Ohio State) and Sam Ehlinger ($8300, Texas) are both pricey and draw imperfect matchups, but they’re averaging over 30 points per game. Ehlinger’s total opportunities per game (pass comp + rush attempts) have consistently hovered over 35 (more than any quarterback in football). Fields only needs about five touches to have a start-worthy week given his efficiency, but the good news is he likely has to play all four quarters for once.
Best of the Rest
The “no-brainer” play that might as well be in all your cash and GPP lineups is Kedon Slovis ($7000, USC). He’s exploded in three of his last four games with over 400 yards passing and four touchdowns. He’s tossing the rock more than 40 times per game in that span and yet he’s over $1000 cheaper than the “studs” this week. Plus he faces the second-worst pass defense on the slate in UCLA. You know what to do.
Charlie Brewer ($7900, Baylor) faces the worst pass defense on the slate in Texas.
Shane Buechele ($7600, SMU) heads up a high-volume, high-scoring SMU offense against a team that tries to drag the game out (Navy). So his ceiling might be capped, but the volume and floor should be safe for him to meet mid-priced quarterback expectations.
Malik Cunningham ($6100, Louisville) gets to demolish a disappointing Syracuse defense that’s shown to be soft against both the run and the pass. Louisville should score nearly 40 points this week on the back of Cunningham, Javian Hawkins, and Chatarius “Tutu” Atwell.
Priority: (1) Slovis, (2) Purdy, (3) Brewer, (4) Cunningham, (5) Fields, (6) Ehlinger, (7) Buechele
This running back group is a tough one to tackle without many obvious plays, but there’s a solid core to stick with still.
|Running Back||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points Per Game||Touches Per Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Rush Yds/Game Allowed|
|Chuba Hubbard||Oklahoma State||8900||21.94||34.08||27||31.5||167.9|
|Breece Hall||Iowa State||6700||18.16||17.01||15.33||42||232.7|
|J.K. Dobbins||Ohio State||7700||17.79||26.39||19.7||38||76.3|
|Kelley Joiner Jr.||USF||3500||N/A||N/A||13 (last week)||22.5||170.6|
Studs to Start
Chuba Hubbard: Averaging 173 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns per game. Yes, he’s $8900, but it doesn’t matter. He’s playing an 85th percentile rushing matchup and offers the safest floor for cash and highest ceiling for GPP of any back (per usual). He is one of three key RBs this week and needs to be in anywhere you can fit him.
One of the Memphis backs is going to hit thanks to the juicy USF matchup, and it’s likely going to be Kenny Gainwell ($8200) again. Patrick Taylor is still being eased in and Gainwell has proven he’s a worthy feature. If he gets his typical 20 or more touches, Gainwell could be the RB1 on the slate, easily.
J.K. Dobbins, D’Andre Swift, and Xavier Jones, are all risky expensive options, but worth it given the typical opportunity floor and consistency. They’re more of GPP exposure plays than core options though this week.
Best of the Rest
Breece Hall ($6700, Iowa State) and Javian Hawkins ($5500, Louisville) are the other two key RBs this week to have almost everywhere. Hall is the feature back on an offense primed to score 40 or more points facing a defense giving up over 230 yards on the ground per game. Hawkins sees about 20 touches per game but is still priced at $5500. Syracuse is the third- or fourth-worst run defense on the slate. If you can squeeze these two in with Chuba you should already be in the clear.
Joshua Kelley ($6700, UCLA) is a nice GPP pivot from Hall if you don’t want 100% on him. Kelley is seeing the second-most touches per game of any running back on this slate. He’s also averaging over 20 points per game on the season. The only issue is the matchup.
Otis Anderson ($5700, UCF) is the only trustworthy UCF back in a 68th percentile matchup on the ground. Plus he adds some value as a receiver most weeks.
Zach Charbonnet and Hassan Haskins have both been inefficient, volume-dependent, touchdown-scoring cash backs for the past several weeks. At $5700 and $4600 in a mediocre matchup, they’re both worth exposure due to touchdown upside. However, their ownership percentage needs to remain low.
JaMycal Hasty and John Lovett have disappointed even when cheaply priced most weeks, but this week might be the exception. Again, they’re low ownership guys for GPP exposure mainly, but both can break long runs or score multiple touchdowns in a game where Baylor will need to score 30 or more.
Last, and most fun, Kelley Joiner for USF only costs $3500, but should get the lion’s share of backfield touches. He’s listed as a receiver, but he most certainly is not one (primarily). Enjoy the free 15-plus touches for under $4000.
Priority: (1) Hubbard, (2) Hall, (3) Hawkins, (4) Kelley, (5) Joiner, (6) Gainwell, (7) Swift, (8) Dobbins
The receivers get more difficult to navigate every week, but there are still some values to be had.
|Wide Receiver||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points Per Game||Touches Per Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Receiving Yds/Game Allowed|
|Michael Pittman Jr.||USC||7600||18.91||23.62||7.46||40||298.4|
|Deshaunte Jones||Iowa State||5600||16.87||18.65||6.7||42||237.9|
|Amon-Ra St. Brown||USC||5800||16.65||17.19||6.09||40||298.4|
|La'Michael Pettway||Iowa State||5200||14.57||13.27||4.67||42||237.9|
|Charlie Kolar||Iowa State||5300||14.43||13.79||4.1||42||237.9|
|K.J. Hill||Ohio State||5600||12.47||11.64||3.9||38||240.3|
|Sam James||West Virginia||5300||10.38||14.16||6.3||25||273.1|
|Dillon Stoner||Oklahoma State||5200||10.04||10.77||3.4||31.5||253.9|
|Calvin Austin III||Memphis||3000||9.75||10.35||2.17||37||173|
Studs to Start
Michael Pittman, James Proche, and Devin Duvernay are tough to fade when they’re all averaging eight or more receptions in their past four games. Pittman gets the nod for WR1 on the week though. He’s got the softest defense to face and a ton of implied points to score. Proche and Duvernay will still have safe reception floors for cash and possible upside for GPP, but are certainly a tier down this week.
Gabriel Davis is almost priced out given his even slightly worse matchup and lower reception floor, but is okay if you want minimal GPP exposure.
The Highs and Lows
Denzel Mims, R.J. Sneed, or some other random Baylor receiver stacked with Charlie Brewer should be the slate-breaker this week against Texas. Those two would be the safest bets given their volume and roles that typically beat the Longhorns. Texas gives up over 300 receiving yards per game and somehow Mims is under $7000 seeing five catches per game. Sneed’s been up and down but at $4400 in the softest matchup, he’s an easy plug and play.
Trishton Jackson is almost priced out at $6700, but the Louisville defense has given up a ton of work through the air. Minimal GPP play.
Calvin Austin ($3000, Memphis) just went off last week for the Tigers and is a minimum-priced big-play threat. The matchup is the worst on the slate, which makes the more expensive Tigers impossible to trust, but Austin is worth a shot for roster flexibility.
Drake London is the least expensive viable USC receiver worth playing at just $4700. Tyler Vaughns still likely isn’t 100% and London has played well when one of the top three misses time or isn’t themselves.
This slate offers a huge middle class pool of receivers worth playing, which makes things tough, but I’ll try to clear it up.
Deshaunte Jones ($5600, Iowa State) sees nearly seven receptions per game and consistently adds YAC. He is a safe cash option to pair with Purdy (high priority).
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($5800, USC) is the best mid-priced stack on the board given the probable high-scoring output from Kedon Slovis through the air. He sees six catches and nearly 20 points a game. Potential boom week incoming versus UCLA’s horrible pass defense giving up 300 receiving yards per game (high priority).
Chatarius “Tutu” Atwell ($5900, Louisville) is an incredible option to stack with Cunningham that allows for solid roster flexibility elsewhere. Tutu has been giving us over 20 points per game, but is still just under $6000 (high priority)
K.J. Hill ($5600, Ohio State) is single-digit receptions away from breaking the all-time Ohio State receptions record. Penn State is tough on defense, but it’s mainly on the ground, not through the air. Expect high volume coming his way in an attempt to get him the record in a huge game.
One of La’Michael Pettway or Charlie Kolar is going to have a day for Iowa State given the implied points for the Cyclones. They both tend to have big weeks here and there, but also offer steady floors so they always hang around $5000 for you. If you need just a few hundred dollars of roster room to downgrade from Deshaunte, these guys are perfect to stack with Purdy in any contest.
With Reggie Roberson out again for SMU, it’s still the Kylen Granson ($5200, SMU) show. He sees about six receptions per game without Roberson in the lineup. Oh, and he’s scored six TDs in the last three games (high priority).
Sam James and Dillon Stoner are high volume and air yards WR1 options on their respective tams. Neither are safe for cash, but for GPP they could help you win. James just doesn’t score touchdowns usually. Stoner has an inexperienced backup QB at the helm now. Tread carefully, but give them a shot if you haven’t already.
Priority: (1) Pittman, (2) Mims, (3) D. Jones, (4) St. Brown, (5) Atwell, (6) Granson, (7) Proche, (8) Duvernay
And that’s all folks! Hope your teams kill it in the main slate of Week 13 College Football. Please find me on Twitter @FF_TravisM to chat more about all things college football and NFL. And as always, keep living that DFS Life.