The Fantasy Football Ghost presents us four more players to target in Week 15 FanDuel cash games.
I honestly didn’t think it could get worse than Week 13 but our players found new ways to let us down in Week 14. Ryan Griffin got injured on his first target and exited the game. Sony Michel and the Patriots looked outright confused against Kansas City en route to their third loss of the season. Finally, Parris Campbell may have returned, but that return was much quieter than we had expected and hoped. Only Kirk Cousins managed to break 1.5 times value, which was still significantly shy of the 2.5-times multiplier that we target each week. Trust me, I’m as frustrated as you with our results given the exceptional opportunities that are being squandered by truly special players. All I can say is that we all get on bad luck streaks and I’m not immune to that bad luck. We’ll come out of that slump soon, of that, I have no doubt, perhaps as soon as Week 15.
To measure the success of the players I recommend to our RotoViz readers, I will review the players I recommended the prior week, determining their value multiplier. I will then calculate the average multiplier across the recommended players to give me a barometer of success for that week. My stated goal is to produce an average greater than 2.5 times value. If I can manage to surpass that goal, I will consider the week a success. If I fall short of that goal, obviously, the week would be considered unsuccessful.
You can find much of the data presented in this piece in the RotoViz NFL Stat Explorer and Game Level Similarity Projections. I also want to encourage readers to check out the RotoViz NFL Lineup Optimizer so that everyone can squeeze the most value out of their lineups each week.
FanDuel NFL Cash Plays for Week 15
Quarterback: Baker Mayfield ($7,700)
In order to stay in the playoff hunt, Cleveland can’t afford to lose. Luckily for the Browns, and Baker Mayfield, they square off against one of the top quarterback matchups in the league in Arizona. The Cardinals have allowed the league’s most passing yards (335.6 per game) and highest completion percentage (73%). This has led to opposing quarterbacks posting the second-highest Quarterback Rating (QBR) with an average rating of 110.7. This has also resulted in the second-highest average PPR points allowed (26.2). For Mayfield to hit 2.5 times value he simply needs to surpass 19.25 points. Look for the Browns to hang in there for at least another week.
Running Back: Derrick Henry ($9,400)
The career of Derrick Henry has reached new heights this season as he has broken career highs in rushing yards (1,243 yards), rushing touchdowns (13), receptions (18), receiving yards (206 yards), and receiving touchdowns (2) with three games still left to play. Those totals will likely see significant shifts upwards as he faces off against a Texans defense that ranks among the worst in the NFL against opposing running backs. Houston has allowed the third-most rushing yards in the NFL and the most receiving yards to the position over the past five games.
Additionally, the Texans are allowing an average of 7.2 receptions per game, the third-most receptions allowed in the league. The Fantasy Streaming App further supports the assessment that this matchup could yield significant dividends as it lists Houston as the second-best match up for running backs this week.
Wide Receiver: Kenny Golladay ($7,900)
This will be the third straight week we will target a wide receiver facing the Buccaneers. Kenny Golladay has nothing but green pastures ahead of him, both on the field and displayed on RotoViz’ NFL Stat Explorer. Over the past five weeks, Tampa Bay, yet again, has allowed the most PPR points to opposing wide receivers in the league with an average of 47.9 points allowed to the position per game. The Buccaneers are also the most generous defense to opposing wide receivers in terms of targets allowed, receiving yards allowed, air yards allowed and expected points.
Further compelling reasons to slot Golladay into FanDuel cash lineups include the fact that Tampa Bay has allowed an average of 14.8 receptions per game to the position, the second-most in the NFL, and an average of 63.4 yards after the catch (YAC) per game, the fourth-most in the league. While Golladay’s price is steep, there are few better matchups on paper this week. He should factor heavily into your considerations at wide receiver.
Tight End: Noah Fant ($5,700)
Fresh off a career game where he scored 19.3 FanDuel points against the Texans, Noah Fant, at first glance may appear to be a reactionary recommendation, however, his opponent this week, Kansas City, is one of the better tight end matchups available. The Chiefs have allowed the third-most receptions to opposing tight ends over the past five games with an average of 6.8 receptions allowed per game. This has resulted in an average of 69 receiving yards per game surrendered to the position over that span, the fifth-most yards allowed. Over the past five games, Kansas City has allowed three touchdowns to the position while Fant himself has scored two touchdowns over that period. With Drew Lock now under center, Fant appears to be one of his preferred targets and could see continued success as soon as this weekend.
Our luck has been pretty bad lately but I have faith that Week 15 will turn our fortunes around. I’m hoping we can get back on the winning side like we’ve been firmly on for most of the season and can close out the season on a nice three-week streak. As always, good luck to everyone, and feel free to both reach out to me and follow me on Twitter at @TheFFGhost. I’ll do my best to answer any and all questions you may have.