2020 Freak Scores: Henry Ruggs Blazes But a Sleeper Posts a Truly Epic Score
Image Credit: Frank Mattia/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Henry Ruggs.

Freak Score is our scaled metric that uses height, weight, and speed to project the TD-scoring potential for NFL prospects. Unlike many other measures for an NFL prospect’s size/athleticism profile, the Freak Score gives us a measure that directly relates to an important element of fantasy scoring. If you aren’t adjusting for the importance of height, then you’re missing the critical element.

The Freak Score also helps us differentiate between the truly freakish players and those who are “just” professional athletes. The Freak Score is scaled 1 to 100, and the incomparable Calvin Johnson sets our scale at 100. Megatron ran a 4.35 at 6-foot-5, 237 pounds. Take a look at some of the other names at the top of the list.

 
RANK PLAYER HT WT FORTY FREAK
1 CALVIN JOHNSON 77 239 4.35 100
2 D.K. METCALF 75 228 4.33 91
3 STEPHEN HILL 76 215 4.28 90
4 DARREN WALLER 78 238 4.46 90
5 VINCENT JACKSON 77 241 4.46 90
7 TYRONE CALICO 76 223 4.34 89
9 DARRIUS HEYWARD BEY 74 210 4.25 86
10 JULIO JONES 75 220 4.34 85
11 DORIAL GREEN-BECKHAM 77 237 4.49 84
12 ANDRE JOHNSON 74 230 4.41 82
15 CORDARRELLE PATTERSON 74 216 4.33 81
18 KEVIN WHITE 75 215 4.35 81

After a stretch of years with the top score sitting in the mid-70s, D.K. Metcalf’s transcendent 2019 combine performance jumped over Stephen Hill for No. 2 all time.

Following a breakout campaign, Darren Waller’s 2015 combine performance jumps out as well. He had the size to transition to tight end and the athleticism to create a mismatch at that position. A potential TE transition has been mentioned for one of this year’s standouts as well.

I’ve removed a few of the non-prospects, but the rest of the list reminds us how brutal it was to cover Vincent Jackson or Andre Johnson. Thankfully, we still get to enjoy Julio Jones’ exploits on a weekly basis.

It also presents a few names of caution. Dorial Green-Beckham, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Kevin White all tantalized with their athletic ability, but serious production demerits foreshadowed disappointing NFL careers.

The 2020 class picked up right where 2019 left off. It gave us a threat to John Ross’ record and a size/speed monster to challenge Metcalf. Several other prospects also put on displays that will have them rising up draft boards.

2020 Wide Receiver Freak Scores

PlayerHeightWeightFortyFreak Score
Chase Claypool6-4 2/8"2384.4291
Antonio Gibson6-0 3/8"2284.3979
Dezmon Patmon6-3 6/8"2254.4875
Denzel Mims6-2 7/8"2074.3872
Michael Pittman6-4"2234.5270
Joe Reed6-0 4/8"2244.4769
Juwan Johnson6-4"2304.5869
Tyrie Cleveland6-2 3/8"2094.4664
Henry Ruggs III5-11"1884.2763
Donovan Peoples-Jones6-1 5/8"2124.4863
Kendrick Rogers6-4 2/8"2084.5163
Antonio Gandy-Golden6-4"2234.662
Justin Jefferson6-1 2/8"2024.4361
Stephen Guidry6-3"2014.4760
Gabriel Davis6-2"2164.5460
Laviska Shenault Jr.6-0 5/8"2274.5859
Devin Duvernay5-10 4/8"2004.3958
Isaiah Coulter6-1 7/8"1984.4557
Quez Watkins6-0 1/8"1854.3655
Jalen Reagor5-10 5/8"2064.4753
John Hightower6-1 4/8"1894.4353
Jerry Jeudy6-1"1934.4552
K.J. Osborn5-11 4/8"2034.4852
Freddie Swain6-0 2/8"1974.4652
Isaiah Hodgins6-3 5/8"2104.6152
Brandon Aiyuk5-11 5/8"2054.552
CeeDee Lamb6-1 5/8"1984.552
Aaron Parker6-1 5/8"2094.5751
Cody White6-3 3/8"2174.6651
Marquez Callaway6-1 2/8"2054.5550
Trishton Jackson6-0 6/8"1974.549
Quartney Davis6-1 2/8"2014.5449
Austin Mack6-1 4/8"2084.5948
Kalija Lipscomb5-11 7/8"2074.5746
Omar Bayless6-0 6/8"2124.6246
Ben Victor6-3 6/8"1984.646
Darnell Mooney5-10 1/8"1764.3843
Jauan Jennings6-3 1/8"2154.7243
K.J. Hill5-11 7/8"1964.636
Tony Brown6-0 6/8"1984.6534
Aaron Fuller5-10 6/8"1884.5930
Jeff Thomas5-8 7/8"1704.4529
Quintez Cephus6-0 7/8"2024.7329
Chris Finke5-9 4/8"1864.5728
Malcolm Perry5-9 4/8"1864.6322

Winners

Chase Claypool – 91

Running a 4.43 at a ridiculous 6 feet 4 inches and 238 pounds, Claypool joined D.K. Metcalf with the second-best Freak Score for any receiver in our time frame. He backed that up with a 40.5-inch vertical. It’s safe to say that Claypool is open any time he steps onto an NFL field.

How will that translate into fantasy production? Well, we know teams covet this type of freakish athleticism, and we might wonder about his comps if we move him into the second round of the reality event. Pulling up Claypool’s statistical profile in the Box Score Scout, we find largely disappointing names.

Claypool’s 22% career yardage share is well under the level of an elite prospect, and it took a strong final season to get him there. Staying four years puts him in a group of receivers that has historically underperformed draft position by a full round, but there is hope.

You can see the unusual nature of Claypool’s profile when perusing the weights of his comps. They’re all much lighter, illustrating how difficult it is to find players with this size/speed/production profile. Chris Conley is a good example of an athletic star who couldn’t break out to stardom with the Chiefs but has carved a solid career in the league.

Antonio Gibson – 79

Many draft experts consider Gibson a better fit at RB, and that includes our own Travis May who ranked him No. 28 in his Top 100 Rookie Countdown. His 4.39 forty at 228 pounds makes him a mouthwatering option as a committee back who could eventually morph into a front line starter.

Denzel Mims – 72

Running a sub-4.4 forty at 6 feet 3 inches helps explain why Mims is a TD-scoring machine. He’s accounted for 35% or more of Baylor’s receiving TDs in each of the last three seasons, including an impressive 12-TD finale.

Add a 38.5-inch vertical and ridiculous 6.66 three-cone, and Mims has effectively rehabbed the disappointing 2018 season. Had Mims been able to turn pro after a 2017 campaign where he broke out with a 33% Dominator on 17.8 yards per reception, he would have been a compelling first-round pick.

Henry Ruggs III – 63

When you turn in a 4.27 and people are disappointed, you have otherworldly speed. For the good, or possibly the bad, his top comps are exactly who you’d expect them to be.

Fellow sub-4.3 runners Marquise Goodwin and Jacoby Ford might be much more exciting names if they’d had better health during their NFL careers.

Justin Jefferson – 61

Jefferson didn’t need to run a 4.43 to be a borderline first-round pick, but his strong numbers just confirm that he’s the Only Receiver In This Class Who Checks All the Boxes. That’s even more true now, although comps like Justin Hunter and Nelson Agholor might give drafters pause.

Losers

Jauan Jennings (43), K.J. Hill (36), and Quintez Cephus (29) all hear their names called in deep dynasty startups, but poor forty times present another stumbling block as they try to overcome checkered production profiles. Cephus at least had a couple of solid years from a market share perspective and offered a glimpse of athleticism with a 38-inch vertical. Jennings (29) and Hill (32.5) disappointed in the leaping drills as well.

Seeking top comps and Dominator Ratings for every WR? Check out the Combine Preview. To see where these prospects fit pre-combine, be sure to peruse Travis May’s Top 100 Rookie Countdown.

The Second Edition of the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide is coming. Make sure to order yours today!

Image Credit: Frank Mattia/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Henry Ruggs.

Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.
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