Finding an Edge in Roster Construction: How to Approach the Single-Digit Rounds of Best Ball Drafts
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Image Credit: Ric Tapia/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Devonta Freeman.

I drafted so much Brandin Cooks last offseason.

He was coming off of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and seemed destined for another in what looked like one of the league’s most potent offenses.

He finished the season with 110.5 points and a 2.9% win rate — the fourth-lowest win rate among all players drafted in at least 200 drafts.

Here’s the thing: I’m going to be wrong. A lot. So are you. Player evaluation is hard. We do our best, but our best is still far from perfect, so we also need to look for an edge in other areas. Like how to build a roster. When to draft each position. How many of each position to draft.

Last summer, I wrote an article that used data from the previous four seasons to highlight general trends for RBs and WRs in the single-digit rounds. It was one of the most actionable things I’ve ever written. Today, we’ll update the results from that article to include data from the 2019 season and discuss how you should use this information to attack 2020 best ball drafts.

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