After five years in the Buffalo desert, Robert Woods emerged when he joined the Rams in 2017. Three seasons with finishes between WR18 and WR14 (per game) followed. Woods has parlayed that into a WR18 ADP in 2020, a fair price for a player with his profile. But what if you don’t want to pay a fair price? If you’re looking to get this production at a discount, two similar options are available more than two rounds later.
What Do We Get with Robert Woods?
Over the last three seasons, Woods ranks No. 9 at the receiver position in both targets and yards, and his perception would probably be even higher if not for one simple fact. Every player ahead of him in either category has scored more touchdowns. An epic TD drought contributed to a down stretch at the beginning of 2019 that had owners asking a scary question: Is Woods done?
From Week 16 in 2018 to Week 14 in 2019, Woods went 12 consecutive games without finding the end zone. Combine that with a target drop over the first half of last season, and he posted sharp splits between the two halves.
Before the Week 9 bye, Woods averaged 12.5 PPG with only a single week of WR2 or better production. After the bye, Woods averaged 19.2 PPG with only a single game below WR2 production. In both halves of the season Woods played almost every snap, but he was targeted at very different levels. His 19% target rate over the first eight games jumped to 29% over the final seven.
Woods’ ADP stems from his overall profile, his fast finish to the season, and the departure of Brandin Cooks. He’s a solid value, but there’s little upside left at this price. However, that’s not the case for two peers with eerily similar profiles.
