Justin Jefferson’s Rookie Comps Are Elite, but Is There Value at His Current Price?
Image Credit: Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Justin Jefferson.

Before the 2020 NFL Draft, many NFL analysts, pundits, and prognosticators believed the Philadelphia Eagles would spend their first-round pick on a wide receiver. A large chunk of this group also believed that the player they would choose would be LSU WR Justin Jefferson. The Minnesota Vikings were also sure of this, as evidenced by their joy when the Eagles instead selected TCU speedster, Jalen Reagor. The Vikings snapped up Jefferson with the very next pick, and the rest, as they say, is history. Jefferson is the latest subject of our rookie review series.

By the Numbers

Some people were quick to label Jefferson as a slot specialist coming into the NFL. Things got off to a slow start for Jefferson, as he spent his first two games stuck behind not only Adam Thielen but also Olabisi Johnson. Jefferson commanded just six targets in his opening pair of games, catching five of them for 70 yards. But in Week 3, Jefferson converted nine targets into seven grabs for 175 yards and his first NFL touchdown. He didn’t see less than five targets in a game again for the rest of the season.

Jefferson finished his rookie season with 88 receptions for 1,400 yards, scoring seven touchdowns. Only five players in NFL history have had more receptions in their first season than Jefferson. No rookie has ever had more receiving yards. Both his yardage and efficiency were there for all to see, as despite seeing the 16th most targets at the WR spot he finished with the third-most yards, not to mention the seventh-highest FPOE/Gm mark.

After his Week 3 breakout, Jefferson had seven games in which he saw double-digit targets. He had three games in which he caught nine passes, while he topped the century mark in yards a total of seven times. Jefferson’s production carried over into the fantasy realm, in which he had several highly productive weeks for his fantasy managers.

Jefferson’s five WR1 weeks saw him finish as the overall WR3, WR1, WR11, WR6, and WR4. Accompanying these highs though, there were a few staggering lows. Notably between Weeks 5 and 9. Yes, there was his Week 6 showing where he led all WRs in PPR points. But in Weel 5 he finished as the WR67, while his next two outings saw him post weekly finishes of WR64 and 54.

Still, considering he was taken on average as the WR59 in Fanball best ball leagues, I don’t think his fantasy managers can be too upset with what they got from Jefferson in 2020.

HISTORICAL COMPS

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

Planting Flags: Who Are the RotoViz Writer’s “Guys” in the 2024 NFL Draft?

With the 2024 NFL Draft mere days away, I thought it would be a good idea to let the readers know who are the apples of the RotoViz team’s eyes in this particular draft class. Not necessarily the best player, or the most discussed, but the players who have perhaps flown somewhat under the radar, but whose landing spot is something we will be watching…...

Sam LaPorta and his Merry Men: The 2023 Rookie Tight End Review

Sam LaPorta enjoyed one of the better rookie seasons for a tight end in NFL history. But he wasn’t the only fresh-faced newbie to come into the NFL at fantasy sports’ most toxic position in 2023. Indeed, the position has received a healthy boost of young talent in recent years. This talent is set to fill the void left by the inevitable drop-off from Travis…...

Noah Fant: The More Things Stay the Same, the More They Change

It may have surprised some when Noah Fant, hitting free agency for the first time in his NFL career, decided to stay with the Seattle Seahawks. Fant signed a two-year deal, which left me scratching my head initially. I had high hopes for Fant landing on a new team, with the promise of an expanded role in an offense and a chance to finally realize…...

Planting Flags: Who Are the RotoViz Writer’s “Guys” in the 2024 NFL Draft?

With the 2024 NFL Draft mere days away, I thought it would be a good idea to let the readers know who are the apples of the RotoViz team’s eyes in this particular draft class. Not necessarily the best player, or the most discussed, but the players who have perhaps flown somewhat under the radar, but whose landing spot is something we will be watching…...

Sam LaPorta and his Merry Men: The 2023 Rookie Tight End Review

Sam LaPorta enjoyed one of the better rookie seasons for a tight end in NFL history. But he wasn’t the only fresh-faced newbie to come into the NFL at fantasy sports’ most toxic position in 2023. Indeed, the position has received a healthy boost of young talent in recent years. This talent is set to fill the void left by the inevitable drop-off from Travis…...

Noah Fant: The More Things Stay the Same, the More They Change

It may have surprised some when Noah Fant, hitting free agency for the first time in his NFL career, decided to stay with the Seattle Seahawks. Fant signed a two-year deal, which left me scratching my head initially. I had high hopes for Fant landing on a new team, with the promise of an expanded role in an offense and a chance to finally realize…...

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.