The Simple and Yet Extremely Unpopular Decision That Puts Your Best Ball Team on the Path to Victory
Image Credit: David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: D.J. Chark.

Shawn Siegele is a three-time MFL10 of Death champion. He helps you prepare to be lucky by sharing his favorite best ball roster hacks during this week’s event.

This is one of the most fun weeks in the fantasy calendar for me as I get to compete against my favorite people. Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death VIII kicked off on Monday, and you can track the progress of the industry’s top experts.

As I work on my prep for the event every year, I like to share the insights from our best ball tools suite that helps readers gain serious advantages against the competition. Last Friday I examined the perception that wide receiver is deep and discovered that WR is functionally much shallower than owners realize.

That may be underselling it. Win rates for WR selections collapse after Round 5. This follows my own experience of drafting in Round 6 this morning. While I loved the opportunity to grab Tee Higgins with the previous pick, the options are much shakier just a round later. We’re already forced to choose between receivers who are unproven, low-ceiling, or returning from injury. I selected D.J. Chark, an upside pick but a player with plenty of question marks.

Today we’re going to examine a less controversial idea, but one that owners often get wrong. In fact, in all of fantasy football, I’m not sure there’s a single instance of a decision that’s so easy and yet so wildly unpopular. I’ll look at why a simple roster hack based on the Roster Construction Explorer and our Best Ball Workshop would have given you a 13.5% win rate in 2020.

The Simple Decision that Separates Best Ball Winners and Losers

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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Shawn Siegele adjusts his top-50 rookie rankings live during Day 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft. You can check out the pre-draft version of this piece for even more detail and radio embeds (including trade-value agnostic rankings for the Big 6), but I’m now moving to the in-draft version for a little bit cleaner experience with the live updates. I’ll have risers in green and…...

The 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Pre-Draft Top 50

Shawn Siegele ranks his top-50 rookie prospects as we reach Day 1 of the NFL. This exercise helps provide a bit of a baseline before all of the festivities over the next three days. If you liked the write-ups in the 2024 Rookie Guide, I’m going to build them out the next step today, diving deeper into the SIS stats and adding insight from the…...

Drake Maye Is a Rich Man’s Mix of Josh Allen and Justin Herbert . . . and Should Be the Rookie 1.01

On a recent episode of Ship Chasing, we ended up joking about both multiple universes and my contention that the battle for rookie 1.01 went six players deep. Pat and Pete suggested that I split myself into six individual Shawns and make the case for each. This is that series. And it’s just in time to help you calibrate expectations before the 2024 NFL draft…....

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