Corbin Young examines the big gap/small gap ADP concept at running back and locates inexpensive RBs who fit a historically winning profile.
We all want to find that impact RB1 in the bargain barrel of our drafts. After reading through Jack Miller’s research on the ADP gap between RB teammates, I wanted to see if I could find undervalued runners with a large ADP gap.
One example Jack references that we all know about – Christian McCaffrey and the Panthers RB2 in Chuba Hubbard. McCaffrey holds a redraft ADP of 1.1 while Hubbard’s ADP sits at 146.8. That’s a massive gap, and far beyond the ADP gap (98.5) that separates big-gap and small-gap backs.
The terms B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 with an ADP gap of 98.5 or more. Those with a small gap fall into the S1 and S2 group.
B1 backs like McCaffrey score the most points (189.5) and are tied for the highest win rates (8.6%), but they’re also the most expensive. Fortunately, 2021 provides several opportunities to grab B1 starters at favorable prices.