History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage.

There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%.

But it’s also not difficult to draft with an early pick. We know that Christian McCaffrey’s upside is unmatched, that Alvin Kamara was his demigod sidekick, that Dalvin Cook is coming off of a monster season, and that playing Travis Kelce is like having an extra spot in your starting lineup. Even with the specter of elevated injury risk at the top, we want as much exposure to these players as possible.

It gets a little trickier once the stars are gone. History tells us that win rates drop below 7% if you’re drafting out of the back third of your draft. Fortunately, we have a trio of tools that also tell us how to fix this problem.

Last year I outlined a plan for dominating your league from a bad draft slot. Then Blair Andrews and I followed that plan to win an FFPC Main Event title and finish 31st overall. Today I’ll go over that plan, look at whether the evidence holds up for 2021, and break down the tactics and players you need to dominate this season.

With a Prime Draft Slot, It’s Better to be Lucky (Healthy) Than Good – With a Bad Draft Slot You Need to Know What You’re Doing

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

The Big Gorilla Blueprint: Top 200 Rankings, 11 Tiers, 41 Priority Targets, and the Complete Game Plan

Shawn Siegele provides his top-200 player rankings for 2025 redraft formats. Breaking the groups down into 11 tiers and providing ADP contrasts to select 41 priority targets, Shawn gets you ready to win $1 million in the Big Gorilla. This ended up as the biggest single-article project I’ve attempted in almost 15 years in writing about fantasy. This exercise will include blurbs on almost every…...

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Dynasty Rookie Ranking Updates: All the Subtle Changes from 50 Hours of FFPC Drafting . . . and a Couple of Meaningful Moves

Shawn Siegele updates his 2025 dynasty superflex rookie rankings after 60 frantic hours of drafting in the FFPC. He discusses what these high-stakes leagues can teach us about all dynasty rookie drafts this spring and summer. Beginning Saturday morning I’ve spent almost every waking moment living and breathing fantasy rookie drafts. With nine FFPC squads and seven different co-managers, I got to talk a lot…...

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You Only Get So Many Picks: How to Beat the Tier Breaks in Dynasty Rookie Drafts

Shawn Siegele discusses rankings and tiers for 2025 dynasty superflex rookie drafts and proposes scenarios for maximizing your total haul. The RotoViz TriFlex leagues and regular FFPC dynasty leagues begin their rookie drafts on Saturday morning. In this exercise I work through projected rookie draft slots and help subscribers navigate individual player tiers to create the most total value and best address team needs. This…...

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The Big Gorilla Blueprint: Top 200 Rankings, 11 Tiers, 41 Priority Targets, and the Complete Game Plan

Shawn Siegele provides his top-200 player rankings for 2025 redraft formats. Breaking the groups down into 11 tiers and providing ADP contrasts to select 41 priority targets, Shawn gets you ready to win $1 million in the Big Gorilla. This ended up as the biggest single-article project I’ve attempted in almost 15 years in writing about fantasy. This exercise will include blurbs on almost every…...

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Dynasty Rookie Ranking Updates: All the Subtle Changes from 50 Hours of FFPC Drafting . . . and a Couple of Meaningful Moves

Shawn Siegele updates his 2025 dynasty superflex rookie rankings after 60 frantic hours of drafting in the FFPC. He discusses what these high-stakes leagues can teach us about all dynasty rookie drafts this spring and summer. Beginning Saturday morning I’ve spent almost every waking moment living and breathing fantasy rookie drafts. With nine FFPC squads and seven different co-managers, I got to talk a lot…...

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You Only Get So Many Picks: How to Beat the Tier Breaks in Dynasty Rookie Drafts

Shawn Siegele discusses rankings and tiers for 2025 dynasty superflex rookie drafts and proposes scenarios for maximizing your total haul. The RotoViz TriFlex leagues and regular FFPC dynasty leagues begin their rookie drafts on Saturday morning. In this exercise I work through projected rookie draft slots and help subscribers navigate individual player tiers to create the most total value and best address team needs. This…...

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