History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage.

There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%.

But it’s also not difficult to draft with an early pick. We know that Christian McCaffrey’s upside is unmatched, that Alvin Kamara was his demigod sidekick, that Dalvin Cook is coming off of a monster season, and that playing Travis Kelce is like having an extra spot in your starting lineup. Even with the specter of elevated injury risk at the top, we want as much exposure to these players as possible.

It gets a little trickier once the stars are gone. History tells us that win rates drop below 7% if you’re drafting out of the back third of your draft. Fortunately, we have a trio of tools that also tell us how to fix this problem.

Last year I outlined a plan for dominating your league from a bad draft slot. Then Blair Andrews and I followed that plan to win an FFPC Main Event title and finish 31st overall. Today I’ll go over that plan, look at whether the evidence holds up for 2021, and break down the tactics and players you need to dominate this season.

With a Prime Draft Slot, It’s Better to be Lucky (Healthy) Than Good – With a Bad Draft Slot You Need to Know What You’re Doing

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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Every season has one week where everything seems to go wrong on the injury front. If we’re lucky, it’s one week. Sometimes there are two or three. Of course, it depends a bit on your specific players. If you have a lot of Malik Nabers and Lamar Jackson, this feels like the end, but it also feels a bit like the end if you have…...

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The Banana Stand: Thriving in a World Without Brock Bowers and Malik Nabers and With Jerry Jeudy

Shawn Siegele examines his redraft portfolio, looking at the impact of key losses and bad selections. Do the myriad hits simply swallow up the misses? The 2025 season has been a bit weird. Injuries always happen, but it’s tough when they befall your three favorite players. Misses always happen, but they don’t always happen with your highest exposure. And yet despite that, this year is…...

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The Banana Stand: Rework Your Dynasty Team on the Fly – Breaking Down the Top 100 Players, Plus Updated Tiers and Rankings

Shawn Siegele updates his dynasty rankings with a detailed breakdown of the top-100 players in fantasy football. If your fantasy football interest skews toward dynasty leagues, an RV subscription has paid for itself many times over across the last several years. The dynasty teams crushed in 2024. Perpetual Reloading opened the Permanent Championship Window on a multitude of squads. Our dynasty approach features a marriage…...

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The Banana Stand: The RBs Threatening to Change Fantasy Football

Every season has one week where everything seems to go wrong on the injury front. If we’re lucky, it’s one week. Sometimes there are two or three. Of course, it depends a bit on your specific players. If you have a lot of Malik Nabers and Lamar Jackson, this feels like the end, but it also feels a bit like the end if you have…...

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