History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage.

There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%.

But it’s also not difficult to draft with an early pick. We know that Christian McCaffrey’s upside is unmatched, that Alvin Kamara was his demigod sidekick, that Dalvin Cook is coming off of a monster season, and that playing Travis Kelce is like having an extra spot in your starting lineup. Even with the specter of elevated injury risk at the top, we want as much exposure to these players as possible.

It gets a little trickier once the stars are gone. History tells us that win rates drop below 7% if you’re drafting out of the back third of your draft. Fortunately, we have a trio of tools that also tell us how to fix this problem.

Last year I outlined a plan for dominating your league from a bad draft slot. Then Blair Andrews and I followed that plan to win an FFPC Main Event title and finish 31st overall. Today I’ll go over that plan, look at whether the evidence holds up for 2021, and break down the tactics and players you need to dominate this season.

With a Prime Draft Slot, It’s Better to be Lucky (Healthy) Than Good – With a Bad Draft Slot You Need to Know What You’re Doing

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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The Banana Stand: Ranking the Remaining Super Bowl Contenders in 6 Key Categories

Shawn Siegele breaks down all the remaining playoff teams for those participating in playoff contests or wanting to get a deeper feel for the reality tournament. This week’s exercise will be a bit different than last week’s contrarian takes. For the eight remaining teams, I’ve used the RotoViz tools, the deep trove of SIS data, and Blair’s matchup tool with a mix of regular and…...

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Shawn Siegele explores FFPC Playoff Contest strategy and breaks down his seven favorite contrarian options for winning $500,000. Crafting entries for the FFPC Playoff contest is one of my favorite thought experiments each year. The contest has $200 and $35 entry levels with $500,000 and $100,000 grand prizes. It’s a fun way to put some of those redraft, best ball, and dynasty winnings into action…...

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Shawn Siegele breaks down the Christmas matchups as RotoViz managers look to bring home the title in Week 17. I hope your fantasy playoffs have gone well so far. It’s been a fun couple of weeks as the NFL has finally turned it on late in the season, bringing us the product we longed for all year. In FFPC developments, the Main Event teams are…...

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