History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage.

There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%.

But it’s also not difficult to draft with an early pick. We know that Christian McCaffrey’s upside is unmatched, that Alvin Kamara was his demigod sidekick, that Dalvin Cook is coming off of a monster season, and that playing Travis Kelce is like having an extra spot in your starting lineup. Even with the specter of elevated injury risk at the top, we want as much exposure to these players as possible.

It gets a little trickier once the stars are gone. History tells us that win rates drop below 7% if you’re drafting out of the back third of your draft. Fortunately, we have a trio of tools that also tell us how to fix this problem.

Last year I outlined a plan for dominating your league from a bad draft slot. Then Blair Andrews and I followed that plan to win an FFPC Main Event title and finish 31st overall. Today I’ll go over that plan, look at whether the evidence holds up for 2021, and break down the tactics and players you need to dominate this season.

With a Prime Draft Slot, It’s Better to be Lucky (Healthy) Than Good – With a Bad Draft Slot You Need to Know What You’re Doing

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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The Banana Stand: Giving Thanks for This Whole Fantasy Football Project (And Breaking Down Thanksgiving Matchups)

Week 12 finished with the highest of highs and the lowest of lows, perhaps the perfect encapsulation of a hobby that can only deliver joy because it also carries heartbreak. I’m thankful for both.  In today’s Banana Stand, I’ll give thanks for a hobby and the people in it. I’ll detail the crazy high of finishing an undefeated FFPC season with a 197-point outburst, and…...

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The Banana Stand Week 12: What You Can and Can’t Exploit When Taking On the NFL’s 16 Worst Teams

Shawn Siegele ranks every team in the NFL and provides a deep breakdown for fantasy managers and reality enthusiasts alike. Apologies for getting the Banana Stand out a day late this week. My Week 12 concept ended up being a two-parter, and even splitting it resulted in a bigger project than I anticipated. Having closed on the dynasty trade deadline — updated rankings are ready…...

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The Banana Stand: Projecting Every Remaining NFL Game and Counting Down the Top 16 Teams

Shawn Siegele has some fun with the ESPN Playoff Machine, projects every remaining NFL game, and finishes his 1-32 NFL team rankings with the top-16 teams in the NFL. The ESPN Playoff Machine allows us to simulate the remaining NFL games in a variety of ways. Before actually picking every NFL game the rest of the way, let’s take a peek at what some of…...

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The Banana Stand: Giving Thanks for This Whole Fantasy Football Project (And Breaking Down Thanksgiving Matchups)

Week 12 finished with the highest of highs and the lowest of lows, perhaps the perfect encapsulation of a hobby that can only deliver joy because it also carries heartbreak. I’m thankful for both.  In today’s Banana Stand, I’ll give thanks for a hobby and the people in it. I’ll detail the crazy high of finishing an undefeated FFPC season with a 197-point outburst, and…...

Membership Required

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The Banana Stand Week 12: What You Can and Can’t Exploit When Taking On the NFL’s 16 Worst Teams

Shawn Siegele ranks every team in the NFL and provides a deep breakdown for fantasy managers and reality enthusiasts alike. Apologies for getting the Banana Stand out a day late this week. My Week 12 concept ended up being a two-parter, and even splitting it resulted in a bigger project than I anticipated. Having closed on the dynasty trade deadline — updated rankings are ready…...

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