History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage.

There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%.

But it’s also not difficult to draft with an early pick. We know that Christian McCaffrey’s upside is unmatched, that Alvin Kamara was his demigod sidekick, that Dalvin Cook is coming off of a monster season, and that playing Travis Kelce is like having an extra spot in your starting lineup. Even with the specter of elevated injury risk at the top, we want as much exposure to these players as possible.

It gets a little trickier once the stars are gone. History tells us that win rates drop below 7% if you’re drafting out of the back third of your draft. Fortunately, we have a trio of tools that also tell us how to fix this problem.

Last year I outlined a plan for dominating your league from a bad draft slot. Then Blair Andrews and I followed that plan to win an FFPC Main Event title and finish 31st overall. Today I’ll go over that plan, look at whether the evidence holds up for 2021, and break down the tactics and players you need to dominate this season.

With a Prime Draft Slot, It’s Better to be Lucky (Healthy) Than Good – With a Bad Draft Slot You Need to Know What You’re Doing

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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The 15 Most Controversial Players in Fantasy and Why You Should Take a Closer Look at These 45 Options

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 15 most controversial players in fantasy football, talks about his favorite selections, and explains his own picks, all within the context of one of his favorite annual drafts. Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death is into its 12th year, and while the cast has subtly changed over the years, one thing stays the same. Pat assembles 11 of the best analysts…...

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The 2025 FFPC Superflex Blueprint: A Complete Strategy Breakdown from the Roster Construction Explorer, Top 200 Rankings and Tiers, Discussing Tactics from Tournament Drafts, and More

In the 2025 FFPC Best Ball Superflex Blueprint, Shawn Siegele provides his updated top-200 rankings, detailed insights from the Roster Construction Explorer, and tactics from tournament drafts. I don’t think I need to pull any punches here. The FFPC Superflex Tournament is my favorite best ball format. It’s got everything you want — big prizes ($100,000 to first), low entry fee ($35), Superflex, and starting…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

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The 15 Most Controversial Players in Fantasy and Why You Should Take a Closer Look at These 45 Options

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 15 most controversial players in fantasy football, talks about his favorite selections, and explains his own picks, all within the context of one of his favorite annual drafts. Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death is into its 12th year, and while the cast has subtly changed over the years, one thing stays the same. Pat assembles 11 of the best analysts…...

Membership Required

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View Membership Levels

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The 2025 Big Gorilla Bible: Updated Rankings and Tiers, Target Labels for Every Player, A Deep Dive into Tactics from Real Drafts, and Much More

Shawn Siegele updates his top-200 player rankings for 2025 redraft formats. Breaking the groups down into 11 tiers and providing ADP contrasts, Shawn gets you ready to win $1 million in the Big Gorilla. Fresh off our best dynasty and redraft seasons to date, the original edition of The Big Gorilla Blueprint was the biggest single-article project I’ve attempted in 15 years of writing about…...

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