You Should Still Load Up on Rookie Running Backs in Every Format: 1 Big Thing from Weeks 5 and 6
Image Credit: Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Breece Hall.

Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. Every week in 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the tool for a deep dive into an interesting and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. I skipped last week due to an illness, but this week I’m making up for it, because the one big thing I want to talk about spans the last two weeks.

RB Scoring Leaders

If you look at the top running backs in PPR scoring through six weeks, a few notable things jump out. First, Nick Chubb is the RB3 despite seeing only 11 targets the entire season. For comparison, Austin Ekeler had 16 targets in Week 6 alone. But the even more notable thing is the performance of the rookie RBs. Breece Hall is the RB6. Dameon Pierce is the RB15 despite having a bye in Week 6. Kenneth Walker was the RB8 in Week 6.

Hall trails only Ekeler, Christian McCaffrey, and Leonard Fournette in RB receiving yards. He leads all running backs in air yards. The next closest back (J.D. McKissic) is almost 100 air yards behind him. Hall’s 147 air yards are the most by a running back through the first six weeks since 2019. In fact, only three RBs had more total air yards all of last season (and one of them was Kyle Juszczyk, a fullback).

How Breece Hall Wins

Of course, Hall is doing this despite the fact that Zach Wilson has not been asked to throw the ball often. Wilson attempted only 21 passes in Week 5 and only 18 passes in Week 6. Over Hall’s last two games he has only four total targets. Yet he is also the RB3 over that span, largely due to his efficiency.

Only Rhamondre Stevenson has more rushing yards over the last two weeks than Hall. Only four RBs have more total receiving yards. What seems to have changed in the last two weeks is that Michael Carter’s role has shifted dramatically.

How Michael Carter Wins

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.