The pace of play at the team level is instructive in fantasy football. The faster a team is, the more plays they will tend to run. The more plays a team tends to run, the more players on those teams tend to score. Using the RotoViz Pace Tool, we can see the tendencies of every team in these areas so far in 2023. I toggled to...
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Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...
While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...
There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...
Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...
While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...
There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...
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