To Catch a Falling Knife: Should We Be Taking Shots on 2025’s 13 Biggest Preseason Fallers?
Image Credit: Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Brian Robinson.

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the circumstances that have led to the preseason’s biggest drops in ADP and explains whether fantasy managers should still be looking to add each player to redraft rosters at their current price.

Earlier in the week, we looked at the preseason’s biggest ADP risers and broke down the cases for buying and selling each. Now it is time to head to the other end of the spectrum and do the same for the players who have seen the biggest decreases in price since the beginning of August.

Whether it be due to injury, added competition, or the possibility of moving on to a new team, a falling ADP can present fantasy managers a buying window when uncertainty or misfortune leads to an overcorrection in price. However, there is almost always valid reasoning behind ADP shifts, opening up the potential to take a big loss if we decide to bet on the wrong situations.

For this exercise, I’ll be pulling ADP information from the FFPC’s Main Event and Big Gorilla going back to the beginning of August.

The FFPC offers fantasy managers two separate chances to bring home a $1 million grand prize in the Main Event and Big Gorilla! New users can save $25 off their first team with the code 25ROTOVIZ or by following this link!

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Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

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Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 6 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, and most notably the Monday Review Tool. Believe it or not, fantasy’s regular season is nearly halfway over. In the case of the FFPC’s Main Event and Big Gorilla, Week 7 will kick off the second half of the fantasy regular season, while most home leagues will have…...

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The RotoViz Week in Review: An In-Season Dynasty Deep Dive

Kevin Szafraniec highlights some of the biggest NFL storylines of the week, as seen through the eyes of RotoViz’s staff and our industry-leading suite of tools. At the beginning of October, Shawn Siegele updated the RotoViz dynasty rankings and then followed the update up a week later with a comprehensive look into the top 100 dynasty players in this week’s edition of The Banana Stand…....

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Kevin Szafraniec uses RotoViz’s Advanced Stats Explorer to uncover under-the-radar trends at the wide receiver position from the first five weeks of the 2025 NFL season. The career arc for every NFL player is different. Some players shoot out of the gate, some take some time to emerge, and others never emerge at all. Perhaps the worst arc of all is seeing a player look like…...

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Week 6 Monday Review: Injuries Continue to Overshadow Performances Throughout the First Half of the Fantasy Regular Season

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 6 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, and most notably the Monday Review Tool. Believe it or not, fantasy’s regular season is nearly halfway over. In the case of the FFPC’s Main Event and Big Gorilla, Week 7 will kick off the second half of the fantasy regular season, while most home leagues will have…...

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The RotoViz Week in Review: An In-Season Dynasty Deep Dive

Kevin Szafraniec highlights some of the biggest NFL storylines of the week, as seen through the eyes of RotoViz’s staff and our industry-leading suite of tools. At the beginning of October, Shawn Siegele updated the RotoViz dynasty rankings and then followed the update up a week later with a comprehensive look into the top 100 dynasty players in this week’s edition of The Banana Stand…....

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Week 5 WR Advanced Stats: Is Jaylen Waddle About to See a Career Resurgence in Miami?

Kevin Szafraniec uses RotoViz’s Advanced Stats Explorer to uncover under-the-radar trends at the wide receiver position from the first five weeks of the 2025 NFL season. The career arc for every NFL player is different. Some players shoot out of the gate, some take some time to emerge, and others never emerge at all. Perhaps the worst arc of all is seeing a player look like…...

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