Rookie Season Recap and Thoughts on the Near Future
Image Credit: Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Luther Burden.

Rookie RV writer Jesse Cohen recaps the results of his 2025 columns and shares a few thoughts going into 2026.

Rookie Season Recap: Masked Profiles and Dynasty Dealbook

Masked Profiles

In my debut article for RotoViz, I leveraged the Advanced Stats Explorer to identify a group of buy-low targets with masked profiles.

That cohort, which had an aggregate -176.1 FPOE in 2024, finished the 2025 fantasy season with an aggregate +91.5 FPOE — led by strong performances from George Pickens (+59.9 FPOE) and Dalton Kincaid (+41.5 FPOE) — for a total swing of +267.6 FPOE or +12.2 FPOE per player. For context, that’s about the same positive FPOE that Tetairoa McMillan (+13.1 FPOE) and Davante Adams (+12.1 FPOE) had this year.

The results look even better if we exclude undraftable players who got swept into the model like Jalen Tolbert (-7.0 FPOE) and Brandin Cooks (-4.4 FPOE). As explained at the time:

The “Masked Profiles” list is not a “breakout score” or a “fantasy hack” — this is still buy-low bin shopping and your discretion is required — but maybe, a helpful nudge in refining mental buckets.

In addition to Pickens and Kincaid, we got a surprising number of useful best ball weeks from model “hits” like Christian Watson (+36 FPOE), Alec Pierce (+29 FPOE), and Tre Tucker (+6.8 FPOE). Other cohort members saw their dynasty value rise despite being model “misses,” like Rome Odunze (-6.5 FPOE), Troy Franklin (-4.8 FPOE) and Adonai Mitchell (-23.6 FPOE).

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Winning the Analytics War with Humility, Part 2; Plus a Few Final Post-Draft Thoughts

In Part 2, Jesse Cohen applies the lesson from Part 1 to the 2026 draft class and shares a few other contrarian post-draft thoughts. Winning the Analytics Wars, Part 1 Recap In Part 1, we reached a limited but important finding: For Tier 1-3 QBs and WRs in the RotoViz rookie rankings that have skeptical NFL.com grades (<6.40), the bust rate jumps from about 25%…...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Days 2 and 3 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. More Contrarian Reactions And so ends, by all accounts, a weird draft. But hey, there may still be some edges to be had…. Membership Required You must be a member to...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Day 1 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Contrarian Reactions For a fulsome write-up of last night’s festivities, see Kevin’s Landing Spot Instant Reactions From the 2026 NFL Draft. Here are some additional thoughts that may not fully align…...

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Winning the Analytics War with Humility, Part 2; Plus a Few Final Post-Draft Thoughts

In Part 2, Jesse Cohen applies the lesson from Part 1 to the 2026 draft class and shares a few other contrarian post-draft thoughts. Winning the Analytics Wars, Part 1 Recap In Part 1, we reached a limited but important finding: For Tier 1-3 QBs and WRs in the RotoViz rookie rankings that have skeptical NFL.com grades (<6.40), the bust rate jumps from about 25%…...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Days 2 and 3 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. More Contrarian Reactions And so ends, by all accounts, a weird draft. But hey, there may still be some edges to be had…. Membership Required You must be a member to...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Day 1 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Contrarian Reactions For a fulsome write-up of last night’s festivities, see Kevin’s Landing Spot Instant Reactions From the 2026 NFL Draft. Here are some additional thoughts that may not fully align…...

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