NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
RotoViz has always championed drafting young, explosive wide receivers. This is particularly true with regards to second-year players, which we’ve often called the biggest edge in fantasy. This cadre of players sees the biggest jump in targets from one year to the next. In recent years however, the cost of these players has started to rise. But it’s also important to remember that recent classes…...
In this edition of the Dynasty Workshop, Shawn Siegele explains why first-round strategy will set your team up for a long string of title runs or doom it to dynasty purgatory. The most recent lessons in the Dynasty Workshop focused on executing blockbuster trades and trade tactics within a rookie draft. Today, we’re going back to the beginning and looking at the startup. The RV…...
Last summer, I looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued backs based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is…...
Meng Song discusses two deep sleepers at wide receiver and explains why they have the weekly upside you need to win your best ball contests. Names like Tim Patrick and DeVante Parker are oft-discussed wide receivers as values in the double-digit rounds, as both players have opportunities to potentially see high target shares in 2022. But let’s dive further and discuss a couple of deep…...
I recently wrote about Hyperfragile drafts in Bestball Mania and how to draft them optimally. It can be an exciting way to draft, but it is usually not implemented very well and the results reflect it. RB3 BEFORE ROUND 5, FIVE OR FEWER RBS Fortunately, the errors are easy to correct and result in a contrarian monster. Doing this research made me extremely excited about…...
The idea of the multiverse is fascinating to me. You change one small thing in one timeline and it breaks off and affects things down the road in profound ways. In the Marvel Cinematic Universe, that has Earth-shattering, Thanos-snapping implications. In fantasy football, it’s just my fancy way of saying that a range of outcomes exists. My goal for this series is to pick a…...
The RotoViz suite of Roster Construction Explorer tools are awesome. Because we have both tournament data and a long history of data, we are able to rigorously test out roster construction ideas for historical success. I’ve written previously about how to use these tools to build unique and utterly dominant Zero RB, Anchor RB, and Hyperfragile teams. When it comes to the Underdog BBM III…...
Shawn Siegele uses the Underdog Roster Construction Explorer to break down a Zero RB dream team. After drafting a variety of Anchor RB and Hyperfragile teams in the early going, the people have spoken. The hunger for Zero RB teams won’t be sated with this draft, but it at least starts the process. I drew the 1.06 and put together one of my favorite Zero…...
I recently wrote about Hyperfragile drafts in Bestball Mania and how to draft them optimally. It can be an exciting way to draft, but it is usually not implemented very well and the results reflect it. RB3 BEFORE ROUND 5, FIVE OR FEWER RBS Fortunately, the errors are easy to correct and result in a contrarian monster. Doing this research made me extremely excited about…...
The idea of the multiverse is fascinating to me. You change one small thing in one timeline and it breaks off and affects things down the road in profound ways. In the Marvel Cinematic Universe, that has Earth-shattering, Thanos-snapping implications. In fantasy football, it’s just my fancy way of saying that a range of outcomes exists. My goal for this series is to pick a…...
Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to break down the all-important middle rounds of the 2022 MFL10 of Death. It’s been a blast to draft against the top minds in fantasy, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for creating and continuing this charity event. As Michael Dubner explained in his epic look at best ball strategy, most of what we want…...
Blair Andrews turns to the running back position to examine the effects of draft age. How much of a difference does it make, if any? Last week I detailed why I am an ageist about rookie wide receivers. It may come as no surprise to discover I’m an ageist about rookie running backs as well. While the benefits of declaring early and breaking out at…...
Shawn Siegele looks at the best and most controversial picks from Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death and explains how his selections fit into an overall strategy. The MFL10 of Death is always my favorite draft to analyze. It’s loaded with the top minds in fantasy football, and it occurs at a moment in the calendar where we’re still operating with partial information on many players…...
Earlier this offseason I made an appearance on Ship Chasing to participate in a rookie mock draft. I had the second pick and took Drake London, explaining that I was breaking the tie between him and Treylon Burks in favor of London because he is more than a year younger than Burks. The responses in the comments included joking accusations of ageism. All I can…...
Winning a million dollars playing best ball tournaments requires a lot of skill and also a lot of luck. There are many parts of a roster that are completely out of our control, such as our assigned draft pick, what our opponents do, player injuries, and on and on. But before we even draft, there are a few things in our control that affect our…...
Shawn Siegele breaks down an FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament draft and explores the intersection of structure and value. The FFPC Best Ball Tournament has been one of my favorite formats to draft this offseason, and its popularity suggests a bigger tournament next year. Until then, I love the intimate 4,752-entry field and compelling $10,000 grand prize. I’ll be drafting fairly heavily in this format,…...
Can Shawn Siegele and Ben Gretch finish off their contrarian Superflex Best Ball build in style? Shawn breaks down Rounds 9 through 20 and further explores the strategy that could lead to a tournament championship. In Part 1, we examined the key tactics for building out your Superflex Best Ball roster in the FFPC Tournament. To add a personal flair, I used a recent Stealing…...
Best Ball Mania III is a 451,600-entry tournament with a 470-team Week 17 final. Because of this, finding ways to build high-upside teams that are meaningfully different from the field is of the utmost importance. Accounting for the fact that a large percentage of the prize pool is dedicated to the top few places (38% is for the top-five finishers) is a core facet of…...
Shawn Siegele breaks down the early picks in an FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament draft and explores contrarian tactics from an unfortunate draft slot. Last year, Blair Andrews and I used the FFPC Roster Construction Explorer to win a nice little chunk of money in the Best Ball Superflex formats, and we tended to choose the prize option with a bunch of $35 credits. Those…...
Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Explorers and best ball research concepts from Michael Dubner and Blair Andrews to build a case for some unlikely options. Getting to co-manage drafts with some of the top minds in the game is one of my favorite parts of working with best ball gurus like Conor O’Driscoll, Michael Dubner, and Zachary Krueger. I’m in drafts with all of…...
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