Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.  Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated by each…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will plummet…....

Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking a couple of minutes to absorb. For those of you that are new to the site, this post will walk you through the process and give some guidance on how best to use the GLSP numbers. First, I’ll answer some high-level questions that you might have, then we’ll get into…...

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at, on a team by team basis, fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.1 Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated…...

The 3 and Out: Opportunity Changes and Play Ratio Shifts

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to the 3 and Out! This week, we’ll be dividing the season into two equal parts, Weeks 1-3 and Weeks 4-6, and identifying players with the largest changes in workload as well as the teams with the biggest shifts in play volume and pace. Significant Workload Changes Wide Receiver Mike Williams saw 15 targets before missing Week 4 with a back injury. Since returning in Week 5, he’s drawn 23 targets. Williams has…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SoS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will…...

The 3 and Out: Pace, RB Target Share, and WR Air Yards Buy-Low Candidates

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Before we get into the heart of this week’s article, I want to point out that we launched the NFL Pace App last week. It will quickly become a favorite for our DFS players, but owners in all formats should play around with it. The app has a bunch of filters and allows you to quickly look at overall play volume, seconds per snap, no-huddle percentage, pass-to-rush ratio, and you can toggle between offense and defense. Here…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 5: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 5 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will…...

The 3 and Out: A Monster Workload for a Monster Back

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off yesterday and look at key data points related to the teams we’ve yet to highlight. Philadelphia Eagles Jordan Howard eviscerated the Packers in Week 4, scoring three touchdowns and accumulating 33 points in the second-best fantasy performance of his career. Howard might be a better running back than many in the fantasy industry want to admit. He’s been an RB1 in…...

The 3 and Out: You’re Officially Allowed to Panic

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off last week and look at three key data points related to the teams we’ve yet to highlight.1 This week’s 3 and Out will be broken into two parts, so check back tomorrow for the remaining teams. Green Bay Packers Davante Adams leads all Packers RBs, WRs, and TEs in expected points, averaging 15 per game. Aaron Jones sits close behind with 14,…...

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.  Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated by each…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will plummet…....

Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking a couple of minutes to absorb. For those of you that are new to the site, this post will walk you through the process and give some guidance on how best to use the GLSP numbers. First, I’ll answer some high-level questions that you might have, then we’ll get into…...

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at, on a team by team basis, fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.1 Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated…...

The 3 and Out: Opportunity Changes and Play Ratio Shifts

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to the 3 and Out! This week, we’ll be dividing the season into two equal parts, Weeks 1-3 and Weeks 4-6, and identifying players with the largest changes in workload as well as the teams with the biggest shifts in play volume and pace. Significant Workload Changes Wide Receiver Mike Williams saw 15 targets before missing Week 4 with a back injury. Since returning in Week 5, he’s drawn 23 targets. Williams has…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SoS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will…...

The 3 and Out: Pace, RB Target Share, and WR Air Yards Buy-Low Candidates

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Before we get into the heart of this week’s article, I want to point out that we launched the NFL Pace App last week. It will quickly become a favorite for our DFS players, but owners in all formats should play around with it. The app has a bunch of filters and allows you to quickly look at overall play volume, seconds per snap, no-huddle percentage, pass-to-rush ratio, and you can toggle between offense and defense. Here…...

Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 5: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 5 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea here is to be a week ahead of our league mates by adding players before it’s clear that success is in their range of outcomes and dropping or trading players before their stock will…...

The 3 and Out: A Monster Workload for a Monster Back

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off yesterday and look at key data points related to the teams we’ve yet to highlight. Philadelphia Eagles Jordan Howard eviscerated the Packers in Week 4, scoring three touchdowns and accumulating 33 points in the second-best fantasy performance of his career. Howard might be a better running back than many in the fantasy industry want to admit. He’s been an RB1 in…...

The 3 and Out: You’re Officially Allowed to Panic

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off last week and look at three key data points related to the teams we’ve yet to highlight.1 This week’s 3 and Out will be broken into two parts, so check back tomorrow for the remaining teams. Green Bay Packers Davante Adams leads all Packers RBs, WRs, and TEs in expected points, averaging 15 per game. Aaron Jones sits close behind with 14,…...

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on…...

Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking…...

The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at, on a team by team basis, fantasy points scored,…...

The 3 and Out: Opportunity Changes and Play Ratio Shifts

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to the 3 and Out! This week, we’ll be dividing the season into two equal parts, Weeks 1-3 and Weeks 4-6, and identifying…...

The 3 and Out: Pace, RB Target Share, and WR Air Yards Buy-Low Candidates

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Before we get into the heart of this week’s article, I want to point out that we launched the NFL Pace App last week. It will quickly…...

The 3 and Out: A Monster Workload for a Monster Back

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off yesterday and look at key data points related to the teams…...

The 3 and Out: You’re Officially Allowed to Panic

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out. Let’s pick up where we left off last week and look at three key data points related to…...

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