Auctions can be more art than science at times. In a traditional snake draft, a simple question like, “should I draft Player X?” often isn’t that complicated, but in an auction draft the answer is almost always, “It depends.” Player prices can vary greatly. With that in mind, my best advice for targeting WRs is simply to target WRs that project to be values but also…...

According to the Best Ball ADP App, Lamar Miller is currently being drafted halfway through the third round as the 15th running back off the board in fantasy drafts. Perfect. That makes Miller not only cheap enough to be a bargain, but it makes him a bargain at a point in the draft where talent tends to drop off. Here are three reasons why you should target…...

The 2014 wide receiver class may very well go down as the best of all time. But that doesn’t change the fact that some of the WRs are bound to have disappointing careers. Paul Richardson seems likely to be a bust after re-tearing his ACL. If thinking rationally, Cody Latimer should be expected to bust. How about this one: Jarvis Landry. Here are three simple reasons why I expect Landry to…...

One of the cool things about the new composite projections we’ve been working on is it allows us to sort the players by rank in a given category. Even cooler, we can sort players by the difference between their ADP and projected finish to see who are the biggest bargains or the worst values. I did just that at the wide receiver position. The three…...

Last season ended p0orly for Peyton Manning, culminating in a blowout playoff loss to the Colts. It may have been even worse for fantasy owners. They started Manning every week on their way to the playoffs, and once he got there Manning was an albatross on their team. I couldn’t be happier about that. Last season Manning was consistently being drafted in the 1st or 2nd…...

Last year, there was a pretty strong consensus that Jamaal Charles or LeSean McCoy should be the first overall pick. There were people who championed Adrian Peterson or wide receivers like Calvin Johnson and Demaryius Thomas instead, but they were in the minority. This year, it’s not so clear. Le’Veon Bell would have been the consensus first overall pick, but then he went and got himself suspended for three games. There’s one conclusion I’ve come…...

I recently said on Twitter that Marcus Mariota has high-end QB1 upside in 2015, and that you shouldn’t let anyone tell you otherwise.[1]As you’ll see, I didn’t mean that last part literally. Fellow RotoViz writer Heith Krueger responded to say that he disagreed and that we should do a piece explaining our varying views…. Footnotes[+]Footnotes[−] Footnotes ↑1 As you’ll see, I didn’t mean that last...

The 2015 draft class has a few wide receivers that are truly giants. Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham were both selected early in second round of the NFL Draft and they weigh 232 and 237 pounds, respectively. The 238 lb. Darren Waller was drafted in the sixth round. I was exploring some weight data recently trying to see how WRs this big have fared in the NFL. What I found was…...

Allen Robinson is the wide receiver you need to draft in 2015, the WR who may singlehandedly win you your leagues. The mid-round steal who might just finish as a top 12 option. Think of guys like Josh Gordon, Alshon Jeffery, and to a lesser extent, DeAndre Hopkins…....

Last season Jeremy Hill supplanted Giovani Bernard atop the Bengals running back depth chart. That’s a good thing. It’s a good thing because it has pushed Bernard’s ADP to the border between the fourth and fifth rounds, and at that price Bernard is a bargain. Here are three reasons why:…...

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RotoViz has recently taken to using the Projection Machine to form composite staff projections, which are viewable in the Best Ball ADP App. Currently, DeSean Jackson is projected to finish as WR21 but is being drafted as WR26. So it’s already clear that we think Jackson is a bargain. But I think the writers doing the projections might actually be underselling Jackson. Here’s why: It’s All About Targets…...

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I’ve been exploring red zone data a lot lately, so I decided to break down the opportunity available for each team. How many plays did they run in 2014? How many passes, how many rushes? And how many targets and rushes are available compared to the previous year?((I pulled most of my data on red zone plays from Pro Football Reference and most of my…...

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I’ve been exploring red zone data a lot lately, so I decided to break down the opportunity available for each team. How many plays did they run in 2014? How many passes, how many rushes? And how many targets and rushes are available compared to the previous year?((I pulled most of my data on red zone plays from Pro Football Reference and most of my…...