Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season…...

Go From Novice to Expert With the Best Ball Workshop – Lesson 1 Shows How to Boost Your Win Rate With a Rare QB Hack

The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from the Roster Construction Explorer to beat your competitors at every position. Did the lessons lead to success last year? Why are drafters still not utilizing one of the three key pillars to QB selection? Just how much can you boost your win rate with a counterintuitive hack? Shawn Siegele has the answers in the debut of the…...

Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would…...

Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64…...

Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts,…...

Is a Secondary Breakout in Store for Michael Gallup?

If you drafted Michael Gallup as a rookie, you were admittedly disappointed. However, like everything in fantasy football, context matters. Gallup’s incoming measurables and draft capital were strong but not elite. His landing spot in 2018 came with some question marks such as: A quarterback who failed to eclipse 4,000 passing yards in a season during his career A team that averaged 26th in the…...

Finding an Edge in Roster Construction: How to Approach the Single-Digit Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

I drafted so much Brandin Cooks last offseason. He was coming off of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and seemed destined for another in what looked like one of the league’s most potent offenses. He finished the season with 110.5 points and a 2.9% win rate — the fourth-lowest win rate among all players drafted in at least 200 drafts. Here’s the thing: I’m going to…...

Positive Regression is Coming to Minnesota: What to Expect for the Vikings in 2020

If you’re not weak of memory you’d remember how Minnesota started the 2019 season. It was something bizarre, so strange, in fact, that there were virtually no modern-era comparisons to what Kirk Cousins and the rest of the Vikings put together during the first three to four weeks of the season. For those who have forgotten about it, here is a quick refresher: Through three…...

Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

Putting 2019 in Context: The Middle Rounds Still Belong to Wide Receivers

In Part 1 of this series, we looked at the performance of running backs who were drafted in Rounds 3 through 6 of best ball drafts — also known as the “RB Dead Zone” — and found that the 2019 group scored 29.2% more fantasy points than the 2015-18 average. However, despite posting such high point totals, the average win rate for these RBs was…...

Putting 2019 in Context: Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?

Last July, I wrote an article about the running back dead zone — basically, RBs picked in Rounds 3 through 6 have busted at incredible rates since 2015. That article — along with several others which had similar findings — fundamentally changed my strategy in best ball drafts. Oops.[1]Maybe. Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Mark Ingram, and James White (just…...

Quarterbacks Don’t Matter (In Best Ball): Player Win Rates and the Lamar Jackson Experience

We spent all offseason discussing roster construction strategies to hack our way to a positive win rate in fantasy football best ball leagues. We’re now six weeks into the 2019 NFL season and can start to see trends emerging in Best Ball Player Win Rates. Last week, Shawn Siegele highlighted the players with the highest win rates through five weeks. Before we get to the really interesting…...

FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

The “Perfect” Draft for Your DRAFT Best Ball Teams

You know that feeling when you finish a draft and can’t find any mistakes? Everything just falls perfectly in line with your plan and you wouldn’t change anything. Today we’ll be taking a look at one such perfect draft in the DRAFT Best Ball format. The “Perfect” Draft From Pick No. 9 in DRAFT Best Ball Round 1 Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns My favorite roster…...

These 4 FFPC Risers Are Moving Into the RB Priority Target Window

Injuries, trades, holdouts, and preseason performances are shaking up the average draft positions for key players in FFPC contests. In many cases, these players were wildly undervalued before their rises began, and they still have room to provide value. But to profit, you must draft them before it’s too late. Four of the top-five risers are must-buys at their current prices. The fifth is a…...

Solo Elite TE: An Unconventional DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategy

Now that we have entered the optimal month to draft in the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, I’m looking for every edge RotoViz can create to improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. RotoViz has published a variety of articles detailing how to approach best ball drafts for 2019. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Workshop is the most comprehensive best ball article series…...

Your FFPC Safety Net At the Critical TE Position Is Literally Free

Tight end premium scoring is one of the best elements of the FFPC. In many other formats, drafters can simply spend the single-digit rounds loading up at running back and wide receiver. The FFPC forces you to consider TE, and consider it early. Travis Kelce currently sits at 6.6 in FFPC drafts, five slots earlier than he’s going in Fanball. George Kittle and Zach Ertz…...

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