RotoViz Ranks Versus FFPC ADP: 2 RBs to Avoid at Current Prices, and 2 to Buy at All Costs
Image Credit: Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Leonard Fournette.

We’re at the point where most know the sleepers, breakouts, and players to avoid. There’s nothing like the extra hype from preseason games for Isaiah Likely, Khalil Shakir, Romeo Doubs, or [insert player name here]. But how do we know whether the hype is getting out of control, or whether these young upstarts should replace an aging veteran in our draft plans? A good and simple exercise that can help here is to compare ADP to rankings. In this article, I’ll compare the FFPC ADP versus the RotoViz rankings at running back. Today let’s focus on four backs ranked much higher or lower than the ADP.

RotoViz Ranks – Two Backs With Questions

Leonard Fournette

The narrative for Leonard Fournette went from almost cut in late 2020 to league-winner in 2021 to overweight heading into 2022. Fournette’s FFPC ADP ranges from a borderline first-round to early or middle second-round selection. He garnered the volume last year with the 11th-most opportunities, third-most targets, and sixth-best target share. Fournette finished second with 94 high-value touches behind Austin Ekeler, translating into the fifth-highest EP/G at 17. He posted the most efficient season of his career with 1.2 FPOE/G (No. 28), with the previous career-high at 0.7 FPOE/G (No. 24) in his 2017 rookie season. 

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Could This 2024 Rookie Receiver Be Even Better Than Garrett Wilson?

As a rookie, Garrett Wilson ranked 13th in EP/G, sixth in targets, and 31st in PPR/G, with one of the worst FPOE/G (No. 240). Wilson gave us three WR1 performances, averaging just under 28 fantasy points per game (27.9), with four other weeks as a WR2, posting 16.9 PPR/G. He played with Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco, sharing time as the Jets’ quarterback…....

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This Second-Year Running Back Probably Isn’t the Next David Johnson, but His Rookie Year Comps Still Point to Serious Upside

David Johnson was the best running back in football for a season and a half. Few RBs possess Johnson’s size and athleticism combined with his receiving talent. But over the years a number of backs have been able to give us David-Johnson-lite production with a much smaller frame and fewer athletic gifts. It may seem like ages ago when Devin Singletary was last a fantasy-relevant…...

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We love it when running back prospects come into the NFL with a juicy receiving profile. That’s the case with Rachaad White, who garnered a ridiculous 22% receiving share in his final collegiate season. White played on a Buccaneers team with Leonard Fournette as the lead rusher and receiver, though the rookie ate into the veteran’s workload. Tom Brady played his final season during White’s…...

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