Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Exploitable Relationship Between WR Age and Opportunity Is One of the Biggest Edges in Fantasy – The Wrong Read, No. 63

Much of the research that happens in this space suggests our fantasy teams should nearly always be younger than we tend to think. Breakouts and busts both happen earlier in players’ careers than the traditional age curves would lead you to believe. Although it’s true that many of best WRs in the NFL last year were somewhere between 25 and 30 years old,1 it’s a mistake to think that we should generally be targeting players in this age range. The main reason this is a mistake is that we want to target players who are likely to be better than…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have come here to chew bubblegum and provide my thoughts on #SFBX strategy. And I’m all out of bubblegum. Refresher on Points Per First Down Scoring For starters, it’s important to note that first downs are simply…...

What Does Evan Engram’s Lisfranc Surgery Mean for His 2020 Outlook?

Evan Engram, the New York Giants’ 25-year-old star tight end, underwent surgical fixation of a Lisfranc fracture of his foot in late December. A Lisfranc injury that requires surgery is a significant injury. It’s a subluxation (partial dislocation) of the usually very stable joints of the mid-foot that are required to run, cut and jump. It may or may not also involve a fracture. Lisfranc Injury Surgical Fixation of a Lisfranc Injury…...

Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those of you who are new to the Scott Fish Bowl/points per first down (PP1D) formats, here’s a quick primer. Chasing Volume The PP1D format appears to offer a more nuanced scoring alternative to the PPR format. Given that the fantasy output for wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends can…...

Should Deebo Samuel’s Jones Fracture Move Him to Your Do Not Draft List?

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco’s top returning wide receiver, suffered a Jones fracture of his fifth metatarsal, a bone in his foot, and underwent surgical fixation on June 18, 2020.   Jones Fracture Fixation, Courtesy of Mark Adickes, MD. The obvious question for fantasy football managers is what should we expect from a WR many of us were planning on targeting in our drafts? I’ll just start by saying that if 99% of people reading this article have surgical fixation of a Jones fracture, you’ll do best and minimize problems if you take it easy for five months following surgery. But…...

Running Quarterbacks Are Fun, But Can You Trust Their Pass-Catchers?

Lamar Jackson’s 2019 season gave us the greatest single-season rushing performance by a quarterback in NFL history. Jackson set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206 rushing yards and also the record for most carries by a quarterback (176). This resulted in Jackson finishing as the overall QB1, and the league MVP. With that being said, there are certain draft strategies that come with having any quarterback on your team and how you want to optimize having them on your roster. Most common of these strategies is trying to stack your quarterback with one of his…...

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for the best Best Ball picks in Rounds 1-4. We’re revisiting this series after doing it before the NFL draft. To see the best picks in each round before the draft, check out the first series:…...

Chris Carson’s Hip Fracture and What It Means for His 2020 Outlook

Chris Carson, Seattle’s lead running back, fractured his hip on December 30, 2019, playing against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16. His hip fracture did not require surgery. This means that it was a stable fracture, almost assuredly of the proximal femur. That’s the end of the thigh bone that articulates at the hip, near the ball of that ball and socket joint…....

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing it before the NFL draft. To see the best picks in each round before the draft, check out the first series: Rounds 1-4, 5-8, 9-12. Let’s get to it. Which RB has the best chance…...

8 Quarterbacks to Target for Predictable Production

The late-round quarterback strategy is the norm today, so I won’t recap it much. In short, choosing to wait at quarterback allows us to take another impact player at a more valuable position. However, this decision comes at a cost. We don’t have the privilege of starting Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes every week. Instead, our goal is to hit on a later-round guy in the draft and stream if that doesn’t work out. But how do we know which quarterback to target? Should we choose quarterbacks on teams that are favorites or underdogs? Does it depend on the quarterback?…...

The Exploitable Relationship Between WR Age and Opportunity Is One of the Biggest Edges in Fantasy – The Wrong Read, No. 63

Much of the research that happens in this space suggests our fantasy teams should nearly always be younger than we tend to think. Breakouts and busts both happen earlier in players’ careers than the traditional age curves would lead you to believe. Although it’s true that many of best WRs in the NFL last year were somewhere between 25 and 30 years old,1 it’s a mistake to think that we should generally be targeting players in this age range. The main reason this is a mistake is that we want to target players who are likely to be better than…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have come here to chew bubblegum and provide my thoughts on #SFBX strategy. And I’m all out of bubblegum. Refresher on Points Per First Down Scoring For starters, it’s important to note that first downs are simply…...

What Does Evan Engram’s Lisfranc Surgery Mean for His 2020 Outlook?

Evan Engram, the New York Giants’ 25-year-old star tight end, underwent surgical fixation of a Lisfranc fracture of his foot in late December. A Lisfranc injury that requires surgery is a significant injury. It’s a subluxation (partial dislocation) of the usually very stable joints of the mid-foot that are required to run, cut and jump. It may or may not also involve a fracture. Lisfranc Injury Surgical Fixation of a Lisfranc Injury…...

Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those of you who are new to the Scott Fish Bowl/points per first down (PP1D) formats, here’s a quick primer. Chasing Volume The PP1D format appears to offer a more nuanced scoring alternative to the PPR format. Given that the fantasy output for wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends can…...

Should Deebo Samuel’s Jones Fracture Move Him to Your Do Not Draft List?

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco’s top returning wide receiver, suffered a Jones fracture of his fifth metatarsal, a bone in his foot, and underwent surgical fixation on June 18, 2020.   Jones Fracture Fixation, Courtesy of Mark Adickes, MD. The obvious question for fantasy football managers is what should we expect from a WR many of us were planning on targeting in our drafts? I’ll just start by saying that if 99% of people reading this article have surgical fixation of a Jones fracture, you’ll do best and minimize problems if you take it easy for five months following surgery. But…...

Running Quarterbacks Are Fun, But Can You Trust Their Pass-Catchers?

Lamar Jackson’s 2019 season gave us the greatest single-season rushing performance by a quarterback in NFL history. Jackson set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206 rushing yards and also the record for most carries by a quarterback (176). This resulted in Jackson finishing as the overall QB1, and the league MVP. With that being said, there are certain draft strategies that come with having any quarterback on your team and how you want to optimize having them on your roster. Most common of these strategies is trying to stack your quarterback with one of his…...

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for the best Best Ball picks in Rounds 1-4. We’re revisiting this series after doing it before the NFL draft. To see the best picks in each round before the draft, check out the first series:…...

Chris Carson’s Hip Fracture and What It Means for His 2020 Outlook

Chris Carson, Seattle’s lead running back, fractured his hip on December 30, 2019, playing against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16. His hip fracture did not require surgery. This means that it was a stable fracture, almost assuredly of the proximal femur. That’s the end of the thigh bone that articulates at the hip, near the ball of that ball and socket joint…....

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing it before the NFL draft. To see the best picks in each round before the draft, check out the first series: Rounds 1-4, 5-8, 9-12. Let’s get to it. Which RB has the best chance…...

8 Quarterbacks to Target for Predictable Production

The late-round quarterback strategy is the norm today, so I won’t recap it much. In short, choosing to wait at quarterback allows us to take another impact player at a more valuable position. However, this decision comes at a cost. We don’t have the privilege of starting Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes every week. Instead, our goal is to hit on a later-round guy in the draft and stream if that doesn’t work out. But how do we know which quarterback to target? Should we choose quarterbacks on teams that are favorites or underdogs? Does it depend on the quarterback?…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge…...

What Does Evan Engram’s Lisfranc Surgery Mean for His 2020 Outlook?

Evan Engram, the New York Giants’ 25-year-old star tight end, underwent surgical fixation of a Lisfranc fracture of his foot in late December. A Lisfranc injury that requires surgery is a significant injury. It’s a subluxation (partial dislocation) of the usually very stable joints of the mid-foot that are required…...

Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those…...

Should Deebo Samuel’s Jones Fracture Move Him to Your Do Not Draft List?

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco’s top returning wide receiver, suffered a Jones fracture of his fifth metatarsal, a bone in his foot, and underwent surgical fixation on June 18, 2020.   Jones Fracture Fixation, Courtesy of Mark Adickes, MD. The obvious question for fantasy football managers is what should we expect…...

Running Quarterbacks Are Fun, But Can You Trust Their Pass-Catchers?

Lamar Jackson’s 2019 season gave us the greatest single-season rushing performance by a quarterback in NFL history. Jackson set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206 rushing yards and also the record for most carries by a quarterback (176). This resulted in Jackson finishing as the…...

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the…...

Chris Carson’s Hip Fracture and What It Means for His 2020 Outlook

Chris Carson, Seattle’s lead running back, fractured his hip on December 30, 2019, playing against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16. His hip fracture did not require surgery. This means that it was a stable fracture, almost assuredly of the proximal femur. That’s the end of the thigh bone that…...

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the…...

8 Quarterbacks to Target for Predictable Production

The late-round quarterback strategy is the norm today, so I won’t recap it much. In short, choosing to wait at quarterback allows us to take another impact player at a more valuable position. However, this decision comes at a cost. We don’t have the privilege of starting Lamar Jackson or…...

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