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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters. But how in the world do we actually predict future NFL Draft capital? And why does that matter?” Great questions! Last year I introduced a new production metric called the Adjusted Production Index. It’s a…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2020 Rookie Wide Receivers

In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s simple. It combines just three production variables to tell a more complete story of a player’s overall production profile. We’re all (for the most part) familiar with Dominator Rating; the simple combination of receiving yardage…...

Should We Be Worried About Ben Roethlisberger’s Elbow?

Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill position players to produce for fantasy this year depends largely on Roethlisberger’s health, as no additional quarterbacks were added to the team. Specifically, our confidence in drafting JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, James Washington, James Conner,…...

4 Mental Frameworks That Will Change The Way You Think About Fantasy Football

Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus on the mental frameworks that can take our fantasy football game to a new level. These are the four rules I follow to enhance my fantasy football decision-making process. Mental Framework No. 1: Supply and…...

Can J.K. Dobbins Be a League Winner in a Crowded Baltimore Backfield?

J.K. Dobbins’ price varies greatly among best ball sites. Among the higher stake sites, such as the FFPC and Fanball, he has an ADP of 51 and an ADP of 53, respectively. At sites that offer cheaper contests such as Drafters and Yahoo, Dobbins has an ADP of 70 and an ADP of 107, respectively. This sparks two questions: Why is the gap this large? Where should we be drafting him? To answer those questions, let’s analyze Dobbins’ 2020 outlook. Opportunity Dobbins was drafted in the second round by the Ravens, but the Ravens weren’t an ideal landing spot from…...

The Top 100 Rookies for 2020: 21-40

Hello and welcome to the fourth post-NFL-Draft installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes (of course). So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact” conversation. This is specifically designed for you to use as a data point in building your own rookie rankings for upcoming dynasty fantasy football league rookie drafts. And of course, it’s here to help you…...

Teddy Bridgewater is 2020’s Late Round Quarterback

After the Panthers traded Kyle Allen this spring and elected to not draft a quarterback last weekend, Teddy Bridgewater is cemented as their 2020 starting quarterback. His case as 2020’s late-round quarterback boils down to three simple predictions. Bridgewater will likely be near the top of the league in pass attempts. He will likely be slightly above league average in passing efficiency. He has rushing upside that separates him from other potential late-round options. Let’s look at the case for each prediction. Prediction 1: Elite Passing Volume In three of the past four seasons, the Panthers have attempted at least 563…...

Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering that receivers often struggle after switching teams. However, as I detail below, Diggs offers a reasonably high floor, with the potential for an elite ceiling. Stefon Diggs in 2019 Despite the absence of Adam Thielen,…...

The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 1-4

The NFL Draft is rapidly approaching, and before Bill O’Brien has a chance to accidentally trade away Deshaun Watson for a fourth-round pick live on Zoom, we’re going to run through the best current Best Ball Value Picks in each round. This is the first part of a series, starting with the first four rounds. (Keep in mind, nailing your early-round Best Ball picks doesn’t mean you’re definitely going to win — but it sure is important.) Best Ball drafts are fluid — perhaps even more so than redraft leagues which are heavily drafted in August, when ADPs are half-etched…...

DeAndre Hopkins: A WR2 in 2020?

No, it’s not clickbait. It was the trade that shook the universe: DeAndre Hopkins and a 2020 fourth-round pick for David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick, and 2021 fourth-round pick. We don’t have to say it, but I will anyway; the math doesn’t check out. Hopkins will move on to the Arizona Cardinals, where he will catch passes from 2019’s No. 1 overall pick, alongside future first-ballot Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald and capable pass catchers Christian Kirk and Kenyan Drake.  What Gives? Talent isn’t the question. Hopkins has racked up 8,602 receiving yards in his first seven NFL seasons…...

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters. But how in the world do we actually predict future NFL Draft capital? And why does that matter?” Great questions! Last year I introduced a new production metric called the Adjusted Production Index. It’s a…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2020 Rookie Wide Receivers

In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s simple. It combines just three production variables to tell a more complete story of a player’s overall production profile. We’re all (for the most part) familiar with Dominator Rating; the simple combination of receiving yardage…...

Should We Be Worried About Ben Roethlisberger’s Elbow?

Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill position players to produce for fantasy this year depends largely on Roethlisberger’s health, as no additional quarterbacks were added to the team. Specifically, our confidence in drafting JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, James Washington, James Conner,…...

4 Mental Frameworks That Will Change The Way You Think About Fantasy Football

Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus on the mental frameworks that can take our fantasy football game to a new level. These are the four rules I follow to enhance my fantasy football decision-making process. Mental Framework No. 1: Supply and…...

Can J.K. Dobbins Be a League Winner in a Crowded Baltimore Backfield?

J.K. Dobbins’ price varies greatly among best ball sites. Among the higher stake sites, such as the FFPC and Fanball, he has an ADP of 51 and an ADP of 53, respectively. At sites that offer cheaper contests such as Drafters and Yahoo, Dobbins has an ADP of 70 and an ADP of 107, respectively. This sparks two questions: Why is the gap this large? Where should we be drafting him? To answer those questions, let’s analyze Dobbins’ 2020 outlook. Opportunity Dobbins was drafted in the second round by the Ravens, but the Ravens weren’t an ideal landing spot from…...

The Top 100 Rookies for 2020: 21-40

Hello and welcome to the fourth post-NFL-Draft installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes (of course). So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact” conversation. This is specifically designed for you to use as a data point in building your own rookie rankings for upcoming dynasty fantasy football league rookie drafts. And of course, it’s here to help you…...

Teddy Bridgewater is 2020’s Late Round Quarterback

After the Panthers traded Kyle Allen this spring and elected to not draft a quarterback last weekend, Teddy Bridgewater is cemented as their 2020 starting quarterback. His case as 2020’s late-round quarterback boils down to three simple predictions. Bridgewater will likely be near the top of the league in pass attempts. He will likely be slightly above league average in passing efficiency. He has rushing upside that separates him from other potential late-round options. Let’s look at the case for each prediction. Prediction 1: Elite Passing Volume In three of the past four seasons, the Panthers have attempted at least 563…...

Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering that receivers often struggle after switching teams. However, as I detail below, Diggs offers a reasonably high floor, with the potential for an elite ceiling. Stefon Diggs in 2019 Despite the absence of Adam Thielen,…...

The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 1-4

The NFL Draft is rapidly approaching, and before Bill O’Brien has a chance to accidentally trade away Deshaun Watson for a fourth-round pick live on Zoom, we’re going to run through the best current Best Ball Value Picks in each round. This is the first part of a series, starting with the first four rounds. (Keep in mind, nailing your early-round Best Ball picks doesn’t mean you’re definitely going to win — but it sure is important.) Best Ball drafts are fluid — perhaps even more so than redraft leagues which are heavily drafted in August, when ADPs are half-etched…...

DeAndre Hopkins: A WR2 in 2020?

No, it’s not clickbait. It was the trade that shook the universe: DeAndre Hopkins and a 2020 fourth-round pick for David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick, and 2021 fourth-round pick. We don’t have to say it, but I will anyway; the math doesn’t check out. Hopkins will move on to the Arizona Cardinals, where he will catch passes from 2019’s No. 1 overall pick, alongside future first-ballot Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald and capable pass catchers Christian Kirk and Kenyan Drake.  What Gives? Talent isn’t the question. Hopkins has racked up 8,602 receiving yards in his first seven NFL seasons…...

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2020 Rookie Wide Receivers

In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful…...

Should We Be Worried About Ben Roethlisberger’s Elbow?

Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a…...

4 Mental Frameworks That Will Change The Way You Think About Fantasy Football

Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping…...

Can J.K. Dobbins Be a League Winner in a Crowded Baltimore Backfield?

J.K. Dobbins’ price varies greatly among best ball sites. Among the higher stake sites, such as the FFPC and Fanball, he has an ADP of 51 and an ADP of 53, respectively. At sites that offer cheaper contests such as Drafters and Yahoo, Dobbins has an ADP of 70 and…...

The Top 100 Rookies for 2020: 21-40

Hello and welcome to the fourth post-NFL-Draft installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes (of course). So no,…...

Teddy Bridgewater is 2020’s Late Round Quarterback

After the Panthers traded Kyle Allen this spring and elected to not draft a quarterback last weekend, Teddy Bridgewater is cemented as their 2020 starting quarterback. His case as 2020’s late-round quarterback boils down to three simple predictions. Bridgewater will likely be near the top of the league in pass attempts…....

Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition…...

The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 1-4

The NFL Draft is rapidly approaching, and before Bill O’Brien has a chance to accidentally trade away Deshaun Watson for a fourth-round pick live on Zoom, we’re going to run through the best current Best Ball Value Picks in each round. This is the first part of a series, starting…...

DeAndre Hopkins: A WR2 in 2020?

No, it’s not clickbait. It was the trade that shook the universe: DeAndre Hopkins and a 2020 fourth-round pick for David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick, and 2021 fourth-round pick. We don’t have to say it, but I will anyway; the math doesn’t check out. Hopkins will move on to…...

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