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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters. But how in the world do we actually predict future NFL Draft capital? And why does that matter?” Great questions! Last year I introduced a new production metric called the Adjusted Production Index. It’s a…...

Using Vacated Production to Identify Breakout Candidates

Having a breakout season is critical for a prospect’s profile. Sometimes the biggest hindrance for good prospects is being surrounded by other talented players that hog targets. This can lead to lower raw statistics and, more critically, a smaller market share. But every year, players leave the team either via graduation or declaring for the NFL draft and that opens up a void in the offense. The team over at DevyWatch pulled together a list of the vacated production for each college football team in the FBS. So, using that data, I’m going to identify a few players situated well…...

The College Football Transfer Portal: 2020 Watchlist

In case you missed it, I recently dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending in that direction. And transfer running backs – although we don’t have a huge sample – seem like they can hit in the perfect storm. But what transfer players should we be looking at this year? Let’s take it position by position and dive into the top players we should…...

The College Transfer Portal: Where Does It Lead?

If you have paid any attention to college football over the past couple years, you have almost surely heard of the NCAA Transfer Portal. Big-name players and recruits like Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Justin Shorter, Tavien Feaster, Trey Sermon, and many more have made the Transfer Portal impossible to ignore. But what is the Transfer Portal? Where does it lead? And do players that transfer end up finding success at the NFL level? That’s exactly what we’re going to find out. The Portal The official NCAA Transfer Portal has only existed in its current state since late October…...

Does High School Pedigree Matter for WR Prospects? 3 Rules for Devy Drafts and 7 Players to Target Now

High school ranking is often used during the evaluation process to help determine the pedigree of a prospect. But does a wide receiver’s recruit ranking matter? Using the current ranking criteria for 247Sports, a five-star ranking means that a recruit is seen as a future first-round NFL Draft selection. By this standard, five-star recruits should be gold in devy drafts, and this should be a major factor when evaluating incoming rookies. Basis of Research Before I dive into the analysis of receiver prospects, it’s important to identify the basis of the work. For the college production, I looked at every…...

Devy Rankings Update: National Signing Day

The 2019 College football season may be in the rearview now, but it’s always football season! National Signing Day is here, which means a brand new batch of top college football playmakers is here! Get pumped! Our Devy rankings team members (Travis May, Curtis Patrick, Matt Wispe, and Stefan Lako) have all recently updated their rankings across the board ahead of National Signing Day and here are the results: RotoViz Preseason Devy Ranks Tier 1 Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU Travis Etienne, RB Clemson Rondale Moore, WR Purdue Ja’Marr Chase could almost be in a tier by himself after his incredible…...

Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy fantasy football circles since February 2017 when he signed with Alabama as a five-star recruit and consensus top-five wide receiver in the nation. A Florida native, die-hard college football fans will know that dating back to 2015 (his high school sophomore season) he began receiving offer letters from all over…...

Does Travis Etienne Deserve to Be the Top RB in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 28, 2019, Travis Etienne and the Clemson Tigers take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Fiesta Bowl. Following an undefeated regular season, he and the Tigers will looks to repeat as National Champions. Background Etienne was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 216 overall player and the No. 16 RB in the class. He was graded as a four-star RB, and received scholarship offers from many of the top college programs. College Production While it wasn’t completely out of nowhere, Etienne’s burst onto the scene…...

Is Najee Harris the Next Star RB Out of Alabama? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Death, taxes, and Alabama producing running backs that the NFL and fantasy owners should be aware of are three of the only things in this universe we can 100% rely on. Najee Harris is one such player heading into 2020. Harris has played only three seasons for the Crimson Tide and may yet return for the fourth year of his eligibility. But if he decides the time is now for him to enter the NFL, it is important that we know just what we are getting. With that in mind, let’s meet him. BACKGROUND Coming out of Antioch California, Harris…...

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 14

Well, we’ve reached the end of the regular season and we’re on to conference championship games and speculation about the College Football Playoff. Unfortunately for the Group of Five, there’s no undefeated national darling competing for a potential spot. The best outcome for the non-Power Five is a good showing in the Cotton Bowl. And it appears that spot will go to one of three teams: Memphis, Boise State, or Cincinnati. But since it’s the final weekly rundown of the year, let’s make the most of it with an extended version. Quarterback Clayton Tune, QB Houston Following D’Eriq King’s announcement…...

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters. But how in the world do we actually predict future NFL Draft capital? And why does that matter?” Great questions! Last year I introduced a new production metric called the Adjusted Production Index. It’s a…...

Using Vacated Production to Identify Breakout Candidates

Having a breakout season is critical for a prospect’s profile. Sometimes the biggest hindrance for good prospects is being surrounded by other talented players that hog targets. This can lead to lower raw statistics and, more critically, a smaller market share. But every year, players leave the team either via graduation or declaring for the NFL draft and that opens up a void in the offense. The team over at DevyWatch pulled together a list of the vacated production for each college football team in the FBS. So, using that data, I’m going to identify a few players situated well…...

The College Football Transfer Portal: 2020 Watchlist

In case you missed it, I recently dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending in that direction. And transfer running backs – although we don’t have a huge sample – seem like they can hit in the perfect storm. But what transfer players should we be looking at this year? Let’s take it position by position and dive into the top players we should…...

The College Transfer Portal: Where Does It Lead?

If you have paid any attention to college football over the past couple years, you have almost surely heard of the NCAA Transfer Portal. Big-name players and recruits like Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Justin Shorter, Tavien Feaster, Trey Sermon, and many more have made the Transfer Portal impossible to ignore. But what is the Transfer Portal? Where does it lead? And do players that transfer end up finding success at the NFL level? That’s exactly what we’re going to find out. The Portal The official NCAA Transfer Portal has only existed in its current state since late October…...

Does High School Pedigree Matter for WR Prospects? 3 Rules for Devy Drafts and 7 Players to Target Now

High school ranking is often used during the evaluation process to help determine the pedigree of a prospect. But does a wide receiver’s recruit ranking matter? Using the current ranking criteria for 247Sports, a five-star ranking means that a recruit is seen as a future first-round NFL Draft selection. By this standard, five-star recruits should be gold in devy drafts, and this should be a major factor when evaluating incoming rookies. Basis of Research Before I dive into the analysis of receiver prospects, it’s important to identify the basis of the work. For the college production, I looked at every…...

Devy Rankings Update: National Signing Day

The 2019 College football season may be in the rearview now, but it’s always football season! National Signing Day is here, which means a brand new batch of top college football playmakers is here! Get pumped! Our Devy rankings team members (Travis May, Curtis Patrick, Matt Wispe, and Stefan Lako) have all recently updated their rankings across the board ahead of National Signing Day and here are the results: RotoViz Preseason Devy Ranks Tier 1 Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU Travis Etienne, RB Clemson Rondale Moore, WR Purdue Ja’Marr Chase could almost be in a tier by himself after his incredible…...

Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy fantasy football circles since February 2017 when he signed with Alabama as a five-star recruit and consensus top-five wide receiver in the nation. A Florida native, die-hard college football fans will know that dating back to 2015 (his high school sophomore season) he began receiving offer letters from all over…...

Does Travis Etienne Deserve to Be the Top RB in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 28, 2019, Travis Etienne and the Clemson Tigers take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Fiesta Bowl. Following an undefeated regular season, he and the Tigers will looks to repeat as National Champions. Background Etienne was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 216 overall player and the No. 16 RB in the class. He was graded as a four-star RB, and received scholarship offers from many of the top college programs. College Production While it wasn’t completely out of nowhere, Etienne’s burst onto the scene…...

Is Najee Harris the Next Star RB Out of Alabama? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Death, taxes, and Alabama producing running backs that the NFL and fantasy owners should be aware of are three of the only things in this universe we can 100% rely on. Najee Harris is one such player heading into 2020. Harris has played only three seasons for the Crimson Tide and may yet return for the fourth year of his eligibility. But if he decides the time is now for him to enter the NFL, it is important that we know just what we are getting. With that in mind, let’s meet him. BACKGROUND Coming out of Antioch California, Harris…...

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 14

Well, we’ve reached the end of the regular season and we’re on to conference championship games and speculation about the College Football Playoff. Unfortunately for the Group of Five, there’s no undefeated national darling competing for a potential spot. The best outcome for the non-Power Five is a good showing in the Cotton Bowl. And it appears that spot will go to one of three teams: Memphis, Boise State, or Cincinnati. But since it’s the final weekly rundown of the year, let’s make the most of it with an extended version. Quarterback Clayton Tune, QB Houston Following D’Eriq King’s announcement…...

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher…...

Using Vacated Production to Identify Breakout Candidates

Having a breakout season is critical for a prospect’s profile. Sometimes the biggest hindrance for good prospects is being surrounded by other talented players that hog targets. This can lead to lower raw statistics and, more critically, a smaller market share. But every year, players leave the team either via…...

The College Football Transfer Portal: 2020 Watchlist

In case you missed it, I recently dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending…...

The College Transfer Portal: Where Does It Lead?

If you have paid any attention to college football over the past couple years, you have almost surely heard of the NCAA Transfer Portal. Big-name players and recruits like Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Justin Shorter, Tavien Feaster, Trey Sermon, and many more have made the Transfer Portal impossible…...

Devy Rankings Update: National Signing Day

The 2019 College football season may be in the rearview now, but it’s always football season! National Signing Day is here, which means a brand new batch of top college football playmakers is here! Get pumped! Our Devy rankings team members (Travis May, Curtis Patrick, Matt Wispe, and Stefan Lako)…...

Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy…...

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 14

Well, we’ve reached the end of the regular season and we’re on to conference championship games and speculation about the College Football Playoff. Unfortunately for the Group of Five, there’s no undefeated national darling competing for a potential spot. The best outcome for the non-Power Five is a good showing…...

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