Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

DeVante Parker Was Not Your Usual 5th Year Breakout – Can 2 Value Candidates Follow in His Footsteps?

DeVante Parker broke out with 246 points in 2019. The No. 14 overall pick from 2015 crested the 200-point threshold for the first time in his fifth season. Parker followed an unusual path. Over the last 20 years, this was the first time a former first-round pick had broken out in Year 5. It was also the first time in several years that a fifth-round breakout had accomplished the feat after scoring fewer than 100 points the previous season. Of course, the last previous instance was Julian Edelman in 2013, and he hasn’t finished worse than WR17 on a per-game…...

Love Robert Woods But Don’t Want to Pay for Him? Try These 2 Cheaper Alternatives With Identical Profiles

After five years in the Buffalo desert, Robert Woods emerged when he joined the Rams in 2017. Three seasons with finishes between WR18 and WR14 (per game) followed. Woods has parlayed that into a WR18 ADP in 2020, a fair price for a player with his profile. But what if you don’t want to pay a fair price? If you’re looking to get this production at a discount, two similar options are available more than two rounds later. What Do We Get with Robert Woods? Over the last three seasons, Woods ranks No. 9 at the receiver position in both…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC South

Zachary Krueger and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. You can find the previous three articles here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South It’s time to cast our eyes towards the AFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters are getting later than they should be going. Nyheim Hines, IND, RB Straight off the bat,…...

Which Bulldogs Should We Believe In? Georgia’s Future NFL Draft Prospects.

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

5 Players With Explosive Upside Who Are Discounted by ADP

How do you build a juggernaut? How do you craft a team with more than just the occasional value player? Who should you draft to withstand the vagaries of the season and emerge better than ever? These are the questions we’re obsessed with at RotoViz, and we try to answer them from a variety of perspectives. One angle is to create upside from uncertainty. Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting explored a way to build super teams through the chaos of the season and the structural inefficiencies in ADP. Jack Miller’s recent Zero RB and Why It’s…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East Today we turn our attention to the NFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters should be taking earlier. ADP Data for period June 22 – July 5 Ito Smith, RB, ATL The Atlanta Falcons signed Todd Gurley this offseason after cutting ties with…...

What Is the Best Month to Enter The Drafters Best Ball Championship to Maximize Fantasy Points?

With Drafters offering a Best Ball Championship, Dubner looks to gain an edge by looking at the best month to enter the tournament for maximizing points. Drafters launched their Best Ball Championship on July 3. Within three days, over 1,700 owners have already taken their shot at the $25K prize pool. In a tournament with such a top-heavy prize pool (40% of the prizes going to first place), we need to maximize every advantage we can find to land first place. Just like last year with the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, we can see how draft month impacts a roster’s…...

These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many seasons before they even really got started. Even last year, Saquon Barkley’s three-week hiatus due to injury was likely the main culprit towards his dismal 4.8% best ball win rate, despite him having an otherwise…...

Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they don’t need to; none of them are being drafted at a price point where they’d have to match their 2019 production to return value. A couple of weeks ago, I used best ball win rate…...

Could Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Darkhorse WR1 Candidate in 2021? USC’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

DeVante Parker Was Not Your Usual 5th Year Breakout – Can 2 Value Candidates Follow in His Footsteps?

DeVante Parker broke out with 246 points in 2019. The No. 14 overall pick from 2015 crested the 200-point threshold for the first time in his fifth season. Parker followed an unusual path. Over the last 20 years, this was the first time a former first-round pick had broken out in Year 5. It was also the first time in several years that a fifth-round breakout had accomplished the feat after scoring fewer than 100 points the previous season. Of course, the last previous instance was Julian Edelman in 2013, and he hasn’t finished worse than WR17 on a per-game…...

Love Robert Woods But Don’t Want to Pay for Him? Try These 2 Cheaper Alternatives With Identical Profiles

After five years in the Buffalo desert, Robert Woods emerged when he joined the Rams in 2017. Three seasons with finishes between WR18 and WR14 (per game) followed. Woods has parlayed that into a WR18 ADP in 2020, a fair price for a player with his profile. But what if you don’t want to pay a fair price? If you’re looking to get this production at a discount, two similar options are available more than two rounds later. What Do We Get with Robert Woods? Over the last three seasons, Woods ranks No. 9 at the receiver position in both…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC South

Zachary Krueger and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. You can find the previous three articles here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South It’s time to cast our eyes towards the AFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters are getting later than they should be going. Nyheim Hines, IND, RB Straight off the bat,…...

Which Bulldogs Should We Believe In? Georgia’s Future NFL Draft Prospects.

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

5 Players With Explosive Upside Who Are Discounted by ADP

How do you build a juggernaut? How do you craft a team with more than just the occasional value player? Who should you draft to withstand the vagaries of the season and emerge better than ever? These are the questions we’re obsessed with at RotoViz, and we try to answer them from a variety of perspectives. One angle is to create upside from uncertainty. Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting explored a way to build super teams through the chaos of the season and the structural inefficiencies in ADP. Jack Miller’s recent Zero RB and Why It’s…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East Today we turn our attention to the NFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters should be taking earlier. ADP Data for period June 22 – July 5 Ito Smith, RB, ATL The Atlanta Falcons signed Todd Gurley this offseason after cutting ties with…...

What Is the Best Month to Enter The Drafters Best Ball Championship to Maximize Fantasy Points?

With Drafters offering a Best Ball Championship, Dubner looks to gain an edge by looking at the best month to enter the tournament for maximizing points. Drafters launched their Best Ball Championship on July 3. Within three days, over 1,700 owners have already taken their shot at the $25K prize pool. In a tournament with such a top-heavy prize pool (40% of the prizes going to first place), we need to maximize every advantage we can find to land first place. Just like last year with the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, we can see how draft month impacts a roster’s…...

These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many seasons before they even really got started. Even last year, Saquon Barkley’s three-week hiatus due to injury was likely the main culprit towards his dismal 4.8% best ball win rate, despite him having an otherwise…...

Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they don’t need to; none of them are being drafted at a price point where they’d have to match their 2019 production to return value. A couple of weeks ago, I used best ball win rate…...

Could Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Darkhorse WR1 Candidate in 2021? USC’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC South

Zachary Krueger and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. You can find the previous three articles here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters:…...

Which Bulldogs Should We Believe In? Georgia’s Future NFL Draft Prospects.

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous…...

5 Players With Explosive Upside Who Are Discounted by ADP

How do you build a juggernaut? How do you craft a team with more than just the occasional value player? Who should you draft to withstand the vagaries of the season and emerge better than ever? These are the questions we’re obsessed with at RotoViz, and we try to answer…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters:…...

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