NFL
Kevin Szafraniec
June 25, 2025
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Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers
Travis May
April 27, 2021
Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...
Michael Carter Possesses Key Traits That Suggest He’s the Next Zero RB Star
Shawn Siegele
April 26, 2021
Michael Carter gained 1,512 yards from scrimmage in 11 games last year, averaging just a tick under 8.0 yards per carry and catching 25 more passes to give him 82 for his career. He’s smaller and older than high-profile teammate Javonte Williams, but could he still be the better back? Or, if not that, could he be the better fantasy value? Make the Scouting Process Easy…...
Our (Late) Guys – Closing Out FFPC Best Ball Drafts With Some of the RotoViz Staff’s Favorite Late-Round Targets
Zachary Krueger
April 23, 2021
It’s always fun to go out and execute a fantasy draft to perfection, right down to your final few picks. The problem is, knowing just who to select with those final two picks can feel like a real burden. On the one hand, we’re talking about players who could have upside. On the other, we are trying to find the proper balance of drafting a…...
High Stakes Drafts Offer Insight Into the Best Value Areas for Rookie Pick Trades
Shawn Siegele
April 22, 2021
Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with high stakes drafts currently in progress. What’s a better way to explore the pricing for rookie drafts than to look at where they’re going in high stakes drafts? With the advent of the RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty leagues in the FFPC, we now have a perfect window into the format used across the dynasty universe. Whether you’re preparing for…...
Trey Sermon’s Profile Hints at Massive Dynasty Upside, But Multiple Red Flags Make Him a Controversial Pick at ADP
Shawn Siegele
April 20, 2021
Trey Sermon launched himself into the national consciousness with 264 scrimmage yards in the national semifinal against Clemson. Does the rest of his profile offer enough firepower to confirm his position as a top-30 running back in dynasty startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to Pay Almost Any Price to Land the Next Superstar…...
Kenneth Gainwell’s Comps and RB Prospect Lab Score Point in Very Different Directions
Shawn Siegele
April 19, 2021
Kenneth Gainwell opted out of the 2020 season, but he’s still a potential Day 2 selection after a monstrous 2,000-yard season as a sophomore at Memphis. He furthered his case with a 4.42 pro day forty after bulking up to 201 pounds. Is that enough to push him up a tier and make him a priority selection in startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Fantasy RB1 at an RB4 Price
Curtis Patrick
April 15, 2021
In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a potential fantasy RB1 who is being valued like an RB4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...
Use This Surprising and Low-Cost Tactic to Load Your Best Ball Squads with Maximum Firepower
Zachary Krueger
April 14, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft class is not your run-of-the-mill draft class. While the positional upside at non-QB positions could leave a bit to be desired, there’s a chance that we could see five quarterbacks taken in the first round of this year’s draft. As I continue to dive into best ball content and drafts, I find myself constantly questioning how we can benefit from drafting…...
Chuba Hubbard Is the Type of Back You Should Buy Even If You Don’t Believe in Him
Shawn Siegele
April 13, 2021
Chuba Hubbard returned for a final season in 2020, but his performance cratered. He’s now a much cheaper selection in startups and rookie drafts. Shawn Siegele is a sucker for players with Hubbard’s profile, but can he find enough evidence to convince you to buy? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning…...
Is Eric Gray the Next Star RB Out of Oklahoma? Top College Football Transfers to Watch in 2021
Travis May
April 10, 2021
In case you missed it, last spring I dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending in that direction. And transfer running backs – although we don’t have a huge…...
2021 NFL Pro Day Season – Full Results and Commentary From Travis May
Travis May
April 10, 2021
Editor’s Note: Now updated with complete results and commentary for the full 2021 pro day season. Just like the 2020 NFL season before it, the 2021 NFL Draft and pro day process will be one like never before. The originally intended dates for the 2021 NFL combine have already come and gone. And by now, most attuned to the world of professional football are aware…...
Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us That Production and On-Field Explosiveness Are Somehow Undervalued
Shawn Siegele
April 9, 2021
Jermar Jefferson’s pro day reinforced his status as a Day 3 prospect, but his on-field performance paints him as a first-round pick. Shawn Siegele explains why the precocious Oregon State star is such a controversial player and how to take advantage in dynasty. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning Startup Javonte…...
Risers and Fallers – Free Agency Fallout, Part 2: A Second-Year WR Becomes a Late Round Value as an Unexpected TE Breakout Candidate Emerges
Zachary Krueger
April 8, 2021
Last week I took a look at FFPC best ball ADP, covering risers and fallers and the quarterback and running back position after a wild free agency period. This week, we’ll take a look at risers and fallers at wide receiver and tight end. Pre-free agency, we saw a handful of talented players go undervalued in drafts. Now, after joining new teams, drafters have re-awakened…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
Javonte Williams – Why the Advanced Stats Think He Could Challenge the Big 2
Shawn Siegele
April 7, 2021
Javonte Williams didn’t wow observers with a 4.55 forty at his pro day, but that’s not the entire picture. If you buy Williams today, will you get a fast return on his RB18 price? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to…...
Travis Etienne and Why You Shouldn’t Be Scared to Reach for the Next Alvin Kamara in Dynasty Startups
Shawn Siegele
April 6, 2021
Travis Etienne is one of four potential selections at the 1.01 in non-superflex formats. Shawn Siegele discusses all of the key prospect metrics and explains why understanding Etienne’s profile is a crucial element of any successful 2021 startup strategy. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Javonte Williams Is About to Get…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues – Positional Value and Trade Opportunities in Round 1
Shawn Siegele
April 2, 2021
The 2021 RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues have launched, and we’re excited to be involved in this fantastic new product from the FFPC. The new format adds a starting WR spot and includes three flexes, one of which can be a QB. So how do you attack this new format which combines the great interface and customer service of the FFPC with a deeper starting lineup?…...
Risers and Fallers, Free Agency Fallout Edition: The Latest Moves Uncover New Values at QB and RB
Zachary Krueger
April 2, 2021
Over the last several weeks we have been looking at players who could be poised for a rise or fall in ADP in wake of free agency and the NFL Draft. The beginning of the NFL offseason offers a unique opportunity to take calculated risks on players with unknown circumstances. These risks could lead to you nailing a pick whose ADP has skyrocketed since free…...
The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers
Travis May
April 27, 2021
Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...
Michael Carter Possesses Key Traits That Suggest He’s the Next Zero RB Star
Shawn Siegele
April 26, 2021
Michael Carter gained 1,512 yards from scrimmage in 11 games last year, averaging just a tick under 8.0 yards per carry and catching 25 more passes to give him 82 for his career. He’s smaller and older than high-profile teammate Javonte Williams, but could he still be the better back? Or, if not that, could he be the better fantasy value? Make the Scouting Process Easy…...
Our (Late) Guys – Closing Out FFPC Best Ball Drafts With Some of the RotoViz Staff’s Favorite Late-Round Targets
Zachary Krueger
April 23, 2021
It’s always fun to go out and execute a fantasy draft to perfection, right down to your final few picks. The problem is, knowing just who to select with those final two picks can feel like a real burden. On the one hand, we’re talking about players who could have upside. On the other, we are trying to find the proper balance of drafting a…...
High Stakes Drafts Offer Insight Into the Best Value Areas for Rookie Pick Trades
Shawn Siegele
April 22, 2021
Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with high stakes drafts currently in progress. What’s a better way to explore the pricing for rookie drafts than to look at where they’re going in high stakes drafts? With the advent of the RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty leagues in the FFPC, we now have a perfect window into the format used across the dynasty universe. Whether you’re preparing for…...
Trey Sermon’s Profile Hints at Massive Dynasty Upside, But Multiple Red Flags Make Him a Controversial Pick at ADP
Shawn Siegele
April 20, 2021
Trey Sermon launched himself into the national consciousness with 264 scrimmage yards in the national semifinal against Clemson. Does the rest of his profile offer enough firepower to confirm his position as a top-30 running back in dynasty startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to Pay Almost Any Price to Land the Next Superstar…...
Kenneth Gainwell’s Comps and RB Prospect Lab Score Point in Very Different Directions
Shawn Siegele
April 19, 2021
Kenneth Gainwell opted out of the 2020 season, but he’s still a potential Day 2 selection after a monstrous 2,000-yard season as a sophomore at Memphis. He furthered his case with a 4.42 pro day forty after bulking up to 201 pounds. Is that enough to push him up a tier and make him a priority selection in startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Fantasy RB1 at an RB4 Price
Curtis Patrick
April 15, 2021
In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a potential fantasy RB1 who is being valued like an RB4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...
Use This Surprising and Low-Cost Tactic to Load Your Best Ball Squads with Maximum Firepower
Zachary Krueger
April 14, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft class is not your run-of-the-mill draft class. While the positional upside at non-QB positions could leave a bit to be desired, there’s a chance that we could see five quarterbacks taken in the first round of this year’s draft. As I continue to dive into best ball content and drafts, I find myself constantly questioning how we can benefit from drafting…...
Chuba Hubbard Is the Type of Back You Should Buy Even If You Don’t Believe in Him
Shawn Siegele
April 13, 2021
Chuba Hubbard returned for a final season in 2020, but his performance cratered. He’s now a much cheaper selection in startups and rookie drafts. Shawn Siegele is a sucker for players with Hubbard’s profile, but can he find enough evidence to convince you to buy? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning…...
Is Eric Gray the Next Star RB Out of Oklahoma? Top College Football Transfers to Watch in 2021
Travis May
April 10, 2021
In case you missed it, last spring I dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending in that direction. And transfer running backs – although we don’t have a huge…...
2021 NFL Pro Day Season – Full Results and Commentary From Travis May
Travis May
April 10, 2021
Editor’s Note: Now updated with complete results and commentary for the full 2021 pro day season. Just like the 2020 NFL season before it, the 2021 NFL Draft and pro day process will be one like never before. The originally intended dates for the 2021 NFL combine have already come and gone. And by now, most attuned to the world of professional football are aware…...
Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us That Production and On-Field Explosiveness Are Somehow Undervalued
Shawn Siegele
April 9, 2021
Jermar Jefferson’s pro day reinforced his status as a Day 3 prospect, but his on-field performance paints him as a first-round pick. Shawn Siegele explains why the precocious Oregon State star is such a controversial player and how to take advantage in dynasty. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning Startup Javonte…...
Risers and Fallers – Free Agency Fallout, Part 2: A Second-Year WR Becomes a Late Round Value as an Unexpected TE Breakout Candidate Emerges
Zachary Krueger
April 8, 2021
Last week I took a look at FFPC best ball ADP, covering risers and fallers and the quarterback and running back position after a wild free agency period. This week, we’ll take a look at risers and fallers at wide receiver and tight end. Pre-free agency, we saw a handful of talented players go undervalued in drafts. Now, after joining new teams, drafters have re-awakened…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
Javonte Williams – Why the Advanced Stats Think He Could Challenge the Big 2
Shawn Siegele
April 7, 2021
Javonte Williams didn’t wow observers with a 4.55 forty at his pro day, but that’s not the entire picture. If you buy Williams today, will you get a fast return on his RB18 price? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to…...
Travis Etienne and Why You Shouldn’t Be Scared to Reach for the Next Alvin Kamara in Dynasty Startups
Shawn Siegele
April 6, 2021
Travis Etienne is one of four potential selections at the 1.01 in non-superflex formats. Shawn Siegele discusses all of the key prospect metrics and explains why understanding Etienne’s profile is a crucial element of any successful 2021 startup strategy. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Javonte Williams Is About to Get…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues – Positional Value and Trade Opportunities in Round 1
Shawn Siegele
April 2, 2021
The 2021 RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues have launched, and we’re excited to be involved in this fantastic new product from the FFPC. The new format adds a starting WR spot and includes three flexes, one of which can be a QB. So how do you attack this new format which combines the great interface and customer service of the FFPC with a deeper starting lineup?…...
Risers and Fallers, Free Agency Fallout Edition: The Latest Moves Uncover New Values at QB and RB
Zachary Krueger
April 2, 2021
Over the last several weeks we have been looking at players who could be poised for a rise or fall in ADP in wake of free agency and the NFL Draft. The beginning of the NFL offseason offers a unique opportunity to take calculated risks on players with unknown circumstances. These risks could lead to you nailing a pick whose ADP has skyrocketed since free…...
The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers
Travis May
April 27, 2021
Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...
Michael Carter Possesses Key Traits That Suggest He’s the Next Zero RB Star
Shawn Siegele
April 26, 2021
Michael Carter gained 1,512 yards from scrimmage in 11 games last year, averaging just a tick under 8.0 yards per carry and catching 25 more passes to give him 82 for his career. He’s smaller and older than high-profile teammate Javonte Williams, but could he still be the better back? Or, if not that, could he be the better fantasy value? Make the Scouting Process Easy…...
Our (Late) Guys – Closing Out FFPC Best Ball Drafts With Some of the RotoViz Staff’s Favorite Late-Round Targets
Zachary Krueger
April 23, 2021
It’s always fun to go out and execute a fantasy draft to perfection, right down to your final few picks. The problem is, knowing just who to select with those final two picks can feel like a real burden. On the one hand, we’re talking about players who could have upside. On the other, we are trying to find the proper balance of drafting a…...
High Stakes Drafts Offer Insight Into the Best Value Areas for Rookie Pick Trades
Shawn Siegele
April 22, 2021
Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with high stakes drafts currently in progress. What’s a better way to explore the pricing for rookie drafts than to look at where they’re going in high stakes drafts? With the advent of the RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty leagues in the FFPC, we now have a perfect window into the format used across the dynasty universe. Whether you’re preparing for…...
Trey Sermon’s Profile Hints at Massive Dynasty Upside, But Multiple Red Flags Make Him a Controversial Pick at ADP
Shawn Siegele
April 20, 2021
Trey Sermon launched himself into the national consciousness with 264 scrimmage yards in the national semifinal against Clemson. Does the rest of his profile offer enough firepower to confirm his position as a top-30 running back in dynasty startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to Pay Almost Any Price to Land the Next Superstar…...
Kenneth Gainwell’s Comps and RB Prospect Lab Score Point in Very Different Directions
Shawn Siegele
April 19, 2021
Kenneth Gainwell opted out of the 2020 season, but he’s still a potential Day 2 selection after a monstrous 2,000-yard season as a sophomore at Memphis. He furthered his case with a 4.42 pro day forty after bulking up to 201 pounds. Is that enough to push him up a tier and make him a priority selection in startups? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Fantasy RB1 at an RB4 Price
Curtis Patrick
April 15, 2021
In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a potential fantasy RB1 who is being valued like an RB4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...
Use This Surprising and Low-Cost Tactic to Load Your Best Ball Squads with Maximum Firepower
Zachary Krueger
April 14, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft class is not your run-of-the-mill draft class. While the positional upside at non-QB positions could leave a bit to be desired, there’s a chance that we could see five quarterbacks taken in the first round of this year’s draft. As I continue to dive into best ball content and drafts, I find myself constantly questioning how we can benefit from drafting…...
Chuba Hubbard Is the Type of Back You Should Buy Even If You Don’t Believe in Him
Shawn Siegele
April 13, 2021
Chuba Hubbard returned for a final season in 2020, but his performance cratered. He’s now a much cheaper selection in startups and rookie drafts. Shawn Siegele is a sucker for players with Hubbard’s profile, but can he find enough evidence to convince you to buy? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning…...
Is Eric Gray the Next Star RB Out of Oklahoma? Top College Football Transfers to Watch in 2021
Travis May
April 10, 2021
In case you missed it, last spring I dove into the success rates of transfer quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. And at first glance, it looks like transfers, and transfer success in general is on the rise. Quarterback transfers certainly look like the safest play. Wide receiver transfers are trending in that direction. And transfer running backs – although we don’t have a huge…...
2021 NFL Pro Day Season – Full Results and Commentary From Travis May
Travis May
April 10, 2021
Editor’s Note: Now updated with complete results and commentary for the full 2021 pro day season. Just like the 2020 NFL season before it, the 2021 NFL Draft and pro day process will be one like never before. The originally intended dates for the 2021 NFL combine have already come and gone. And by now, most attuned to the world of professional football are aware…...
Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us That Production and On-Field Explosiveness Are Somehow Undervalued
Shawn Siegele
April 9, 2021
Jermar Jefferson’s pro day reinforced his status as a Day 3 prospect, but his on-field performance paints him as a first-round pick. Shawn Siegele explains why the precocious Oregon State star is such a controversial player and how to take advantage in dynasty. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Travis Etienne: Why the Clemson Star Should Be Part of Any Winning Startup Javonte…...
Risers and Fallers – Free Agency Fallout, Part 2: A Second-Year WR Becomes a Late Round Value as an Unexpected TE Breakout Candidate Emerges
Zachary Krueger
April 8, 2021
Last week I took a look at FFPC best ball ADP, covering risers and fallers and the quarterback and running back position after a wild free agency period. This week, we’ll take a look at risers and fallers at wide receiver and tight end. Pre-free agency, we saw a handful of talented players go undervalued in drafts. Now, after joining new teams, drafters have re-awakened…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
Javonte Williams – Why the Advanced Stats Think He Could Challenge the Big 2
Shawn Siegele
April 7, 2021
Javonte Williams didn’t wow observers with a 4.55 forty at his pro day, but that’s not the entire picture. If you buy Williams today, will you get a fast return on his RB18 price? Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Travis Etienne and Why You Should Be Willing to…...
Travis Etienne and Why You Shouldn’t Be Scared to Reach for the Next Alvin Kamara in Dynasty Startups
Shawn Siegele
April 6, 2021
Travis Etienne is one of four potential selections at the 1.01 in non-superflex formats. Shawn Siegele discusses all of the key prospect metrics and explains why understanding Etienne’s profile is a crucial element of any successful 2021 startup strategy. Make the Scouting Process Easy with RV’s All the Metrics Series Jermar Jefferson Reminds Us that Production and On-Field Explosivenss Are Undervalued Javonte Williams Is About to Get…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues – Positional Value and Trade Opportunities in Round 1
Shawn Siegele
April 2, 2021
The 2021 RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues have launched, and we’re excited to be involved in this fantastic new product from the FFPC. The new format adds a starting WR spot and includes three flexes, one of which can be a QB. So how do you attack this new format which combines the great interface and customer service of the FFPC with a deeper starting lineup?…...
Risers and Fallers, Free Agency Fallout Edition: The Latest Moves Uncover New Values at QB and RB
Zachary Krueger
April 2, 2021
Over the last several weeks we have been looking at players who could be poised for a rise or fall in ADP in wake of free agency and the NFL Draft. The beginning of the NFL offseason offers a unique opportunity to take calculated risks on players with unknown circumstances. These risks could lead to you nailing a pick whose ADP has skyrocketed since free…...
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