Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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Why I Keep Buying Mike Williams, Red Flags and All

A year ago, Mike Williams was one of my must-avoid players, and then he struggled through an injury-plagued rookie season with 11 catches for 95 yards. That’s obviously not a great sign, but it may be worse than you think. Neil Dutton has shown that receivers with extremely low levels of rookie production tend to have short NFL careers…. Membership Required You must be a...

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RBs On The Rise – Five Running Backs with Rising ADPs

Organized Team Activities, or OTA’s, are in full swing in the NFL, as the 32 teams look to see which players will be among their 53-man rosters when the season starts for real in September. This is not the only roster construction activity going on, of course, with the ever-popular best ball leagues filling up and drafting on a daily basis. With this in mind, let’s take…...

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Buy, Sell, Hold: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Draft “Your Guy” – Post-Decision Dissonance in Fantasy Football

You know that feeling when you finally get to take the player you’ve been eyeing up all off-season? That rush of getting “your guy.” You can see your future together, all of the championships you will win, the laughs, the tears. Let that go. Stop caring so much about the players you draft. It’s really hard to draft better than the 11 plus members of…...

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Tarik Cohen is a Top-5 PPR Running Back – Shawn Siegele: RotoViz Report

The RotoViz Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Tarik Cohen, Mike Williams, Anthony Miller, and Stefon Diggs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2018 NBA Finals: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Welcome to the RotoViz Blitz!

RotoViz made it’s name by bringing you data-driven football analysis with no fluff. Well, almost no fluff. The RotoViz Blitz doubles down on that approach, delivering meaty but digestible takes straight to your inbox…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Calvin Ridley

Rookie Faceoff: Calvin Ridley vs. James Washington

Coffee or tea? Boxers or briefs? PPR or Standard? These are the age-old debates that define us. Over the coming weeks, our writers will add a few more to this list. That’s right — it’s rap-battle season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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Why I Keep Buying Mike Williams, Red Flags and All

A year ago, Mike Williams was one of my must-avoid players, and then he struggled through an injury-plagued rookie season with 11 catches for 95 yards. That’s obviously not a great sign, but it may be worse than you think. Neil Dutton has shown that receivers with extremely low levels of rookie production tend to have short NFL careers…. Membership Required You must be a...

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RBs On The Rise – Five Running Backs with Rising ADPs

Organized Team Activities, or OTA’s, are in full swing in the NFL, as the 32 teams look to see which players will be among their 53-man rosters when the season starts for real in September. This is not the only roster construction activity going on, of course, with the ever-popular best ball leagues filling up and drafting on a daily basis. With this in mind, let’s take…...

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Buy, Sell, Hold: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Draft “Your Guy” – Post-Decision Dissonance in Fantasy Football

You know that feeling when you finally get to take the player you’ve been eyeing up all off-season? That rush of getting “your guy.” You can see your future together, all of the championships you will win, the laughs, the tears. Let that go. Stop caring so much about the players you draft. It’s really hard to draft better than the 11 plus members of…...

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Tarik Cohen is a Top-5 PPR Running Back – Shawn Siegele: RotoViz Report

The RotoViz Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Tarik Cohen, Mike Williams, Anthony Miller, and Stefon Diggs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2018 NBA Finals: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Welcome to the RotoViz Blitz!

RotoViz made it’s name by bringing you data-driven football analysis with no fluff. Well, almost no fluff. The RotoViz Blitz doubles down on that approach, delivering meaty but digestible takes straight to your inbox…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Calvin Ridley

Rookie Faceoff: Calvin Ridley vs. James Washington

Coffee or tea? Boxers or briefs? PPR or Standard? These are the age-old debates that define us. Over the coming weeks, our writers will add a few more to this list. That’s right — it’s rap-battle season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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Why I Keep Buying Mike Williams, Red Flags and All

A year ago, Mike Williams was one of my must-avoid players, and then he struggled through an injury-plagued rookie season with 11 catches for 95 yards. That’s obviously not a great sign, but it may be worse than you think. Neil Dutton has shown that receivers with extremely low levels of rookie production tend to have short NFL careers…. Membership Required You must be a...

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RBs On The Rise – Five Running Backs with Rising ADPs

Organized Team Activities, or OTA’s, are in full swing in the NFL, as the 32 teams look to see which players will be among their 53-man rosters when the season starts for real in September. This is not the only roster construction activity going on, of course, with the ever-popular best ball leagues filling up and drafting on a daily basis. With this in mind, let’s take…...

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Buy, Sell, Hold: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Draft “Your Guy” – Post-Decision Dissonance in Fantasy Football

You know that feeling when you finally get to take the player you’ve been eyeing up all off-season? That rush of getting “your guy.” You can see your future together, all of the championships you will win, the laughs, the tears. Let that go. Stop caring so much about the players you draft. It’s really hard to draft better than the 11 plus members of…...

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Tarik Cohen is a Top-5 PPR Running Back – Shawn Siegele: RotoViz Report

The RotoViz Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Tarik Cohen, Mike Williams, Anthony Miller, and Stefon Diggs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2018 NBA Finals: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Welcome to the RotoViz Blitz!

RotoViz made it’s name by bringing you data-driven football analysis with no fluff. Well, almost no fluff. The RotoViz Blitz doubles down on that approach, delivering meaty but digestible takes straight to your inbox…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Calvin Ridley

Rookie Faceoff: Calvin Ridley vs. James Washington

Coffee or tea? Boxers or briefs? PPR or Standard? These are the age-old debates that define us. Over the coming weeks, our writers will add a few more to this list. That’s right — it’s rap-battle season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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