Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

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In-Season Articles

Two Undrafted Free Agents That You Should Care About

After the NFL draft ended, and the people of Philadelphia booed Roger Goodell for the final time (at least to his face), the process of adding players who had not heard their names called by the NFL teams began…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 1 to 6

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of every year: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks is about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Three Late Round RBs to Own When Going Zero RB

If you’ve been reading RotoViz for any significant amount of time, you’re undoubtedly familiar with Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article. And while some may disagree after the 2016 “RB revival,” zero RB is a viable strategy in MFL10s, but it requires you to find consistent production in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Rookie Running Back Lessons: What History Says about Leonard Fournette

This year two running backs – Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey – were taken in the first round of the NFL draft. In solidarity, dynasty owners are drafting them with top-three rookie picks. This synchronicity has occurred 18 times in the last nine years, with noteworthy results…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Kansas Picks, Ownership and Race Projections

After another GPP winning weekend for me, I’m excited for the NASCAR DFS Kansas slate — our first night race of the year. As usual I’ll give my picks, points projections, and ownership projections for Saturday night’s race…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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MFL10

How to Win Your Dynasty League In Year 1 … And Every Year

High-stakes player and RotoViz Radio host Jacob Rickrode shares his blueprint for building a consistent playoff team. He recently updated his famous article on Rookie Hit Rates for Rotoworld. I’ve found this process to be very successful in building dynasty teams that compete every year. I don’t believe there’s a need to “rebuild” if you have a strong start-up draft and follow these principles…. Membership...

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6 Wild Trades From the Reality Sports Online Contract-League Draft

Reality Sports Online provides an auction format that replicates a lot of reality concepts in its innovative contract league. Rookies are added through a draft. Veteran contracts are determined by auction. Franchise tags are available. The salary cap is $167 million, just like in the real NFL…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rishard matthews fantasy

2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Rishard Matthews – WR 36

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a tuned generalized linear model. Preprocessing steps included data normalization (centered and scaled), the elimination of…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Kansas Speedway: On The Daily, 12 May 2017

May 12, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Jamie McMurray, Matt Kenseth, and Jimmie Johnson. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle): Editor-in-Chief for FantasyLabs and RotoViz podcast producer Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor for RotoViz, two-time qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR…...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

Rookie Drafts Galore: Comparing the Round 1 Results of 6 Expert Drafts

As the embers of the 2017 NFL draft still smoldered, dynasty leagues fired up rookie drafts of their own. Over the last couple of months, I’ve taken over teams in Chad Scott’s Faked Goods league and Ryan McDowell’s Hyperactive format. Both of these leagues have two conferences, giving us four drafts to peruse. Meanwhile, we began drafting in multiple RotoViz leagues…. Membership Required You must...

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The Early RB Myth: Numbers Game 103

May 10, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc) Editor at RotoViz, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Contributor at RotoViz and inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship –…...

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2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Robert Davis Goes to the Washington Redskins

Robert Davis was drafted with the 209th overall pick in the sixth round of the 2017 NFL draft by the Washington Redskins. The Redskins lost DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, but Davis still enters a crowded depth chart, with Washington previously making some big offseason moves. If he can manage to see the field, he gives Washington another red-zone threat…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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QB Success Model

The Post-Draft 2017 QB Success Model

Earlier this offseason I created the new and improved version of my QB success model. The QB success model uses several machine learning techniques to find the important variables in predicting QB success and in the implementation of the success classification itself. I’ve updated the results with the actual draft positions of the QBs from the 2017 NFL draft…. Membership Required You must be a...

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Unexpected Rookie Running Back Opportunity

A favorite pastime of fantasy football analysts is guessing which rookie running backs will have the best opportunity. It’s an entertaining endeavor, but also an important one since it factors heavily into our draft decisions…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – May 7th

The world has gone on turning, the seas have kept on churning, dreams have gone on coming true or falling flat, and MFL10 rosters are still being filled. Here we take a look at players who’ve seen their ADP’s drop in the four-week period between April 7th and May 7th. There may have been a notable event held in Philadelphia during this period; maybe that…...

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Two Undrafted Free Agents That You Should Care About

After the NFL draft ended, and the people of Philadelphia booed Roger Goodell for the final time (at least to his face), the process of adding players who had not heard their names called by the NFL teams began…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 1 to 6

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of every year: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks is about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Three Late Round RBs to Own When Going Zero RB

If you’ve been reading RotoViz for any significant amount of time, you’re undoubtedly familiar with Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article. And while some may disagree after the 2016 “RB revival,” zero RB is a viable strategy in MFL10s, but it requires you to find consistent production in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Rookie Running Back Lessons: What History Says about Leonard Fournette

This year two running backs – Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey – were taken in the first round of the NFL draft. In solidarity, dynasty owners are drafting them with top-three rookie picks. This synchronicity has occurred 18 times in the last nine years, with noteworthy results…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Kansas Picks, Ownership and Race Projections

After another GPP winning weekend for me, I’m excited for the NASCAR DFS Kansas slate — our first night race of the year. As usual I’ll give my picks, points projections, and ownership projections for Saturday night’s race…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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MFL10

How to Win Your Dynasty League In Year 1 … And Every Year

High-stakes player and RotoViz Radio host Jacob Rickrode shares his blueprint for building a consistent playoff team. He recently updated his famous article on Rookie Hit Rates for Rotoworld. I’ve found this process to be very successful in building dynasty teams that compete every year. I don’t believe there’s a need to “rebuild” if you have a strong start-up draft and follow these principles…. Membership...

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6 Wild Trades From the Reality Sports Online Contract-League Draft

Reality Sports Online provides an auction format that replicates a lot of reality concepts in its innovative contract league. Rookies are added through a draft. Veteran contracts are determined by auction. Franchise tags are available. The salary cap is $167 million, just like in the real NFL…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rishard matthews fantasy

2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Rishard Matthews – WR 36

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a tuned generalized linear model. Preprocessing steps included data normalization (centered and scaled), the elimination of…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Kansas Speedway: On The Daily, 12 May 2017

May 12, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Jamie McMurray, Matt Kenseth, and Jimmie Johnson. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle): Editor-in-Chief for FantasyLabs and RotoViz podcast producer Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor for RotoViz, two-time qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR…...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

Rookie Drafts Galore: Comparing the Round 1 Results of 6 Expert Drafts

As the embers of the 2017 NFL draft still smoldered, dynasty leagues fired up rookie drafts of their own. Over the last couple of months, I’ve taken over teams in Chad Scott’s Faked Goods league and Ryan McDowell’s Hyperactive format. Both of these leagues have two conferences, giving us four drafts to peruse. Meanwhile, we began drafting in multiple RotoViz leagues…. Membership Required You must...

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The Early RB Myth: Numbers Game 103

May 10, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc) Editor at RotoViz, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Contributor at RotoViz and inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship –…...

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2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Robert Davis Goes to the Washington Redskins

Robert Davis was drafted with the 209th overall pick in the sixth round of the 2017 NFL draft by the Washington Redskins. The Redskins lost DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, but Davis still enters a crowded depth chart, with Washington previously making some big offseason moves. If he can manage to see the field, he gives Washington another red-zone threat…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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QB Success Model

The Post-Draft 2017 QB Success Model

Earlier this offseason I created the new and improved version of my QB success model. The QB success model uses several machine learning techniques to find the important variables in predicting QB success and in the implementation of the success classification itself. I’ve updated the results with the actual draft positions of the QBs from the 2017 NFL draft…. Membership Required You must be a...

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Unexpected Rookie Running Back Opportunity

A favorite pastime of fantasy football analysts is guessing which rookie running backs will have the best opportunity. It’s an entertaining endeavor, but also an important one since it factors heavily into our draft decisions…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – May 7th

The world has gone on turning, the seas have kept on churning, dreams have gone on coming true or falling flat, and MFL10 rosters are still being filled. Here we take a look at players who’ve seen their ADP’s drop in the four-week period between April 7th and May 7th. There may have been a notable event held in Philadelphia during this period; maybe that…...

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Two Undrafted Free Agents That You Should Care About

After the NFL draft ended, and the people of Philadelphia booed Roger Goodell for the final time (at least to his face), the process of adding players who had not heard their names called by the NFL teams began…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Membership Required

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What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 1 to 6

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of every year: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks is about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Three Late Round RBs to Own When Going Zero RB

If you’ve been reading RotoViz for any significant amount of time, you’re undoubtedly familiar with Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article. And while some may disagree after the 2016 “RB revival,” zero RB is a viable strategy in MFL10s, but it requires you to find consistent production in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Rookie Running Back Lessons: What History Says about Leonard Fournette

This year two running backs – Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey – were taken in the first round of the NFL draft. In solidarity, dynasty owners are drafting them with top-three rookie picks. This synchronicity has occurred 18 times in the last nine years, with noteworthy results…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Kansas Picks, Ownership and Race Projections

After another GPP winning weekend for me, I’m excited for the NASCAR DFS Kansas slate — our first night race of the year. As usual I’ll give my picks, points projections, and ownership projections for Saturday night’s race…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Membership Required

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MFL10

How to Win Your Dynasty League In Year 1 … And Every Year

High-stakes player and RotoViz Radio host Jacob Rickrode shares his blueprint for building a consistent playoff team. He recently updated his famous article on Rookie Hit Rates for Rotoworld. I’ve found this process to be very successful in building dynasty teams that compete every year. I don’t believe there’s a need to “rebuild” if you have a strong start-up draft and follow these principles…. Membership...

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6 Wild Trades From the Reality Sports Online Contract-League Draft

Reality Sports Online provides an auction format that replicates a lot of reality concepts in its innovative contract league. Rookies are added through a draft. Veteran contracts are determined by auction. Franchise tags are available. The salary cap is $167 million, just like in the real NFL…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rishard matthews fantasy

2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Rishard Matthews – WR 36

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a tuned generalized linear model. Preprocessing steps included data normalization (centered and scaled), the elimination of…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Kansas Speedway: On The Daily, 12 May 2017

May 12, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Jamie McMurray, Matt Kenseth, and Jimmie Johnson. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle): Editor-in-Chief for FantasyLabs and RotoViz podcast producer Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor for RotoViz, two-time qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR…...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

Rookie Drafts Galore: Comparing the Round 1 Results of 6 Expert Drafts

As the embers of the 2017 NFL draft still smoldered, dynasty leagues fired up rookie drafts of their own. Over the last couple of months, I’ve taken over teams in Chad Scott’s Faked Goods league and Ryan McDowell’s Hyperactive format. Both of these leagues have two conferences, giving us four drafts to peruse. Meanwhile, we began drafting in multiple RotoViz leagues…. Membership Required You must...

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The Early RB Myth: Numbers Game 103

May 10, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc) Editor at RotoViz, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Contributor at RotoViz and inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship –…...

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2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Robert Davis Goes to the Washington Redskins

Robert Davis was drafted with the 209th overall pick in the sixth round of the 2017 NFL draft by the Washington Redskins. The Redskins lost DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, but Davis still enters a crowded depth chart, with Washington previously making some big offseason moves. If he can manage to see the field, he gives Washington another red-zone threat…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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QB Success Model

The Post-Draft 2017 QB Success Model

Earlier this offseason I created the new and improved version of my QB success model. The QB success model uses several machine learning techniques to find the important variables in predicting QB success and in the implementation of the success classification itself. I’ve updated the results with the actual draft positions of the QBs from the 2017 NFL draft…. Membership Required You must be a...

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Unexpected Rookie Running Back Opportunity

A favorite pastime of fantasy football analysts is guessing which rookie running backs will have the best opportunity. It’s an entertaining endeavor, but also an important one since it factors heavily into our draft decisions…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – May 7th

The world has gone on turning, the seas have kept on churning, dreams have gone on coming true or falling flat, and MFL10 rosters are still being filled. Here we take a look at players who’ve seen their ADP’s drop in the four-week period between April 7th and May 7th. There may have been a notable event held in Philadelphia during this period; maybe that…...

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