Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – April 19th

We are more than halfway through the month of April, and with the NFL draft mere days away, the act of Best Ball roster construction continues at a pace. With free agency essentially at an end, the next time the NFL landscape will truly shift will be after the bunting has been cleared from the park in Philadelphia, when Mr. Irrelevant hears his name called…....

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Rushing Efficiency

Who Led the League in Rushing Efficiency in 2016?

A few weeks ago I looked at 2016’s most efficient pass catchers, both from a raw perspective, as well as from a depth-adjusted perspective. Now it’s time to dive into the ball carriers that led the league in rushing efficiency. First I’ll just start with raw production, and in a follow-up article, I’ll look at a special kind of adjustment to provide further insight into the…...

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RotoViz Rankings: The Undervalued, Starring Josh Malone

We’ve had a few days to digest the diverse and varied dish that is the RotoViz Pre-Draft compilation rankings of the 2017 wide receiver class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing the Careers of the 2017 Quarterback Class

One of my favorite RotoViz pieces over the years was Jon Moore’s “Visualizing the Careers Of Wide Receiver Prospects.”  Jon charted the college production of successful NFL WRs and then compared their numbers to each incoming rookie class. While he’s moved on to Pro Football Focus, I thought it could be fun to build upon his idea and take a look at the 2017 Quarterback class…. Membership Required You...

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Early Round Landmines – Devonta Freeman

The early rounds of 2017 MFL10 drafts are a chilling place to be. The dread begins to creep in late in the first round, once we leave the land of the elite eight, and doesn’t really ease up until the noose begins to loosen around the fourth round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

O.J. Howard – A Surefire NFL Stud?

While the likes of David Njoku, Evan Engram and Gerald Everett have moved up and down draft boards (apparently) since the evaluation process began, one player has remained firmly atop the tight end charts and firmly a top-10 selection. That player is Alabama TE O.J. Howard. After a glittering college career, including an MVP award in the National Championship game, surely Howard will be a…...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Rookie Rankings: Numbers Game 100

Episode 100 (April 19, 2017): The one-hundredth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie wide receiver rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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MFL10 Optimization Part 2: Quarterback, Tight End and Defense

In part one of this project, we followed the evolution of a fictional 2016 MFL10 draft from an inefficient mess into a league full of optimized rosters. That first step provided us with some general guidelines for roster construction. Now we dig a bit deeper, in search of more detailed and more actionable conclusions. We’ve already learned, for example, that we want to roster either two or three…...

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2017 RB Prospect Lab: 20 Prospect Scores, 75 Evidence-Based Comps

The RB Prospect Lab uses age, weight, speed, agility, rushing production, TD production, and receiving numbers to give a scaled projection of a player’s NFL fantasy prospects…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Tight End Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie tight end rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie running back rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Running Back Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie running back rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Quarterback Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie quarterback rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing Market Share and Age: 5 Late Round Receivers to Watch

Over the last several years, Jon Moore has done a tremendous job advancing our understanding of the intersection of age and market share receiving production. Today, I’ve enlisted Jim Kloet to help present these visualizations for the 2017 class. In this post, we’re focusing on the super sleepers from the final two tiers in the RotoViz Scouting Index. – Shawn Siegele… Membership Required You must be a...

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The 2017 WR Prospect Championship: (2) Corey Davis vs (12) Chris Godwin

The RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Freedman Talks Star Wars: Numbers Game 99

Episode 99 (April 14, 2017): The ninety-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 RB Championship: (3) Christian McCaffrey vs (5) D’Onta Foreman

The RotoViz Running Back Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – April 19th

We are more than halfway through the month of April, and with the NFL draft mere days away, the act of Best Ball roster construction continues at a pace. With free agency essentially at an end, the next time the NFL landscape will truly shift will be after the bunting has been cleared from the park in Philadelphia, when Mr. Irrelevant hears his name called…....

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Rushing Efficiency

Who Led the League in Rushing Efficiency in 2016?

A few weeks ago I looked at 2016’s most efficient pass catchers, both from a raw perspective, as well as from a depth-adjusted perspective. Now it’s time to dive into the ball carriers that led the league in rushing efficiency. First I’ll just start with raw production, and in a follow-up article, I’ll look at a special kind of adjustment to provide further insight into the…...

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RotoViz Rankings: The Undervalued, Starring Josh Malone

We’ve had a few days to digest the diverse and varied dish that is the RotoViz Pre-Draft compilation rankings of the 2017 wide receiver class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing the Careers of the 2017 Quarterback Class

One of my favorite RotoViz pieces over the years was Jon Moore’s “Visualizing the Careers Of Wide Receiver Prospects.”  Jon charted the college production of successful NFL WRs and then compared their numbers to each incoming rookie class. While he’s moved on to Pro Football Focus, I thought it could be fun to build upon his idea and take a look at the 2017 Quarterback class…. Membership Required You...

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Early Round Landmines – Devonta Freeman

The early rounds of 2017 MFL10 drafts are a chilling place to be. The dread begins to creep in late in the first round, once we leave the land of the elite eight, and doesn’t really ease up until the noose begins to loosen around the fourth round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

O.J. Howard – A Surefire NFL Stud?

While the likes of David Njoku, Evan Engram and Gerald Everett have moved up and down draft boards (apparently) since the evaluation process began, one player has remained firmly atop the tight end charts and firmly a top-10 selection. That player is Alabama TE O.J. Howard. After a glittering college career, including an MVP award in the National Championship game, surely Howard will be a…...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Rookie Rankings: Numbers Game 100

Episode 100 (April 19, 2017): The one-hundredth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie wide receiver rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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MFL10 Optimization Part 2: Quarterback, Tight End and Defense

In part one of this project, we followed the evolution of a fictional 2016 MFL10 draft from an inefficient mess into a league full of optimized rosters. That first step provided us with some general guidelines for roster construction. Now we dig a bit deeper, in search of more detailed and more actionable conclusions. We’ve already learned, for example, that we want to roster either two or three…...

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2017 RB Prospect Lab: 20 Prospect Scores, 75 Evidence-Based Comps

The RB Prospect Lab uses age, weight, speed, agility, rushing production, TD production, and receiving numbers to give a scaled projection of a player’s NFL fantasy prospects…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Tight End Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie tight end rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie running back rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Running Back Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie running back rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Quarterback Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie quarterback rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing Market Share and Age: 5 Late Round Receivers to Watch

Over the last several years, Jon Moore has done a tremendous job advancing our understanding of the intersection of age and market share receiving production. Today, I’ve enlisted Jim Kloet to help present these visualizations for the 2017 class. In this post, we’re focusing on the super sleepers from the final two tiers in the RotoViz Scouting Index. – Shawn Siegele… Membership Required You must be a...

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The 2017 WR Prospect Championship: (2) Corey Davis vs (12) Chris Godwin

The RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Freedman Talks Star Wars: Numbers Game 99

Episode 99 (April 14, 2017): The ninety-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 RB Championship: (3) Christian McCaffrey vs (5) D’Onta Foreman

The RotoViz Running Back Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Going Down? MFL10 ADP Fallers – April 19th

We are more than halfway through the month of April, and with the NFL draft mere days away, the act of Best Ball roster construction continues at a pace. With free agency essentially at an end, the next time the NFL landscape will truly shift will be after the bunting has been cleared from the park in Philadelphia, when Mr. Irrelevant hears his name called…....

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Rushing Efficiency

Who Led the League in Rushing Efficiency in 2016?

A few weeks ago I looked at 2016’s most efficient pass catchers, both from a raw perspective, as well as from a depth-adjusted perspective. Now it’s time to dive into the ball carriers that led the league in rushing efficiency. First I’ll just start with raw production, and in a follow-up article, I’ll look at a special kind of adjustment to provide further insight into the…...

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RotoViz Rankings: The Undervalued, Starring Josh Malone

We’ve had a few days to digest the diverse and varied dish that is the RotoViz Pre-Draft compilation rankings of the 2017 wide receiver class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing the Careers of the 2017 Quarterback Class

One of my favorite RotoViz pieces over the years was Jon Moore’s “Visualizing the Careers Of Wide Receiver Prospects.”  Jon charted the college production of successful NFL WRs and then compared their numbers to each incoming rookie class. While he’s moved on to Pro Football Focus, I thought it could be fun to build upon his idea and take a look at the 2017 Quarterback class…. Membership Required You...

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Early Round Landmines – Devonta Freeman

The early rounds of 2017 MFL10 drafts are a chilling place to be. The dread begins to creep in late in the first round, once we leave the land of the elite eight, and doesn’t really ease up until the noose begins to loosen around the fourth round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

O.J. Howard – A Surefire NFL Stud?

While the likes of David Njoku, Evan Engram and Gerald Everett have moved up and down draft boards (apparently) since the evaluation process began, one player has remained firmly atop the tight end charts and firmly a top-10 selection. That player is Alabama TE O.J. Howard. After a glittering college career, including an MVP award in the National Championship game, surely Howard will be a…...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Rookie Rankings: Numbers Game 100

Episode 100 (April 19, 2017): The one-hundredth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie wide receiver rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie wide receiver rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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MFL10 Optimization Part 2: Quarterback, Tight End and Defense

In part one of this project, we followed the evolution of a fictional 2016 MFL10 draft from an inefficient mess into a league full of optimized rosters. That first step provided us with some general guidelines for roster construction. Now we dig a bit deeper, in search of more detailed and more actionable conclusions. We’ve already learned, for example, that we want to roster either two or three…...

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2017 RB Prospect Lab: 20 Prospect Scores, 75 Evidence-Based Comps

The RB Prospect Lab uses age, weight, speed, agility, rushing production, TD production, and receiving numbers to give a scaled projection of a player’s NFL fantasy prospects…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie te rankings

2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Tight End Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie tight end rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie running back rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Running Back Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie running back rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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rookie quarterback rankings

The RotoViz Staff 2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Quarterback Rankings

The NFL combine and pro days are in the books. We’ve compiled scout-based rookie rankings. And we’ve created or updated predictive models for QB success, RB success, WR success, and TE success. Now it’s time for the RotoViz analysts to compile our pre-draft rookie quarterback rankings…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Visualizing Market Share and Age: 5 Late Round Receivers to Watch

Over the last several years, Jon Moore has done a tremendous job advancing our understanding of the intersection of age and market share receiving production. Today, I’ve enlisted Jim Kloet to help present these visualizations for the 2017 class. In this post, we’re focusing on the super sleepers from the final two tiers in the RotoViz Scouting Index. – Shawn Siegele… Membership Required You must be a...

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The 2017 WR Prospect Championship: (2) Corey Davis vs (12) Chris Godwin

The RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Freedman Talks Star Wars: Numbers Game 99

Episode 99 (April 14, 2017): The ninety-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 RB Championship: (3) Christian McCaffrey vs (5) D’Onta Foreman

The RotoViz Running Back Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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