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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Breshad Perriman’s Value is at a Tipping Point

Last year I remember watching with mild disgust as Kelvin Benjamin’s ADP went from WR49 or so before training camps, to WR32 by about September 1. I was regularly taking him in the sixth round of drafts by the end of draft season just to make sure I didn’t miss out on him, but I would have loved to be able to wait until the…...

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Receivers like Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham Are Rarer Than You Think

The 2015 draft class has a few wide receivers that are truly giants. Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham were both selected early in second round of the NFL Draft and they weigh 232 and 237 pounds, respectively. The 238 lb. Darren Waller was drafted in the sixth round. I was exploring some weight data recently trying to see how WRs this big have fared in the NFL. What I found was…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11-15

At this point many fantasy players are familiar with Zero RB, but avoiding those early round land mines is meaningless without a method for otherwise filling the position. In last April’s Zero RB, Breakout Stars, and Having More Fun Drafting, I explained how to use an evidence-based approach to consistently land late round starters at the running back position. A few of the key components: Target rookies. Target…...

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Will the 49ers Run More Plays in 2015?

From 49ers.com: “It’s definitely a fast tempo. We’re trying to get a lot faster than last year as far as getting to the line. … As far as the system, it’s very similar to what we’ve run in past years. Some of the terminology is a bit different but there’s still familiarity with past years.” – wide receiver Anquan Boldin on the 49ers new-look, uptempo…...

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eric decker injury

Why Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker Are Both Undervalued

“‘Cause the players gonna play, play, play, play, play And the haters gonna hate, hate, hate, hate, hate” I feel very little shame in saying that Taylor Swift may get how I feel about the Jets receivers better than anyone else on planet Earth. Right now it seems that people are afraid to draft them due to concerns about the Jets as a franchise. As…...

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The Lowdown: Melvin Gordon is Impressing & Doug Martin is Coming on Strong

Melvin Gordon From Raiders.com: “What I’ve seen from him is number one — he’s a big-time competitor,” running backs Coach Ollie Wilson told ESPN’s Eric D. Williams. “He wants to compete in any situation that he’s in. “This guy is in the building every day, even on weekends. One of our offensive line coaches was in here working out on Sunday morning, and Melvin was…...

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The Numbers Game: Neil Greenberg, Washington Post – Episode 4

Episode 4 (June 24, 2015): The fourth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Stafford: Enough Already

In June MFL10 drafts, Matthew Stafford is being drafted as QB10, despite finishing 2014 as QB17 in points per game and QB15 in total points, in MFL10 formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…. Membership...

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Hair on Fire 2015: EJ Manuel Edition

You wanna stream quarterbacks? You wanna do the “late round” thing? You wanna try the newest version of the hair-on-fire QB strategy? Consider the Buffalo Bills’ potential starting quarterback. Not this guy: Cassel doesn’t move well, he doesn’t always throw the prettiest ball, and has easily had the worst-looking practice performances of all of the quarterbacks.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Travis Kelce

Catchable Pass Rate & What It Can Tell You

In the ever-evolving world of fantasy football analytics everyone is always looking to gain a step on their competition. One interesting area is catchable passes. The definition is pretty self-explanatory and thanks to our friends at Pro Football Focus we can analyze it to our heart’s content. But what can we really use it for? The answer is two-fold:… Membership Required You must be a member...

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Julian Edelman is a High Floor Receiver – Or is he?

While gearing up for the 2015 fantasy football season, you will inevitably see the terms High Floor and Boom/Bust in reference to particular players.  Which type of player you are drafting can be useful information as you build your roster.  Two players with the same total points over a season can influence your week-to-week performance in very different ways. Consider the case of Rueben Randle…...

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7 Reasons You Can’t Write Off Andre Ellington

It’s an annual rite of summer. Prognosticating which underwhelming veterans are likely to be overtaken by intriguing rookies. This year is no exception, with many people forecasting big things for new Arizona Cardinals’ running back David Johnson, at the expense of incumbent lead back Andre Ellington…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Calvin Johnson Feels Better than Ever & Marvin Jones is Back

Calvin Johnson From Detroit News: “I feel good, man, I’m in a good place right now,” Johnson said. “I had a whole offseason to heal up. The biggest difference from last year is, we know the (Joe Lombardi) offense way better, simply because it’s the second year in. I can almost say we’re 100 percent better than last year at this time.”… Membership Required You...

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Allen Robinson is 2015’s Must Own Wide Receiver

Allen Robinson is the wide receiver you need to draft in 2015, the WR who may singlehandedly win you your leagues. The mid-round steal who might just finish as a top 12 option. Think of guys like Josh Gordon, Alshon Jeffery, and to a lesser extent, DeAndre Hopkins…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RotoViz Radio: Drs. Robert Denney & Jeffrey Budoff – Episode 65

Episode 65 (June 23, 2015): The sixty-fifth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Dr. Jeffrey Budoff (@DrBudoff) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you want a chance to win a subscription to RotoViz, go to RotoViz Radio on iTunes, subscribe to and rate the podcast, leave your name in the comments, and listen to an upcoming episode…...

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What to Expect From Kevin White in 2015

Everyone loves rookies when it comes to fantasy football. Let’s face it, owning a rookie player is fun for all the same reasons it’s fun for fans and owners of NFL teams: they’re young, they’re exciting, and the unknown tends to favor all of our daydreams of highlight-reel touchdowns and fantasy championships. While I think that oftentimes rookies can be a value in redraft formats,…...

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Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

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Gio Bernard Is a Value in the 5th Round

Last season Jeremy Hill supplanted Giovani Bernard atop the Bengals running back depth chart. That’s a good thing. It’s a good thing because it has pushed Bernard’s ADP to the border between the fourth and fifth rounds, and at that price Bernard is a bargain. Here are three reasons why:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Who Will Win the Shane Vereen Role for the Patriots?

Shane Vereen was a player I adored as a member of the New England Patriots. A terrific receiver, he was an excellent PPR player, recording a RB20 finish in that format last season. Now that he is no longer with the team, the Patriots have a few different players with which they could fill that role. Since it has made Vereen a viable fantasy option, we…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Value is at a Tipping Point

Last year I remember watching with mild disgust as Kelvin Benjamin’s ADP went from WR49 or so before training camps, to WR32 by about September 1. I was regularly taking him in the sixth round of drafts by the end of draft season just to make sure I didn’t miss out on him, but I would have loved to be able to wait until the…...

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Receivers like Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham Are Rarer Than You Think

The 2015 draft class has a few wide receivers that are truly giants. Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham were both selected early in second round of the NFL Draft and they weigh 232 and 237 pounds, respectively. The 238 lb. Darren Waller was drafted in the sixth round. I was exploring some weight data recently trying to see how WRs this big have fared in the NFL. What I found was…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11-15

At this point many fantasy players are familiar with Zero RB, but avoiding those early round land mines is meaningless without a method for otherwise filling the position. In last April’s Zero RB, Breakout Stars, and Having More Fun Drafting, I explained how to use an evidence-based approach to consistently land late round starters at the running back position. A few of the key components: Target rookies. Target…...

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Will the 49ers Run More Plays in 2015?

From 49ers.com: “It’s definitely a fast tempo. We’re trying to get a lot faster than last year as far as getting to the line. … As far as the system, it’s very similar to what we’ve run in past years. Some of the terminology is a bit different but there’s still familiarity with past years.” – wide receiver Anquan Boldin on the 49ers new-look, uptempo…...

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eric decker injury

Why Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker Are Both Undervalued

“‘Cause the players gonna play, play, play, play, play And the haters gonna hate, hate, hate, hate, hate” I feel very little shame in saying that Taylor Swift may get how I feel about the Jets receivers better than anyone else on planet Earth. Right now it seems that people are afraid to draft them due to concerns about the Jets as a franchise. As…...

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The Lowdown: Melvin Gordon is Impressing & Doug Martin is Coming on Strong

Melvin Gordon From Raiders.com: “What I’ve seen from him is number one — he’s a big-time competitor,” running backs Coach Ollie Wilson told ESPN’s Eric D. Williams. “He wants to compete in any situation that he’s in. “This guy is in the building every day, even on weekends. One of our offensive line coaches was in here working out on Sunday morning, and Melvin was…...

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The Numbers Game: Neil Greenberg, Washington Post – Episode 4

Episode 4 (June 24, 2015): The fourth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Stafford: Enough Already

In June MFL10 drafts, Matthew Stafford is being drafted as QB10, despite finishing 2014 as QB17 in points per game and QB15 in total points, in MFL10 formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…. Membership...

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Hair on Fire 2015: EJ Manuel Edition

You wanna stream quarterbacks? You wanna do the “late round” thing? You wanna try the newest version of the hair-on-fire QB strategy? Consider the Buffalo Bills’ potential starting quarterback. Not this guy: Cassel doesn’t move well, he doesn’t always throw the prettiest ball, and has easily had the worst-looking practice performances of all of the quarterbacks.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Travis Kelce

Catchable Pass Rate & What It Can Tell You

In the ever-evolving world of fantasy football analytics everyone is always looking to gain a step on their competition. One interesting area is catchable passes. The definition is pretty self-explanatory and thanks to our friends at Pro Football Focus we can analyze it to our heart’s content. But what can we really use it for? The answer is two-fold:… Membership Required You must be a member...

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Julian Edelman is a High Floor Receiver – Or is he?

While gearing up for the 2015 fantasy football season, you will inevitably see the terms High Floor and Boom/Bust in reference to particular players.  Which type of player you are drafting can be useful information as you build your roster.  Two players with the same total points over a season can influence your week-to-week performance in very different ways. Consider the case of Rueben Randle…...

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7 Reasons You Can’t Write Off Andre Ellington

It’s an annual rite of summer. Prognosticating which underwhelming veterans are likely to be overtaken by intriguing rookies. This year is no exception, with many people forecasting big things for new Arizona Cardinals’ running back David Johnson, at the expense of incumbent lead back Andre Ellington…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Calvin Johnson Feels Better than Ever & Marvin Jones is Back

Calvin Johnson From Detroit News: “I feel good, man, I’m in a good place right now,” Johnson said. “I had a whole offseason to heal up. The biggest difference from last year is, we know the (Joe Lombardi) offense way better, simply because it’s the second year in. I can almost say we’re 100 percent better than last year at this time.”… Membership Required You...

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Allen Robinson is 2015’s Must Own Wide Receiver

Allen Robinson is the wide receiver you need to draft in 2015, the WR who may singlehandedly win you your leagues. The mid-round steal who might just finish as a top 12 option. Think of guys like Josh Gordon, Alshon Jeffery, and to a lesser extent, DeAndre Hopkins…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RotoViz Radio: Drs. Robert Denney & Jeffrey Budoff – Episode 65

Episode 65 (June 23, 2015): The sixty-fifth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Dr. Jeffrey Budoff (@DrBudoff) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you want a chance to win a subscription to RotoViz, go to RotoViz Radio on iTunes, subscribe to and rate the podcast, leave your name in the comments, and listen to an upcoming episode…...

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What to Expect From Kevin White in 2015

Everyone loves rookies when it comes to fantasy football. Let’s face it, owning a rookie player is fun for all the same reasons it’s fun for fans and owners of NFL teams: they’re young, they’re exciting, and the unknown tends to favor all of our daydreams of highlight-reel touchdowns and fantasy championships. While I think that oftentimes rookies can be a value in redraft formats,…...

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Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

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Gio Bernard Is a Value in the 5th Round

Last season Jeremy Hill supplanted Giovani Bernard atop the Bengals running back depth chart. That’s a good thing. It’s a good thing because it has pushed Bernard’s ADP to the border between the fourth and fifth rounds, and at that price Bernard is a bargain. Here are three reasons why:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Who Will Win the Shane Vereen Role for the Patriots?

Shane Vereen was a player I adored as a member of the New England Patriots. A terrific receiver, he was an excellent PPR player, recording a RB20 finish in that format last season. Now that he is no longer with the team, the Patriots have a few different players with which they could fill that role. Since it has made Vereen a viable fantasy option, we…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Value is at a Tipping Point

Last year I remember watching with mild disgust as Kelvin Benjamin’s ADP went from WR49 or so before training camps, to WR32 by about September 1. I was regularly taking him in the sixth round of drafts by the end of draft season just to make sure I didn’t miss out on him, but I would have loved to be able to wait until the…...

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Receivers like Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham Are Rarer Than You Think

The 2015 draft class has a few wide receivers that are truly giants. Devin Funchess and Dorial Green-Beckham were both selected early in second round of the NFL Draft and they weigh 232 and 237 pounds, respectively. The 238 lb. Darren Waller was drafted in the sixth round. I was exploring some weight data recently trying to see how WRs this big have fared in the NFL. What I found was…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11-15

At this point many fantasy players are familiar with Zero RB, but avoiding those early round land mines is meaningless without a method for otherwise filling the position. In last April’s Zero RB, Breakout Stars, and Having More Fun Drafting, I explained how to use an evidence-based approach to consistently land late round starters at the running back position. A few of the key components: Target rookies. Target…...

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Will the 49ers Run More Plays in 2015?

From 49ers.com: “It’s definitely a fast tempo. We’re trying to get a lot faster than last year as far as getting to the line. … As far as the system, it’s very similar to what we’ve run in past years. Some of the terminology is a bit different but there’s still familiarity with past years.” – wide receiver Anquan Boldin on the 49ers new-look, uptempo…...

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eric decker injury

Why Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker Are Both Undervalued

“‘Cause the players gonna play, play, play, play, play And the haters gonna hate, hate, hate, hate, hate” I feel very little shame in saying that Taylor Swift may get how I feel about the Jets receivers better than anyone else on planet Earth. Right now it seems that people are afraid to draft them due to concerns about the Jets as a franchise. As…...

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The Lowdown: Melvin Gordon is Impressing & Doug Martin is Coming on Strong

Melvin Gordon From Raiders.com: “What I’ve seen from him is number one — he’s a big-time competitor,” running backs Coach Ollie Wilson told ESPN’s Eric D. Williams. “He wants to compete in any situation that he’s in. “This guy is in the building every day, even on weekends. One of our offensive line coaches was in here working out on Sunday morning, and Melvin was…...

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The Numbers Game: Neil Greenberg, Washington Post – Episode 4

Episode 4 (June 24, 2015): The fourth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Matthew Stafford: Enough Already

In June MFL10 drafts, Matthew Stafford is being drafted as QB10, despite finishing 2014 as QB17 in points per game and QB15 in total points, in MFL10 formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…. Membership...

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Hair on Fire 2015: EJ Manuel Edition

You wanna stream quarterbacks? You wanna do the “late round” thing? You wanna try the newest version of the hair-on-fire QB strategy? Consider the Buffalo Bills’ potential starting quarterback. Not this guy: Cassel doesn’t move well, he doesn’t always throw the prettiest ball, and has easily had the worst-looking practice performances of all of the quarterbacks.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Travis Kelce

Catchable Pass Rate & What It Can Tell You

In the ever-evolving world of fantasy football analytics everyone is always looking to gain a step on their competition. One interesting area is catchable passes. The definition is pretty self-explanatory and thanks to our friends at Pro Football Focus we can analyze it to our heart’s content. But what can we really use it for? The answer is two-fold:… Membership Required You must be a member...

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Julian Edelman is a High Floor Receiver – Or is he?

While gearing up for the 2015 fantasy football season, you will inevitably see the terms High Floor and Boom/Bust in reference to particular players.  Which type of player you are drafting can be useful information as you build your roster.  Two players with the same total points over a season can influence your week-to-week performance in very different ways. Consider the case of Rueben Randle…...

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7 Reasons You Can’t Write Off Andre Ellington

It’s an annual rite of summer. Prognosticating which underwhelming veterans are likely to be overtaken by intriguing rookies. This year is no exception, with many people forecasting big things for new Arizona Cardinals’ running back David Johnson, at the expense of incumbent lead back Andre Ellington…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Calvin Johnson Feels Better than Ever & Marvin Jones is Back

Calvin Johnson From Detroit News: “I feel good, man, I’m in a good place right now,” Johnson said. “I had a whole offseason to heal up. The biggest difference from last year is, we know the (Joe Lombardi) offense way better, simply because it’s the second year in. I can almost say we’re 100 percent better than last year at this time.”… Membership Required You...

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Allen Robinson is 2015’s Must Own Wide Receiver

Allen Robinson is the wide receiver you need to draft in 2015, the WR who may singlehandedly win you your leagues. The mid-round steal who might just finish as a top 12 option. Think of guys like Josh Gordon, Alshon Jeffery, and to a lesser extent, DeAndre Hopkins…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RotoViz Radio: Drs. Robert Denney & Jeffrey Budoff – Episode 65

Episode 65 (June 23, 2015): The sixty-fifth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Dr. Jeffrey Budoff (@DrBudoff) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you want a chance to win a subscription to RotoViz, go to RotoViz Radio on iTunes, subscribe to and rate the podcast, leave your name in the comments, and listen to an upcoming episode…...

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What to Expect From Kevin White in 2015

Everyone loves rookies when it comes to fantasy football. Let’s face it, owning a rookie player is fun for all the same reasons it’s fun for fans and owners of NFL teams: they’re young, they’re exciting, and the unknown tends to favor all of our daydreams of highlight-reel touchdowns and fantasy championships. While I think that oftentimes rookies can be a value in redraft formats,…...

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Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

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Gio Bernard Is a Value in the 5th Round

Last season Jeremy Hill supplanted Giovani Bernard atop the Bengals running back depth chart. That’s a good thing. It’s a good thing because it has pushed Bernard’s ADP to the border between the fourth and fifth rounds, and at that price Bernard is a bargain. Here are three reasons why:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Who Will Win the Shane Vereen Role for the Patriots?

Shane Vereen was a player I adored as a member of the New England Patriots. A terrific receiver, he was an excellent PPR player, recording a RB20 finish in that format last season. Now that he is no longer with the team, the Patriots have a few different players with which they could fill that role. Since it has made Vereen a viable fantasy option, we…...

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