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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Trestman Effect: Is Joe Flacco Actually Undervalued?

Recently I wrote a piece on the relationship between passing-game ADPs, specifically comparing a quarterback’s ADP versus that of his collective wide receivers and tight ends. I highlighted a few potential arbitrage opportunities, and I concluded that Joe Flacco should be avoided based on the fact that he was being drafted too high in comparison to his receivers, none of whom are going in the first 100 picks…. Membership Required...

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Is Jay Ajayi the No. 1 Fantasy RB Prospect for 2015?

  The 2015 NFL Draft could be to running backs what 2014 was to wide receivers. You won’t necessarily need to be the best back in this loaded class to make an immediate impact. Jay Ajayi may be the Mike Evans to Todd Gurley’s Odell Beckham, or he might be the Sammy Watkins to Melvin Gordon’s . . . well, Gordon is (not) going to…...

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Using Analytics to Draft the Best QB

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. If you haven’t noticed by now, I like creating projections to predict fantasy football performance. Whether it be daily fantasy projections, early-season positional projections (as this series is), or any other kind of projections, I think the most value you get out of projections is finding…...

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free agency

Peyton Manning and Blake Bortles are Undervalued Relative to Their Receivers

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the benefit of de-emphasizing player-specific analysis that is largely baked into ADP, and instead focusing on relationships between players’ prices to identify historically favorable risk/reward opportunities. I’ve already looked at how prediction markets can help us find find undervalued rookies and what usage tendencies can tell us about the value of running backs in 2015. This arbitrage analysis was sparked…...

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Flip Flopping on Kevin White and DeVante Parker

In the soon to be published RotoViz Pre-Draft Rookie Mock I took Kevin White with the third overall pick, as the second wide receiver off the board. As you’ll soon see in the RotoViz Rookie Composite WR Rankings however, I have Kevin White ranked third… and Devante Parker ranked second.  So what gives?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Meet the New Michael Floyd, Same as the Old Michael Floyd

  The excitement for the third year Arizona wide receiver entering 2014 was immense. Many analysts predicted he’d take the next step in his career and develop into a WR1 in fantasy football. Sadly, this did not occur. There were many surface issues that appeared to contribute, such as the emergence of John Brown and the carousel of quarterbacks throwing the football for the Cardinals. Was…...

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Dr. Budoff’s Injury Update: What to Expect from Jadeveon Clowney’s Microfracture Surgery

  Dr. Jeffrey E. Budoff is a board-certified orthopedic surgeon who wades through misleading coach-speak and vague team injury information to offer advice for your fantasy team. Jadeveon Clowney, the Houston Texans’ outside linebacker, was the first overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft. During his first regular season game, he was forced out in the second quarter by a meniscal tear. On 9/8/14 he underwent arthroscopic meniscal repair…....

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The Trestman Effect: Is Joe Flacco Actually Undervalued?

Recently I wrote a piece on the relationship between passing-game ADPs, specifically comparing a quarterback’s ADP versus that of his collective wide receivers and tight ends. I highlighted a few potential arbitrage opportunities, and I concluded that Joe Flacco should be avoided based on the fact that he was being drafted too high in comparison to his receivers, none of whom are going in the first 100 picks…. Membership Required...

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Is Jay Ajayi the No. 1 Fantasy RB Prospect for 2015?

  The 2015 NFL Draft could be to running backs what 2014 was to wide receivers. You won’t necessarily need to be the best back in this loaded class to make an immediate impact. Jay Ajayi may be the Mike Evans to Todd Gurley’s Odell Beckham, or he might be the Sammy Watkins to Melvin Gordon’s . . . well, Gordon is (not) going to…...

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Using Analytics to Draft the Best QB

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. If you haven’t noticed by now, I like creating projections to predict fantasy football performance. Whether it be daily fantasy projections, early-season positional projections (as this series is), or any other kind of projections, I think the most value you get out of projections is finding…...

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free agency

Peyton Manning and Blake Bortles are Undervalued Relative to Their Receivers

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the benefit of de-emphasizing player-specific analysis that is largely baked into ADP, and instead focusing on relationships between players’ prices to identify historically favorable risk/reward opportunities. I’ve already looked at how prediction markets can help us find find undervalued rookies and what usage tendencies can tell us about the value of running backs in 2015. This arbitrage analysis was sparked…...

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Flip Flopping on Kevin White and DeVante Parker

In the soon to be published RotoViz Pre-Draft Rookie Mock I took Kevin White with the third overall pick, as the second wide receiver off the board. As you’ll soon see in the RotoViz Rookie Composite WR Rankings however, I have Kevin White ranked third… and Devante Parker ranked second.  So what gives?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Meet the New Michael Floyd, Same as the Old Michael Floyd

  The excitement for the third year Arizona wide receiver entering 2014 was immense. Many analysts predicted he’d take the next step in his career and develop into a WR1 in fantasy football. Sadly, this did not occur. There were many surface issues that appeared to contribute, such as the emergence of John Brown and the carousel of quarterbacks throwing the football for the Cardinals. Was…...

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Dr. Budoff’s Injury Update: What to Expect from Jadeveon Clowney’s Microfracture Surgery

  Dr. Jeffrey E. Budoff is a board-certified orthopedic surgeon who wades through misleading coach-speak and vague team injury information to offer advice for your fantasy team. Jadeveon Clowney, the Houston Texans’ outside linebacker, was the first overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft. During his first regular season game, he was forced out in the second quarter by a meniscal tear. On 9/8/14 he underwent arthroscopic meniscal repair…....

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The Trestman Effect: Is Joe Flacco Actually Undervalued?

Recently I wrote a piece on the relationship between passing-game ADPs, specifically comparing a quarterback’s ADP versus that of his collective wide receivers and tight ends. I highlighted a few potential arbitrage opportunities, and I concluded that Joe Flacco should be avoided based on the fact that he was being drafted too high in comparison to his receivers, none of whom are going in the first 100 picks…. Membership Required...

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Is Jay Ajayi the No. 1 Fantasy RB Prospect for 2015?

  The 2015 NFL Draft could be to running backs what 2014 was to wide receivers. You won’t necessarily need to be the best back in this loaded class to make an immediate impact. Jay Ajayi may be the Mike Evans to Todd Gurley’s Odell Beckham, or he might be the Sammy Watkins to Melvin Gordon’s . . . well, Gordon is (not) going to…...

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Using Analytics to Draft the Best QB

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. If you haven’t noticed by now, I like creating projections to predict fantasy football performance. Whether it be daily fantasy projections, early-season positional projections (as this series is), or any other kind of projections, I think the most value you get out of projections is finding…...

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free agency

Peyton Manning and Blake Bortles are Undervalued Relative to Their Receivers

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the benefit of de-emphasizing player-specific analysis that is largely baked into ADP, and instead focusing on relationships between players’ prices to identify historically favorable risk/reward opportunities. I’ve already looked at how prediction markets can help us find find undervalued rookies and what usage tendencies can tell us about the value of running backs in 2015. This arbitrage analysis was sparked…...

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Flip Flopping on Kevin White and DeVante Parker

In the soon to be published RotoViz Pre-Draft Rookie Mock I took Kevin White with the third overall pick, as the second wide receiver off the board. As you’ll soon see in the RotoViz Rookie Composite WR Rankings however, I have Kevin White ranked third… and Devante Parker ranked second.  So what gives?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Meet the New Michael Floyd, Same as the Old Michael Floyd

  The excitement for the third year Arizona wide receiver entering 2014 was immense. Many analysts predicted he’d take the next step in his career and develop into a WR1 in fantasy football. Sadly, this did not occur. There were many surface issues that appeared to contribute, such as the emergence of John Brown and the carousel of quarterbacks throwing the football for the Cardinals. Was…...

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Dr. Budoff’s Injury Update: What to Expect from Jadeveon Clowney’s Microfracture Surgery

  Dr. Jeffrey E. Budoff is a board-certified orthopedic surgeon who wades through misleading coach-speak and vague team injury information to offer advice for your fantasy team. Jadeveon Clowney, the Houston Texans’ outside linebacker, was the first overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft. During his first regular season game, he was forced out in the second quarter by a meniscal tear. On 9/8/14 he underwent arthroscopic meniscal repair…....

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