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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

I’m Still Taking Le’Veon Bell First Overall (But Understand if You Won’t)

By now I’m sure you’ve heard that Le’Veon Bell has been suspended for three games for his marijuana possession and DUI arrest just prior to the start of the 2014 NFL season. With Bell the consensus top overall draft pick in almost any format, missing three games of a 16 game season is no small matter. However, at first glance and running through some idealized exercises, if…...

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Using Prediction Markets to Exploit Rookie Average Draft Position

Recently we were all standing around the RotoViz virtual water cooler, shooting the breeze on weighting prospect similarity variables, dealing with comment trolls,[1]This is my preferred method. and properly calculating draft equity,[2]Get a glimpse of the newly added “Exposure” tab, part of our indispensable Best Ball ADP App when Fantasy Douche wondered aloud if Breshad Perriman’s redraft ADP is historically cheap considering his expected draft position. Around…...

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The Dissenting Costanzan No. 12: Dorial Green-Beckham Might Not be Mike Evans

Seinfeld, Season 4, Episode 11, “The Contest” George: Well, I tell you this though: I am never doing . . . that again. . . . Jerry: No chance. George: You think you could? Jerry: Well, I know I could hold out longer than you. George: Care to make it interesting? . . . Jerry: You’re on. . . . Elaine: I want to be…...

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Fade Mark Ingram Like He’s Your Hair and it’s 1994

We’ve all watched a lot of Saints games since they drafted Mark Ingram in 2011. I love it, primetime, fantasy and real life superstars, perennial division contenders, Jon Gruden trying miserably to say the three words he knows in French, and fans dressed like Dennis Rodman when he’s on a bender in Pyongyang – they’ve got it all. If you’ve owned Mark Ingram at any…...

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Additional Insights from 2015 Early Season Running Back Projections

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. Last week, I created running back projections to project statistical totals for the first five weeks of the season. The goal of that exercise was to find discrepancies between my projections and current ADP in MFL10s. However, beyond simply ADP, I think there are a few other…...

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Jameis Winston

A Jameis Winston Comparables Group Containing Both Peyton Manning and Tim Couch

I recently formed a comparables group for Marcus Mariota using the traits I value most in a quarterback prospect: passing efficiency, completion percentage, age, and draft position. Since Jameis Winston is also a lock to go in the top 10 picks of the NFL Draft I thought I should do the same for him. The results were diverse, ranging from the likes of Tim Couch to Peyton Manning. To…...

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Two Reasons to Steer Clear of the Dallas Rookie Running Back Hype Train

With the the NFL draft still a few weeks away I thought it might be a good time to take a look what Dallas offers as a landing spot for a rookie running back–while we still have clear heads. If, as many suspect, Dallas spends a high pick on a RB, my suspicion is that the excitement surrounding this runner would quickly push his price…...

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A Marcus Mariota Comparables Group Containing Both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell

I’ve made made the case in the past that Marcus Mariota is one of the greatest quarterback prospects ever. But how have quarterbacks with similar traits to those that I value in Mariota performed in the past? I decided to look into it, and as a result I discovered a diverse comparable group that somehow manages to contain both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell. I used the following criteria to…...

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Should Dorial Green-Beckham be the No.1 Rookie Draft Pick?

The answer to the question posed in the title of this post is “no.” Wide receiver Dorial Green-Beckham shouldn’t be the No. 1 pick in rookie fantasy drafts—because he can be had for cheaper…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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I’m Still Taking Le’Veon Bell First Overall (But Understand if You Won’t)

By now I’m sure you’ve heard that Le’Veon Bell has been suspended for three games for his marijuana possession and DUI arrest just prior to the start of the 2014 NFL season. With Bell the consensus top overall draft pick in almost any format, missing three games of a 16 game season is no small matter. However, at first glance and running through some idealized exercises, if…...

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Using Prediction Markets to Exploit Rookie Average Draft Position

Recently we were all standing around the RotoViz virtual water cooler, shooting the breeze on weighting prospect similarity variables, dealing with comment trolls,[1]This is my preferred method. and properly calculating draft equity,[2]Get a glimpse of the newly added “Exposure” tab, part of our indispensable Best Ball ADP App when Fantasy Douche wondered aloud if Breshad Perriman’s redraft ADP is historically cheap considering his expected draft position. Around…...

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The Dissenting Costanzan No. 12: Dorial Green-Beckham Might Not be Mike Evans

Seinfeld, Season 4, Episode 11, “The Contest” George: Well, I tell you this though: I am never doing . . . that again. . . . Jerry: No chance. George: You think you could? Jerry: Well, I know I could hold out longer than you. George: Care to make it interesting? . . . Jerry: You’re on. . . . Elaine: I want to be…...

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Fade Mark Ingram Like He’s Your Hair and it’s 1994

We’ve all watched a lot of Saints games since they drafted Mark Ingram in 2011. I love it, primetime, fantasy and real life superstars, perennial division contenders, Jon Gruden trying miserably to say the three words he knows in French, and fans dressed like Dennis Rodman when he’s on a bender in Pyongyang – they’ve got it all. If you’ve owned Mark Ingram at any…...

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Additional Insights from 2015 Early Season Running Back Projections

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. Last week, I created running back projections to project statistical totals for the first five weeks of the season. The goal of that exercise was to find discrepancies between my projections and current ADP in MFL10s. However, beyond simply ADP, I think there are a few other…...

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Jameis Winston

A Jameis Winston Comparables Group Containing Both Peyton Manning and Tim Couch

I recently formed a comparables group for Marcus Mariota using the traits I value most in a quarterback prospect: passing efficiency, completion percentage, age, and draft position. Since Jameis Winston is also a lock to go in the top 10 picks of the NFL Draft I thought I should do the same for him. The results were diverse, ranging from the likes of Tim Couch to Peyton Manning. To…...

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Two Reasons to Steer Clear of the Dallas Rookie Running Back Hype Train

With the the NFL draft still a few weeks away I thought it might be a good time to take a look what Dallas offers as a landing spot for a rookie running back–while we still have clear heads. If, as many suspect, Dallas spends a high pick on a RB, my suspicion is that the excitement surrounding this runner would quickly push his price…...

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A Marcus Mariota Comparables Group Containing Both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell

I’ve made made the case in the past that Marcus Mariota is one of the greatest quarterback prospects ever. But how have quarterbacks with similar traits to those that I value in Mariota performed in the past? I decided to look into it, and as a result I discovered a diverse comparable group that somehow manages to contain both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell. I used the following criteria to…...

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Should Dorial Green-Beckham be the No.1 Rookie Draft Pick?

The answer to the question posed in the title of this post is “no.” Wide receiver Dorial Green-Beckham shouldn’t be the No. 1 pick in rookie fantasy drafts—because he can be had for cheaper…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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I’m Still Taking Le’Veon Bell First Overall (But Understand if You Won’t)

By now I’m sure you’ve heard that Le’Veon Bell has been suspended for three games for his marijuana possession and DUI arrest just prior to the start of the 2014 NFL season. With Bell the consensus top overall draft pick in almost any format, missing three games of a 16 game season is no small matter. However, at first glance and running through some idealized exercises, if…...

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Using Prediction Markets to Exploit Rookie Average Draft Position

Recently we were all standing around the RotoViz virtual water cooler, shooting the breeze on weighting prospect similarity variables, dealing with comment trolls,[1]This is my preferred method. and properly calculating draft equity,[2]Get a glimpse of the newly added “Exposure” tab, part of our indispensable Best Ball ADP App when Fantasy Douche wondered aloud if Breshad Perriman’s redraft ADP is historically cheap considering his expected draft position. Around…...

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The Dissenting Costanzan No. 12: Dorial Green-Beckham Might Not be Mike Evans

Seinfeld, Season 4, Episode 11, “The Contest” George: Well, I tell you this though: I am never doing . . . that again. . . . Jerry: No chance. George: You think you could? Jerry: Well, I know I could hold out longer than you. George: Care to make it interesting? . . . Jerry: You’re on. . . . Elaine: I want to be…...

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Fade Mark Ingram Like He’s Your Hair and it’s 1994

We’ve all watched a lot of Saints games since they drafted Mark Ingram in 2011. I love it, primetime, fantasy and real life superstars, perennial division contenders, Jon Gruden trying miserably to say the three words he knows in French, and fans dressed like Dennis Rodman when he’s on a bender in Pyongyang – they’ve got it all. If you’ve owned Mark Ingram at any…...

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Additional Insights from 2015 Early Season Running Back Projections

RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in mathematics and tackles sports data to give you a competitive edge in your fantasy games. Last week, I created running back projections to project statistical totals for the first five weeks of the season. The goal of that exercise was to find discrepancies between my projections and current ADP in MFL10s. However, beyond simply ADP, I think there are a few other…...

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Jameis Winston

A Jameis Winston Comparables Group Containing Both Peyton Manning and Tim Couch

I recently formed a comparables group for Marcus Mariota using the traits I value most in a quarterback prospect: passing efficiency, completion percentage, age, and draft position. Since Jameis Winston is also a lock to go in the top 10 picks of the NFL Draft I thought I should do the same for him. The results were diverse, ranging from the likes of Tim Couch to Peyton Manning. To…...

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Two Reasons to Steer Clear of the Dallas Rookie Running Back Hype Train

With the the NFL draft still a few weeks away I thought it might be a good time to take a look what Dallas offers as a landing spot for a rookie running back–while we still have clear heads. If, as many suspect, Dallas spends a high pick on a RB, my suspicion is that the excitement surrounding this runner would quickly push his price…...

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A Marcus Mariota Comparables Group Containing Both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell

I’ve made made the case in the past that Marcus Mariota is one of the greatest quarterback prospects ever. But how have quarterbacks with similar traits to those that I value in Mariota performed in the past? I decided to look into it, and as a result I discovered a diverse comparable group that somehow manages to contain both Andrew Luck and JaMarcus Russell. I used the following criteria to…...

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Should Dorial Green-Beckham be the No.1 Rookie Draft Pick?

The answer to the question posed in the title of this post is “no.” Wide receiver Dorial Green-Beckham shouldn’t be the No. 1 pick in rookie fantasy drafts—because he can be had for cheaper…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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