This is the fourth draft class in a series on dynasty hit rates. The goal of this analysis is to find the real hit rates of players  and possibly some insights in future valuations. The 2010 class gave us several perennial studs, as did the 2011 class. The 2012 class was hit or miss past the QBs. I tweeted about 2012 and some very distinguished dynasty…...

In 2012, six rookies finished top 12 at their position. The future was looking very bright for this class. Then it quickly fell off a cliff. 2013 first-round start up pick, Trent Richardson, just played in the AAF. Robert Griffin III is a backup QB while his backup QB, Kirk Cousins, is starting in Minnesota. Doug Martin and Alfred Morris remain unsigned having largely been non-factors…...

Long time readers are familiar with Matthew Freedman’s Workhorse Score and Blair Andrews’ Backfield Dominator Rating. Today we dig into the new Box Score Scout and examine the roles that the top 2019 NFL draft prospects played in their respective offenses. Production translates. That’s the key you need to remember as you prepare for your upcoming rookie drafts. Sure, athleticism matters, especially at RB. That’s…...

The 2011 class gave us A.J. Green and Julio Jones. For years, dynasty players have been hoarding rookie picks with expectations of drafting the next Green or Jones. The problem with this narrative is there isn’t a Green or Jones in every class. Also both players are still in the league. There are only 24 top spots available and both have finished in the top…...

Welcome to the first iteration of this off-season dynasty buy low series! This article series will identify players who the public is too low on right now, or whose value is set to spike soon. Today, I am focusing on two elite wide receivers who crack the top-15 in my dynasty wide receiver rankings who the public is lower on than I am. Tyler Boyd…...

As we inch closer to the NFL Draft, it’s time for a quick review of former Memphis Tigers’ running back Darrell Henderson.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on January 14, 2019. THE EARLY YEARS As a three-star prospect per 247 Sports, Henderson had zero offers from Power Five programs, eventually committing to Memphis in February of 2016. As a freshman he was part…...

This is the first article in a series looking at previous dynasty rookie draft class ADPs and their hit rates. There are some historical clues inside this analysis that may be advantageous to dynasty as well as redraft players at present. The final article of this series will examine the historical hit rate percentages of nine years of draft classes. Here is the 2010 dynasty…...

After using the Combine Explorer to evaluate the 20 closest athletic comps for top Freak Score receivers and the Box Score Scout to find the best overall comparisons for the top-five WRs according to the RotoViz Scouting Index, it’s time to switch gears to everyone’s favorite topic. Sleepers. Every season has a number of compelling sleepers, and we’re going to start with a couple of…...

It would be accurate to say that Pittsburgh has been able to churn out some presentable NFL caliber running backs in recent years. LeSean McCoy leads the NFL in total rushing yards since entering the league in 2009 with 10,606. Despite injuries and other setbacks, Dion Lewis is one of 21 players with at least 2,000 yards rushing and 1,000 yards receiving in total since…...

When I first wrote about Josh Jacobs as part of our prospect series, he was getting ready to lead Alabama’s three-headed running back monster into an Orange Bowl matchup with the Oklahoma Sooners. After starring against Oklahoma and disappearing against Clemson, he declared for the NFL draft where he’s a trendy pick to be among the first backs of the board. He remained No. 1…...

Dave Caban reviews Version 3.0 of the RotoViz Scouting Index and marvels at its stellar group of Wide Receivers.  Version 3.0 of the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI) includes some significant movements but it’s clear that the scouts have dug their heels in on a number of prospects.((Please note that one of the sources included in Versions 1.0 and 2.0 has been removed as it did…...

The NFL draft creates an offseason hype machine like no other, and the reality often fails to live up to the buzz. The 2019 running back class fits that description – or does it? Curtis Patrick uses the RotoViz Box Score Scout to provide advanced metrics and player comps for the five of the top 2019 running back prospects. After a multiple year run on solid rookie running…...

Over the last few weeks, we’ve been looking at the rookie comparables for the top-11 PPR wide receivers from the 2018 class, and to ice this cake, I wanted to rank and tier the group heading into 2019. For the most part, these rankings are a reflection of the quality of the player comps, not necessarily of a player’s current situation. Things change fast, and it’s…...

Now that we have official combine testing results for the majority of 2019 NFL Draft class, it’s time for a quick review of former Washington Huskies’ running back Myles Gaskin.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on January 1, 2019. THE EARLY YEARS A three-star recruit in the 2015 class according to 247 Sports, Gaskin was woefully under-recruited receiving just two scholarship offers. His…...

Now that we have official combine testing results for the majority of the 2019 NFL Draft class, it’s time for a quick review of former Kentucky Wildcats’ running back Benny Snell Jr.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on January 1, 2019. THE EARLY YEARS A three-star recruit from Columbus, Ohio, Snell rushed for 3,903 yards and 55 touchdowns in his final two high school…...

The NFL draft creates an offseason hype machine like no other, and the reality often fails to live up to the buzz. The 2019 wide receiver class may be an exception. Shawn Siegele uses the RotoViz Box Score Scout to provide advanced metrics and player comps for the five best WRs in a year loaded with potential stars. Although each of the last three years…...

Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch is skipping his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint.[1]An older version of this article was published on January 11, 2019, before any athletic testing. Production First, the good news: Dortch was extremely productive at a…...

Now that we have official combine testing results for the majority of the 2019 NFL Draft class, it’s time for a quick review of former Missouri Tigers’ wide receiver Emanuel Hall.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on December 31st, 2018. THE EARLY YEARS As a three-star prospect from Franklin, Tennessee, Hall averaged 18.9 yards per reception with 12 touchdowns in his senior season…...

Now that we have official combine results for the majority of the 2019 NFL Draft class, it’s time for a quick review of former Boise State Broncos’ running back Alexander Mattison.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on December 29th, 2018. THE EARLY YEARS As a three-star prospect from San Bernardino, CA, Mattison rushed for 4,074 yards and 48 touchdowns in his final two…...

Utah State junior running back Darwin Thompson put on a show at his pro day on Wednesday, emphatically answering any questions about his athleticism following a combine snub.[1]An earlier pre-pro-day version of this article was published on December 30, 2018. Despite splitting the Aggies’ backfield with Gerold Bright, Thompson topped 1,000 rushing yards for the third straight year, and was college football’s most elusive runner. Thompson’s weightlifting…...