Josh Hermsmeyer

Air yards, Numbers Game, and predictive modeling.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per Target for quarterbacks and receivers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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The RB Rundown – Ezekiel Elliott

So many running back fantasy stats leave me craving more context. Yards per carry and total yards may not provide the whole picture or give you the proper glimpse into what coaches are thinking. Thus, I set out on this project to solve that very issue. I call it the RB Rundown, and today’s topic is 2016 rookie sensation Ezekiel Elliott…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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daily fantasy basketball

Daily Fantasy Basketball Plays of the Day for Thursday, February 23rd

Welcome back daily fantasy basketball! Both the Kings and Pelicans are in play tonight after completing a blockbuster trade over the All-Star break, which makes tonight an excellent night to target in GPPs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Lineup

NASCAR DFS Picks: Can-Am Duels at Daytona

The Duels at Daytona are two qualifying races that set the starting lineup for the Daytona 500. There are varying agendas during these races, with some drivers trying to race their way in, other drivers locked in and preserving equipment, and several drivers racing to get points under NASCAR’s new format. I’ll give my NASCAR DFS picks and fades for each of the two races…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Can-Am Duels at Daytona: On The Daily, 23 Feb 2017

February 23, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Brad Keselowski, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., Landon Cassill, and Michael Waltrip…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DeVante Parker is a Post-Hype Breakout Target for 2017

DeVante Parker let a lot of people down last year, myself included. While there was ample evidence to suggest a sophomore-year breakout for the young wideout, Parker failed to live up to the hype, posting a receiving line of 744 yards and four TDs. However, I don’t think you should give up on Parker just yet. That breakout could be coming in 2017. Offensive Involvement…...

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Historical Comps for Corey Coleman’s Rookie Season

How does Corey Coleman’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Embracing Variance Through Structure: Numbers Game 92

Episode 92 (February 22nd, 2017): The ninety-second episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Tyler Boyd’s Rookie Season

How does Tyler Boyd’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Dispersal To Throne Part I: How I Won A 24 Team Dynasty League With An Orphan

This is part one of a discussion of the strategy used by 14TeamMocker to win Rich Hribar’s 24-team dynasty league with an oprhan last season. Part two can be found here. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Nailed It! Our Best Fantasy Football Advice of 2016

Even though we make our share of mistakes, we try our best to offer good advice. We already told you where we fell short, so we thank you for permitting us this #humblebrag. Here’s our best fantasy football advice from 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Rotoviz IDP Scouting Index

Our official 2017 Rotoviz Scouting Index (RSI) is off and running with multiple editions tracking the early player movement at the offensive skill positions. Last year Charles Kleinheksel already had five offensive editions out before I published the first defensive version. This year he has four editions in before mine so I’m getting quicker.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Bell and Johnson’s Historic Years Will Likely Lead to Regression

In 2016, fantasy players who ignored the risks presented by Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson were rewarded with successful seasons. While they’ll likely remain good players in 2017, they’re due for a significant amount of regression…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Will Fuller’s Rookie Season

How does Will Fuller’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Implications of the DeMarcus Cousins Trade

Last night, right as another disappointing all-star weekend was coming to a conclusion, we got hit with a #WojBomb, informing us of the DeMarcus Cousins trade…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL Combine Trends Over Time

It’s NFL combine time! In the spirit of the season, and building on the rich history of both pre-draft scouting and data visualization here at RotoViz, I took a look at historical trends in several combine metrics, focusing specifically on offensive skill position players…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per Target for quarterbacks and receivers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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The RB Rundown – Ezekiel Elliott

So many running back fantasy stats leave me craving more context. Yards per carry and total yards may not provide the whole picture or give you the proper glimpse into what coaches are thinking. Thus, I set out on this project to solve that very issue. I call it the RB Rundown, and today’s topic is 2016 rookie sensation Ezekiel Elliott…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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daily fantasy basketball

Daily Fantasy Basketball Plays of the Day for Thursday, February 23rd

Welcome back daily fantasy basketball! Both the Kings and Pelicans are in play tonight after completing a blockbuster trade over the All-Star break, which makes tonight an excellent night to target in GPPs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Lineup

NASCAR DFS Picks: Can-Am Duels at Daytona

The Duels at Daytona are two qualifying races that set the starting lineup for the Daytona 500. There are varying agendas during these races, with some drivers trying to race their way in, other drivers locked in and preserving equipment, and several drivers racing to get points under NASCAR’s new format. I’ll give my NASCAR DFS picks and fades for each of the two races…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Can-Am Duels at Daytona: On The Daily, 23 Feb 2017

February 23, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Brad Keselowski, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., Landon Cassill, and Michael Waltrip…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DeVante Parker is a Post-Hype Breakout Target for 2017

DeVante Parker let a lot of people down last year, myself included. While there was ample evidence to suggest a sophomore-year breakout for the young wideout, Parker failed to live up to the hype, posting a receiving line of 744 yards and four TDs. However, I don’t think you should give up on Parker just yet. That breakout could be coming in 2017. Offensive Involvement…...

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Historical Comps for Corey Coleman’s Rookie Season

How does Corey Coleman’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Embracing Variance Through Structure: Numbers Game 92

Episode 92 (February 22nd, 2017): The ninety-second episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Tyler Boyd’s Rookie Season

How does Tyler Boyd’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Dispersal To Throne Part I: How I Won A 24 Team Dynasty League With An Orphan

This is part one of a discussion of the strategy used by 14TeamMocker to win Rich Hribar’s 24-team dynasty league with an oprhan last season. Part two can be found here. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Nailed It! Our Best Fantasy Football Advice of 2016

Even though we make our share of mistakes, we try our best to offer good advice. We already told you where we fell short, so we thank you for permitting us this #humblebrag. Here’s our best fantasy football advice from 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Rotoviz IDP Scouting Index

Our official 2017 Rotoviz Scouting Index (RSI) is off and running with multiple editions tracking the early player movement at the offensive skill positions. Last year Charles Kleinheksel already had five offensive editions out before I published the first defensive version. This year he has four editions in before mine so I’m getting quicker.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Bell and Johnson’s Historic Years Will Likely Lead to Regression

In 2016, fantasy players who ignored the risks presented by Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson were rewarded with successful seasons. While they’ll likely remain good players in 2017, they’re due for a significant amount of regression…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Will Fuller’s Rookie Season

How does Will Fuller’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Implications of the DeMarcus Cousins Trade

Last night, right as another disappointing all-star weekend was coming to a conclusion, we got hit with a #WojBomb, informing us of the DeMarcus Cousins trade…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL Combine Trends Over Time

It’s NFL combine time! In the spirit of the season, and building on the rich history of both pre-draft scouting and data visualization here at RotoViz, I took a look at historical trends in several combine metrics, focusing specifically on offensive skill position players…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per Target for quarterbacks and receivers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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The RB Rundown – Ezekiel Elliott

So many running back fantasy stats leave me craving more context. Yards per carry and total yards may not provide the whole picture or give you the proper glimpse into what coaches are thinking. Thus, I set out on this project to solve that very issue. I call it the RB Rundown, and today’s topic is 2016 rookie sensation Ezekiel Elliott…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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daily fantasy basketball

Daily Fantasy Basketball Plays of the Day for Thursday, February 23rd

Welcome back daily fantasy basketball! Both the Kings and Pelicans are in play tonight after completing a blockbuster trade over the All-Star break, which makes tonight an excellent night to target in GPPs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Lineup

NASCAR DFS Picks: Can-Am Duels at Daytona

The Duels at Daytona are two qualifying races that set the starting lineup for the Daytona 500. There are varying agendas during these races, with some drivers trying to race their way in, other drivers locked in and preserving equipment, and several drivers racing to get points under NASCAR’s new format. I’ll give my NASCAR DFS picks and fades for each of the two races…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Can-Am Duels at Daytona: On The Daily, 23 Feb 2017

February 23, 2017: On The Daily: The RotoViz Daily Fantasy Sports Podcast, powered by RotoViz Radio, featuring Brad Keselowski, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., Landon Cassill, and Michael Waltrip…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DeVante Parker is a Post-Hype Breakout Target for 2017

DeVante Parker let a lot of people down last year, myself included. While there was ample evidence to suggest a sophomore-year breakout for the young wideout, Parker failed to live up to the hype, posting a receiving line of 744 yards and four TDs. However, I don’t think you should give up on Parker just yet. That breakout could be coming in 2017. Offensive Involvement…...

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Historical Comps for Corey Coleman’s Rookie Season

How does Corey Coleman’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Embracing Variance Through Structure: Numbers Game 92

Episode 92 (February 22nd, 2017): The ninety-second episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Tyler Boyd’s Rookie Season

How does Tyler Boyd’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Dispersal To Throne Part I: How I Won A 24 Team Dynasty League With An Orphan

This is part one of a discussion of the strategy used by 14TeamMocker to win Rich Hribar’s 24-team dynasty league with an oprhan last season. Part two can be found here. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Nailed It! Our Best Fantasy Football Advice of 2016

Even though we make our share of mistakes, we try our best to offer good advice. We already told you where we fell short, so we thank you for permitting us this #humblebrag. Here’s our best fantasy football advice from 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Rotoviz IDP Scouting Index

Our official 2017 Rotoviz Scouting Index (RSI) is off and running with multiple editions tracking the early player movement at the offensive skill positions. Last year Charles Kleinheksel already had five offensive editions out before I published the first defensive version. This year he has four editions in before mine so I’m getting quicker.  … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Bell and Johnson’s Historic Years Will Likely Lead to Regression

In 2016, fantasy players who ignored the risks presented by Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson were rewarded with successful seasons. While they’ll likely remain good players in 2017, they’re due for a significant amount of regression…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historical Comps for Will Fuller’s Rookie Season

How does Will Fuller’s rookie season compare to other recent rookies, and how do those comps inform our expectations going forward?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Implications of the DeMarcus Cousins Trade

Last night, right as another disappointing all-star weekend was coming to a conclusion, we got hit with a #WojBomb, informing us of the DeMarcus Cousins trade…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL Combine Trends Over Time

It’s NFL combine time! In the spirit of the season, and building on the rich history of both pre-draft scouting and data visualization here at RotoViz, I took a look at historical trends in several combine metrics, focusing specifically on offensive skill position players…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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