redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

3 Early TEs Who Could Disappoint and 1 Cheaper Alternative

The calendar turning to June means the redraft season is about to pick up. If you are starting to begin your research and gather insight to prepare for your upcoming draft, you may notice some names and orders of names near the top of current ADP lists from what you may have remembered at the end of last season. Offseason hype, coach speak, free agency…...

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2020 Historical Distribution Scores: Why Range of Outcome Distributions Matter and You’re Probably Thinking About Upside Incorrectly

Teams that win fantasy championships have one, often multiple, player(s) that significantly outperform ADP. Conservatism rarely pushes teams to the top of their leagues’ standings. In fact, it often works against them, anchoring them to the middle of the pack. This isn’t a new idea and we often talk about upside on the site. Historically, we’ve offered a number of tools that provide snapshots of…...

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2020 Ranges of Outcomes: Using Historical Data to Predict and Visualize 2020 Player Performance

The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...

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Sophomore Sensations: Which Second Year Wide Receiver Is Poised To Have The Best 2020 Season?

Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...

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Way Too Early Top-200 Redraft Rankings: The WR and RB That Drafters Are Far Too Low On

Dave Caban shares his initial 2020 redraft rankings, discusses his process, and identifies three values currently available in bast ball and redraft leagues. The draft is behind us, depth charts are falling in to place, and the majority of major offseason moves have been made. It’s time to gear up for the 2020 fantasy football season! With that in mind, let’s take a look at…...

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6 Exciting RBs Who Could Be Hurt By the Draft – What You Should Pay After Playing Out the Scenarios

Every year the NFL draft offers depth-chart surprises at running back. Veterans dodge the rookie bullet and suddenly have new life. Solid starters find themselves in a battle with young upstarts. Even rising stars get more committee help than they really wanted. Nine runners are going in the first round of FFPC and Fanball best-ball leagues, and all of them offer workloads that appear immune…...

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What Can You Expect From Miles Sanders in 2020?

It didn’t happen exactly like we planned, but Miles Sanders did come on in the second half of his rookie season, ending the year with 1,327 total yards and six touchdowns. Many fantasy players expected the Penn State product to simply overtake Jordan Howard — a one-dimensional runner who lacked the sterling profile of the second-round pick Sanders — over the course of the season,…...

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Superflex Winners and Losers – Seismic Shocks Rock the Best Format In Fantasy

Shawn Siegele looks at the biggest winners and losers in superflex formats after a wild week of free agency at the quarterback position. The first week of free agency has brought a flurry of fantasy stories, from the DeAndre Hopkins trade that inspired a fantasy tidal wave to Stefon Diggs’ controversial arrival in Buffalo. But the central narrative in 2020 has focused on the unprecedented…...

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Jordan Howard Is Better Than Advertised and Could Provide ADP Cover for a Rookie Stud

Jordan Howard has reportedly agreed to a two-year contract with the Miami Dolphins for more than $10 million. The 10th back selected in the 2016 NFL Draft, Howard has wildly outperformed those original expectations, but his career immediately entered a downward trajectory after a fantastic rookie season. Can he do more than play spoiler to the Dolphins eventual selection in the 2020 affair? Back in…...

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Buffalo Isn’t the Dream Landing Spot for Stefon Diggs, But At Least He’s Out of Minnesota

The Buffalo Bills have reportedly acquired Stefon Diggs for first, fourth, fifth, and sixth-round picks spread across the 2020 and 2021 seasons. Diggs now joins an ascending Bills offense, while escaping the Vikings throwback approach. Can he succeed with Josh Allen at the helm? Of all current fantasy players, no one is associated with RotoViz quite like Stefon Diggs. A fantastic but unheralded prospect out…...

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Austin Hooper to Cleveland Is an Exciting Move for Browns Fans, But Does It Create Headaches for Fantasy Owners?

Austin Hooper has reportedly agreed to a four-year, $44 million contract with the Cleveland Browns. The move keeps him from building on the 2019 breakout in Atlanta and muddies the ceilings for Baker Mayfield’s loaded cast of weapons. After slowly growing his game from 2016 to 2018, Hooper burst into the spotlight with a 2019 campaign that saw him join the league’s elite. The numbers…...

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Ryan Tannehill’s Return to Tennessee Is the First Big Domino in a Wild Superflex Market

Ryan Tannehill re-signed with the Tennessee Titans on a four-year pact reported at $118 million. With Tannehill staying in Tennessee, the first domino falls in a wild quarterback market. Tannehill resurrected his career in 2019 in a wild comeback season that included seven QB1 finishes in his last eight games. His reality impact was even larger, with the team exploding in a wide variety of…...

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D.K. Metcalf’s Historical Comps are Simply Unreal

D.K. Metcalf‘s fall to the end of the second round was one of the biggest surprises of the 2019 NFL Draft. Early in the offseason, he was projected to be one of the first wide receivers off the board in late April, but concerns about his route-running versatility and agility caused his stock to tumble. In a touching YouTube video posted by the Seahawks that…...

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Will Deebo Samuel Keep Flying High In a Run-Heavy San Francisco Offense?

I remember the hot days of August. Actually, I miss them. They can’t get back soon enough. This past summer, most fantasy owners were anticipating their drafts while having a very clear name in their minds when it came to the San Francisco 49ers wide receiver position: Dante Pettis. As a second-year player and after finishing his rookie season posting more than 13 PPR in…...

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A Slight Increase In Opportunities Might Push Hunter Renfrow Through The Roof

As much as I love Hunter Renfrow these days (it took time for me to get there, believe me), I can’t lie to you in assessing his rookie season. Renfrow was a good first-year wide receiver, but he was far from a world-beater. In fact, Renfrow (133.5) couldn’t even beat his teammate Tyrell Williams (143.1) for the most PPR points in the season, even playing…...

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Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would…...

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Diontae Johnson’s Historical Comps Indicate He’s on the Verge of a Sophomore Breakout

Diontae Johnson had an incredible rookie season. There’s no other way to put it. Although his end-of-year numbers — 59 receptions for 680 yards and five scores — don’t really jump off the page, the Toledo product managed to post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) despite playing in one of the worst situations imaginable. Before the season, it looked like one of the best…...

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Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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