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DraftKings NFL Cash Plays – Week 10

Week 10 brings a whole series of new challenges for DraftKings NFL cash games. Join The Fantasy Football Ghost as he helps us with our cash game lineups!


Last week was a little more boom than bust as we eked out an average multiplier of 2.98. Not bad but, it could have been so much better given the fact that both Alex Smith and Kareem Hunt posted multipliers of over four times value! Devin Funchess lost some prime targets to Curtis Samuel, who is starting to come into his own, while David Njoku and the Browns weren’t able to get a whole lot started against Kansas City, even in garbage time.

This week brings us a slate that’s a bit more full, with some much better values. Week 9 was always appearing to be a tough one, but at nearly three times value, I feel we weathered it quite well! Buckle in for a wild Week 10 where a lot of players will be suiting up for new teams and providing us all with some new team dynamics to consider.

As a reminder, I will put forth a few players each week that I think you should work into your cash line ups. Some weeks I might only have a single player at a position, the next week I may have three, it is all going to depend on the strength of the slate, the values present on a given week and the match ups. The following week I will recap how my picks fared. A successful week will be determined by the players I suggest averaging 2.5 times their value, while an unsuccessful week will be an average under 2.5 times value.

Another quick reminder, much of the data presented in this piece can be found in Dave Caban’s Weekly Stat Explorer, found here. Check it out to keep on top of all the week’s key match ups!

DraftKings NFL Cash Plays for Week 10

QUARTERBACKS

Drew Brees – $6,300

Brees, fresh off one of his best statistical performances of the season against a tough Rams defense, will head to Cincinnati this week to face a Bengals defense that is giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. It is important to note that Cincinnati will also be without A.J. Green on the offensive side of the ball, possibly making it harder to keep offensive momentum going and increasing the likelihood that Brees will get a few more possessions to pad his statistics. The Bengals defense is tied for allowing the third-most passing touchdowns while allowing the leagues highest average of passing yards per game. Perhaps unsurprisingly, Brees and the Saints are leaders on the offensive side of the ball for these statistics. New Orleans ranks sixth in passing yards per game and are tied for fourth in passing touchdowns per game. Brees may also benefit from a new target in Dez Bryant if he is able to suit up after signing with the team on Wednesday.
Brees - Week10 - DraftKings NFL cash

Other Quarterbacks

Alex Smith vs. Tampa Bay – I featured Smith last week as the quarterback to play and he paid off in a big way to the tune of four times his value! This week he meets a Tampa Bay defenses that is allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. The Buccaneers are also allowing the third-most passing yards to opposing quarterback and the most passing touchdowns to the position.

Philip Rivers vs. Oakland – Oakland is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and we all know how Rivers loves to dissect opponents. Well, he’ll have ample opportunity to pick on a Raiders defense that is allowing 2.4 passing touchdowns per game, the second-highest average in the league while he is throwing that same 2.4 touchdowns per game, the third-highest average in the NFL.

RUNNING BACKS

Nick Chubb – $5,500

With Carlos Hyde now completely out of the picture and a favorable rushing match up on deck, Chubb just might be ready to establish himself as one of the premier running backs in the league. Chubb will square off against an Atlanta defense that is giving up the third-most fantasy point in the league to opposing running backs. A big reason for this is due to the fact that the Falcons’ defense is allowing an average of 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game, tying them for the third-most allowed in the NFL. Cleveland is also tied for the fourth-most yards per rush attempt with 4.5 yards gained per rush. Atlanta, meanwhile, is allowing 4.8 yards per rush attempt, the fourth-most yards allowed, on average, of all NFL defenses.
Chubb - Week10 - DraftKings NFL cash

Other Running Backs

Kareem Hunt vs. Arizona – Hunt gets a slight demotion this week after a two-week run as the featured running back. That said, Hunt’s opponent this week, the Cardinals, are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, making him an even more enticing play. Arizona is allowing the second-most rushing yards per game so watch out.

Tevin Coleman vs. Cleveland – The Browns are defensive mess and Atlanta is an offensive powerhouse — expect more of the same this week. Coleman will face a Cleveland defense that is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Browns are also allowing 1.6 rushing touchdowns per game, the highest rate in the league, while also allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Tyler Boyd – $7,500

An obvious choice here is Michael Thomas as you’d stack Drew Brees with his top receiving option in a match up that is shaping up to be a one-sided affair. However, I’m going to pivot here with good reason. As I mentioned earlier, A.J. Green is out for this game, making Boyd the WR1 by default. With the Bengals likely to be behind for much of the game, their passing game will need to be flipped into overdrive just to keep up. The Saints are allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing wide receivers, already making this a tantalizing game to target. New Orleans though, is also allowing the second-most receiving yards in the league and are tied for allowing the third-most receiving touchdowns per game. Boyd is also a highly effective receiver for Andy Dalton as he has the second-highest passer rating when targeted among all receivers in the league with over 50 pass targets and has slowly crept into the Top 15 wide receivers scorers. As an added bonus, New Orleans is allowing the highest yards per pass attempt in the league when opposing wide receivers are targeted. The Saints are allowing an average of 10.6 yards per attempt. So many indicators are pointing towards a very solid game for Boyd.
Boyd - Week10 - DraftKings NFL cash

Other Wide Receivers

Michael Thomas vs. Cincinnati – As I mentioned in the Boyd write up, playing Thomas this week makes a ton of sense. The Bengals are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and opponents are targeting the position with with 59 percent of all their passes, the sixth-highest rate in the NFL.

Jarvis Landry vs. Atlanta – Landry has three games over 20 DraftKings points and the other six games were all under 14 points. He will face off against an Atlanta defense that is allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. The Falcons are also giving up the seventh-most receiving yards and the eighth-most receiving touchdowns. With the Browns expected to be behind much of the game look for plenty of opportunities headed Landry’s direction.

TIGHT ENDS

Jordan Reed – $4,400

Reed has posted only one double digit performance since Week 3 but he could double that total this Sunday against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are giving up the third-most fantasy points in the league to opposing tight ends and the second-most of all the defenses on this slate. Furthermore, from a pure passing perspective, Tampa Bay is allowing the most passing touchdowns in the league while simultaneously allowing the third-most passing yards of any defense. The Buccaneers are also allowing 10.3 yards per pass attempt when opposing tight ends are targeted, the second-highest average of all defenses in the NFL. Given the amount of injuries that Washington has sustained to their receiving corps, Reed could see his share of targets increase.Reed - Week10 - DraftKings NFL cash

Other Tight Ends

Austin Hooper vs. Cleveland – Cleveland is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends of the teams on this slate. The Browns’ opponents have also targeted the tight end position 78 times this season, the highest total amount in the league.

Ricky Seals-Jones vs. Kansas City – Arizona will need to pass early and often to keep pace with the Chiefs, and one player who could be in for a heavy workload is Seals-Jones. You see, Kansas City is allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Furthermore, the Chiefs are allowing 9.3 receiving yards per target to the position, the third-highest average in the NFL.

Maybe I’m getting a bit overconfident after surpassing the goal I set for myself with close to 90 percent success rate, but I’m about as confident with this week as I’ve been all season. I think it is not only possible, but probable, we head back over the three times value benchmark we smashed through a couple week back.

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