Instead of sugar plums The Fantasy Football Ghost has dollars signs dancing in his head. These Week 16 DraftKings NFL cash plays may make those a reality!
Week 15 has been described by a great number of fantasy players as the worst week for fantasy in memory. While I wouldn’t go that far, we did come in just a hair under the 2.5 times value that we aim for every week, posting a multiple of 2.24 times value. Like I said, not horrible, but not all the way up to par either. In retrospect, stacking Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski probably wasn’t the best idea as I exposed half of the players I recommended to the same game and same team. Lesson learned. That said, the other two players I suggested last week collectively averaged just under three times value so if you avoided that game, like I should have, and chose to take the other part of my recommendations then you likely did quite well for yourself. With only two more weeks of the regular season left, I’m obviously looking to finish the year out strong and on a high note. Let’s get to it then!
As a reminder, I will put forth a few players each week that I think you should work into your cash lineups. Some weeks I might only have a single player at a position, the next week I may have three, it is all going to depend on the strength of the slate, the values present on a given week and the match ups. The following week I will recap how my picks fared. A successful week will be determined by the players I suggest averaging 2.5 times their value, while an unsuccessful week will be an average under 2.5 times value.
Another quick reminder, much of the data presented in this piece can be found in Dave Caban’s Weekly Stat Explorer, found here. Check it out to keep on top of all the week’s key matchups!
DraftKings NFL Cash Plays for Week 16
Ben Roethlisberger – $6,700
Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers are poised to clinch the AFC North with a win against the Saints this week as well as a Baltimore loss. In order to make that a reality, look for Roethlisberger to play at the top of his game against a New Orleans defense that is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks of the defenses on this week’s slate. Pittsburgh is averaging the third-most passing yards per game while the Saints are allowing the fifth-most, a golden opportunity for a huge passing game. To make the match up a bit more tantalizing, Roethlisberger leads the league in pass completion this season while New Orleans is allowing the fifth-highest completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks. The ball should be flying all over New Orleans this weekend!
Todd Gurley – $9,200
This one is almost too easy too bother with an explanation. The Rams have been fighting to secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, but two straight losses to Chicago and Philadelphia have thrown cold water on those hopes as of late. This week’s game against Arizona will be about getting back into the win column and will likely be a statement game. The Cardinals are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and are going to be facing arguably the best running back in the NFL in Todd Gurley.
The Rams are averaging 129.1 rushing yards per game, the seventh-most in the league, while Arizona is allowing 144.9 rushing yards per game, the second-most in the NFL. Additionally, the Cardinals are surrendering 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game, the most of any defense in the league, while Los Angeles is scoring 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game, the second-highest average of all teams. Understand, you’ll be paying top dollar for Gurley but with so any indicators are pointing to a big game for him, you’d be hard-pressed to find a better bet for your money.
Amari Cooper – $7,500
Since joining the Cowboys, Amari Cooper has rejuvenated his season, and his career. He is averaging six receptions for 96 receiving yards over his seven games in Dallas. Now he faces off against Tampa Bay, a defense giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. The Buccaneers are allowing 285.5 receiving yards per game, the sixth-most of all defenses, and allow just under 24 receptions per game, tying them for the sixth-most in this area as well. Tampa Bay has also allowed 19 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers, tying them for the third-most. Meanwhile, Cooper is scoring just under a receiving touchdown per game since moving to Dallas. There is a lot of upside to be found here with an affordable price tag.
Zach Ertz – $5,900
Consistently one of the top tight ends all season long, Zach Ertz has yet another excellent matchup ahead of him on Sunday with the Texans in town. Houston is allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends of the defenses on this week’s main slate of games. The Texans’ opponents have targeted the position 103 times this season, the tenth-highest rate in the league. On the offensive side of the ball, the Eagles have targeted the tight end position with 36 percent of all their passes, by far the highest percentage in the league. Ertz is a great option for those owners with an extra bit of money to spend at the end of their lineup.
This will be the last article in this series before Christmas comes and I want to wish all of you and your families a Merry Christmas. For those of you don’t celebrate, hopefully this gives you even more of a head start on the reveling competition than usual! As always, good luck to everyone, and feel free to both reach out to me and follow me on Twitter at @TheFFGhost. I’ll do my best to answer any and all questions you may have!