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What if Marcel Reece is the Raider RB to Own in 2014?

5239070610_6df7fffd41_oFirst, some snap data from Pro Football Focus.

Name Run Pass Run Block Pass Block
 Marcel Reece * 1 15 6 0
 Maurice Jones-Drew * 9 12 2 7
 Darren McFadden 4 11 6 6

You can see that in a game where all of Marcel Reece, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Darren McFadden appeared, Reece was on the field for the most passing downs. But MJD is also likely out this Sunday with a hand injury (12 passing snaps to be accounted for). The severity of that injury is unknown, so we don’t know when he’ll be back.

Consider that coming out of college, Reece ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 231 pounds. That was in 2008, so it was awhile ago, but he was really athletic at one point. If RotoViz had been around at that time we would have written 87 articles about him, only half of which would have called him the most valuable RB in the 2008 draft.

Also consider that in Reece’s final year in college, he posted a 39 catch, 760 yard, and eight touchdown performance as a wide receiver. I am now stepping up my Reece article estimate to about 105 articles for the 2008 draft . . . you know, if RotoViz had existed then.

Then consider that Reece has posted the following reception totals over the past four seasons: 25, 27, 52, 32.

In Reece’s pro career he hasn’t been given the opportunity to be the primary back very often, but when he has, he’s produced. In four career games with at least eight carries Reece has averaged 19 PPR points per game.

There are lots of ways that Reece might not work out for you if you do add him right now. MJD could come back relatively soon. McFadden might somehow turn into a real lead back. Or Latavius Murray might be given the keys to the car. But Reece is the best pass catching back on a team with a rookie QB known to be a check down artist, and his team also figures to trail a lot.

I just picked Reece up in the leagues where I had a player that I could drop, because my favorite free agent moves are always the free ones. An add like Reece is really only valuable to me if I can get him for free or for $1 of FAAB money. He’s not valuable if he scores some fantasy points this weekend and I end up with the Winner’s Curse of getting him in a FAAB transaction.

Earlier today on Twitter I joked that I invented a new fantasy strategy called “Zero Raiders.” It only took me two hours to abandon that strategy.

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