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NBA Plays of the Day-NBA DFS Roundup for Tuesday, December 29th

After a big 11 game set on Monday, Tuesday’s NBA DFS slate has just five. Before we dive into the plays, don’t forget to check out the NBA Splits App and NBA Daily Fantasy Finder App at RotoViz. Now on to the top plays of the day.

Point Guards

Russell Westbrook $10,500 DK

It’s been common sense this season to always play point guards against the Lakers. Although we don’t have the Lakers on this slate, we do have the Bucks, who have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings out there. Enter Russell Westbrook. After a few sub-par performances, he’s strung together four straight impressive performances. He’s averaging over 50+ fantasy points while scoring 28 points a game, with 8.8 assists, and 7.3 rebounds. 

Kyrie Irving $6,200 DK

This is a bit of a contrarian play due to his potential minutes limit on the second game of a back-to-back. But what I do like here is that the Nuggets have been almost as bad as the Lakers in allowing fantasy points to point guards. Just the other day, they surrendered over 60 DraftKings points to the aforementioned Russell Westbrook. With Jameer Nelson defending Irving, he should have no problem getting it going. If Irving doesn’t play and Matthew Dellavedova gets the start, he would be a nice punt play.

Ty Lawson $3,800 DK

Yes, I’m probably crazy for recommending this but I actually think Ty Lawson has a good game against the Hawks. He played 30 minutes in the Rockets’ last game and I think the Rockets will come out with a different attitude after James Harden and Dwight Howard had a closed door meeting with head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. In addition to seeing additional minutes, Lawson is going up against another poor defensive team at guarding point guards.

Shooting Guards

James Harden $10,300 DK

He’s been in quite the slump – for James Harden. In the past nine games, he’s only been able to average 45 fantasy points on DraftKings, which is well below his expected value at his price tag. However, his usage rate of 32.6 percent is something to like, as well as his 35 minutes per game. This should be a “show me” game for the Rockets after underperforming basically this entire season.

Will Barton $6,900 DK

It seems like every time I get the nod to write up games here on RotoViz, I always have a Denver Nuggets game. And with that, I end up recommending Will Barton. Again, coming off the bench isn’t ideal but it looks like he’s found his niche as potential Sixth Man of the Year. It is a tough matchup going up the Cavaliers who play pretty slow. However, they will be playing the second game of a back-to-back, and their fourth game in five days, so they might be a little tired. If this game does get out of hand though, Barton will still see his usual 28+ minutes.

Courtney Lee $4,300 DK

With the suspension of Matt Barnes, Lee should see more minutes. It’s not the best matchup in the world, as Miami has a very solid defense, but the extra minutes on the court should off-set this. Lee hasn’t been great but has been able to be productive and reach value with his low price tag. He was able to score 13 points last game out in just 24 minutes.

Small Forwards

Kevin Durant $10,000 DK

On a four game slate, it’s crucial to really nail the guys on whom you are going to spend a huge amount of your salary. Durant looks to be one of those guys. Durant has been on a complete tear after he was sidelined in late November. In 17 games since, he’s put up nearly 50 fantasy points while averaging 25.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 5.4 assists. Again, the Bucks rank pretty poorly in defensive efficiency, so this looks to be a good matchup for Durant.

Carmelo Anthony $8,300 DK

Over his past eight games, Anthony has been on fire, averaging 24.1 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. In that span, he’s seen his usage rate jump to 31.6 percent. It’s somewhat of a tough matchup against the Pistons but he should be able to rack up fantasy points due to the increased usage rate.

Jeff Green $5,400 DK

Jeff Green is a very up and down player and you’re not entirely sure what you’ll get every night from him, but with Barnes out, Green should be relied on. He’s averaged 13 points, with five rebounds, and 2.6 assists over his past nine games. The Heat have a pretty good defense but they are weakest at defending the small forward position.

Power Forwards

Kristaps Porzingis $7,400 DK

The rookie has dazzled at times this season but has been inconsistent in reaching value for NBA DFS purposes. In his past three games he’s posted 41.5, 14.5, and 52.25 DraftKings points. But with no true power forward on the Pistons to defend him, he should be able to score. He’s taken at least ten shots per game over the past four games. The only downside here is that he will have a little bit of a tough time collecting rebounds with Andre Drummond.

Serge Ibaka $6,600 DK

Over the past eight games Ibaka has seemed to figure things out again. He’s averaged over 25 fantasy points in that span while collecting 14.3 points and 6.6 rebounds. Ibaka has also seen over 30 minutes in seven of the past ten games. As for his opponent, the Bucks also struggle against power forwards. They rank third in worst opponent fantasy production at the power forward position.

Kenneth Faried $6,100 DK

I’m not a huge fan of Faried and he’s strictly a GPP play due to his volatility. The good thing is that he’s seeing consistent minutes, playing an average of 27.7 minutes over his past 11 games.

It’s honestly just a tough night at the power forward position if you aren’t spending up. The only lower cost option would be the Rockets’ Donatas Motiejunas if he gets the start due to a Terrance Jones’ injury. Even if Jones doesn’t play, the Rockets may go small a guy like Marcus Thornton which would not include Motiejunas. Plus, Motiejunas hasn’t played more than 10 minutes since last Monday.

Centers

Greg Monroe $6,600 DK

Although Monroe has been inconsistent this season, he gets a nice matchup against a fast paced Thunder team. It was encouraging to see Monroe play 33 minutes last game considering he hadn’t seen more than 26 minutes since he missed two games due to injury. He should see similar minutes which will definitely help his fantasy production. The Thunder have been playing Enes Kanter a bit more and he isn’t the toughest defender around.

Dwight Howard $6,500 DK

Like many players on this small slate, Dwight Howard has been inconsistent recently. He’s had games where he can put up over 40+ fantasy points, and then he can have a game like he had last time out where he scored just seven points and nine rebounds. The issue he’s had has been with foul trouble. The Hawks have trouble defending centers this season and considering the meeting he had with Bickerstaff, I think Howard should be poised to have a big game.

Enes Kanter $4,900 DK

Now, after I’ve bashed Kanter’s defense, let’s talk about some positives. He’s coming off three straight 30+ fantasy point games while playing 25 minutes in each of the past two contests. Although it is a small sample size, he’s seen his usage rate increase over the past three games.

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