Hello everyone and happy Friday! With just a week until Christmas, I couldn’t think of a better gift to give everyone than some money-making NBA picks. We have a great slate on tap for tonight, featuring 12 games and plenty of action.
And of course, if you don’t want to listen to me,1 we have plenty of other tools here at RotoViz to help you get the results you want for your NBA DFS lineups. The NBA Game Splits App and Daily Fantasy Finder are incredible resources to come up with some terrific plays, and our excellent hosts and guests on the On the Daily Podcast can give you even more insight to every NBA slate. Without further ado, here are your Friday picks!
Tyreke Evans @ PHO – $7,200 on FD, $7,300 on DK (Qualifies as SG)
Evans is one of many players you will need to consider from a Pelicans/Suns contest that features a 214 point total with a line of just 3.5. There should be plenty of fantasy goodness from that game, with Evans being no exception. He has played at least 33 minutes in each of his last four games, and has historically found success in those situations.
In a vacuum Evans is already looking like a 5x play, and then once we factor in the total, spread, and Phoenix giving up the fifth most fantasy points to PGs on the year, we have an elite play. I love him on both sites, but Evans is even more attractive on DK where he still maintains shooting guard eligibility.
Ricky Rubio vs SAC – $7,200 on FD, $7,200 on DK
Rubio is featured in another game that has a high total and low spread, with this matchup having 213.5 point total and a spread of just 2.5. Rubio has been successful in these high scoring, close contests in the past.
It should come as no surprise that the maestro of this offense benefits a lot from many points being scored, and Rubio can impact games (and your fantasy teams) in a variety of ways. In his last outing, he had a legitimate shot at a QUADRUPLE-double, putting up nine points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists, and eight steals. Rubio is truly never out of a game from a fantasy perspective, and that gives him much appeal in a game such as this.
Also Consider: Michael Carter-Williams @ GSW – $6,000/$5,900, Jameer Nelson @ UTA – $4,300/$4,900 (if Emmanuel Mudiay is out)
Eric Bledsoe vs NOP – $8,800 on FD, $8,400 on DK
Bledsoe has been sensational of late, contributing in just about every category. He also performs extremely well in games with high totals.
Bledsoe is frequently the primary ball handler on this team, which is reflected in his 7.6 assists average over his last five games. He can give you PG statistics at the SG spot in your lineups, and could very easily blow up for a monster scoring night in this kind of contest.
Kevin Martin vs SAC – $4,300 on FD, $4,800 on DK
Martin left Monday’s game and missed Wednesday’s game with a bruised wrist, so you will want to pay attention to see his status for tonight. If he goes though, I think he will be a fantastic play in a previously mentioned high scoring contest. Before Monday’s injury, Martin had scored 19 or more points in three straight games, playing 40 minutes in two of them. He is a terrific scorer, and the Kings give up the fifth most points to opposing SGs. He is your cheap exposure to this team if you don’t feel like paying up for Rubio.
Also Consider: Monta Ellis vs BRK – $6,000/$5,500, Aaron Afflalo at PHI – $4,800/$4,800
Carmelo Anthony at PHI – $8,700 on FD, $8,300 on DK
Anthony has been amazing over his last three outings, averaging 26.7 points, 11.7 rebounds, and five assists. That puts him back on track as an elite play, and his price hasn’t yet caught up with it. The total in this game isn’t great at 195.5, but Anthony is too hot to ignore right now. So long as Melo continues to play team basketball by passing and rebounding, he will be a viable fantasy asset. The Sixers are also giving up the third most FPs to opposing SFs.
Bojan Bogdanovic at IND – $3,900 on FD, $4,600 on DK
Bogdanovic has seen a tremendous surge in minutes over his last five games, averaging 36. We can see that this kind of floor time makes him a nightly value.
With a rash of injuries to the Brooklyn backcourt, there is no reason to expect Bogdanovic’s minutes to decrease, and he is the perfect value play to fit some of these higher priced plays into your lineup. His matchup is also better than advertised, as he will probably play most of his minutes at the two, and Indiana gives up the third most points to opposing SGs.
Also Consider: Jae Crowder vs ATL – $5,400/$5,500, Stanley Johnson at CHI – $3,600/$3,700
Kristaps Porzingis at PHI – $6,400 on FD, $7,400 on DK
This is primarily a FanDuel play, as I think they have drastically overreacted to a couple of Porzingis’ recent games. After struggling in a couple of west coast road games, he came back strong at home on Wedesday with a 33.7 FD point night, and tonight’s matchup with the Sixers is just a short trip down I-95. Philly gives up the second most points to opposing PFs, and I expect the rookie to dominate this contest from the word go. In general, playing site pricing is a great way to find value, and I think that is exactly what we have here in Porzingis.
Jon Leuer vs NOP – $4,600 on FD, $5,900 on DK
Sorry, DraftKings players, but site pricing is incredibly stringent there right now. We have here another FD play as Leuer comes in $1,300 cheaper there than on DK. He only played 14 minutes in his last outing, but that was due more to the blowout nature of the game and the hot shooting of Mirza Teletovic. The Warriors are also a small-ball style team, something Phoenix won’t see against a team with Anthony Davis. Leur was averaging 28.25 minutes in his previous four games, and I am expecting his floor time to be closer to that number tonight. In such a high-scoring contest, Leuer is a terrific way to get cheap exposure.
Also Consider: Derrick Favors vs DEN – $8,000/$7,700, Channing Frye vs POR – $3,700/$3,600
Andre Drummond at CHI – $9,000 on FD, $9,100
I feel like I recommend Drummond every week, but his price seems to continue to go down, which just makes me more interested in the All-NBA caliber big man. The Bulls give up the seventh most points to opposing centers, and are less than two FPs/game away from giving up the most. Chicago is getting their shots blocked the fifth most in the NBA, and are the third worst shooting team in the league, so there should be plenty of rebounds for Drummond to pull down. He is easily one of the top plays at the position, and it will really just come down to how you design the rest of your lineup that determines how much exposure to him you have.
Joakim Noah vs DET – $4,900 on FD, $5,100 on DK
To compete at all with the Pistons I think the Bulls are going to have to play Noah a ton at C tonight. He is never going to be a great scorer, relying mostly on offensive put-backs and an awkward jumper, but his peripherals are very strong, particularly given his ability to pass from the elbow. Noah seems like a good bet to hit value even on limited minutes based on what he’s already done this year.
Now let’s assume he sees even more minutes due to the matchup with Drummond, and we have for ourselves a tremendous value play. He is your key to fitting multiple studs at the other positions.
Also Consider: Bismack Biyombo at MIA – $4,000/$4,900
Good luck tonight!
- You wouldn’t be the first (back)