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The Starting Five: NBA DFS Value Plays – 1/31

Consistency — and realizing that you aren’t going to hit every play, every night — is key for growing a bankroll. Let’s take a look at tonight’s most consistent plays and win some money.  

Finding value is sometimes one of the most difficult, but the most important things to do when playing daily fantasy basketball. On smaller slates digging deep and finding value becomes essential. With the following picks I am going to highlight some extreme value guys that can help not only in cash formats, but also in GPPs if they punch well above their weight.

There are six games on the main slate. I cannot stress enough the importance of checking injuries and lineups pre-lock. DraftKings has moved to a similar no swap format like FanDuel, which causes a lot of headaches for daily fantasy basketball players.

Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Plays

POINT GUARD

Brandon Jennings NYK @ WAS – $5,600 ON FD, $5,100 ON DK

With Derrick Rose sidelined for the Knicks, Jennings becomes a must play. John Wall has been a decent defender this season but that shouldn’t effect Jennings output. Without Rose in the lineup Jennings is consistently putting up 5 more fantasy points. He also gets a jump in his true usage rate from 22 percent to about 25 percent. Look for Jennings to amass 30+ minutes of court time and put up 25+ fantasy points. A value pivot off of Jennings would be Jameer Nelson, if Emmanuel Mudiay sits again tonight.

Jennings

SHOOTING GUARD

Danny Green SAS @ OKC – $3,700 ON FD, $3,800 ON DK 

If you want to win, you must play James Harden. However, Harden is not and will never be a value play. Danny Green fits the mold of a guy that can get you just enough fantasy points to take down a GPP. Green is never really on a heater, but he has been producing over the last three games. A lot of this has to do with Pau Gasol’s injury, leaving some extra usage available. Green has played about 28 minutes and is averaging 16 fantasy points per game. He has over 20 fantasy points in his last three and should replicate that tonight in a pace-up matchup. I think he goes for 20+ and gives you a solid return on cheap value.

SMALL FORWARD

Luol Deng LAL VS DEN – $4,200 ON FD, $3,700 ON DK

Luol has been terrible over the last six games, but he comes in with additional responsibility today. Julius Randle is slated to be out of this game with an illness. When Randle sits, Deng has averaged over 21 DraftKings points. Deng is averaging over 25 minutes per game and usually produces 15-20 fantasy points. I think that a lot of people will hop off of Deng due to his previous performances, but he is definitely a GPP dart as he could have a 30+ fantasy point game.

Deng

POWER FORWARD

Domantis Sabonis OKC VS SAS  – $3,500 ON FD, $3,300 ON DK

If you want to dig deep tonight, look no further than Sabonis. With Enes Kanter sidelined by an injury for punching a chair, Sabonis has seen his minutes rise. He has produced 15+ fantasy points in the last two games and is averaging 20+ minutes. I won’t sit here and tell you that Sabonis is going to produce a 50 point fantasy output, but I will tell you that he is a great compliment to a studs and duds lineup. With a 14 percent true usage rate, I think Sabonis hits the 18 fantasy point mark this evening.

CENTER

Ivica Zubac LAL VS DEN – $10,900 ON FD, $11,000 ON DK

Luke Walton loves Ivica Zubac. Zubac is coming off of two 30+ fantasy games, both with Julius Randle playing. Without Randle, there is a much higher ceiling for Zubac. I think Zubac will play about 30 minutes, with a 25 percent true usage rate. With that being the case and with the absence of Nikola Jokic on the other side of the ball, Zubac could surprise everybody and put up 30+ for the third game in a row. He is definitely a risk, but a risk I will be taking a lot tonight.

 

Good luck with your daily fantasy basketball lineups this weekend! If you have any questions before tip-off please feel free to hit me up on twitter @Tobinator44.

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