DraftKings Plays for Week 11: Sponsored by FantasyLabs

Designed to give you our best advice for taking down the DraftKings Millionaire Maker, the Play of the Week contest pits writer against writer using FantasyLabs great tools – TrendsPlus/MinusVegas Lines, and more.

FantasyLabs offers a great selection of daily fantasy and sports analytics tools. Sign up for a FantasyLabs NFL account to get access to all other sports for free.

Check out the introduction for the nuts and bolts of how this works. The basic idea is that our analysts are going to do their best to recommend lightly-owned players who could smash their expected fantasy points in Week 11. The goal? To help you take down a GPP. To make sure we are well incentivized, the analyst with the best score each week wins a handsome cash prize.

WEEK 10 REVIEW

Before we look at our Week 11 DraftKings plays of the week, let’s review our Week 10 recommendations.

Analyst QB RB WR TE DEF Score
Tod Burros 14.62 -7.82 18.84 10.63 -3.45 32.81
Colm Kelly 9.96 0.00 27.98 -6.69 -0.49 30.76
Blair Andrews 2.68 6.06 -1.21 9.92 -2.09 15.36
Pat James 2.68 -2.35 8.10 0.75 5.45 14.64
Jacob Rickrode 1.75 0.06 -2.06 9.92 -2.09 7.57
Ben Gretch -3.13 -2.35 3.71 0.82 5.45 4.51
Matt Wispe 0.01 -7.92 8.28 -1.77 5.45 4.05
Devin McIntyre 0.95 -3.93 8.10 0.75 -2.09 3.79
George Fitopoulos 2.68 -7.82 -2.40 10.63 -3.45 -0.36
Anthony Amico 2.27 2.83 3.15 -4.46 -4.19 -0.40
Dave Caban 3.94 -7.82 -2.40 4.80 -0.49 -1.97
Eric Braun 0.01 -5.69 3.77 1.66 -2.09 -2.34
Heith Krueger -4.08 2.83 -2.40 -7.11 6.62 -4.13
Brian Malone -14.09 -3.93 -3.92 10.63 5.45 -5.86
Hasan Rahim 2.68 -13.27 8.10 -1.77 -2.09 -6.35
Josh ADHD -5.69 -7.63 8.10 1.66 -3.45 -7.01
RotoDoc -3.13 -13.27 3.71 -4.46 6.62 -10.52
Scott Smith -4.08 -8.88 0.00 -4.46 5.45 -11.96
Joe Paeno 3.00 -3.93 -2.40 -6.69 -3.45 -13.47
Ben Bauer 2.68 -7.82 -4.68 -5.79 -0.49 -16.10
Drew Heinl 3.00 -7.82 -2.40 -8.90 -2.09 -18.21
Ryan Bobbitt 0.95 -13.27 -2.40 -1.77 -3.45 -19.94
John Lapinski -14.09 -13.27 -2.40 2.81 -3.45 -30.40

Congratulations to Tod Burros, who wins this week’s cash prize. Also mad props to Colm Kelly, our podcaster extraordinaire. Burros won on the strength of Case Keenum, Adam Thielen, and Garrett Celek recommendations. Kelly nearly won by virtue of recommending Robert Woods. 

Week 10 was a tough one overall for our analysts, with only four posting double-digit scores. Let’s get back to our usual lineup-boosting ways, shall we?

Week 11 DraftKings Plays of the Week

Analyst QB RB WR TE DEF
Anthony Amico Tom Brady Rex Burkhead Brandin Cooks Jared Cook LA Chargers Defense
Ben Bauer Derek Carr Chris Thompson Emmanuel Sanders Jared Cook Houston Defense
Ben Gretch Tom Brady Rex Burkhead Jamison Crowder C.J. Fiedorowicz Jacksonville Defense
Blair Andrews Blaine Gabbert Dion Lewis Jeremy Maclin Tyler Kroft Chicago Defense
Brian Malone Drew Brees Chris Thompson A.J. Green C.J. Fiedorowicz Jacksonville Defense
Colm Kelly Nathan Peterman Rex Burkhead Kelvin Benjamin Jared Cook Green Bay Defense
Dave Caban Blake Bortles Joe Mixon DeAndre Hopkins Vernon Davis Cincinnati Defense
Drew Heinl Tom Brady Duke Johnson Sterling Shepard Ben Watson Arizona Defense
Eric Braun Brett Hundley Melvin Gordon Brandin Cooks Tyler Kroft Houston Defense
George Fitopoulos Ryan Fitzpatrick Rex Burkhead Jamison Crowder Travis Kelce LA Chargers Defense
Hasan Rahim Tom Brady Chris Thompson Amari Cooper Ben Watson Arizona Defense
Heith Krueger Tom Brady Joe Mixon Keenan Allen Rob Gronkowski Baltimore Defense
Jacob Rickrode Brett Hundley Duke Johnson Kendall Wright Ben Watson Houston Defense
Joe Paeno Tom Brady Rex Burkhead Jamison Crowder Travis Kelce Tampa Bay Defense
Josh ADHD Blaine Gabbert Jerick McKinnon Larry Fitzgerald Rob Gronkowski Denver Defense
Matt Wispe Tom Brady Melvin Gordon Brandin Cooks Travis Kelce Jacksonville Defense
Pat James Alex Smith Melvin Gordon DeAndre Hopkins Travis Kelce LA Chargers Defense
RotoDoc Derek Carr Chris Thompson Michael Crabtree Ben Watson Baltimore Defense
Ryan Bobbitt Eli Manning Rex Burkhead Jamison Crowder Travis Kelce Denver Defense
Scott Smith Blake Bortles Orleans Darkwa Marqise Lee Travis Kelce LA Chargers Defense
Tod Burros Kirk Cousins Giovani Bernard Josh Doctson Tyler Kroft Jacksonville Defense

Commentary

Anthony Amico – According to the FantasyLabs Trends Tool, TEs seeing at least 15 percent of team targets playing as underdogs in games with at least a 50-point total have averaged a Plus/Minus of 4.36. Jared Cook is in that exact position this week and has a shot to go under-owned with studs like Travis Kelce and Evan Engram hogging most of the ownership. He’s the ideal player to run back your Patriot stacks with.

Ben Bauer – With four different defenses projected at over 10 percent usage on Fantasy Labs, Houston provides a nice low price and low ownership alternative… and they get to line up against Blaine Gabbert.

Ben GretchC.J. Fiedorowicz played 90 percent of the snaps and saw six targets in his return from IR last week, he’s just $3,100 on DraftKings, and Will Fuller is expected to miss the game. Fiedorowicz has played just two games this year, but according to FantasyLabs, he’s one of five TEs on the slate to see at least a 20 percent target market share in games played over the last calendar year.

Blair AndrewsTyler Kroft has the second-highest projected Plus/Minus among TEs on FantasyLabs, a 97 percent DraftKings Bargain Rating, and faces a Denver defense that allows a Plus/Minus of +3 to opposing TEs, yet he is projected for less than one percent ownership.

Brian MaloneA.J. Green has the third-highest projected WR ceiling, and his ownership is projected in the low single digits. Potential tournament winner.

Colm Kelly – Jared Cook was heavily involved before the bye, as his nine targets tied for the team lead. He has six pro traits on FantasyLabs this week based on opponent and past performance. Cook has cleared 100 yards in two of the last three games. With no touchdowns since Week 3, but with a large target share, it is fair to assume that a positive TD regression is on its way. He now gets the Patriots in a contest with one of the highest totals of the week.

Dave Caban – FantasyLabs places Blake Bortles with a 99 percent bargain rating, a ceiling well above his implied total, and a highly favorable opponent Plus/Minus rating.

Drew HeinlBen Watson has hit his implied point total four weeks in a row while averaging seven targets a game. He’s priced slightly above the minimum and FantasyLabs has given him the highest Plus/Minus at the position with a projected ownership of only two to four percent.

Eric Braun – There are many great defensive matchups for DFS this week, but I’m going with Houston here as I want to differentiate. The Texans will face Blaine Gabbert at home. Nice! Fantasy Labs projects the Texans with the second-highest ceiling at 16.8 and just 5-8 percent ownership.

George Fitopoulos – It’s an uneasy feeling playing Ryan Fitzpatrick in any DFS contest, but this week he gets to rebound against a Dolphins defense that has allowed an average of 35 points over the last month. Fitzpatrick’s implied point total is only 15.6, so with a couple of passing touchdowns (he gets Mike Evans back) and rushing yards he should be able to exceed that no problem. It also helps that he has the fifth-highest projected Plus/Minus of the slate.

Hasan Rahim – Ben Watson has the top Plus/Minus rating among TEs according to FantasyLabs. His 88 percent bargain rating should allow you to spend up at other positions, while still locking in a player who has one of the highest ceilings at the position.

Heith Krueger – Against a lately vulnerable Broncos run defense, Joe Mixon is a nice lottery ticket RB play in tournaments. With Jeremy Hill officially done for the season, FantasyLabs projects Mixon’s ceiling as high as 25 Draftkings points. With true three-down ability and locked in goal-line work, Mixon could pay huge dividends this weekend.

Jacob Rickrode – Ben Watson is FantasyLabs highest-rated TE with a low 2-4 percent projected ownership.

Joe PaenoJamison Crowder has disappointed his fantasy owners most of the season; however, a breakout game may be on the horizon. Kirk Cousins has targeted Crowder 24 times over his last two games. Josh Doctson will likely draw rookie sensation Marshon Lattimore, allowing Crowder to draw a cushy match up with P.J. Williams in the slot. With a Vegas total on the rise, Fantasy Labs ranks Crowder with the second highest ‘Plus/Minus’ score on the slate.

Josh ADHDJerick McKinnon is mid-priced, and his touch volume should push past 20. At 2-4 percent projected ownership, McKinnon’s passing game chops offer compelling upside in a game that could see both teams reach the 30s.

Matt Wispe – According to the FantasyLabs models tool, the Jacksonville defense has the highest ceiling and projection against the Browns. With a 3.23 projected Plus/Minus, Jacksonville is the best defense in Week 11.

Pat James – The Chargers defense has the highest Plus/Minus of all fantasy defenses. The key factor for me is not that they’ll be facing first-time starter Nate Peterman, but that the Bills offensive line has one of the highest sack rates in the NFL, compared to the Chargers defensive line also having one of the highest sack rates. Pairing them with a low-owned Melvin Gordon works well.

RotoDoc – Derek Carr has thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games and now faces a defense that allows a 3.1 plus/minus to opposing QBs. Carr should be in line for another 300-yard game, and that three-point DraftKings bonus. Stack him with his cheap options, including my pick Michael Crabtree, who stands out third among all WRs in my personal FantasyLabs WR model.

Ryan Bobbitt – Crowder quietly has 24 targets in his last two games and is Adam Levitan’s third-highest rated WR. The volume we hoped for entering the season is now there, and Crowder is projected to be less than 5 percent owned.

Scott Smith – FantasyLabs shows the implied total for the Jaguars to be 22.5 points. With the Jaguars averaging over 25 ppg and the Browns giving up over 26 ppg, that total could actually be a tad bit low. With Cleveland also sporting the 27th-ranked pass defense and ranking dead last defending opposing teams’ top WR, Marqise Lee sets up for a nice play this week. As an added bonus add Blake Bortles for a cheap stack.

Tod Burros – According to FantasyLabs ownership projections, Giovani Bernard will be 0-1 percent owned and is the stone minimum, something you rarely see. I think he will have a bigger role this week.

Frequency Table

QB COUNT RB COUNT WR COUNT TE COUNT DEF COUNT
Tom Brady 7 Rex Burkhead 6 Jamison Crowder 4 Travis Kelce 6 Jacksonville Defense 4
Blaine Gabbert 2 Chris Thompson 4 Brandin Cooks 3 Ben Watson 4 LA Chargers Defense 4
Blake Bortles 2 Melvin Gordon 3 DeAndre Hopkins 2 Jared Cook 3 Houston Defense 3
Brett Hundley 2 Duke Johnson 2 A.J. Green 1 Tyler Kroft 3 Arizona Defense 2
Derek Carr 2 Joe Mixon 2 Amari Cooper 1 C.J. Fiedorowicz 2 Denver Defense 2
Alex Smith 1 Dion Lewis 1 Emmanuel Sanders 1 Rob Gronkowski 2 Baltimore Defense 2
Drew Brees 1 Giovani Bernard 1 Jeremy Maclin 1 Vernon Davis 1 Chicago Defense 1
Eli Manning 1 Jerick McKinnon 1 Josh Doctson 1 Cincinnati Defense 1
Kirk Cousins 1 Orleans Darkwa 1 Keenan Allen 1 Green Bay Defense 1
Nathan Peterman 1 Kelvin Benjamin 1 Tampa Bay Defense 1
Ryan Fitzpatrick 1 Kendall Wright 1
Larry Fitzgerald 1
Marqise Lee 1
Sterling Shepard 1
Michael Crabtree 1

Charles Kleinheksel

Editor and contributor since 2013. Director of Special Projects August 2017. Occasionally found at numberFire, Rotoballer, and FantasyPros.

Week 10 Waiver Wire Advice

RotoViz provides advice on players to target and fade on your fantasy football waiver wire.

Week 9 Waiver Wire Advice

RotoViz provides advice on players to target and fade on your fantasy football waiver wire.

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