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DraftKings Plays for Week 16: Sponsored by FantasyLabs

Designed to give you our best advice for taking down the DraftKings Millionaire Maker, the Play of the Week contest pits writer against writer using FantasyLabs great tools – TrendsPlus/MinusVegas Lines, and more.

FantasyLabs offers a great selection of daily fantasy and sports analytics tools. Sign up for a FantasyLabs NFL account to get access to all other sports for free.

Check out the introduction for the nuts and bolts of how this works. The basic idea is that our analysts are going to do their best to recommend lightly-owned players who could smash their expected fantasy points in Week 16. The goal? To help you take down a GPP. To make sure we are well incentivized, the analyst with the best score each week wins a handsome cash prize.

WEEK 15 REVIEW

Before we look at our Week 16 DraftKings plays of the week, let’s review our Week 15 recommendations.

Analyst QB RB WR TE DEF SCORE
Tod Burros 0.06 8.08 8.68 4.81 11.23 32.86
Heith Krueger 10.92 6.28 -6.01 8.64 11.23 31.07
Jacob Rickrode -4.63 -3.03 2.23 20.03 10.43 25.03
Anthony Amico -0.37 -1.98 7.67 4.81 11.23 21.36
Ryan Bobbitt 10.92 6.28 4.48 -9.93 3.35 15.10
Ben Bauer 0.00 -3.98 0.00 1.71 10.43 8.16
Blair Andrews 1.74 -1.98 -4.83 8.64 3.35 6.92
Dave Caban -0.37 11.13 -9.11 0.00 3.35 5.00
Ben Gretch -4.63 -2.32 2.23 9.20 0.40 4.88
Matt Wispe 10.92 -0.31 -10.64 4.81 -2.34 2.44
Colm Kelly 12.34 -0.92 -10.64 1.71 -1.91 0.59
Pat James 1.74 11.13 -10.09 -3.66 0.40 -0.47
Josh ADHD -4.63 -0.92 -6.01 12.97 -2.34 -0.93
Brian Malone -7.93 -1.98 2.23 3.61 0.40 -3.67
Devin McIntyre 12.34 -0.92 -10.64 -3.66 -2.34 -5.22
Eric Braun -5.99 6.28 1.23 -7.92 -3.84 -10.23
Joe Paeno 0.06 11.58 -13.81 -5.97 -2.34 -10.48
Drew Heinl -7.93 -2.32 -6.01 4.81 -2.34 -13.79
George Fitopoulos -7.93 12.97 -7.27 -9.93 -1.91 -14.07

Tod Burros wins the week and the cash prize. Heith Krueger also had a strong showing. In Week 15, five of our analysts gave your lineups more than a 15 point boost. Let’s see what they recommend in Week 16.

Week 16 Draftkings Plays of the Week

Analyst QB RB WR TE DEF
Ben Bauer Jared Goff Jonathan Stewart Paul Richardson Austin Hooper Carolina Defense
Ben Gretch Russell Wilson Melvin Gordon Chris Godwin Cameron Brate LA Chargers Defense
Blair Andrews Jameis Winston Dion Lewis Josh Gordon Cameron Brate Cincinnati Defense
Brian Malone Dak Prescott DeMarco Murray Kenny Golladay Antonio Gates LA Chargers Defense
Colm Kelly Jared Goff Dion Lewis Robert Woods Eric Ebron Carolina Defense
Dave Caban Cam Newton Dion Lewis Keenan Allen Eric Ebron Chicago Defense
Devin McIntyre Kirk Cousins Bilal Powell Jamison Crowder Cameron Brate Carolina Defense
Drew Heinl Cam Newton Melvin Gordon A.J. Green Cameron Brate Dallas Defense
Eric Braun Drew Stanton Mike Gillislee Devin Funchess Eric Ebron Detroit Defense
George Fitopoulos Dak Prescott Dion Lewis Kendall Wright Eric Ebron Kansas City Defense
Heith Krueger Matthew Stafford James White Mike Evans Travis Kelce Detroit Defense
Jake Rickrode Andy Dalton C.J. Anderson Larry Fitzgerald Jimmy Graham LA Rams Defense
Joe Paeno Drew Brees Christian McCaffrey Golden Tate Rob Gronkowski San Francisco Defense
John Lapinski Marcus Mariota Duke Johnson Doug Baldwin Delanie Walker Carolina Defense
Josh ADHD Matthew Stafford Dion Lewis Marvin Jones Evan Engram LA Rams Defense
Matt Wispe Philip Rivers Ameer Abdullah Keenan Allen Travis Kelce Chicago Defense
Pat James Russell Wilson Melvin Gordon Doug Baldwin Eric Ebron Washington Defense
Ryan Bobbitt Mitchell Trubisky Theo Riddick Roger Lewis Cameron Brate New Orleans Defense
Tod Burros Russell Wilson Melvin Gordon Paul Richardson Travis Kelce Chicago Defense

Commentary

Ben BauerAustin Hooper is a low cost, low projected ownership (0-1 percent) option at TE with more pro trends on Fantasy Labs this week than anyone not named Gronk or Kelce.

Ben GretchChris Godwin should be in line for a substantial snap increase and there is plenty of opportunity available in the offense with both O.J. Howard and DeSean Jackson likely out. He has FantasyLabs’ top Projected Plus/Minus at WR due to his minimum salary.

Blair AndrewsCam Newton is projected for 17-20 percent ownership, and the Panthers have the third-highest total on the slate. According to FantasyLabs’ Correlations page, the position that has the second-highest correlation with QB scoring is the QB on the opposing team. Jameis Winston, however, is projected for only 0-1 percent ownership. Both the Bucs and the Panthers are bad at defending the pass, meaning we should see a lot of passing and a lot of points in this game.

Brian MaloneDeMarco Murray’s volume hasn’t gone anywhere, but his salary is the lowest it’s been all season and he’s projected to be on less than five percent of rosters. In a nasty week for running backs, I’ll take Murray and his projected 1.01 plus-minus.

Colm Kelly – Dion Lewis rushed 13 times for 67 yards and a touchdown and caught one of two targets for 13 yards. Although most of it occurred in the fourth quarter and he has had a modest workload this season, teammate Rex Burkhead will miss this game and should lead to increase in touches for Lewis. The Patriots get the Bills defense which has been great to target in fantasy this year with RBs – they have allowed the most rushing TDs along with the second-most rushing yards this season. He has a number of strong metrics on FantasyLabs and in a game where the Patriots should been in control, he’s a super value.

Dave Caban – FantasyLabs projects Eric Ebron with a high-end outcome 13 points higher than his implied projection. His opponent Plus/Minus is positive and he has four pro tags. He’s averaged at least 10 yards on his last 16 receptions and is in the top 20 percent of points per dollar.

Devin McIntyreJamison Crowder has a bargain rating of 94 percent according to FantasyLabs, despite a ceiling projection of 25 points. He has the fourth-highest projected Plus/Minus on the slate.

Drew Heinl – The Dallas Defense gets to face a Seattle team that has struggled all year protecting Russell Wilson. They gave up seven sacks in their last outing, and Dallas has some good pass rushers. FantasyLabs has their projected ownership at zero to one percent, which could give you a lot of leverage on the field.

Eric BraunDrew Stanton is drawing five favorable pro trends in the FantasyLabs Tournament Model. In particular I like that Stanton has the trend of playing a bottom 20 percent Plus/Minus team to the QB position.

George Fitopoulos – With Ezekiel Elliott active, Dak Prescott hit value (in terms of Fantasy Labs’ Plus/Minus metric) in six of eight games, but in the six games without Zeke, Prescott only hit value in one game. Seattle’s defense has been struggling, so the matchup isn’t as daunting as it seems on paper.

Heith Krueger – Following the Rex Burkhead injury, James White is a fantastic value against a Buffalo defense that is bottom three against opposing RBs in fantasy points allowed. With a projected ownership of around 9-12 percent by FantasyLabs and a price of only $4,100, be sure to have at least some James White in your tourney lineups.

Jake RickrodeC.J. Anderson has FantasyLabs highest projected ceiling of any RB with less than 5 percent projected ownership.

Joe PaenoGolden Tate. I know it’s Marvin Jones revenge week, but Tate draws the juicy match-up against KeiVare Russell. He is projected to have less than 10 percent ownership according to FantasyLabs, which is ideal for his 25-plus tourney ceiling.

John LapinskiMarcus Mariota’s season thus far has been monstrously disappointing, and he’s going against a tough Rams defense. With the second-highest over/under of the week though, this game has shootout potential, and FantasyLabs has Mariota projected for ownership of just one percent or less, making him a player I’ll be deploying in large GPPs.

Josh ADHD – Of the QBs in the mid-range, Matthew Stafford is projected at virtually zero ownership. Detroit has become more committed to the pass again, and they face a Bengals team in freefall. What’s not to like?

Matt Wispe – According to the FantasyLabs Player Models tool, Cleveland allows an average Plus/Minus of 2.8. The Chicago defense has the third-highest ceiling on the slate and fourth-highest projection.

Pat James – I’m going back to the Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin well this week. Hopefully there is enough of a sour taste in the mouth of the DFS community. Additionally, with high projected ownership for Elliott in his return, many will be off the Seahawks. FantasyLabs has Wilson at a 97 percent bargain rating and only a 9-12 percent projected ownership

Ryan BobbittRoger Lewis quietly has double digit targets in his last two games and will have the easier matchup avoiding Patrick Peterson. He should be one percent owned and also carries a 91 percent bargain rating.

Tod Burros – According to FantasyLabs projections, Paul Richardson is my least chalky player, and I’m counting on a bounceback week from Wilson to complete the stack successfully.

Frequency Table

QB COUNT RB COUNT WR COUNT TE COUNT DEF COUNT
Russell Wilson 3 Dion Lewis 5 Doug Baldwin 2 Cameron Brate 5 Carolina Defense 4
Cam Newton 2 Melvin Gordon 4 Keenan Allen 2 Eric Ebron 5 Chicago Defense 3
Dak Prescott 2 Ameer Abdullah 1 Paul Richardson 2 Travis Kelce 3 Detroit Defense 2
Jared Goff 2 Bilal Powell 1 A.J. Green 1 Antonio Gates 1 LA Chargers Defense 2
Matthew Stafford 2 C.J. Anderson 1 Chris Godwin 1 Austin Hooper 1 LA Rams Defense 2
Andy Dalton 1 Christian McCaffrey 1 Devin Funchess 1 Delanie Walker 1 Cincinnati Defense 1
Drew Brees 1 DeMarco Murray 1 Golden Tate 1 Evan Engram 1 Dallas Defense 1
Drew Stanton 1 Duke Johnson 1 Jamison Crowder 1 Jimmy Graham 1 Kansas City Defense 1
Jameis Winston 1 James White 1 Josh Gordon 1 Rob Gronkowski 1 New Orleans Defense 1
Kirk Cousins 1 Jonathan Stewart 1 Kendall Wright 1 San Francisco Defense 1
Marcus Mariota 1 Mike Gillislee 1 Kenny Golladay 1 Washington Defense 1
Mitchell Trubisky 1 Theo Riddick 1 Larry Fitzgerald 1
Philip Rivers 1 Marvin Jones 1
Mike Evans 1
Robert Woods 1
Roger Lewis 1

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