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To show you what picking in a Superflex draft entails, we’ve partnered with TwoQBs for a 12-team mock draft.
The participants in this draft are experienced superflex drafters from TwoQBs and RotoViz. Listed by draft order, they are: Blair Andrews, Giana Pacinelli, Hasan Rahim, Chris Allen, John Lapinski, Greg Smith, Anthony Spangler, FFGhost, Matt Giraldi, Eric Moody, Justin Edwards and Bobby Koch
Round 3 Analysis
Cam Newton Goes Ahead of Russell Wilson
In Round 2, we saw TheFFGhost select Deshaun Watson ahead of Aaron Rodgers. Round 3 contained another surprise as John Lapinski took Cam Newton ahead of Russell Wilson. Looking at their historical performance, Wilson was the superior quarterback in 2017 and has come close to throwing for 4,000 yards over the last three seasons.
I reached out to Lapinski to gain a deeper insight into his thought process behind the selection. He responded with:
With 4 point passing TDs and 25 yards/point, I see rushing QBs as extremely valuable here. I love Russ, I think he’s definitely the better QB, but Cam already has two seasons under his belt where he outscored Wilson’s finish from last year, and he’s had major upgrades to the offensive talent around him. Wilson on the other hand, lost some of his most talented pass-catchers. Both teams have shaky offensive lines, but Seattle also brought in Brian Schottenheimer, an OC with just one top-10 finish in points scored over the course of nine years, whereas Norv Turner’s teams have finished in the top half of the league in scoring more often than not.
I think both players are close, Wilson is an absolute magician and I wouldn’t be surprised if he was able to overcome Schottenheimer and end up as the QB1 again this year, I just feel like Cam has a slightly better shot to do so.
I like Lapinski’s notes with regards to the scoring settings. Mobile QBs rack up points with their legs and rushing TDs count for six points. As a result, mobile QBs have a higher floor and ceiling and should go ahead of their immobile counterparts. As Lapinski astutely noted, a fully healthy Greg Olsen and the addition of D.J. Moore should be a net positive for Newton. Although the QB Similarity Scores peg Newton as a slightly inferior option to Wilson, the offensive upgrades Carolina has made should help Newton with reaching his lofty ceiling projection.
My Pick: Amari Cooper
Although this may look like I’m being overly enthusiastic about Amari Cooper, I think he’s one of the best bounceback candidates this season. Cooper took a large step back last season, but not all of it is his fault. One of the possibilities for Cooper’s poor season could have been a lingering injury, as Ben Gretch noted. Despite struggling with injuries for most of the season, Cooper’s game logs aren’t as poor previously thought.
It was heartening to see Cooper post a career high in TDs, despite having a down year. Now that Michael Crabtree is in Baltimore, I anticipate that Cooper’s increased red-zone usage will carry over into this season. We already know that Cooper has the ability to score on splash plays, but the increased red-zone equity will be a boon for his fantasy value. I’d expect that Cooper’s weekly fantasy finishes will fall closer in line with his 2016 season.
My Favorite Pick: Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs is a favorite around these parts, so it’s no surprise that this is my favorite pick. Blair drafted Diggs as his first wide receiver, after locking up David Johnson and Jerick McKinnon as his two running backs. Diggs has missed time with injury over the last three seasons, but judging by the contract the Vikings recently handed Diggs, the front office isn’t too concerned with his durability.
Diggs’ upside when healthy is absolutely mouthwatering.
The lack of WR competition should ensure that Diggs sees a healthy target share this season. Diggs and Kirk Cousins showcased good chemistry in their first preseason game, and hopefully Diggs is able to capitalize on the opportunity.