We’re back for another event with a three-course rotation this week. This Pro-Am has been played on and off in some capacity dating back to 1948 at Pebble Beach when it was known as the Bing Crosby Pro-Am. Lloyd Mangrum won that event for you golf historians out there. It has seen different names and different courses since then but we’ve seen the same rotation since 2010. It’s important to understand how each course plays if you’re tackling a Showdown slate or perhaps betting FRL (first round leaders), but if you’re playing the week-long slate it helps to understand how the tournament plays out as a whole. To that end, the trends we’re looking at are based on the whole event, not broken down by course, specifically.
THREE COURSE ROTATION
| Course | Par | Yardage | Notes |
| Pebble Beach GL | 72 | 6,816 Yards | It was the 16th most difficult course out of 51 courses last year. Golfers that make the cut will get to play it twice. Once will be before the Saturday cut, the second time will be the final round on Sunday. |
| Monterey Peninsula CC | 71 | 6,958 Yards | Monterey Peninsula came in as just the 38th most difficult course last year. The field averaged nearly a stroke under par. |
| Spyglass Hill GC | 72 | 6,953 Yards | This course was 22nd most difficult in 2018, playing just 0.22 strokes under par. |
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro - Am (Field Averages - Relative to Par)
2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Pebble Beach GL 0.22 -0.1 0.49 -1.76 1.39
Monterey Peninsula CC -0.94 0.26 -0.3 -2.1 0.25
Spyglass Hill GC -0.22 0.203 0.51 -0.8 0.76
PAST WINNERS
| Golfer | Year | Winning Score | DraftKings Points |
| Ted Potter Jr. | 2018 | -17 | 124.5 |
| Jordan Spieth | 2017 | -19 | 119.5 |
| Vaughn Taylor | 2016 | -17 | 126.5 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 2015 | -22 | 122.5 |
| Jimmy Walker | 2014 | -11 | 102.5 |
OFF THE TEE
Of the 32 golfers who’ve scored over 100 DK points here since 2010, nine (28 percent) have hit the top 10 in driving distance compared to three (nine percent) that hit that threshold in driving accuracy. With just seven golfers from that group in the top 10 of SG: Off the Tee, it’s easy to see that when it comes to finding upside this is much more of a “second shot” event than anything else.
If we widen our lens to the 217 golfers that have finished in the top 20 of DK scoring at this event we see a similar story. Just 82 (37 percent) golfers in that group were top 20 in distance compared to 77 (35 percent) that met that rank in accuracy.
| SG:OTT Rank (Since Start of 2018) | Golfer (Salary) |
| 1 | Dustin Johnson ($11,400) |
| 2 | Keith Mitchell ($7,100) |
| 3 | Patrick Cantlay ($9,800) |
| 4 | JB Holmes ($7,900) |
| 5 | Corey Conners ($7,100) |
| 6 | Trey Mullinax ($7,400) |
| 7 | Tony Finau ($10,600) |
| 8 | Cameron Champ ($8,000) |
| 9 | Dylan Fritelli ($7,500) |
| 10 | Tommy Fleetwood ($10,300) |
ON APPROACH
With no off the tee stat breaking 0.05 R-Squared to DK points, we would hope we can find some signal with the approach game and we can. Greens in regulation has a 0.25 R-Squared to DK scoring since 2010 at this event. A solid approach game helps you find some upside, as well, with 13-of-32 100 point scorers finishing in the top 10 in GIR.
| GIR Rank (2018) | Golfer (Salary) |
| 1 | Patrick Cantlay ($9,800) |
| 2 | Adam Scott ($9,200) |
| 3 | Dustin Johnson ($11,400) |
| 4 | Tommy Fleetwood ($10,300) |
| 5 | Tony Finau ($10,600) |
| 6 | Andrew Putnam ($7,900) |
| 7 | Kevin Streelman ($7,300) |
| 8 | Jason Kokrak ($8,500) |
| 9 | Corey Conners ($7,100) |
| 10 | Shane Lowry ($8,800) |
Key Stats
- Greens in Regulation
- SG: Around the Green
- SG: Off the Tee
- SG: Putting
Course History - Cheatsheet
Player Name Salary Average DK Points Lowest DK Point Total Highest DK Point Total Best Finish Position Worst Finish Position Scoring Over Field Average (SOFA) Starts Made Cut Pct.
Dustin Johnson 11400 91.2 43.5 129.0 1 100 38.0 9 88.89%
Jason Day 10900 86.6 41.5 112.5 2 64 33.1 7 100.00%
Tony Finau 10600 77.0 77.0 77.0 23 23 25.8 1 100.00%
Tommy Fleetwood 10300 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Matt Kuchar 10000 46.5 33.5 66.5 62 100 -7.5 3 33.33%
Patrick Cantlay 9800 73.8 63.0 89.5 9 48 20.7 3 100.00%
Phil Mickelson 9600 84.7 60.5 117.0 1 65 32.6 8 100.00%
Jordan Spieth 9400 87.3 66.5 119.5 1 22 34.1 6 100.00%
Patrick Reed 9300 78.3 49.5 97.5 6 100 25.1 6 83.33%
Adam Scott 9200 53.0 43.5 62.5 52 100 -2.4 2 50.00%
Paul Casey 9100 91.0 91.0 91.0 8 8 35.5 1 100.00%
Chez Reavie 9000 60.3 40.0 103.5 2 100 6.3 8 50.00%
Branden Grace 8900 77.0 77.0 77.0 20 20 21.5 1 100.00%
Shane Lowry 8800 69.8 58.5 81.5 14 43 14.8 4 100.00%
Adam Hadwin 8700 67.0 67.0 67.0 39 39 15.8 1 100.00%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 8600 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Jason Kokrak 8500 63.6 38.0 85.0 9 100 10.6 7 71.43%
Sungjae Im 8400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Rafa Cabrera Bello 8300 49.0 31.5 80.0 26 100 -2.5 3 66.67%
Brandt Snedeker 8200 80.3 33.5 123.5 1 100 27.1 8 75.00%
Russell Knox 8100 59.8 37.5 81.0 15 100 8.1 5 60.00%
Cameron Champ 8000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
J.B. Holmes 7900 69.7 28.0 105.0 2 100 16.6 9 77.78%
Andrew Putnam 7900 38.8 33.5 44.0 100 100 -19.7 2 0.00%
Scott Piercy 7800 54.9 36.5 77.5 20 100 1.4 4 50.00%
Kevin Kisner 7800 52.6 36.5 80.5 10 100 -0.5 6 50.00%
Kevin Na 7700 64.4 36.5 86.5 4 100 11.1 8 62.50%
Lucas Glover 7700 58.3 35.5 81.0 11 100 9.3 2 50.00%
Doug Ghim 7600 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Russell Henley 7600 62.7 35.5 82.5 15 100 11.5 3 66.67%
Dylan Frittelli 7500 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Nick Watney 7500 70.8 34.0 118.0 2 100 17.5 8 75.00%
Charley Hoffman 7500 46.3 25.0 77.5 35 100 -5.9 6 33.33%
Trey Mullinax 7400 74.8 69.0 80.5 14 47 21.4 2 100.00%
Ted Potter 7400 68.6 32.0 124.5 1 100 16.9 4 50.00%
Michael Thompson 7400 50.1 29.5 70.0 19 100 -2.4 5 40.00%
Si Woo Kim 7400 41.5 26.5 63.0 35 100 -10.3 3 33.33%
Kevin Streelman 7300 74.6 47.5 85.5 6 100 20.6 8 87.50%
Pat Perez 7300 67.7 24.0 112.0 4 100 14.5 9 88.89%
Beau Hossler 7300 55.0 43.5 66.5 43 100 1.6 2 50.00%
J.J. Spaun 7300 41.0 41.0 41.0 100 100 -10.2 1 0.00%
Austin Cook 7300 38.0 38.0 38.0 100 100 -17.5 1 0.00%
Aaron Baddeley 7200 70.6 43.0 100.5 4 100 17.3 8 87.50%
Joel Dahmen 7200 65.5 59.5 71.5 48 55 12.1 2 100.00%
Matt Jones 7200 65.2 25.0 98.0 7 100 12.1 9 77.78%
Ryan Armour 7200 63.5 33.5 82.5 20 100 7.4 3 66.67%
Ryan Palmer 7200 56.6 40.0 76.0 29 100 3.6 7 57.14%
Talor Gooch 7200 46.0 46.0 46.0 100 100 -9.5 1 0.00%
Jimmy Walker 7100 82.2 41.0 111.0 1 100 29.0 9 88.89%
Chesson Hadley 7100 66.4 36.5 93.0 10 100 12.6 4 75.00%
Keith Mitchell 7100 64.5 64.5 64.5 47 47 9.0 1 100.00%
Steve Stricker 7100 61.7 37.5 76.5 23 100 8.9 3 66.67%
Scott Stallings 7100 57.4 33.5 83.5 7 100 4.7 4 50.00%
Kyle Stanley 7100 52.2 43.5 67.5 41 100 -1.1 5 60.00%
Martin Laird 7100 42.5 40.5 44.0 66 100 -10.4 3 66.67%
Corey Conners 7100 42.0 42.0 42.0 100 100 -13.5 1 0.00%
Anders Albertson 7000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Brandon Harkins 7000 84.0 84.0 84.0 15 15 28.5 1 100.00%
Vaughn Taylor 7000 65.8 37.5 126.5 1 100 11.8 8 62.50%
Chris Kirk 7000 60.3 36.0 109.5 2 100 7.1 6 50.00%
Jim Furyk 7000 58.4 34.5 95.0 7 100 5.3 7 85.71%
Brice Garnett 7000 57.7 32.5 71.0 19 100 6.5 3 66.67%
Tyrone Van Aswegen 7000 49.4 25.5 75.0 26 100 -3.8 5 40.00%
Sung Kang 7000 48.6 11.5 78.5 17 100 -3.1 4 50.00%
Nate Lashley 7000 39.5 39.5 39.5 100 100 -16.0 1 0.00%
Adam Svensson 6900 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Kramer Hickok 6900 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Bill Haas 6900 79.0 79.0 79.0 8 8 27.4 1 100.00%
Sangmoon Bae 6900 54.2 31.5 73.5 15 100 2.8 3 66.67%
Roberto Castro 6900 53.9 33.0 86.5 8 100 1.3 6 50.00%
Richy Werenski 6900 51.3 44.0 58.5 58 100 -2.1 2 50.00%
Scott Brown 6900 50.7 34.0 65.0 30 100 -2.3 7 42.86%
Brian Stuard 6900 47.6 34.5 83.0 21 100 -7.0 6 33.33%
Roger Sloan 6900 38.0 38.0 38.0 100 100 -23.4 1 0.00%
Carlos Ortiz 6800 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Sebastian Munoz 6800 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
James Hahn 6800 63.9 35.0 97.0 3 100 10.8 6 66.67%
Brian Gay 6800 62.4 43.0 87.0 8 100 10.4 7 85.71%
Nick Taylor 6800 60.5 39.5 88.5 10 100 5.6 4 50.00%
Graeme McDowell 6800 56.0 36.0 76.0 7 100 5.0 2 50.00%
Chris Stroud 6800 50.1 37.0 77.5 35 100 -3.9 8 25.00%
Scott Langley 6800 48.8 37.0 63.5 62 100 -3.8 6 66.67%
David Lingmerth 6800 47.8 22.0 76.0 41 100 -7.4 3 33.33%
Dominic Bozzelli 6800 40.8 37.5 44.0 100 100 -12.6 2 0.00%
Jim Knous 6700 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Sepp Straka 6700 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Curtis Luck 6700 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Patrick Rodgers 6700 85.0 85.0 85.0 8 8 29.5 1 100.00%
Hunter Mahan 6700 67.8 44.5 106.5 2 100 14.7 9 77.78%
Sean O'Hair 6700 64.6 48.5 87.0 16 73 11.4 9 100.00%
Alex Prugh 6700 64.5 40.5 94.5 10 100 11.2 5 60.00%
Davis Love III 6700 47.8 24.0 74.5 20 100 -5.3 6 66.67%
Jerry Kelly 6700 36.9 25.0 50.5 69 100 -14.6 5 20.00%
Fabian Gomez 6600 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Adam Long 6600 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Michael Kim 6600 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Stephan Jaeger 6600 68.0 68.0 68.0 43 43 12.5 1 100.00%
Robert Garrigus 6600 62.7 32.0 84.0 20 100 9.6 9 55.56%
Kelly Kraft 6600 59.0 24.5 101.0 2 100 6.3 4 75.00%
Rory Sabbatini 6600 49.2 34.5 75.0 15 100 -4.0 9 44.44%
Ernie Els 6600 42.8 40.5 45.0 100 100 -15.7 2 0.00%
Cameron Davis 6600 40.5 40.5 40.5 100 100 -15.0 1 0.00%
Hank Lebioda 6500 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Mackenzie Hughes 6500 79.5 79.5 79.5 10 10 28.3 1 100.00%
David Hearn 6500 49.9 29.0 78.5 21 100 -4.4 5 40.00%
Johnson Wagner 6500 49.0 38.0 62.5 55 100 -6.3 5 60.00%
John Huh 6500 48.5 38.5 61.5 35 100 -4.9 3 33.33%
Peter Malnati 6500 48.3 32.5 65.0 35 100 -2.9 4 50.00%
Max Homa 6500 47.2 30.0 81.0 29 100 -5.9 3 33.33%
Tom Lovelady 6500 46.0 46.0 46.0 100 100 -9.5 1 0.00%
Adam Schenk 6500 42.5 42.5 42.5 100 100 -13.0 1 0.00%
Ho Sung Choi 6400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Davis Love IV 6400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 6400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Brady Schnell 6400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Wyndham Clark 6400 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Sam Saunders 6400 56.2 41.5 76.0 15 100 2.2 8 62.50%
Wes Roach 6400 54.3 42.5 66.0 32 100 5.3 2 50.00%
Whee Kim 6400 54.2 38.0 81.5 21 100 -0.6 3 33.33%
Cody Gribble 6400 36.3 29.0 43.5 100 100 -17.1 2 0.00%
Chase Wright 6300 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Joey Garber 6300 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Seth Reeves 6300 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Grayson Murray 6300 64.5 36.0 93.0 8 100 11.1 2 50.00%
Alex Cejka 6300 60.1 28.5 87.0 10 100 6.9 9 77.78%
Tom Hoge 6300 58.8 41.0 71.5 39 100 3.8 4 50.00%
Cameron Tringale 6300 56.2 38.5 74.5 13 100 4.1 7 57.14%
Martin Piller 6300 43.8 36.5 49.5 100 100 -9.2 3 0.00%
Ben Crane 6300 42.5 42.5 42.5 100 100 -13.0 1 0.00%
John Chin 6200 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Roberto Diaz 6200 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Kyle Jones 6200 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Matt Every 6200 52.6 38.0 72.0 27 100 0.5 7 42.86%
Rod Pampling 6200 47.1 26.5 70.0 27 100 -6.2 8 50.00%
Chad Collins 6200 45.5 28.0 77.0 34 100 -7.0 5 20.00%
Kenny Perry 6200 44.5 44.5 44.5 100 100 -16.9 1 0.00%
Morgan Hoffmann 6200 41.5 38.5 44.5 100 100 -10.4 2 0.00%
Benjamin Silverman 6200 40.0 40.0 40.0 100 100 -15.5 1 0.00%
Tyler Duncan 6200 34.0 34.0 34.0 100 100 -21.5 1 0.00%
Julian Etulain 6100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 6100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Martin Trainer 6100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Derek Fathauer 6100 66.3 55.5 76.0 23 62 11.3 4 100.00%
Jonas Blixt 6100 65.3 47.5 101.5 3 100 10.9 5 60.00%
D.A. Points 6100 57.8 22.0 127.0 1 100 4.9 8 62.50%
Josh Teater 6100 57.6 24.0 94.5 5 100 4.3 6 50.00%
Jason Gore 6100 45.9 28.0 62.5 51 100 -9.3 4 50.00%
Colt Knost 6100 45.4 25.5 75.0 41 100 -9.1 5 40.00%
David Duval 6100 44.6 14.0 104.0 2 100 -8.5 9 33.33%
Broc Everett 6000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Chris Thompson 6000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A
Freddie Jacobson 6000 74.3 39.0 97.5 4 100 24.2 3 66.67%
Ryan Ruffels 6000 65.0 65.0 65.0 60 60 13.4 1 100.00%
Ricky Barnes 6000 55.8 29.0 94.0 3 100 2.5 8 50.00%
Vijay Singh 6000 53.2 21.0 79.5 25 100 0.0 9 55.56%
John Senden 6000 46.7 29.5 69.5 27 100 -4.3 3 33.33%
J.J. Henry 6000 43.9 1.0 81.0 15 100 -9.2 9 44.44%
Chad Campbell 6000 40.0 40.0 40.0 100 100 -6.4 1 0.00%
Steve Jones 6000 18.5 18.5 18.5 100 100 -33.8 1 0.00%
Jason Schmuhl 6000 14.8 11.0 18.5 100 100 -37.0 2 0.00%
