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Nelson Agholor Is the Real Deal, and Other Funny Things Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 3

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points.

From there we can look at how players perform with their opportunity — that is, how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency metric that accounts for both yards and touchdowns in a single number. Add EP (opportunity) and FPOE (efficiency) together, and you get a player’s actual fantasy output.

This weekly article will look at some of the leaders in expected points and examine how fantasy gamers can take advantage of these various volume and efficiency situations.

Week 3 Expected Points

Week 3 brought with it a few surprises, which I’ll note below. But first, the Week 3 data:1

PlayerEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Keenan Allen31.212.41-0.730.213.130.0%11.5%40.8%43.6
Alvin Kamara28.28.914.5-1.613.710.535.4%56.9%33.3%37.1
Mike Evans27.917.10027.917.128.8%0.0%46.0%45
Phillip Lindsay26318.81.37.21.729.3%63.5%16.2%29
Darren Waller23.53.60.7022.83.631.3%7.0%44.0%27.1
Tyler Lockett23.490023.4919.7%0.0%30.5%32.4
Nick Chubb22.7-5.612.4-2.810.3-2.822.1%97.6%15.6%17.1
Nelson Agholor21.53.50021.53.522.9%0.0%37.8%25
T.Y. Hilton21.4-0.90021.4-0.921.3%0.0%34.1%20.5
David Johnson21.4-2.96.2-2.515.2-0.421.3%59.6%21.9%18.5
Leonard Fournette20.2-58.8-2.211.5-2.928.9%81.5%24.6%15.2
Cooper Kupp2013.2002013.221.0%0.0%33.1%33.2
Josh Gordon20-5.60.9-0.819.2-4.917.3%5.4%25.8%14.4
Dalvin Cook19.84.51346.80.530.4%45.9%23.5%24.3
Mark Ingram19.51614.413.95.12.117.2%55.4%7.5%35.5
Christian Kirk19.3-3.40019.3-3.419.2%0.0%27.8%15.9
Christian McCaffrey19.18.7147.35.11.424.3%75.3%11.7%27.8
Brandin Cooks1910.40.418.60.619.9%2.2%30.8%20
Kerryon Johnson18.5-7.217-7.41.50.220.9%83.7%2.8%11.3
Preston Williams18.1-7.30018.1-7.319.5%0.0%29.9%10.8
Chris Thompson18.1-3.37-4.111.20.716.5%53.0%15.4%14.8
Julian Edelman181.200181.215.6%0.0%24.2%19.2
Marquez Valdes-Scantling17.54.40017.54.424.9%0.0%41.3%21.9
Tyler Boyd17.5-4.80017.5-4.821.2%0.0%31.6%12.7
Rex Burkhead17.51.47.23.510.3-2.115.1%43.4%13.9%18.9
Cole Beasley17.3-2.50017.3-2.517.9%0.0%30.5%14.8
Odell Beckham Jr.17.1-5.50017.1-5.516.6%0.0%25.8%11.6
Sterling Shepard16.910.21.30.815.69.417.3%6.9%26.2%27.1
Paul Richardson16.65.70016.65.715.2%0.0%22.9%22.3
Delanie Walker16.5-3.10016.5-3.117.7%0.0%27.0%13.4
Jarvis Landry16.3-7.10016.3-7.115.8%0.0%24.6%9.2
Dede Westbrook15.1-5.10.5-0.114.7-5.121.6%4.6%31.5%10
Courtland Sutton15-1.30015-1.316.9%0.0%33.7%13.7
Julio Jones1511.8001511.817.5%0.0%26.3%26.8
Marlon Mack14.91.910.82.64.1-0.714.8%71.1%6.5%16.8
Taylor Gabriel14.717.50.30.414.51718.5%2.5%27.9%32.2
Marvin Jones14.67.50014.67.516.5%0.0%27.2%22.1
Auden Tate14.60.20014.60.217.7%0.0%26.4%14.8
Robert Woods14.6-5.82.3-0.512.3-5.315.3%12.8%20.4%8.8
Le'Veon Bell14.4-4.19.1-5.65.31.529.0%90.1%16.4%10.3
Royce Freeman14.3-37.6-1.36.6-1.616.1%25.7%14.8%11.3
Austin Hooper14.210.40014.210.416.6%0.0%24.9%24.6
Austin Ekeler14.20.94-0.410.21.313.7%46.0%13.8%15.1
George Kittle14.1-2.40014.1-2.413.6%0.0%25.5%11.7
Evan Engram14.19.20014.19.214.4%0.0%23.7%23.3
Kenyan Drake14.1-3.95.8-28.3-1.915.2%37.2%13.7%10.2
Greg Olsen1411.5001411.517.8%0.0%32.1%25.5
Mark Andrews14-9.50014-9.512.3%0.0%20.6%4.5
Curtis Samuel13.92.40013.92.417.7%0.0%31.9%16.3
James Conner13.9-4.26.3-27.6-2.222.5%53.4%19.4%9.7
Devonta Freeman13.9-1.48.20.65.8-2.116.2%77.4%10.2%12.5
Kenny Golladay13.4-9.70013.4-9.715.1%0.0%25.0%3.7
Adam Humphries13.41.90013.41.914.4%0.0%22.0%15.3
LeSean McCoy13.49.68.33.15.16.514.9%43.9%9.6%23
Ezekiel Elliott13.32.69.533.8-0.416.6%53.7%8.0%15.9
Derrick Henry13.3-1.710.7-0.32.6-1.414.3%70.9%4.3%11.6
Sammy Watkins13.1-1.70013.1-1.714.6%0.0%24.6%11.4
Terry McLaurin13.15.90013.15.912.0%0.0%18.0%19
Will Dissly135.200135.210.9%0.0%16.9%18.2
Joe Mixon134.57.2-1.15.85.615.8%61.0%10.5%17.5
Jeff Wilson130.811.42.41.7-1.712.6%37.5%3.1%13.8
Amari Cooper12.913.90012.913.916.1%0.0%27.0%26.8
Phillip Dorsett12.75.80.70.5125.311.0%4.2%16.2%18.5
Michael Thomas12.63.80012.63.815.8%0.0%30.7%16.4
Larry Fitzgerald12.52.10012.52.112.4%0.0%18.0%14.6
Damien Williams12.53.460.26.63.113.9%31.7%12.4%15.9
Marquise Brown12.4-5.50012.4-5.510.9%0.0%18.3%6.9
Miles Sanders12.42.27.2-1.95.24.113.2%36.7%9.1%14.6
Kalen Ballage12.1-8.48-6.34.2-2.213.1%51.3%6.9%3.7
Frank Gore12.14.89.34.32.80.512.5%42.3%4.9%16.9
Allen Robinson1200012015.1%0.0%23.1%12
Damion Ratley11.9-6.30011.9-6.311.6%0.0%18.0%5.6
Travis Kelce11.84.10011.84.113.1%0.0%22.2%15.9
Jakeem Grant11.8-4.70.7-0.311.1-4.412.7%4.5%18.3%7.1
Mike Williams11.7-4.20011.7-4.211.3%0.0%15.8%7.5
Mack Hollins11.4-1.20011.4-1.212.1%0.0%20.0%10.2
Juju Smith-Schuster11.35.80011.35.818.3%0.0%28.8%17.1
Trey Quinn11.3-3.30011.3-3.310.3%0.0%15.6%8
Saquon Barkley11.3-3.64.2-3.27.2-0.511.5%22.2%12.1%7.7
Matt Breida11.1-0.36.50.34.6-0.610.7%21.4%8.3%10.8
D.K. Metcalf10.9-2.20010.9-2.29.2%0.0%14.2%8.7
Adam Thielen10.89.833.17.86.716.6%10.6%27.0%20.6
DeAndre Hopkins10.81.90010.81.914.1%0.0%20.5%12.7
Mohamed Sanu10.82.91.2-19.63.912.6%11.3%16.8%13.7
C.J. Prosise10.6-1.33.8-3.36.828.9%22.6%8.9%9.3
Dawson Knox10.46.20.909.56.210.8%4.1%16.7%16.6
Jordan Howard10.4-0.79.30.41.1-1.111.1%47.4%1.9%9.7
Jaron Brown10.3-4.30010.3-4.38.7%0.0%13.4%6
Todd Gurley10.3-68.8-4.51.5-1.510.8%49.2%2.5%4.3
Will Fuller10.2-0.10010.2-0.113.3%0.0%19.4%10.1
David Montgomery10.20.96.30.43.90.512.9%53.4%7.5%11.1
Tony Pollard10.111.76.210.13.91.612.6%35.0%8.2%21.8
Aaron Jones105.38.951.10.314.2%59.3%2.6%15.3
Sony Michel9.9-2.86.113.7-3.78.6%36.7%5.0%7.1
Zach Ertz9.80.6009.80.610.4%0.0%17.2%10.4
Darren Fells9.76.2009.76.212.6%0.0%18.4%15.9
Adrian Peterson9.7-5.35.8-2.13.9-3.28.9%43.9%5.4%4.4
Diontae Johnson9.65.20.8-0.28.85.415.5%6.8%22.4%14.8
Kenny Stills9.63.3009.63.312.5%0.0%18.2%12.9
DeVante Parker9.3-0.7009.3-0.710.0%0.0%15.3%8.6
Ronald Jones9.33.87.90.11.43.79.6%45.9%2.3%13.1
Russell Shepard9.2-7.6009.2-7.69.4%0.0%15.5%1.6
Dante Pettis9.12.9009.12.98.8%0.0%16.5%12
Peyton Barber9.1-1.66.4-1.62.60.19.4%37.2%4.3%7.5
John Ross8.9-4.7008.9-4.710.8%0.0%16.1%4.2
Braxton Berrios8.8-3.9008.8-3.917.7%0.0%27.2%4.9
T.J. Hockenson8.8-7.7008.8-7.79.9%0.0%16.4%1.1
Jordan Akins8.713.6008.713.611.3%0.0%16.5%22.3
Nick Boyle8.61.2008.61.27.6%0.0%12.7%9.8
Hayden Hurst8.6-5.2008.6-5.27.6%0.0%12.7%3.4
T.J. Yeldon8.5-1.64.2-1.24.3-0.48.8%19.1%7.6%6.9
Jeremy Sprinkle8.2-4.3008.2-4.37.5%0.0%11.3%3.9
Robby Anderson8.1-4008.1-416.3%0.0%25.0%4.1
J.J. Nelson8.15.5008.15.510.8%0.0%15.6%13.6
Luke Stocker8.1-3.9008.1-3.99.4%0.0%14.2%4.2
John Brown8.11.40.7-0.37.41.78.4%3.2%13.0%9.5
Justin Jackson8.1-1.12.40.25.8-1.47.8%27.6%7.8%7
Nyheim Hines8-2.10.9-0.67.1-1.58.0%5.9%11.3%5.9
Jamaal Williams82.65.60.32.52.211.4%37.3%5.9%10.6
Josh Jacobs8-3.65.3-0.92.7-2.710.7%53.0%5.2%4.4
Raheem Mostert8-0.16.61.31.4-1.47.7%21.7%2.5%7.9
Ted Ginn7.9-4.4007.9-4.49.9%0.0%19.2%3.5
Devin Smith7.9-2007.9-29.8%0.0%16.6%5.9
Danny Amendola7.8-0.1007.8-0.18.8%0.0%14.6%7.7
A.J. Brown7.8-6.4007.8-6.48.4%0.0%12.8%1.4
Corey Davis7.7-0.3007.7-0.38.3%0.0%12.6%7.4
Tarik Cohen7.6-3.22-2.25.6-19.6%16.9%10.8%4.4
Jamison Crowder7.5-3007.5-315.1%0.0%23.1%4.5
Demetrius Harris7.5-0.3007.5-0.37.3%0.0%11.3%7.2
Willie Snead7.50.2007.50.26.6%0.0%11.0%7.7
Emmanuel Sanders7.4-4.4007.4-4.48.3%0.0%16.6%3
Darius Slayton7.43.8007.43.87.6%0.0%12.4%11.2
Chris Carson7.4-1.36.2-0.91.2-0.46.2%36.9%1.6%6.1
D.J. Chark7.210.4007.210.410.3%0.0%15.4%17.6
Mecole Hardman7.211.20.706.511.28.0%3.7%12.2%18.4
Jason Witten7.11.3007.11.38.8%0.0%14.9%8.4
Zach Pascal76.30076.37.0%0.0%11.1%13.3
Travis Benjamin7-4.5007-4.56.7%0.0%9.4%2.5
Demarcus Robinson6.86.5006.86.57.6%0.0%12.8%13.3
Trey Burton6.7-0.7006.7-0.78.4%0.0%12.9%6
O.J. Howard6.72.9006.72.96.9%0.0%11.1%9.6
Gus Edwards6.72.13.91.42.80.75.9%15.0%4.1%8.8
Alexander Mattison6.75.16.75.10010.3%23.7%0.0%11.8
Deebo Samuel6.50.9006.50.96.3%0.0%11.8%7.4
James Washington6.4-3006.4-310.3%0.0%16.3%3.4
Damiere Byrd6.4-3.5006.4-3.56.4%0.0%9.2%2.9
Chris Godwin6.30.7006.30.76.5%0.0%10.4%7
Carlos Hyde6.31.66.31.6008.2%61.8%0.0%7.9
Randall Cobb6.2-1.9006.2-1.97.7%0.0%13.0%4.3
KeeSean Johnson6.2-1.9006.2-1.96.2%0.0%8.9%4.3
James O'Shaughnessy6.13.7006.13.78.7%0.0%13.1%9.8
Kendrick Bourne6-2.8006-2.85.8%0.0%10.8%3.2
Davante Adams5.93.7005.93.78.4%0.0%13.9%9.6
Kyle Juszczyk5.72.4005.72.45.5%0.0%10.3%8.1
Jack Doyle5.72.9005.72.95.7%0.0%9.1%8.6
Vernon Davis5.7-0.7005.7-0.75.2%0.0%7.9%5
Hunter Renfrow5.60.2005.60.27.5%0.0%10.8%5.8
Jalen Richard5.60.30.90.64.8-0.47.5%9.0%9.3%5.9
Jakobi Meyers5.50.3005.50.34.8%0.0%7.4%5.8
Tommy Sweeney5.4-4.1005.4-4.15.6%0.0%9.5%1.3
Cameron Brate5.4-2.7005.4-2.75.6%0.0%8.9%2.7
Eric Ebron5.42.3005.42.35.4%0.0%8.6%7.7
Tyrell Williams5.16.8005.16.86.8%0.0%9.8%11.9
Zay Jones5.10.2005.10.25.3%0.0%9.0%5.3
Anthony Miller5-2.5005-2.56.3%0.0%9.6%2.5
Dontrelle Inman4.9-1.6004.9-1.64.7%0.0%6.6%3.3
Brandon Bolden4.9-10.9-1.140.14.2%5.4%5.4%3.9
Wayne Gallman4.8-3.53.6-2.31.2-1.24.9%19.0%2.0%1.3
Irv Smith Jr.4.74.3004.74.37.2%0.0%16.3%9
Robert Tonyan Jr.4.7-3.3004.7-3.36.7%0.0%11.1%1.4
Geronimo Allison4.7-3.8004.7-3.86.7%0.0%11.1%0.9
Parris Campbell4.60.8004.60.84.6%0.0%7.3%5.4
Duke Johnson4.6-0.20.9-0.73.70.56.0%8.8%7.0%4.4
Blake Jarwin4.5-3.2004.5-3.25.6%0.0%9.4%1.3
Deon Cain4.5-2.5004.5-2.54.5%0.0%7.2%2
Justice Hill4.5-4.40.4-0.34-44.0%1.5%5.9%0.1
Chris Conley4.40.6004.40.66.3%0.0%9.4%5
Tajae Sharpe4.44.6004.44.64.7%0.0%7.2%9
D.J. Moore4.491.3-0.13.19.15.6%7.0%7.1%13.4
David Moore4.4-0.5004.4-0.53.7%0.0%5.7%3.9
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside4.3-2.3004.3-2.34.6%0.0%7.6%2
Dare Ogunbowale4.31004.314.4%0.0%7.1%5.3
Ty Johnson4.2-2.71.8-1.32.4-1.44.7%8.9%4.5%1.5
Stefon Diggs4.10.4004.10.46.3%0.0%14.2%4.5
Josh Reynolds4.1-4.1004.1-4.14.3%0.0%6.8%0
Mike Gesicki4.1-0.2004.1-0.24.4%0.0%6.8%3.9
Jonnu Smith4.1-0.1004.1-0.14.4%0.0%6.7%4
Giovani Bernard4.1-0.91.2-0.72.9-0.25.0%10.2%5.2%3.2
Chase Edmonds4.1-0.61.40.12.7-0.74.1%13.5%3.9%3.5
Cordarrelle Patterson3.8-0.82.3-0.91.50.14.8%19.5%2.9%3
Malik Turner3.70.2003.70.23.1%0.0%4.8%3.9
Jeff Heuerman3.50.5003.50.53.9%0.0%7.9%4
Isaiah McKenzie3.5-0.61.8-0.81.70.23.6%8.2%3.0%2.9
Jarius Wright3.42.4003.42.44.3%0.0%7.8%5.8
Bennie Fowler3.4-1.9003.4-1.93.5%0.0%5.7%1.5
Darius Jennings3.4-3.4003.4-3.43.7%0.0%5.6%0
Zach Line3.4-3.43.4-3.4004.3%13.3%0.0%0
Noah Fant3.33.4003.33.43.7%0.0%7.4%6.7
Marquise Goodwin3.32.8003.32.83.2%0.0%6.0%6.1
Breshad Perriman3.3-0.40.90.42.5-0.93.4%5.2%4.1%2.9
Allen Hurns3.2-1.6003.2-1.63.5%0.0%5.3%1.6
Josh Hill3.1-1.7003.1-1.73.9%0.0%7.5%1.4
Ricky Seals-Jones3.1-0.7003.1-0.73.0%0.0%4.7%2.4
Michael Crabtree3.1-0.2003.1-0.23.1%0.0%4.5%2.9
Nick Vannett3.1-1.2003.1-1.22.6%0.0%4.0%1.9
Marcedes Lewis3-0.1003-0.14.3%0.0%7.1%2.9
Mo Alie-Cox31.50031.53.0%0.0%4.8%4.5
Seth Roberts32.70032.72.6%0.0%4.4%5.7
Chris Hogan2.9-1.3002.9-1.33.7%0.0%6.7%1.6
Richie James2.91.3002.91.32.8%0.0%5.2%4.2
Darren Sproles2.9-2.51.2-0.81.7-1.73.1%6.1%3.0%0.4
DeAndre Washington2.9-0.72.9-0.7003.9%29.0%0.0%2.2
Geoff Swaim2.8-1002.8-14.0%0.0%6.0%1.8
Lance Kendricks2.8-0.5002.8-0.52.7%0.0%3.8%2.3
Foster Moreau2.7-1.6002.7-1.63.6%0.0%5.2%1.1
Dion Lewis2.70.31.6-0.31.10.62.9%10.6%1.8%3
Xavier Grimble2.6-1.3002.6-1.34.2%0.0%6.6%1.3
Gerald Everett2.60.9002.60.92.7%0.0%4.3%3.5
Steven Sims Jr.2.61.8002.61.82.4%0.0%3.6%4.4
Malcolm Brown2.6-1.91.2-0.51.3-1.32.7%6.7%2.2%0.7
C.J. Ham2.5-1.5002.5-1.53.8%0.0%8.7%1
Vance McDonald2.5-0.5002.5-0.54.0%0.0%6.4%2
Tyler Eifert2.50.3002.50.33.0%0.0%4.5%2.8
Jared Cook2.3-0.6002.3-0.62.9%0.0%5.6%1.7
Logan Thomas2.30.2002.30.22.6%0.0%4.3%2.5
Ty Montgomery2.3-2.21-0.91.3-1.34.6%9.9%4.0%0.1
Charles Clay2.1-0.2002.1-0.22.1%0.0%3.0%1.9
Darwin Thompson2.1-1.32.1-1.3002.3%11.1%0.0%0.8
Calvin Ridley2-0.4002-0.42.3%0.0%3.5%1.6
Alex Armah2-0.40.8-0.41.202.5%4.3%2.8%1.6
Dallas Goedert1.9-1.9001.9-1.92.0%0.0%3.3%0
Bobo Wilson1.9-1.9001.9-1.92.0%0.0%3.1%0
Miles Boykin1.9-1.9001.9-1.91.7%0.0%2.8%0
Byron Pringle1.8-0.1001.8-0.12.0%0.0%3.4%1.7
Robert Foster1.8-1.8001.8-1.81.9%0.0%3.2%0
Trent Sherfield1.8-1.8001.8-1.81.8%0.0%2.6%0
Mike Boone1.811.81002.8%6.4%0.0%2.8
Jesse James1.70.6001.70.61.9%0.0%3.2%2.3
Kyle Rudolph1.60.5001.60.52.5%0.0%5.5%2.1
Dan Vitale1.62.1001.62.12.3%0.0%3.8%3.7
C.J. Uzomah1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.9%0.0%2.9%0
Antony Auclair1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.6%0.0%2.6%0
Ryan Izzo1.63.5001.63.51.4%0.0%2.2%5.1
Andrew Beck1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.7%0.0%3.4%0
Adam Shaheen1.50.2001.50.21.9%0.0%2.9%1.7
Blake Bell1.5-0.4001.5-0.41.7%0.0%2.8%1.1
Alex Erickson1.50.8001.50.81.8%0.0%2.7%2.3
Lee Smith1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.6%0.0%2.6%0
Sean Culkin1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.4%0.0%2.0%0
Ameer Abdullah1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.1%0.0%4.8%0
Ryan Griffin1.40.1001.40.12.8%0.0%4.3%1.5
Jimmy Graham1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.0%0.0%3.3%0
Cedrick Wilson1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.7%0.0%2.9%0
Rhett Ellison1.4-0.1001.4-0.11.4%0.0%2.4%1.3
Nick O'Leary1.41.5001.41.51.5%0.0%2.3%2.9
Jordan Wilkins1.4-1.61.4-1.6001.4%9.2%0.0%-0.2
Justin Hardy1.30.3001.30.31.5%0.0%2.3%1.6
Benny Snell Jr.1.3-0.71.3-0.7002.1%11.0%0.0%0.6
Javon Wims1.20.6001.20.61.5%0.0%2.3%1.8
Reggie Bonnafon1.2-0.71.2-0.7001.5%6.5%0.0%0.5
Nick Bawden1.10.9001.10.91.2%0.0%2.1%2
Kenjon Barner1.10.3001.10.31.3%0.0%1.9%1.4
Durham Smythe0.9-0.9000.9-0.91.0%0.0%1.5%0
Latavius Murray0.9-0.70.9-0.7001.1%3.5%0.0%0.2
J.D. McKissic0.73.70.73.7000.8%3.4%0.0%4.4
Johnny Holton0.60.30.60.3001.0%5.1%0.0%0.9
Derek Watt0.6-0.70.6-0.7000.6%6.9%0.0%-0.1
Ito Smith0.5-0.50.5-0.5000.6%4.7%0.0%0
Mike Davis0.4-0.20.4-0.2000.5%3.4%0.0%0.2
Pharaoh Brown0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Andy Isabella0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Diontae Spencer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
MyCole Pruitt0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Andre Roberts0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gunner Olszewski0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ryan Switzer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Deonte Harris0600000.0%0.0%0.0%6
Darrius Shepherd0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
T.J. Jones0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chad Beebe0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Justin Watson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dalton Schultz0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jamize Olawale0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
De'Anthony Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0

Some Observations

Keenan Allen, Mike Evans, and Tyler Lockett finished as the top wide receivers in terms of EP — no surprises there. At fourth, though, is a tight end not named Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, or George Kittle — more on that TE later. At fifth is a first-round WR coming off his second straight double-digit target game with over 24 PPR points. And no, it’s not Julio Jones (who failed to reach double-digit targets in Week 3). In fact, the only player to have double-digit targets and over 24 PPR points in back-to-back weeks in 2019 is … Nelson Agholor.

Agholor was drafted in the first round, but despite flashing upside potential on occasion, he has never played up to expectations — until now. Dating back to the final two weeks of 2018, Agholor is averaging over 19 PPR points per game and has surpassed 20 PPR points in four of those five games

Agholor hit one of the key metrics we look for when scouring for breakout WRs — he was efficient last year. His early draft position actually appears to be working against his chances for a fifth-year breakout, but if his recent form is any indication, that may not matter.

The TE that I teased earlier is Darren Waller. His 42% target share tied Mike Evans for the top spot in Week 3, and his 13 receptions tied Keenan Allen for the most by any player on the week. Unlike Evans and Allen, Waller did not score a touchdown, which kept him from a monstrous 40-plus PPR outcome enjoyed by both Evans and Allen. As a team, the Raiders did outperform their opportunity, but it was J.J. Nelson and Tyrell Williams who scored TDs. This is particularly frustrating, because Waller boasted an EP that exceeded Nelson’s and Williams’ combined EP by over 10 points.

In Week 2 Teddy Bridgewater took over in the middle of the game for the injured Drew Brees. Alvin Kamara was largely phased out of that game, as he was targeted only three times and recorded only 10.3 EP. Week 3 was a different story, as the New Orleans coaching staff evidently realized that Kamara with the ball in his hands gave them the best chance to win the game. He was targeted 10 times and ended with his second-highest EP total in the last two seasons.

As one of only two players on the week to see double-digit expected points both rushing and receiving, Kamara’s workload appears secure even with Brees out of the lineup.

The other player who managed double-digit expected points in both phases may surprise you: Nick Chubb. He was targeted a season-high seven times against the Rams. Although Chubb only managed four catches for 35 scoreless yards, his opportunity has to be encouraging for owners who spent a first-round pick on him. He is finally starting to look like a prototypical RB1.

Unfortunately, the Browns appear to be in disarray. No team had more total points below expectation than Cleveland’s 38.2. No player on the Brown’s was able to match his opportunity. Even Demetrius Harris, who scored a TD, underperformed his EP by 0.3 points.

Despite that poor performance, one team’s players appear to have been even worse than the Browns. Three Detroit Lions players ranked among the bottom seven in FPOE this week. Kenny Golladay, T.J. Hockenson, and Kerryon Johnson all underperformed expectation by at least seven points. The good news for Johnson owners is that C.J. Anderson’s departure does appear to more highly concentrate the backfield workload. Johnson’s 18.5 EP represent the second-highest total of his career.

You wouldn’t know it by looking at his pass location chart, but Johnson’s air yards per target actually ranks sixth at the position, which is good news for his fantasy outlook going forward. If the Johnson owner in your league is disappointed in his Week 3 results, consider making an offer.

The only other player to have at least 18 EP and to underperform by more than Johnson might not come as a surprise (at least the team he plays for won’t be a surprise). That team is the Miami Dolphins, and the player is Preston Williams. The undrafted rookie out of Colorado State leads his team in EP. And despite his poor Week 3 performance, he is the most efficient player to have appeared in all three games.2 The only rookie WR with more EP through three weeks is Marquise Brown.

Speaking of Brown, although Week 3 was his worst game in terms of fantasy output, it was his best game in terms of total air yards (which don’t factor into expected points).

Look for him to bounce back in short order. If you can sneak him away from an owner who’s only looking at his most recent fantasy outing, you should do so.

2019 Expected Points

PlayerGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Keenan Allen374.213.51-0.773.214.228.7%2.6%44.8%87.7
Christian McCaffrey366.311.736.213.630-1.824.0%77.5%17.0%78
Le'Veon Bell357.4-127.5-11.23010.134.6%96.8%24.8%56.4
Austin Ekeler35722.825.82.231.120.722.0%65.8%19.0%79.8
Julio Jones356.5130056.51319.2%0.0%27.7%69.5
Larry Fitzgerald356.4-1.10056.4-1.118.0%0.0%26.4%55.3
Phillip Lindsay355.6-5.430.6-2.624.9-2.721.6%82.5%15.3%50.2
Alvin Kamara355.312.727.1028.212.733.7%82.4%25.5%68
Michael Thomas352.45.20052.45.232.0%0.0%47.4%57.6
Christian Kirk351.8-8.11.2050.6-8.116.6%3.8%23.7%43.7
Leonard Fournette351.5-10.224-6.127.7-4.323.5%79.5%18.7%41.3
Cooper Kupp350.511.90.40.250.111.726.5%1.4%45.3%62.4
Nick Chubb350.5-2.129.6-0.421.1-219.5%85.3%12.4%48.4
Dalvin Cook349.329.135.625.913.83.131.3%54.6%20.4%78.4
Odell Beckham Jr.3494.800494.818.9%0.0%28.7%53.8
David Johnson348.93.721.6-2.327.3615.6%68.4%12.8%52.6
Mike Evans348.711.20048.711.221.8%0.0%32.5%59.9
Evan Engram347.914.80047.914.825.6%0.0%41.8%62.7
Chris Thompson347.2-7.59.7-5.537.5-224.6%30.8%39.6%39.7
Nelson Agholor345.96.90045.96.917.8%0.0%32.0%52.8
Emmanuel Sanders345.85.60045.85.617.8%0.0%28.1%51.4
Darren Waller345.67.80.7044.97.824.4%1.8%42.1%53.4
Julian Edelman345.6-0.52.1-1.2420.623.1%8.0%24.9%45.1
DeAndre Hopkins345.17.70045.17.722.5%0.0%37.4%52.8
Kenny Golladay344.9-1.30044.9-1.320.7%0.0%34.7%43.6
D.J. Moore343.72.21.3-0.142.42.315.8%2.8%24.0%45.9
Damien Williams343.2-0.219.9-4.323.4423.1%42.9%27.9%43
Derrick Henry342.914.933.35.69.69.319.8%72.9%7.4%57.8
Jamison Crowder342.8-60.9-0.541.9-5.525.8%3.2%34.7%36.8
John Ross342.717.50042.717.519.6%0.0%32.7%60.2
Mark Ingram342.525.434.621.17.94.314.7%41.5%5.2%67.9
Allen Robinson342.3-50042.3-524.1%0.0%45.7%37.3
Marlon Mack342.28.333.9108.3-1.721.4%69.5%8.5%50.5
Curtis Samuel341.8-50.9-0.740.8-4.215.1%1.9%23.1%36.8
Greg Olsen340.89.30040.89.314.8%0.0%23.1%50.1
Mark Andrews340.713.80040.713.814.1%0.0%26.7%54.5
Courtland Sutton340.40.30040.40.315.7%0.0%24.8%40.7
Marquise Brown340.114.10040.114.113.9%0.0%26.3%54.2
Ezekiel Elliott340.19.130.9109.2-0.917.4%73.7%6.4%49.2
James Conner339.5-5.820.6-4.919.1-1.119.3%68.9%14.9%33.7
Chris Carson339.44.524.3-2.315731.2%66.8%16.7%43.9
Rex Burkhead339.31.914.13.125.2-1.219.9%53.4%14.9%41.2
Aaron Jones338.66.628.4710.2-0.417.2%61.6%7.4%45.2
Jarvis Landry338.2-11.10.50.537.7-11.614.8%1.4%22.1%27.1
Austin Hooper33810.7003810.712.9%0.0%18.7%48.7
Delanie Walker337.95.90037.95.917.5%0.0%29.2%43.8
Brandin Cooks337.84.70.80.2374.519.8%2.8%33.4%42.5
Kerryon Johnson337.8-1.529.5-10.98.29.517.5%67.4%6.3%36.3
Joe Mixon337.3-10.420.7-11.916.51.617.1%65.3%12.6%26.9
Cole Beasley337.2-1.10037.2-1.116.5%0.0%30.7%36.1
David Montgomery337.2-6.828.3-7.68.90.821.2%73.1%9.6%30.4
Juju Smith-Schuster337.17.20037.17.218.1%0.0%29.0%44.3
Preston Williams336.6-4.10036.6-4.116.6%0.0%21.9%32.5
Marquez Valdes-Scantling336.1-0.10036.1-0.116.1%0.0%26.3%36
George Kittle335.6-2.10035.6-2.114.1%0.0%25.9%33.5
Amari Cooper335.228.60035.228.615.3%0.0%24.5%63.8
Josh Gordon335.2-0.60.9-0.834.40.117.8%3.4%20.4%34.6
John Brown335.113.90.7-0.334.414.215.6%1.2%28.4%49
Miles Sanders334.8-9.821-10.413.70.713.5%37.2%9.5%25
Frank Gore334.70.529.4-15.31.515.4%50.5%4.4%35.2
Davante Adams3340.800340.815.2%0.0%24.7%34.8
Dede Westbrook333.8-8.30.9-0.333-8.115.4%3.0%22.3%25.5
Devonta Freeman333.7-5.716.9-417-1.911.4%59.9%8.3%28
Chris Godwin333.214.20033.214.214.8%0.0%22.2%47.4
Calvin Ridley332.110.40032.110.410.9%0.0%15.8%42.5
D.K. Metcalf331.84.90031.84.925.2%0.0%35.5%36.7
Paul Richardson331.88.70031.88.716.6%0.0%33.5%40.5
Kenyan Drake331.8-7.111.2-4.320.6-2.814.4%40.1%12.3%24.7
Marvin Jones331.210.20.4030.810.214.4%0.9%23.8%41.4
Mohamed Sanu331-11.2-129.8010.5%4.3%14.6%30
Josh Jacobs330.77.926.58.34.2-0.416.5%69.9%3.9%38.6
Peyton Barber330.5-0.621.11.29.4-1.813.6%80.5%6.3%29.9
LeSean McCoy329.6918.92.910.76.115.8%40.7%12.7%38.6
DeVante Parker329.2-10.10029.2-10.113.2%0.0%17.5%19.1
Raheem Mostert328.88.218.31.910.36.511.4%26.0%7.5%37
D.J. Chark328.7320028.73213.1%0.0%19.4%60.7
Robby Anderson328.2-6.70028.2-6.717.0%0.0%23.3%21.5
Bennie Fowler328.2-5.61.20.827-6.415.1%8.4%23.6%22.6
Damiere Byrd328-6.40028-6.49.0%0.0%13.1%21.6
Jakeem Grant327.5-14.91.2-1.226.3-13.712.4%4.3%15.7%12.6
Matt Breida327.31.419.92.77.4-1.310.8%28.3%5.4%28.7
Danny Amendola327.23.90027.23.912.6%0.0%21.0%31.1
Adam Thielen326.719.733.123.716.617.0%4.6%35.1%46.4
Randall Cobb326.43.31.3-0.225.13.511.5%3.1%17.5%29.7
KeeSean Johnson326.2-6.20026.2-6.28.4%0.0%12.3%20
Deebo Samuel326.28.31.6-124.59.310.4%2.3%17.8%34.5
Jason Witten325.75.70025.75.711.2%0.0%17.9%31.4
Mike Williams325.2-1.50025.2-1.59.7%0.0%15.4%23.7
Mack Hollins224.8-4.60024.8-4.69.6%0.0%17.3%20.2
Kalen Ballage324.5-16.412.2-1012.4-6.511.1%43.7%7.4%8.1
Adrian Peterson223.6-816.2-47.4-412.3%51.4%7.8%15.6
Phillip Dorsett323.427.50.70.522.72711.9%2.7%13.5%50.9
Hunter Renfrow323.2-7.10023.2-7.112.4%0.0%21.8%16.1
Diontae Johnson323.2-0.20.8-0.222.4011.3%2.7%17.5%23
Jeff Wilson223.16.121.57.71.7-1.79.2%30.6%1.2%29.2
Jordan Howard323-2.216.6-0.76.5-1.68.9%29.4%4.5%20.8
Chris Conley322.915.10022.915.110.4%0.0%15.5%38
Carlos Hyde322.93.521.53.71.3-0.111.4%54.2%1.1%26.4
Gus Edwards322.8-7.320-82.80.77.9%24.0%1.8%15.5
Jamaal Williams322.74.512-3.310.87.710.1%26.0%7.9%27.2
Michael Gallup22213.6002213.69.6%0.0%15.3%35.6
A.J. Brown321.6-1.70021.6-1.710.0%0.0%16.6%19.9
Noah Fant321.3-2.90.8-1.320.5-1.68.3%2.2%12.6%18.4
Duke Johnson321.3-0.88.50.512.8-1.310.6%21.4%10.6%20.5
Hayden Hurst321.2-3.60021.2-3.67.3%0.0%13.9%17.6
Demarcus Robinson320.828.70020.828.711.1%0.0%24.8%49.5
James Washington320.8-60020.8-610.2%0.0%16.2%14.8
Corey Davis320.8-6.60020.8-6.69.6%0.0%16.0%14.2
James O'Shaughnessy320.53.30020.53.39.3%0.0%13.9%23.8
Giovani Bernard320.5-6.77.1-3.913.4-2.89.4%22.4%10.3%13.8
Justin Jackson320.21.38.75.511.6-4.37.8%22.2%7.1%21.5
Donte Moncrief220-16.30020-16.39.8%0.0%15.6%3.7
James White2205.13.50.116.64.910.1%13.3%9.8%25.1
Dawson Knox319.510.9018.618.7%1.5%15.4%20.5
Nyheim Hines319.5-5.53.6-1.115.8-4.39.9%7.4%16.3%14
Damion Ratley319.1-2.80019.1-2.87.4%0.0%11.2%16.3
Kenny Stills318.812.60018.812.69.4%0.0%15.6%31.4
Nick Boyle318.6-0.80018.6-0.86.4%0.0%12.2%17.8
Cody Latimer218.5-2.10018.5-2.19.9%0.0%16.2%16.4
Jared Cook318.4-6.50018.4-6.511.2%0.0%16.6%11.9
Jordan Akins318.311.20018.311.29.1%0.0%15.2%29.5
Eric Ebron318.22.80018.22.89.2%0.0%18.7%21
Auden Tate218.2-1.80018.2-1.88.3%0.0%13.9%16.4
DaeSean Hamilton218.1-12.10018.1-12.17.0%0.0%11.1%6
Adam Humphries318.10.70.3-0.217.80.98.3%0.7%13.7%18.8
Malcolm Brown318.15.615.36.42.7-0.79.5%53.3%2.4%23.7
Mecole Hardman31816.50.7017.316.59.6%1.5%20.6%34.5
Breshad Perriman317-11.10.90.416.2-11.67.6%3.4%10.8%5.9
Darren Fells316.90.90016.90.98.4%0.0%14.0%17.8
Mike Gesicki316.5-5.40016.5-5.47.5%0.0%9.9%11.1
Darren Sproles316.5-2.36.90.29.6-2.56.4%12.2%6.7%14.2
C.J. Prosise215.7-1.44.7-3.5112.112.4%12.9%12.3%14.3
Geoff Swaim315.2-3.30015.2-3.36.9%0.0%10.3%11.9
Alshon Jeffery114.97.23.82.511.24.75.8%6.7%7.8%22.1
DeSean Jackson114.820.60014.820.65.7%0.0%10.3%35.4
Antonio Brown114.41.70.9-0.413.52.17.3%3.4%8.0%16.1
Jack Doyle314.21.50014.21.57.2%0.0%14.6%15.7
Geronimo Allison214.2-0.80014.2-0.86.3%0.0%10.3%13.4
Kendrick Bourne314.1-7.60014.1-7.65.6%0.0%10.3%6.5
Dion Lewis313.9-4.24.5-1.69.3-2.56.4%9.8%7.2%9.7
Jimmy Graham313.7-1.70013.7-1.76.1%0.0%10.0%12
Gerald Everett313.6-3.30013.6-3.37.1%0.0%12.3%10.3
Jarius Wright313.6-1.90013.6-1.94.9%0.0%7.7%11.7
Dare Ogunbowale313.510013.516.0%0.0%9.0%14.5
O.J. Howard313.53.30013.53.36.0%0.0%9.0%16.8
David Njoku213.20.50013.20.55.1%0.0%7.7%13.7
Mike Davis313.2-3.33.9-1.79.3-1.67.5%10.1%10.0%9.9
Devin Singletary213.213.34.7148.5-0.75.9%8.1%7.0%26.5
Ito Smith313-1.58-1.750.24.4%28.4%2.5%11.5
Marquise Goodwin312.811.70012.811.75.1%0.0%9.3%24.5
Luke Stocker312.8-7.20012.8-7.24.3%0.0%6.3%5.6
Alexander Mattison312.86.412.86.4008.1%19.6%0.0%19.2
Alex Erickson312.5-10012.5-15.7%0.0%9.6%11.5
Devin Smith212.59.80012.59.85.4%0.0%8.7%22.3
Damion Willis212.3-4.70012.3-4.75.6%0.0%9.4%7.6
Jalen Richard312-3.32.8-0.79.3-2.76.4%7.4%8.7%8.7
Richie James311.94.90011.94.94.7%0.0%8.7%16.8
Jeff Heuerman211.9-1.80011.9-1.84.6%0.0%7.3%10.1
Dante Pettis311.82.70010.92.84.7%0.0%7.9%14.5
Cameron Brate311.7-3.20011.7-3.25.2%0.0%7.8%8.5
Justin Hardy311.4-1.70011.4-1.73.9%0.0%5.6%9.7
Allen Hurns311.3-4.20011.3-4.25.1%0.0%6.8%7.1
Cordarrelle Patterson311.3-2.24.31.97-4.16.4%11.1%7.6%9.1
Justice Hill311-5.83.9-0.77-53.8%4.7%4.6%5.2
Jeremy Sprinkle310.9-3.10010.9-3.15.7%0.0%11.5%7.8
Blake Jarwin310.96.50010.96.54.7%0.0%7.6%17.4
D'Ernest Johnson210.82.82.7-0.58.13.44.2%7.8%4.8%13.6
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside310.5-7.10010.5-7.14.1%0.0%7.3%3.4
Demetrius Harris310.5-1.90010.5-1.94.1%0.0%6.2%8.6
Latavius Murray310.55.75.85.44.60.46.4%17.6%4.2%16.2
C.J. Uzomah210.40.20010.40.24.8%0.0%8.0%10.6
Jaron Brown210.3-4.30010.3-4.38.2%0.0%11.5%6
Kyle Rudolph310.2-4.20010.2-4.26.5%0.0%15.1%6
Chase Edmonds310.2-2.52.6-0.47.6-2.13.3%8.2%3.6%7.7
Dontrelle Inman39.9-1.3009.9-1.33.8%0.0%6.1%8.6
Parris Campbell39.65.80.50.29.15.64.9%1.0%9.4%15.4
Marcedes Lewis39.4-3.1009.4-3.14.2%0.0%6.8%6.3
Miles Boykin39.30.3009.30.33.2%0.0%6.1%9.6
Adam Shaheen39.1-0.4009.1-0.45.2%0.0%9.8%8.7
Jesse James39.10.5009.10.54.2%0.0%7.0%9.6
Braxton Berrios38.8-3.9008.8-3.95.3%0.0%7.3%4.9
Kyle Juszczyk38.81.40.608.11.53.5%0.9%5.9%10.2
Rashaad Penny28.86.57.46.61.4-0.17.0%20.3%1.6%15.3
Deon Cain38.7-1.2008.7-1.24.4%0.0%9.0%7.5
Devin Funchess18.7-2.5008.7-2.54.4%0.0%9.0%6.2
Derrius Guice18.7-1.94.8-33.91.14.5%15.2%4.1%6.8
DeAndre Washington38.6-0.15.5-1.631.64.6%14.5%2.8%8.5
Malik Turner28.24.1008.24.16.5%0.0%9.1%12.3
Anthony Miller38.1-4.4008.1-4.44.6%0.0%8.7%3.7
J.J. Nelson18.15.5008.15.54.3%0.0%7.6%13.6
Michael Crabtree28.1-1.9008.1-1.92.6%0.0%3.8%6.2
Cody Core27.9-2.1007.9-2.14.2%0.0%6.9%5.8
Isaiah McKenzie27.77.62.4-15.38.63.4%4.1%4.4%15.3
C.J. Anderson27.7-3.47.7-3.4003.6%17.6%0.0%4.3
Nick Vannett37.60.2007.60.26.0%0.0%8.5%7.8
Irv Smith Jr.27.52.4007.52.44.8%0.0%11.1%9.9
Darius Slayton17.43.8007.43.84.0%0.0%6.5%11.2
Josh Reynolds27.3-7.3007.3-7.33.8%0.0%6.6%0
Hunter Henry17.32.7007.32.72.8%0.0%4.5%10
Jakobi Meyers27200723.5%0.0%4.2%9
Jonnu Smith26.701.3-0.35.40.33.1%2.8%4.2%6.7
Jaylen Samuels26.7-12.6-0.44.2-0.73.3%8.7%3.3%5.7
C.J. Ham26.6-5.6006.6-5.64.2%0.0%9.8%1
Derek Carrier16.6-0.3006.6-0.33.5%0.0%6.2%6.3
Dallas Goedert26.6-3006.6-32.6%0.0%4.6%3.6
Albert Wilson16.5-3.10.5-0.46-2.72.9%1.8%3.6%3.4
Chester Rogers26.4-1006.4-13.3%0.0%6.6%5.4
Mo Alie-Cox36.4-0.6006.4-0.63.3%0.0%6.6%5.8
Chris Hogan36.3-2.5006.3-2.52.3%0.0%3.6%3.8
Darius Jennings36-3.9006-3.92.8%0.0%4.6%2.1
Robert Tonyan Jr.26-0.8006-0.82.7%0.0%4.4%5.2
Charles Clay36-1006-11.9%0.0%2.8%5
Keke Coutee15.9-3.2005.9-3.22.9%0.0%4.9%2.7
Foster Moreau25.8-0.7005.8-0.73.1%0.0%5.4%5.1
Rhett Ellison35.8-0.9005.8-0.93.1%0.0%5.1%4.9
Josh Hill25.6-3.4005.6-3.43.4%0.0%5.1%2.2
Brandon Bolden25.5-0.91.5-140.12.8%5.7%2.4%4.6
Alex Armah25.22.542.51.201.9%8.6%0.7%7.7
Patrick Ricard25.13.3005.13.31.8%0.0%3.3%8.4
Johnny Holton35.1-4.20.60.34.5-4.52.5%2.0%3.5%0.9
J.D. McKissic35.13.92.22.42.91.52.4%5.0%2.2%9
Jordan Wilkins254.43.74.31.30.12.5%7.6%1.3%9.4
Robert Foster24.9-4.9004.9-4.92.2%0.0%4.0%0
Mark Walton24.8-11.7-0.13.1-0.92.2%6.1%1.9%3.8
Blake Bell34.7-1.9004.7-1.92.5%0.0%5.6%2.8
Quincy Enunwa14.6-4004.6-2.82.8%0.0%3.8%0.6
Rashard Higgins14.62004.621.8%0.0%2.7%6.6
Josh Bellamy24.5-0.5004.5-0.52.7%0.0%3.7%4
Drew Sample24.50004.502.1%0.0%3.4%4.5
Chad Beebe34.44.6004.44.62.8%0.0%6.5%9
David Moore14.4-0.5004.4-0.53.5%0.0%4.9%3.9
Patrick DiMarco24.4-0.10.4-0.340.22.0%0.7%3.3%4.3
Ben Braunecker14.20.2004.20.22.4%0.0%4.5%4.4
Dontrell Hilliard14.14.71.64.82.5-0.11.6%4.6%1.5%8.8
Darwin Thompson34-1.82.6-1.71.4-0.12.1%5.6%1.7%2.2
Logan Thomas23.80.4003.80.41.8%0.0%2.9%4.2
Derek Watt33.8-2.21.6-1.32.2-0.91.5%4.1%1.3%1.6
Javon Wims23.7-1.9003.7-1.92.1%0.0%4.0%1.8
Ameer Abdullah33.4-2.42-11.4-1.42.2%3.1%2.1%1
Kelvin Harmon13.31.8003.31.81.7%0.0%3.5%5.1
Maxx Williams23.32.3003.32.31.1%0.0%1.5%5.6
Matt LaCosse13.22.1003.22.11.6%0.0%1.9%5.3
Ricky Seals-Jones13.1-0.7003.1-0.71.2%0.0%1.8%2.4
Lee Smith22.9-1.1002.9-1.11.3%0.0%2.4%1.8
Demaryius Thomas12.8-1.9002.8-1.91.7%0.0%2.3%0.9
Lance Kendricks12.8-0.5002.8-0.51.1%0.0%1.7%2.3
Nick O'Leary22.71.8002.71.81.2%0.0%1.6%4.5
James Develin12.7-2.42.7-2.4001.4%10.2%0.0%0.3
De'Anthony Thomas22.4-0.8002.4-0.81.3%0.0%2.9%1.6
Nick Bawden32.40.6002.40.61.1%0.0%1.9%3
Durham Smythe22.31.1002.31.11.0%0.0%1.4%3.4
Bobo Wilson31.9-1.9001.9-1.90.8%0.0%1.3%0
Byron Pringle21.8-0.1001.8-0.11.0%0.0%2.1%1.7
Mike Boone11.811.81001.1%2.8%0.0%2.8
Elijhaa Penny11.7-1.41.7-1.4000.9%11.9%0.0%0.3
Benny Snell Jr.21.71.21.71.2000.8%5.7%0.0%2.9
Dan Vitale11.62.1001.62.10.7%0.0%1.2%3.7
Antony Auclair11.6-1.6001.6-1.60.7%0.0%1.1%0
Pharaoh Brown21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.6%0.0%0.9%0
Anthony Sherman11.51001.510.8%0.0%1.8%2.5
Dwayne Harris21.50.2001.50.20.8%0.0%1.4%1.7
DeAndre Carter31.5-0.6001.5-0.60.7%0.0%1.2%0.9
MyCole Pruitt21.5-1.5001.5-1.50.7%0.0%1.2%0
Jake Kumerow11.50.7001.50.70.7%0.0%1.1%2.2
Andrew Beck11.5-1.5001.5-1.50.6%0.0%0.9%0
Deonte Harris31.44.9001.4-1.10.9%0.0%1.3%6.3
Cedrick Wilson21.4-1.4001.4-1.40.6%0.0%1.0%0
Jamize Olawale21.4-1.4001.4-1.40.6%0.0%1.0%0
Ian Thomas11.4-1.4001.4-1.40.5%0.0%0.8%0
Darrell Henderson11.3-1.31.3-1.3000.7%4.5%0.0%0
Reggie Bonnafon11.2-0.71.2-0.7000.4%2.6%0.0%0.5
Kenjon Barner31.10.3001.10.30.4%0.0%0.5%1.4
Andre Roberts10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Andy Isabella20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cethan Carter10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Manhertz10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dalton Schultz10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Darrius Shepherd10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Diontae Spencer30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gunner Olszewski30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Justin Watson10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matthew Slater10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Image Credit: Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Nelson Agholor.

  1. Cumulative season-long data is included at the end of the article.  (back)
  2. He’s still underperforming expectations, but give him a break — he plays for the Dolphins.  (back)

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