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Market Share Leaders and the EP Double-Double: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look out how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency metric that accounts for both yards and touchdowns in a single number. Add EP (opportunity) and FPOE (efficiency) together, and you get a player’s actual fantasy output.

This weekly article will look at some of the leaders in expected points and try to tease out how fantasy gamers can take advantage of these various volume and efficiency situations. Week 6 was the proverbial comedown off of Week 5’s high, with only one player scoring more than 35 PPR points across the league.1 Let’s hope this withdrawal lasts only one week, and in the meantime we’ll look back at the workloads that led us here. First, the Week 6 data:2

Week 6 Expected Points

PlayerEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Mike Evans28.1-7.50028.1-7.524.1%0.0%33.6%20.6
DeAndre Hopkins25.1-8.60025.1-8.619.7%0.0%33.4%16.5
Ezekiel Elliott24.71.615.60.99.10.725.9%79.2%15.7%26.3
David Johnson24.63.613.2-3.811.47.424.6%61.1%19.4%28.2
Christian McCaffrey23.5-1.816.3-7.27.25.429.0%70.0%16.0%21.7
Nick Chubb23.57.414.99.38.5-1.824.3%78.0%14.6%30.9
Tevin Coleman23.4-9.317.2-6.76.1-2.522.7%56.2%11.3%14.1
Julian Edelman23.3-30023.3-320.9%0.0%37.5%20.3
Chris Carson22.63.3171.45.61.922.9%55.9%10.8%25.9
Michael Thomas22.1-5.20022.1-5.223.9%0.0%39.0%16.9
James Conner21.29.711.6-1.59.611.233.7%50.9%31.5%30.9
Kerryon Johnson20.2-6.113.5-4.16.7-221.6%75.0%11.6%14.1
Alshon Jeffery19.83.80019.83.821.6%0.0%31.7%23.6
Stefon Diggs19.823.71.50.318.323.422.8%5.9%39.0%43.5
Leonard Fournette19.5-1.79.8-2.69.70.927.9%77.2%21.6%17.8
Chris Godwin19.45.70019.45.716.6%0.0%23.2%25.1
Kenyan Drake19-65.6-1.613.4-4.419.3%35.0%20.9%13
Odell Beckham Jr.19-2.90019-2.919.6%0.0%32.5%16.1
Auden Tate18.9-4.80018.9-4.821.1%0.0%31.2%14.1
Carlos Hyde18.61.417.20.41.4114.6%59.5%1.9%20
Tyreek Hill17.47.60017.47.621.9%0.0%30.2%25
Alvin Kamara16.8-3.24.9-1.811.9-1.418.2%28.2%21.0%13.6
Mike Williams16.7-4.50016.7-4.517.0%0.0%23.8%12.2
Hunter Henry161400161416.3%0.0%22.8%30
Dalvin Cook15.9-2.512.9-2.82.90.418.3%50.6%6.2%13.4
Adrian Peterson15.6012.3-0.53.30.521.6%58.3%8.3%15.6
Jamaal Williams15.687.82.67.85.416.6%49.7%12.9%23.6
Kenny Golladay15.31.80015.31.816.4%0.0%26.6%17.1
Devonta Freeman1511.88.9-0.16.111.917.0%65.9%11.0%26.8
D.J. Moore14.80.80.80.5140.318.3%3.4%31.2%15.6
Will Fuller14.5-5.10014.5-5.111.4%0.0%19.3%9.4
Aaron Jones14.3-4.34.9-0.29.3-415.2%31.2%15.4%10
Courtland Sutton14.2-2.60014.2-2.620.1%0.0%33.6%11.6
Sony Michel14.2-0.99.5-0.94.7012.7%28.8%7.6%13.3
Mark Ingram14.11.392.25.1-0.914.5%28.6%10.1%15.4
Phillip Lindsay14.11.49.13.95-2.519.9%58.0%11.8%15.5
Adam Thielen13.93.80.7-0.713.24.516.0%2.7%28.1%17.7
James White13.7-0.21.1-1.212.6112.3%3.3%20.3%13.5
Austin Hooper13.612.10013.612.115.4%0.0%24.5%25.7
Delanie Walker13.41.20013.41.216.7%0.0%24.2%14.6
Rhett Ellison13.4-7.40013.4-7.421.3%0.0%29.7%6
Golden Tate13.38.90013.38.921.1%0.0%29.5%22.2
Jamison Crowder13.32.50013.32.516.0%0.0%25.9%15.8
Julio Jones13.25.60013.25.615.0%0.0%23.8%18.8
Le'Veon Bell13.2-0.911.5-0.51.7-0.415.8%72.3%3.3%12.3
Larry Fitzgerald13-0.10013-0.113.0%0.0%22.1%12.9
Robby Anderson1310.5001310.515.6%0.0%25.3%23.5
T.J. Hockenson12.9-6.80012.9-6.813.8%0.0%22.4%6.1
Dede Westbrook12.8-4.50012.8-4.518.3%0.0%28.5%8.3
Mark Andrews12.83.10012.83.113.2%0.0%25.4%15.9
Zach Ertz12.4-30012.4-313.6%0.0%19.9%9.4
Terry McLaurin12.313.70012.313.717.0%0.0%31.0%26
Darren Fells12.20.70012.20.79.6%0.0%16.2%12.9
George Kittle12.16.20012.16.211.7%0.0%22.3%18.3
Matt Breida12.1-1.86.1-2.560.711.7%19.9%11.1%10.3
Keke Coutee12-4.10012-4.19.4%0.0%16.0%7.9
Royce Freeman11.90.75.1-1.76.82.416.8%32.5%16.1%12.6
Darius Slayton11.8-5.60011.8-5.618.7%0.0%26.2%6.2
Derrick Henry11.8-7.57.8-54-2.514.7%70.9%7.2%4.3
Tyler Boyd11.7-7.70011.7-7.713.1%0.0%19.3%4
Dante Pettis11.6-4.10011.6-4.111.2%0.0%21.4%7.5
Nelson Agholor11.6-3.40011.6-3.412.7%0.0%18.6%8.2
Jason Witten11.5-0.80011.5-0.812.1%0.0%19.8%10.7
Michael Gallup11.5-2.70011.5-2.712.1%0.0%19.8%8.8
Curtis Samuel11.412.41.45.49.97.114.1%6.0%22.0%23.8
Mark Walton11.41.12.80.48.60.711.6%17.5%13.4%12.5
Malcolm Brown11.2-7.211.2-7.20017.6%60.5%0.0%4
Alex Erickson11.1-0.70.61.110.5-1.812.4%5.4%17.4%10.4
Deebo Samuel11.1-6.20.4-0.310.6-5.810.7%1.3%19.6%4.9
Scott Miller11-4.10011-4.19.4%0.0%13.1%6.9
Jaron Brown10.77.20010.77.210.8%0.0%20.6%17.9
Geronimo Allison10.6-3.60010.6-3.611.3%0.0%17.5%7
Travis Kelce10.6-0.80010.6-0.813.3%0.0%18.4%9.8
Dallas Goedert10.4-0.60010.4-0.611.4%0.0%16.7%9.8
Calvin Ridley10.14.70010.14.711.5%0.0%18.2%14.8
Greg Olsen10.1-0.90010.1-0.912.5%0.0%22.5%9.2
Mike Gesicki10.1-20010.1-210.3%0.0%15.8%8.1
Preston Williams9.8-4.7009.8-4.710.0%0.0%15.3%5.1
Ted Ginn9.8-30.60.59.1-3.510.6%3.4%16.0%6.8
Ricky Seals-Jones9.74009.7410.0%0.0%16.6%13.7
Keenan Allen9.6-4.3009.6-4.39.8%0.0%13.7%5.3
D.J. Chark9.5-2.2009.5-2.213.6%0.0%21.2%7.3
Alexander Mattison9.4-3.19.4-3.10010.8%36.9%0.0%6.3
Benny Snell Jr.9.40.58.1-0.61.31.114.9%35.5%4.3%9.9
Adam Humphries9.31.4009.31.411.6%0.0%16.8%10.7
KeeSean Johnson9.3-5.9009.3-5.99.3%0.0%15.8%3.4
Brandon Bolden9.23.36.41.92.81.48.2%19.4%4.5%12.5
Albert Wilson9.1-2.6009.1-2.69.3%0.0%14.2%6.5
Jimmy Graham9.1-5.4009.1-5.49.7%0.0%15.1%3.7
Joe Mixon9.1-3.25.1-4.140.910.2%45.5%6.6%5.9
Nick Boyle9.1-5.3009.1-5.39.4%0.0%18.1%3.8
Tyler Lockett93.81.2-0.97.84.79.1%3.9%15.0%12.8
Melvin Gordon8.8-13.6-1.85.20.89.0%57.1%7.4%7.8
Cooper Kupp8.7-3008.7-313.7%0.0%24.4%5.7
Jarvis Landry8.7-2.1008.7-2.19.0%0.0%14.9%6.6
Marvin Jones8.7-5008.7-59.3%0.0%15.1%3.7
Tavon Austin8.62.8008.62.89.0%0.0%14.8%11.4
Latavius Murray8.52.44.10.34.42.19.2%23.6%7.8%10.9
Allen Lazard8.48.1008.48.18.9%0.0%13.9%16.5
Cedrick Wilson8.41.2008.41.28.8%0.0%14.5%9.6
Juju Smith-Schuster8.4-6.7008.4-6.713.3%0.0%27.5%1.7
Austin Ekeler8.3-2.52.2-0.86-1.68.5%34.9%8.5%5.8
D.K. Metcalf8.330.8-0.47.53.48.4%2.6%14.4%11.3
Demaryius Thomas8.31.9008.31.910.0%0.0%16.2%10.2
Duke Johnson8.15.32.415.64.46.3%8.3%7.4%13.4
Travis Benjamin8.1-7.1008.1-7.18.3%0.0%11.5%1
Dare Ogunbowale83.51.54.86.5-1.36.9%15.5%7.8%11.5
Robert Woods8-0.42.15.55.9-5.912.6%11.4%16.5%7.6
Cameron Brate7.94.8007.94.86.8%0.0%9.4%12.7
Jordan Howard7.8-2.97.8-2.9008.5%65.0%0.0%4.9
Chris Thompson7.6-3.61.4-0.26.2-3.410.5%6.6%15.6%4
Darrell Henderson7.6-1.83.903.7-1.811.9%21.1%10.4%5.8
Corey Davis7.5-0.9007.5-0.99.4%0.0%13.5%6.6
Gus Edwards7.5-4.17.5-4.1007.7%23.8%0.0%3.4
Willie Snead7.5-2.7007.5-2.77.7%0.0%14.9%4.8
Giovani Bernard7.4-32.4-25-18.3%21.4%8.3%4.4
Ryan Griffin7.44.4007.44.48.9%0.0%14.4%11.8
A.J. Brown7.3-3007.3-39.1%0.0%13.2%4.3
Chase Edmonds7.27.52.414.86.57.2%11.1%8.2%14.7
Jonathan Hilliman7.2-1.74.9-1.12.3-0.611.4%72.1%5.1%5.5
Mohamed Sanu7.2-1.3007.2-1.38.2%0.0%13.0%5.9
Paul Richardson7.2-7.20.8-0.86.4-6.410.0%3.8%16.1%0
Kalen Ballage7.1-0.47.1-0.4007.2%44.4%0.0%6.7
LeSean McCoy7.1-0.74.5-0.12.6-0.68.9%86.5%4.5%6.4
Gerald Everett6.9-4006.9-410.8%0.0%19.3%2.9
Maxx Williams6.95.5006.95.56.9%0.0%11.8%12.4
Demarcus Robinson6.8-6.8006.8-6.88.6%0.0%11.8%0
Jared Cook6.76006.767.3%0.0%11.8%12.7
Mecole Hardman6.71.8006.71.88.4%0.0%11.6%8.5
Pharoh Cooper6.7-1.90.7-0.56-1.46.7%3.2%10.2%4.8
Ryan Izzo6.6-1.5006.6-1.55.9%0.0%10.6%5.1
DeVante Parker6.55.3006.55.36.6%0.0%10.1%11.8
Jakobi Meyers6.52.9006.52.95.8%0.0%10.5%9.4
Antonio Callaway6.4-2.2006.4-2.26.6%0.0%11.0%4.2
J.D. McKissic6.4-3.32.2-1.84.3-1.66.8%12.2%7.5%3.1
C.J. Prosise6.1-2.82.6-1.83.5-16.2%8.6%6.7%3.3
Luke Willson6.1-2.5006.1-2.56.2%0.0%11.7%3.6
O.J. Howard6.1-0.6006.1-0.65.2%0.0%7.3%5.5
Brandin Cooks5.90.310.44.9-0.19.3%5.4%13.7%6.2
David Moore5.90.7005.90.76.0%0.0%11.3%6.6
Trey Quinn5.9-3.1005.9-3.18.2%0.0%14.9%2.8
Miles Sanders5.812.41.5-0.94.413.26.3%12.5%7.1%18.2
Kyle Rudolph5.51.1005.51.16.3%0.0%11.7%6.6
Emmanuel Sanders5.4-4.4005.4-4.47.6%0.0%12.8%1
Blake Jarwin5.2-2.6005.2-2.65.5%0.0%9.0%2.6
Geoff Swaim5.2-3.7005.2-3.77.4%0.0%11.6%1.5
Chris Conley5-5005-57.1%0.0%11.1%0
Dion Lewis5-0.10.4-0.54.60.46.2%3.6%8.3%4.9
Byron Pringle4.9-0.5004.9-0.56.2%0.0%8.5%4.4
Marquise Goodwin4.8-1.3004.8-1.34.6%0.0%8.9%3.5
Bobo Wilson4.7-2.7004.7-2.74.0%0.0%5.6%2
Noah Fant4.7-1.1004.7-1.16.6%0.0%11.1%3.6
Ty Montgomery4.70004.705.6%0.0%9.2%4.7
Chris Moore4.6-0.8004.6-0.84.7%0.0%9.1%3.8
Darrius Shepherd4.6-3.5004.6-3.54.9%0.0%7.6%1.1
Miles Boykin4.60.2004.60.24.7%0.0%9.1%4.8
Jake Kumerow4.5-0.8004.5-0.84.8%0.0%7.5%3.7
C.J. Uzomah4.40.2004.40.24.9%0.0%7.3%4.6
Jordan Akins4.42.5004.42.53.4%0.0%5.9%6.9
Tyler Higbee4.41.1004.41.16.9%0.0%12.3%5.5
Elijhaa Penny4.3-2.71.4-0.82.9-1.96.8%20.6%6.4%1.6
Irv Smith Jr.4.20.7004.20.74.8%0.0%9.0%4.9
Jeremy Sprinkle4.20.2004.20.25.8%0.0%10.6%4.4
Darrel Williams4.12.1004.12.15.2%0.0%7.1%6.2
Dontrell Hilliard4.1-0.4004.1-0.44.2%0.0%7.0%3.7
Gunner Olszewski4.11.3004.11.33.7%0.0%6.6%5.4
Marquez Valdes-Scantling4.13.61-0.13.13.74.4%6.4%5.1%7.7
Mack Hollins3.8-3.8003.8-3.84.2%0.0%6.1%0
Peyton Barber3.8-13.8-1003.3%39.2%0.0%2.8
Jarius Wright3.7-2.1003.7-2.14.6%0.0%8.2%1.6
Jason Moore3.62.7003.62.73.7%0.0%5.1%6.3
Jonnu Smith3.4-1.6003.4-1.64.2%0.0%6.1%1.8
Virgil Green3.4-0.9003.4-0.93.5%0.0%4.8%2.5
Allen Hurns3.30.3003.30.33.4%0.0%5.1%3.6
Seth Roberts3.31003.313.4%0.0%6.5%4.3
Damiere Byrd3.14.9003.14.93.1%0.0%5.3%8
Tyler Eifert3.10.2003.10.23.5%0.0%5.1%3.3
DaeSean Hamilton31.50031.54.2%0.0%7.1%4.5
Diontae Johnson30.40030.44.8%0.0%9.8%3.4
Marcedes Lewis3400343.2%0.0%5.0%7
Darius Jennings2.9-2.9002.9-2.93.6%0.0%5.2%0
Donte Moncrief2.9-0.8002.9-0.84.6%0.0%9.5%2.1
Charles Clay2.80002.802.8%0.0%4.8%2.8
Ito Smith2.8-2.22.8-2.2003.2%20.7%0.0%0.6
Ronald Jones2.84.22.84.2002.4%28.9%0.0%7
Amari Cooper2.7-1.4002.7-1.42.8%0.0%4.6%1.3
Seth DeValve2.7-0.1002.7-0.13.9%0.0%6.0%2.6
Jesse James2.5-0.7002.5-0.72.7%0.0%4.3%1.8
Josh Hill2.5-0.7002.5-0.72.7%0.0%4.4%1.8
Justice Hill2.50.62.50.6002.6%7.9%0.0%3.1
Danny Amendola2.4-0.8002.4-0.82.6%0.0%4.2%1.6
Will Dissly2.3-2.3002.3-2.32.3%0.0%4.4%0
Damien Williams2.16.90.40.21.76.72.6%7.7%3.0%9
Raheem Mostert2.1-0.82.1-0.8002.0%6.9%0.0%1.3
Russell Gage2.1-0.5002.1-0.52.4%0.0%3.8%1.6
Bilal Powell1.9-1.40.501.4-1.42.3%3.1%2.7%0.5
Hayden Hurst1.9-0.5001.9-0.52.0%0.0%3.8%1.4
Logan Thomas1.9-1.9001.9-1.92.0%0.0%3.3%0
Nick O'Leary1.9-0.6001.9-0.61.9%0.0%3.0%1.3
Olabisi Johnson1.90.7001.90.72.2%0.0%4.1%2.6
Boston Scott1.81.21.81.2002.0%15.0%0.0%3
Fred Brown1.6-0.1001.6-0.12.3%0.0%3.8%1.5
Geremy Davis1.60.7001.60.71.6%0.0%2.3%2.3
Jaeden Graham1.61.5001.61.51.8%0.0%2.9%3.1
Josh Gordon1.60.1001.60.11.4%0.0%2.6%1.7
Kendrick Bourne1.60.5001.60.51.5%0.0%3.0%2.1
Luke Stocker1.6-0.6001.6-0.61.8%0.0%2.9%1
Tajae Sharpe1.6-1.6001.6-1.62.0%0.0%2.9%0
Tony Pollard1.6-0.31.6-0.3001.7%8.1%0.0%1.3
Andy Janovich1.50.3001.50.32.1%0.0%3.6%1.8
De'Anthony Thomas1.5-1.100.41.6-1.61.9%0.0%2.8%0.4
Drew Sample1.5-0.6001.5-0.61.7%0.0%2.5%0.9
Johnny Holton1.5-1.5001.5-1.52.4%0.0%4.9%0
Marvin Hall1.55.3001.55.31.6%0.0%2.6%6.8
Patrick Ricard1.50.1001.50.11.5%0.0%3.0%1.6
Vyncint Smith1.50001.501.8%0.0%2.9%1.5
Anthony Firkser1.42.1001.42.11.7%0.0%2.5%3.5
Cody Latimer1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.2%0.0%3.1%0
Damion Willis1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.6%0.0%2.3%0
Isaiah Ford1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.4%0.0%2.2%0
Kelvin Harmon1.40.4001.40.41.9%0.0%3.5%1.8
Levine Toilolo1.40.4001.40.41.4%0.0%2.6%1.8
Malik Turner1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.4%0.0%2.7%0
Nick Bawden1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.5%0.0%2.4%0
Nick Vannett1.40.1001.40.12.2%0.0%4.6%1.5
Trent Sherfield1.43.4001.43.41.4%0.0%2.4%4.8
Vance McDonald1.40.1001.40.12.2%0.0%4.6%1.5
Ryquell Armstead1.3-1.21.3-1.2001.9%10.2%0.0%0.1
Blake Bell1.2-1.2001.2-1.21.5%0.0%2.1%0
Josh Reynolds1.2-1.2001.2-1.21.9%0.0%3.4%0
Nick Bellore1.21.8001.21.81.2%0.0%2.3%3
Dalton Schultz1.10.5001.10.51.2%0.0%1.9%1.6
Demetrius Harris1.10.9001.10.91.1%0.0%1.9%2
Dalyn Dawkins1-0.81-0.8001.2%9.1%0.0%0.2
Ryan Switzer1-0.2001-0.21.6%0.0%3.3%0.8
Laquon Treadwell0.91.6000.91.61.0%0.0%1.9%2.5
Pharaoh Brown0.91000.910.9%0.0%1.5%1.9
Alex Armah0.8-0.40.8-0.4001.0%3.4%0.0%0.4
Keith Smith0.8-0.60.8-0.6000.9%5.9%0.0%0.2
Steven Sims Jr.0.7-0.60.7-0.6001.0%3.3%0.0%0.1
Marqise Lee0.6-0.50.6-0.5000.9%4.7%0.0%0.1
Wendell Smallwood0.5-0.10.5-0.1000.7%2.4%0.0%0.4
Brandon Zylstra0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Braxton Berrios0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Manhertz0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Deonte Harris0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Diontae Spencer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Justin Hardy0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Kenjon Barner0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Mike Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Richie James0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Troymaine Pope0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0

Some Observations

The Importance of Market Share Metrics

Stefon Diggs finally reminded you why you drafted him, leading all Week 6 players with 43.5 PPR points. He saw more than seven targets for the first time all season which helped him also surpass 12.3 total EP for the first time all season.3

While his 19.8 EP were easily a season high, it didn’t even land him in the top 12 among non-quarterbacks on the week. Four other WRs surpassed 20 EP, with Mike Evans leading the way on his 17 targets. But Diggs did lead the way in market share of targets and market share of receiving EP, accounting for nearly 40% of the Vikings’ receiving workload.

Market share of EP turns out to be a surprisingly predictive stat, mainly because overall team EP are not sticky at all:

Only seven teams ranked lower in receiving EP than Minnesota in Week 6. Furthermore, despite the narrative that recent weeks have represented an increase in passing opportunity, Week 6 also represented Minnesota’s third-lowest receiving EP total of the season.

As Minnesota’s team receiving EP continues to fluctuate, Diggs’ share of the overall opportunity suggests that more big games may be in store. Adam Thielen also saw over 28% of the team’s total receiving EP — commensurate with his season-long average — meaning Diggs’ big day did not come at Thielen’s expense.

Still, on the season, only the Jets rank lower than Minnesota in total receiving EP. Much of that can be explained by Week 1’s absurd game script, which required Kirk Cousins to throw the ball only 10 times. Week 3 wasn’t much better, with Cousins attempting only 21 passes. But in every other game he’s attempted at least 27 passes — certainly not what you’d hope to see considering his receiving weapons, but not as disastrous as the season-long totals suggest. In other words, if you’re thinking this is the time to sell high on Diggs, I’m saying you might want to hold onto him.4

The Expected Points Double-Double

Week 6 was also a good week for another of my favorite and highest-owned players, as David Johnson saw double-digit expected points as both a rusher and a receiver. He was slightly inefficient as a rusher, which kept him from having a truly week-winning day, but his 28 PPR points are an encouraging sign. Johnson is quietly having a top-six RB season, with RB1 finishes in five out of six weeks.

Still, this performance is admittedly a little disappointing for a player who surpassed 400 total PPR points in 2016. However, that 400-point season was built mainly on the sort of workload we saw in Week 6, with double-digit expected points in both phases of the game. The good news is Week 6 wasn’t an aberration, as Johnson is averaging double-digit receiving expected points on the season.

Where he’s falling short is in the rushing department, and given his inefficiency in that area coupled with Chase Edmonds’ efficiency, you can hardly blame the Cardinals for letting Edmonds cut into Johnson’s rushing workload. Nevertheless, if Johnson can improve his efficiency and earn some high-leverage rushing touches, we might yet see him ascend to the top of the RB rankings.

Only one player is currently averaging the expected points double-double, and it probably isn’t hard to guess who that is. Christian McCaffrey is averaging 13 ruEP and 10.6 reEP on the season, giving him a total EP average that’s actually higher than Johnson’s 2016 average.

McCaffrey predictably had one of his worst games of the season against Tampa Bay,5 and he doesn’t have many positive matchups left. But he’s also played arguably the most difficult RB schedule so far this season.

His 480-plus-point pace might not be as unsustainable as one would think.

2019 Expected Points

PlayerGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Christian McCaffrey6141.439.977.82663.813.727.8%77.3%20.2%181.3
Leonard Fournette6117.2-7.962.81.654.3-9.524.4%78.4%17.4%109.3
Cooper Kupp6113.38.41.1-0.7112.29.118.9%1.1%28.5%121.7
Austin Ekeler6112.926.2411.171.825.219.8%55.5%19.0%139.1
David Johnson6109.212.148.8-760.319.218.9%54.6%16.3%121.3
Michael Thomas6107.626.600107.626.621.7%0.0%34.7%134.2
Dalvin Cook610632.669.32536.88.825.7%57.1%16.5%138.6
Nick Chubb6102.626.965.930.736.7-3.920.3%78.3%11.5%129.5
Keenan Allen6102.46.21-0.7101.46.918.0%1.4%26.9%108.6
Alvin Kamara6101.98.747.1-3.854.112.520.6%52.2%17.4%110.6
Ezekiel Elliott6101.29.967.711.433.5-1.519.5%65.7%10.4%111.1
Chris Carson6100.76.966.1-3.534.610.520.3%58.5%11.9%107.6
Aaron Jones6100.122.159.523.440.5-1.218.4%61.2%12.1%122.2
Julian Edelman696.21.22.1-1.292.52.416.4%1.8%26.1%97.4
Mike Evans694.54.90094.54.917.6%0.0%27.3%99.4
Tyler Boyd694.2-6.40.4-0.193.8-6.316.9%0.6%24.7%87.8
DeAndre Hopkins692.9-0.70093.80.417.9%0.0%29.0%92.2
Julio Jones69212.80.6-0.591.413.315.3%0.8%22.5%104.8
Larry Fitzgerald691.1-1.40091.1-1.415.8%0.0%24.6%89.7
Chris Godwin690.854.40090.854.416.9%0.0%26.2%145.2
Odell Beckham Jr.690.2-9.11.10.489-10.417.9%1.3%27.8%81.1
Le'Veon Bell589.3-4.845.6-1443.89.126.2%79.3%19.7%84.5
Phillip Lindsay689.18.352.611.136.5-2.817.8%54.3%11.9%97.4
Robert Woods688.1-9.76.75.281.4-14.914.7%7.0%20.7%78.4
Zach Ertz687.7-10.10087.7-10.115.7%0.0%25.3%77.6
James Conner68715.646.2-4.740.920.218.9%58.5%13.5%102.6
Derrick Henry6861.769.7-4.216.55.719.9%73.6%6.3%87.7
Austin Hooper682.727.30082.727.313.8%0.0%20.3%110
Travis Kelce682.45.30082.45.314.5%0.0%22.6%87.7
Devonta Freeman681.8939.2-11.742.520.813.6%54.5%10.5%90.8
Courtland Sutton681.414.30081.414.316.3%0.0%26.5%95.7
Mark Ingram680.226.163.223.2172.914.1%41.6%5.3%106.3
Kerryon Johnson579.8-11.760.6-20.119.18.518.1%68.4%7.0%68.1
D.J. Moore678.75.32.30.276.45.115.5%2.3%24.1%84
Evan Engram5784.80.5077.54.814.8%0.6%22.4%82.8
Will Fuller676.818.60076.818.614.8%0.0%23.8%95.4
Chris Thompson676.5-1415.1-7.261.3-6.715.1%19.3%18.8%62.5
Curtis Samuel675.9-1.64.74.971.1-6.414.9%4.7%22.5%74.3
Kenny Golladay575.68.80075.68.817.1%0.0%27.7%84.4
Mark Andrews675.217.80075.217.813.2%0.0%23.5%93
Dede Westbrook674.5-13.90.9-0.373.7-13.715.5%1.1%23.6%60.6
Joe Mixon673.5-18.543.5-18.230-0.313.2%67.4%7.9%55
Amari Cooper672.741.80072.741.814.0%0.0%22.5%114.5
Carlos Hyde671.4-2.6600.611.3-3.113.7%57.1%3.5%68.8
Jarvis Landry671-1.10.50.570.5-1.614.1%0.6%22.0%69.9
Royce Freeman670-6.133.5-5.136.6-1.114.0%34.6%11.9%63.9
Marlon Mack569.82.458311.9-0.715.5%62.5%4.4%72.2
D.J. Chark669.243.60069.243.614.4%0.0%22.1%112.8
Todd Gurley568.98.938.218.830.7-9.911.5%39.9%7.8%77.8
Sony Michel668.5-4.656-312.5-1.611.6%46.9%3.5%63.9
Allen Robinson567.812.90067.812.917.4%0.0%27.2%80.7
Tyler Lockett667.330.60.4-0.966.931.513.6%0.4%23.0%97.9
Emmanuel Sanders666.92.80066.92.813.4%0.0%21.7%69.7
Darren Waller566.86.80.7066.16.816.9%0.9%26.4%73.6
Calvin Ridley665.917.40065.917.411.0%0.0%16.2%83.3
Terry McLaurin565.628.20065.628.213.0%0.0%20.1%93.8
Mohamed Sanu6654.31.6-1.363.35.710.8%2.2%15.6%69.3
James White564.80.87.7-1.557.22.211.0%6.5%16.1%65.6
Mike Williams564.7-15.40064.7-15.411.4%0.0%17.1%49.3
Sammy Watkins564.313.20064.313.211.3%0.0%17.6%77.5
Nelson Agholor663.30.70063.30.711.3%0.0%18.3%64
Juju Smith-Schuster662.98.10062.98.113.7%0.0%20.8%71
Alshon Jeffery562.96.83.82.559.14.411.2%3.5%17.0%69.7
Brandin Cooks662.95.52.62.560.3310.5%2.7%15.3%68.4
George Kittle562.79.91.8060.99.914.2%1.4%25.2%72.6
David Montgomery562.5-11.846.5-1216.10.116.0%66.8%6.4%50.7
Kenyan Drake562.4-14.420.8-5.541.6-8.915.8%38.8%15.6%48
Marquise Brown562.49.20062.49.211.0%0.0%19.5%71.6
Adam Thielen661.936.83.72.458.234.415.0%3.0%26.1%98.7
Christian Kirk461.8-9.82.3-0.559.5-9.310.7%2.6%16.1%52
Josh Jacobs561.419.348.518.512.90.815.5%63.8%5.2%80.7
Auden Tate561.3-10.20061.3-10.211.0%0.0%16.1%51.1
Cole Beasley561.1-5.40061.1-5.413.6%0.0%22.2%55.7
Jamison Crowder561-5.40.9-0.560.1-4.917.9%1.6%27.0%55.6
Greg Olsen6610.800610.812.0%0.0%19.3%61.8
John Brown560.912.50.6-0.260.312.713.6%0.6%21.9%73.4
Josh Gordon660.6-5.80.9-0.859.8-5.110.3%0.8%16.8%54.8
Jordan Howard660.59.947.16.613.43.310.8%43.4%3.9%70.4
Davante Adams4602.800602.811.1%0.0%17.9%62.8
Frank Gore559.8-4.850.7-5.490.713.3%53.4%3.3%55
Sterling Shepard459.64.32.31.957.42.311.3%2.7%16.6%63.9
LeSean McCoy659.46.837.40.4224.110.4%41.1%6.0%66.2
Marquez Valdes-Scantling658.4-4.21-0.157.4-4.110.8%1.0%17.1%54.2
Miles Sanders658.22.632.7-12.825.515.410.4%30.1%7.4%60.8
Delanie Walker757.44.40057.44.413.3%0.0%21.9%61.8
Preston Williams556.9-10.70056.9-10.714.4%0.0%21.4%46.2
Stefon Diggs656.634.21.50.355.133.513.7%1.2%24.7%90.8
Michael Gallup45513.7005513.710.6%0.0%17.0%68.7
D.K. Metcalf654.67.40.8-0.453.87.811.0%0.7%18.5%62
T.Y. Hilton454.117.10054.117.112.0%0.0%19.9%71.2
KeeSean Johnson653.6-20.81.4-1.152.2-19.79.3%1.6%14.1%32.8
John Ross452.314.50052.314.59.4%0.0%13.7%66.8
Trey Quinn651.5-12.30051.5-12.310.2%0.0%15.8%39.2
Gerald Everett651.5-2.30051.5-2.38.6%0.0%13.1%49.2
Demarcus Robinson651.411.70051.411.79.0%0.0%14.1%63.1
Peyton Barber651.1-0.4393.212.2-3.79.5%45.6%3.5%50.7
Tarik Cohen550.6-8.18.1-4.442.5-3.713.0%11.6%17.0%42.5
Paul Richardson650.4-2.10.8-0.849.6-1.310.0%1.0%15.2%48.3
Adrian Peterson550.3-14.539.7-11.110.6-3.410.0%50.6%3.3%35.8
Matt Breida550.216.73112.619.14.211.3%24.9%7.9%66.9
Jason Witten649.87.20049.87.29.6%0.0%15.4%57
Marvin Jones548.67.20.4048.27.211.0%0.5%17.7%55.8
Jared Cook648.5-4.70048.5-4.79.8%0.0%15.6%43.8
Diontae Johnson6485.80.8-0.247.25.210.4%1.0%15.6%53.8
Will Dissly647.826.10.8-0.14726.29.6%0.7%16.1%73.9
Jimmy Graham647.2-6.30047.2-6.38.7%0.0%14.1%40.9
Zay Jones646.4-30.10046.4-30.110.3%0.0%16.9%16.3
T.J. Hockenson546.3-0.60046.3-0.610.5%0.0%17.0%45.7
Mecole Hardman646.2112-1.944.212.98.1%2.2%12.1%57.2
Saquon Barkley345.82.322.47.323.5-5.18.7%26.6%6.8%48.1
Randall Cobb545.5-0.41.3-0.244.2-0.28.8%1.3%13.7%45.1
Robby Anderson545.32.30045.32.313.3%0.0%20.3%47.6
Geronimo Allison644.6-4.51-0.343.6-4.28.2%1.0%13.0%40.1
Giovani Bernard643.9-14.211.3-6.432.6-7.87.9%17.5%8.6%29.7
Corey Davis643.32.40043.32.410.0%0.0%16.5%45.7
Deebo Samuel543.2-2.52-1.341-1.19.7%1.6%16.9%40.7
Damien Williams443-0.119.2-6.923.86.87.6%21.1%6.5%42.9
Tyrell Williams442.819.80042.819.810.8%0.0%17.1%62.6
Ronald Jones642.811.3345.98.85.48.0%39.7%2.5%54.1
DeVante Parker542.55.40042.55.410.8%0.0%16.0%47.9
Duke Johnson642.39.118.35.623.93.68.1%17.4%7.4%51.4
Adam Humphries641.3-1.30.3-0.241-1.19.6%0.3%15.6%40
Ted Ginn6412.91.3-0.139.638.3%1.4%12.8%43.9
Rex Burkhead440.62.3143.226.6-0.96.9%11.7%7.5%42.9
Jamaal Williams539.81219.8-0.720.112.67.3%20.3%6.0%51.8
Wayne Gallman539.66211.718.64.37.5%24.9%5.4%45.6
Ito Smith639.5-3.920.3-4.419.20.56.6%28.2%4.7%35.6
Chris Conley638.85.50038.85.58.1%0.0%12.4%44.3
Gus Edwards638.6-11.832.5-12.66.10.86.8%21.4%1.9%26.8
Tevin Coleman338.4-127.90.610.4-1.58.7%22.4%4.3%37.4
Tyler Higbee537.7-0.30037.7-0.36.3%0.0%9.6%37.4
A.J. Brown637.515.80037.515.88.7%0.0%14.3%53.3
Phillip Dorsett537.517.31.40.73616.76.4%1.2%10.1%54.8
Nyheim Hines537.4-4.45.4-2.432-28.3%5.8%11.8%33
Tyler Eifert637.4-5.60037.4-5.66.7%0.0%9.8%31.8
Dare Ogunbowale637.3-2.44.11.833.2-4.26.9%4.8%9.6%34.9
Darren Fells635.9130035.9136.9%0.0%11.1%48.9
Hunter Renfrow535.8-13.70035.8-13.79.0%0.0%14.3%22.1
Jack Doyle535.4-2.60035.4-2.67.8%0.0%13.0%32.8
Raheem Mostert535.16.624.70.210.46.47.9%19.9%4.3%41.7
Dion Lewis634.8-9.28.2-2.726.6-6.58.0%8.7%10.1%25.6
Eric Ebron534.600034.607.7%0.0%12.7%34.6
Hayden Hurst634.1-20034.1-26.0%0.0%10.7%32.1
Mack Hollins634-11.50034-11.56.1%0.0%9.8%22.5
Kalen Ballage533.8-18.320.1-10.513.7-7.88.6%37.5%5.2%15.5
James O'Shaughnessy533.77.60033.77.67.0%0.0%10.8%41.3
Noah Fant633.61.10.8-1.332.82.46.7%0.8%10.7%34.7
Darrel Williams533.69.117.12.416.46.85.9%18.8%4.5%42.7
Jaylen Samuels532.9-0.812.3-1.322.5-1.27.2%15.6%7.4%32.1
Nick Boyle632.4-8.90032.4-8.95.7%0.0%10.1%23.5
Willie Snead632.3170032.3175.7%0.0%10.1%49.3
Malcolm Brown631.8-2.429-1.62.7-0.75.3%30.3%0.7%29.4
Jaron Brown631.75.80031.75.86.4%0.0%10.9%37.5
James Washington531.3-8.30031.3-8.36.8%0.0%10.4%23
Bennie Fowler431.3-7.41.20.830-8.15.9%1.4%8.7%23.9
Darius Slayton431.15.80031.15.85.9%0.0%9.0%36.9
Damiere Byrd431-1.40031-1.45.4%0.0%8.4%29.6
Vance McDonald530.97.80030.97.86.7%0.0%10.2%38.7
Jarius Wright630.8-50030.8-56.0%0.0%9.7%25.8
Jordan Akins630.514.10030.514.15.9%0.0%9.4%44.6
Jakeem Grant430.2-16.22.3-2.527.9-13.77.7%4.3%10.5%14
Dawson Knox530.12.40.9029.22.46.7%0.9%10.6%32.5
Danny Amendola429.63.10029.63.16.7%0.0%10.9%32.7
Chase Edmonds629.614.111.610.5183.65.1%13.0%4.9%43.7
Vernon Davis429-0.70029-0.75.7%0.0%8.9%28.3
DaeSean Hamilton628.8-9.60028.8-9.65.8%0.0%9.4%19.2
Keke Coutee528.8-4.90.80.228-5.15.5%0.8%8.7%23.9
Latavius Murray628.57154.813.42.35.8%16.6%4.3%35.5
O.J. Howard628.42.20028.42.25.3%0.0%8.2%30.6
Dante Pettis528.3-4.20027.4-4.16.4%0.0%11.3%24.1
Alexander Mattison628.24.826.84.41.40.46.8%22.1%0.6%33
Dallas Goedert528-2.90028-2.95.0%0.0%8.1%25.1
Rhett Ellison627.9-10.30027.9-10.35.3%0.0%8.1%17.6
Damion Ratley527.6-9.30027.6-9.35.5%0.0%8.6%18.3
Cameron Brate627.38.60027.38.65.1%0.0%7.9%35.9
Mike Gesicki526.8-7.60026.8-7.66.8%0.0%10.1%19.2
Geoff Swaim626.7-7.20026.7-7.25.6%0.0%8.5%19.5
Jeremy Sprinkle626.1-7.20026.1-7.25.2%0.0%8.0%18.9
Taylor Gabriel325.914.20.61.525.412.66.6%0.9%10.2%40.1
Travis Benjamin525.8-16.80025.8-16.84.5%0.0%6.8%9
Melvin Gordon225.2-9.611.5-6.613.8-3.14.4%15.6%3.7%15.6
DeAndre Washington524.90.813.8-0.4111.36.3%18.2%4.4%25.7
Alex Erickson624.9-1.30.61.124.3-2.44.5%0.9%6.4%23.6
Marquise Goodwin524.312.30.41.123.911.25.5%0.3%9.9%36.6
C.J. Prosise424.3-0.39.9-1.514.51.14.9%8.8%5.0%24
Tony Pollard624.26.717.96.26.30.54.7%17.4%2.0%30.9
Demaryius Thomas323.7-3.90023.7-3.96.9%0.0%10.6%19.8
Byron Pringle623.67.10023.67.14.1%0.0%6.5%30.7
Trey Burton423.3-6.60023.3-6.66.0%0.0%9.3%16.7
Hunter Henry223.316.70023.316.74.1%0.0%6.2%40
Jeff Wilson223.16.121.47.81.7-1.75.2%17.2%0.7%29.2
Parris Campbell423-0.10.50.222.5-0.35.1%0.5%8.3%22.9
Donte Moncrief422.9-17.10022.9-17.15.0%0.0%7.6%5.8
Tyreek Hill222.172-1.520.18.53.9%2.2%5.5%29.1
Anthony Miller522-60022-65.6%0.0%8.8%16
T.J. Yeldon5222.55.1-0.616.93.14.9%5.4%6.1%24.5
Cody Latimer521.6-5.20021.6-5.24.1%0.0%6.3%16.4
Josh Hill621.5-4.70021.5-4.74.3%0.0%6.9%16.8
Damion Willis521.5-4.30021.5-4.33.9%0.0%5.7%17.2
Kenny Stills421.414.40021.414.44.1%0.0%6.6%35.8
Mark Walton421.30.47.1014.20.45.4%13.2%5.3%21.7
Brandon Bolden521.113.6124.59.293.6%10.1%2.6%34.7
Zach Pascal5216.50.90.320.16.24.7%1.0%7.4%27.5
Ricky Seals-Jones52112.3002112.34.2%0.0%6.6%33.3
Foster Moreau520.84.90020.84.95.2%0.0%8.3%25.7
Golden Tate220.75.80020.75.83.9%0.0%6.0%26.5
Blake Jarwin620.57.40020.57.43.9%0.0%6.3%27.9
Dontrell Hilliard520.45.57.1813.3-2.54.0%8.4%4.2%25.9
Deon Cain520.3-11.10020.3-11.14.5%0.0%7.5%9.2
Justin Jackson320.21.38.65.611.6-4.33.5%11.6%3.1%21.5
Chester Rogers519.8-0.60019.8-0.64.4%0.0%7.3%19.2
Miles Boykin619.86.80019.86.83.5%0.0%6.2%26.6
Jalen Richard519.6-2.95.9-0.713.7-2.24.9%7.8%5.5%16.7
Darren Sproles519.3-4.38.9-110.6-3.53.5%8.2%3.1%15
Marcedes Lewis619.21.70019.21.73.5%0.0%5.7%20.9
Jonathan Hilliman319.2-714.3-5.24.8-1.73.6%17.0%1.4%12.2
Dontrelle Inman419.12.10019.12.13.4%0.0%5.1%21.2
Kendrick Bourne518.9-5.90018.9-5.94.3%0.0%7.8%13
Ryan Griffin518.6-0.10018.6-0.15.4%0.0%8.4%18.5
Kyle Rudolph618.5-2.30018.5-2.34.5%0.0%8.3%16.2
C.J. Uzomah618.50.30018.50.33.3%0.0%4.9%18.8
Justice Hill618.4-5.78.5-0.79.8-4.93.2%5.6%3.1%12.7
Breshad Perriman418.4-12.50.80.517.6-133.4%0.9%5.1%5.9
David Moore418.22.20018.22.23.7%0.0%6.2%20.4
Seth Roberts6181.600181.63.2%0.0%5.6%19.6
Jakobi Meyers517.62.40017.62.43.0%0.0%5.0%20
J.D. McKissic516.70.56.61.410.2-13.8%7.4%3.7%17.2
Demetrius Harris616.1-4.50016.1-4.53.2%0.0%5.0%11.6
Luke Stocker616.1-9.50016.1-9.52.7%0.0%4.0%6.6
Ryan Switzer615.9-5.20015.9-5.23.5%0.0%5.3%10.7
Jeff Heuerman515.7-20015.7-23.1%0.0%5.1%13.7
Albert Wilson215.6-5.70.5-0.415.1-5.34.0%0.9%5.7%9.9
Bobo Wilson615.6-9.10015.6-9.12.9%0.0%4.5%6.5
Scott Miller415.6-6.90.61.215-8.12.9%0.7%4.3%8.7
Olabisi Johnson615.13.30015.13.33.7%0.0%6.8%18.4
Tavon Austin415.13.61.50.213.73.32.9%1.5%4.2%18.7
Cordarrelle Patterson515-3.76.40.78.6-4.43.8%9.2%3.4%11.3
Devin Smith414.97.40014.97.42.9%0.0%4.6%22.3
Steven Sims Jr.614.97.15.88.49-1.22.9%7.4%2.8%22
Ty Montgomery514.8-2.54.3-1.210.5-1.34.3%7.5%4.7%12.3
DeSean Jackson214.820.60014.820.62.6%0.0%4.3%35.4
Jordan Wilkins414.71.3120.52.70.83.3%12.9%1.0%16
Allen Hurns414.6-3.90014.6-3.93.7%0.0%5.5%10.7
Ryan Izzo614.68.80014.68.82.5%0.0%4.1%23.4
Tajae Sharpe614.51.10014.51.13.4%0.0%5.5%15.6
Ryan Grant214.4-90014.4-93.6%0.0%5.8%5.4
Antonio Brown114.41.70.9-0.413.52.12.4%0.8%3.8%16.1
Jonnu Smith614.22.51.3-0.312.92.83.3%1.4%4.9%16.7
Rashaad Penny314.2810.25.642.42.9%9.0%1.4%22.2
Trent Sherfield614-3.40014-3.42.4%0.0%3.8%10.6
C.J. Ham513.8-7.90013.8-7.93.3%0.0%6.2%5.9
Russell Shepard313.5-80013.5-82.6%0.0%3.9%5.5
Nick Vannett613.40.70013.40.72.9%0.0%4.4%14.1
Mike Davis413.2-3.33.8-1.69.3-1.63.4%5.5%3.7%9.9
Devin Singletary213.213.34.7148.5-0.72.9%5.0%3.1%26.5
David Njoku213.20.50013.20.52.6%0.0%4.1%13.7
Charles Clay613.2-0.40013.2-0.42.3%0.0%3.6%12.8
Maxx Williams613.29.60013.29.62.3%0.0%3.6%22.8
Jesse James513.1-1.70013.1-1.73.0%0.0%4.8%11.4
Justin Hardy613.1-1.90013.1-1.92.2%0.0%3.2%11.2
Irv Smith Jr.6133.300133.33.1%0.0%5.8%16.3
Benny Snell Jr.413-0.110.502.5-0.12.8%13.3%0.8%12.9
Javon Wims512.9-1.50012.9-1.53.3%0.0%5.2%11.4
Antonio Callaway212.9-8.70012.9-8.72.6%0.0%4.0%4.2
Josh Reynolds612.9-7.50012.9-7.52.1%0.0%3.3%5.4
Ty Johnson412.8-2.76.2-0.86.7-22.9%7.0%2.5%10.1
Kyle Juszczyk412.71.50.60121.62.9%0.5%5.0%14.2
Tommy Sweeney512.6-5.80012.6-5.82.8%0.0%4.6%6.8
Ryquell Armstead412.61.76.6-1.763.42.6%8.2%1.9%14.3
D'Ernest Johnson512.52.72.7-0.59.83.32.5%3.2%3.1%15.2
Adam Shaheen512.1-0.10012.1-0.13.1%0.0%4.8%12
Richie James5124.800124.82.7%0.0%5.0%16.8
Trevor Davis411.513.92.111.39.42.62.9%2.8%3.8%25.4
Isaiah McKenzie510.911.62.4-18.512.62.4%2.5%3.1%22.5
Russell Gage610.6-4.61-1.19.6-3.51.8%1.4%2.4%6
Elijhaa Penny610.5-46.4-2.84.1-1.22.0%7.6%1.2%6.5
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside510.4-70010.4-71.9%0.0%3.0%3.4
Pharoh Cooper310.3-0.20.7-0.59.60.31.8%0.8%2.6%10.1
Ameer Abdullah510.1-3.34.1-0.76-2.62.4%3.4%2.7%6.8
Darius Jennings610-6.30010-6.32.3%0.0%3.8%3.7
Jake Kumerow410-2.20010-2.21.8%0.0%3.0%7.8
Luke Willson39.90.3009.90.32.0%0.0%3.4%10.2
Dan Vitale59.9-0.50.6-0.39.3-0.21.8%0.6%2.8%9.4
Logan Thomas59.8-0.1009.8-0.12.2%0.0%3.6%9.7
Cedrick Wilson39.8-0.2009.8-0.21.9%0.0%3.0%9.6
Mo Alie-Cox59.7-1.9009.7-1.92.1%0.0%3.6%7.8
Malik Turner69.62.7009.62.71.9%0.0%3.3%12.3
Robert Tonyan Jr.59.31.3009.31.31.7%0.0%2.8%10.6
Derek Carrier49.11.4009.11.42.3%0.0%3.6%10.5
Kelvin Harmon69.12.6009.12.61.8%0.0%2.8%11.7
Virgil Green59.1-1.8009.1-1.81.6%0.0%2.4%7.3
Lance Kendricks38.9-0.9008.9-0.91.6%0.0%2.4%8
Troymaine Pope38.92.54.8-2.84.15.31.6%6.5%1.1%11.4
Darrell Henderson28.9-3.15.2-1.33.7-1.81.5%5.4%0.9%5.8
Derrius Guice18.8-24.8-33.91.11.7%6.1%1.2%6.8
Tra Carson18.8-1.62.9-1.55.9-0.11.6%3.0%1.8%7.2
Braxton Berrios58.7-3.8008.7-3.82.5%0.0%3.9%4.9
Devin Funchess18.7-2.5008.7-2.51.9%0.0%3.2%6.2
Matt LaCosse38.7-0.2008.7-0.21.5%0.0%2.5%8.5
Allen Lazard58.48.1008.48.11.5%0.0%2.5%16.5
Johnny Holton68.2-6.90.60.37.6-7.61.8%0.8%2.5%1.3
Tre'Quan Smith38.210.3008.210.31.7%0.0%2.6%18.5
Michael Crabtree28.2-2008.2-21.4%0.0%2.2%6.2
J.J. Nelson28.15.5008.15.52.0%0.0%3.2%13.6
Wendell Smallwood580.83.7-0.24.311.6%4.7%1.3%8.8
Chris Hogan47.8-2.4007.8-2.41.5%0.0%2.5%5.4
Cody Core47.8-2007.8-21.5%0.0%2.3%5.8
C.J. Anderson27.7-3.47.7-3.4001.7%8.7%0.0%4.3
Alex Armah67.524.82.12.7-0.11.5%4.8%0.9%9.5
Nick Bawden57.4-3007.4-31.7%0.0%2.7%4.4
T.J. Jones36.86006.861.3%0.0%2.0%12.8
Andre Patton26.8-2.6006.8-2.61.2%0.0%1.8%4.2
D'haquille Williams16.66.3006.66.31.5%0.0%2.4%12.9
Patrick Ricard66.63.4006.63.41.2%0.0%2.1%10
Marvin Hall36.57006.571.5%0.0%2.4%13.5
Derek Watt56.501.6-1.34.91.31.1%2.2%1.3%6.5
Nick O'Leary561.70061.71.5%0.0%2.3%7.7
Chris Moore66-2.2006-2.21.1%0.0%1.9%3.8
Robert Davis46-1.8006-1.81.2%0.0%1.8%4.2
Drew Sample66-0.6006-0.61.1%0.0%1.6%5.4
Zach Line55.9-4.63.4-3.42.5-1.21.2%3.8%0.8%1.3
Blake Bell65.9-3.1005.9-3.11.0%0.0%1.6%2.8
J.P. Holtz35.3-1005.3-11.4%0.0%2.1%4.3
Lee Smith55.34.3005.34.31.2%0.0%1.9%9.6
Reggie Bonnafon259.53.610.91.4-1.41.0%3.6%0.4%14.5
Robert Foster34.9-4.9004.9-4.91.1%0.0%1.8%0
Keelan Doss44.80.7004.80.71.2%0.0%1.9%5.5
Geremy Davis44.82004.820.8%0.0%1.3%6.8
Quincy Enunwa14.6-4004.6-2.81.3%0.0%2.1%0.6
Marqise Lee54.6-1.50.6-0.54-11.0%0.7%1.3%3.1
Rashard Higgins14.62004.620.9%0.0%1.4%6.6
Darrius Shepherd44.6-3.5004.6-3.50.8%0.0%1.4%1.1
Josh Bellamy34.5-0.5004.5-0.51.3%0.0%2.0%4
Chad Beebe34.44.6004.44.61.1%0.0%2.0%9
Ben Braunecker34.40004.401.1%0.0%1.8%4.4
Patrick DiMarco54.4-0.10.4-0.340.21.0%0.4%1.5%4.3
Isaiah Ford24.3-1.4004.3-1.41.1%0.0%1.6%2.9
Xavier Grimble34.2-2.9004.2-2.90.9%0.0%1.4%1.3
Gunner Olszewski64.11.3004.11.30.7%0.0%1.2%5.4
Pharaoh Brown540.70040.70.8%0.0%1.2%4.7
Darwin Thompson44-1.82.6-1.71.4-0.10.7%2.9%0.4%2.2
De'Anthony Thomas53.9-1.900.44-2.40.7%0.0%1.1%2
Sean Culkin43.9-1.7003.9-1.70.7%0.0%1.0%2.2
Keelan Cole53.8-0.9003.8-0.90.8%0.0%1.2%2.9
Jason Moore13.62.7003.62.70.6%0.0%1.0%6.3
Anthony Sherman53.3-0.60.4-0.22.9-0.40.6%0.4%0.8%2.7
Vyncint Smith236.41.56.41.500.9%2.6%0.7%9.4
Ross Dwelley43-1.3003-1.30.7%0.0%1.2%1.7
Andy Isabella43-1.43-1.4000.5%3.4%0.0%1.6
Deon Yelder32.93.4002.93.40.5%0.0%0.8%6.3
Andrew Beck52.8-0.8002.8-0.80.6%0.0%0.9%2
Stanley Morgan Jr.12.8-1.2002.8-1.20.5%0.0%0.7%1.6
Seth DeValve62.7-0.1002.7-0.10.6%0.0%0.9%2.6
Jakob Johnson32.7-1.2002.7-1.20.5%0.0%0.8%1.5
James Develin22.7-2.42.7-2.4000.5%2.3%0.0%0.3
Diontae Spencer62.60.10.901.70.10.5%0.9%0.6%2.7
Deonte Harris62.54.81.1-0.11.4-1.10.5%1.2%0.5%7.3
Bilal Powell32.3-1.40.901.4-1.40.7%1.6%0.6%0.9
Durham Smythe42.31.1002.31.10.6%0.0%0.9%3.4
Andre Roberts32.10.20.50.21.600.5%0.5%0.6%2.3
Mike Boone31.811.81000.4%1.5%0.0%2.8
Boston Scott11.81.21.81.2000.3%1.7%0.0%3
Fred Brown31.6-0.1001.6-0.10.3%0.0%0.5%1.5
Lil'Jordan Humphrey21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.3%0.0%0.5%0
Taywan Taylor31.6-1.6001.6-1.60.3%0.0%0.5%0
DeAndre Carter61.6-0.7001.6-0.70.3%0.0%0.5%0.9
Justin Watson51.60.7001.60.70.3%0.0%0.5%2.3
Jaeden Graham51.61.5001.61.50.3%0.0%0.4%3.1
Dwayne Harris21.50.2001.50.20.4%0.0%0.6%1.7
MyCole Pruitt51.5-1.5001.5-1.50.3%0.0%0.6%0
Andy Janovich31.50.3001.50.30.3%0.0%0.5%1.8
Antony Auclair51.5-1.5001.5-1.50.3%0.0%0.4%0
Levine Toilolo51.40.4001.40.40.3%0.0%0.6%1.8
Anthony Firkser51.42.1001.42.10.3%0.0%0.5%3.5
Troy Fumagalli31.40.3001.40.30.3%0.0%0.5%1.7
Ian Thomas51.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.4%0
Jamize Olawale51.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.4%0
Nick Bellore51.21.8001.21.80.2%0.0%0.4%3
Dalton Schultz61.10.5001.10.50.2%0.0%0.3%1.6
Kenjon Barner41.10.3001.10.30.2%0.0%0.3%1.4
Dalyn Dawkins11-0.81-0.8000.2%1.1%0.0%0.2
Laquon Treadwell30.91.6000.91.60.2%0.0%0.4%2.5
Alec Ingold50.9-0.50.9-0.5000.2%1.2%0.0%0.4
Keith Smith60.8-0.60.8-0.6000.1%1.1%0.0%0.2
Daniel Brown40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trenton Cannon30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trevon Wesco40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Dillon10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Conklin40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Marcell Ateman10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
David Fluellen10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chandler Cox40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ashton Dulin20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Lacy20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
John Ursua10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Zach Gentry20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Devontae Booker20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Juwann Winfree10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
River Cracraft10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tim Patrick10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Austin Carr30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Keith Kirkwood10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Ervin30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Zylstra10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Manhertz50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud60000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Khadarel Hodge10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cullen Gillaspia30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gregory Howell20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Taiwan Jones10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cam Sims10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jerome Cunningham10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Evan Baylis10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Eric Tomlinson30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Dickerson20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
T.J. Logan40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Alex Ellis30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Greg Ward Jr.10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matthew Slater30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
D.J. Foster10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cethan Carter20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Samaje Perine20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson60000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Johnny Mundt20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Mike Thomas10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Image Credit: Kevin Abele/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: David Johnson.

  1. Eight players did so in Week 5.  (back)
  2. Cumulative season-long data is included at the end of the article.  (back)
  3. Basically the minimum number of points needed for a WR2 seasonal finish, assuming full health.  (back)
  4. As my highest owned player across all leagues, it’s also possible I’m in denial.  (back)
  5. And he still scored 21.7 PPR points.  (back)

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