revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Now Accepting Starting Lineup Applications: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look at how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency metric that accounts for both yards and touchdowns in a single number. Add EP (opportunity) and FPOE (efficiency) together, and you get a player’s actual fantasy output.

This weekly article will look at some of the leaders in expected points and try to tease out how fantasy gamers can take advantage of these various volume and efficiency situations. Week 5 was almost too good, and by that I mean a lot of points were scored by players who were probably borderline starters for your fantasy squads and may not have made the final cut. I have some thoughts on a few of these starting-lineup competitions. But first, the Week 5 data:1

Week 5 Expected Points

PlayerEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Cooper Kupp30-3.30030-3.326.8%0.0%38.4%26.7
Austin Ekeler29-4.71.5-0.827.5-3.926.4%15.6%36.6%24.3
Aaron Jones2920.217.71711.23.331.7%79.0%22.1%49.2
Will Fuller26.826.90026.826.929.0%0.0%48.4%53.7
Leonard Fournette24.1-0.514.12.79.9-3.124.3%81.5%15.6%23.6
Christian McCaffrey23.324.410.219.413.1531.7%71.8%28.8%47.7
Mike Williams22.8-9.40022.8-9.420.8%0.0%30.4%13.4
Tyler Boyd22.75.60022.75.623.1%0.0%35.1%28.3
Amari Cooper22.217.40022.217.422.8%0.0%33.2%39.6
Chris Carson22-2.713.3-1.58.7-1.229.6%68.9%20.4%19.3
Michael Gallup21.52.80021.52.822.1%0.0%32.2%24.3
Josh Jacobs20.88.514.89.56-123.7%65.2%11.8%29.3
Evan Engram20.7-100.5020.2-1024.4%5.8%33.7%10.7
Dalvin Cook20.77.112.30.98.46.229.7%60.9%23.0%27.8
Marlon Mack20.1-2.316.6-3.43.6123.4%53.0%8.6%17.8
Michael Thomas19.721.50019.721.523.6%0.0%37.4%41.2
Le'Veon Bell18.8-36.7-2.412.1-0.634.6%72.0%33.6%15.8
D.J. Chark18.218.20018.218.218.4%0.0%28.7%36.4
Dede Westbrook18-2.80018-2.818.2%0.0%28.3%15.2
Alvin Kamara17.2-0.17.6-1.48.91.320.6%53.5%16.9%17.1
Todd Gurley17.13.6107.17.1-3.515.3%78.1%9.1%20.7
Gerald Everett16.54.10016.54.114.7%0.0%21.1%20.6
Melvin Gordon16.4-8.67.9-4.88.5-3.814.9%82.3%11.3%7.8
Devonta Freeman15.92.17.9-4.97.97.114.7%43.4%11.4%18
Sterling Shepard15.8-6.10.1-0.315.7-5.818.7%1.2%26.2%9.7
Travis Kelce15.6-4.60015.6-4.618.6%0.0%26.2%11
David Johnson15.53.19.2-0.16.33.216.7%37.6%12.5%18.6
Austin Hooper15.3-1.70015.3-1.714.1%0.0%22.0%13.6
Julian Edelman15.29.80015.29.815.6%0.0%24.4%25
Carlos Hyde15.2-3.213.4-1.41.9-1.916.5%66.0%3.4%12
Mark Ingram15-2.112.4-22.6-0.118.7%56.4%5.8%12.9
James White14.9-1.72.7-0.112.3-1.715.3%20.6%19.8%13.2
Derrick Henry14.8-114.8-10024.4%77.1%0.0%13.8
George Kittle14.76.11.8012.96.118.3%8.7%28.1%20.8
Byron Pringle14.77.60014.77.617.5%0.0%24.7%22.3
Ito Smith14.6-2.25.4-3.59.21.313.5%29.7%13.2%12.4
Robert Woods14.5-4.70014.5-4.712.9%0.0%18.6%9.8
Larry Fitzgerald14.4-2.60014.4-2.615.6%0.0%28.5%11.8
Chris Godwin14.317.20014.317.221.7%0.0%34.9%31.5
Calvin Ridley14.35.50014.35.513.2%0.0%20.5%19.8
Auden Tate14.1-2.50014.1-2.514.4%0.0%21.8%11.6
Allen Robinson13.914.80013.914.820.0%0.0%30.3%28.7
Phillip Lindsay13.810.98.58.95.3224.9%45.2%19.0%24.7
Ezekiel Elliott13.83.38.14.15.7-0.814.2%64.3%8.5%17.1
KeeSean Johnson13.2-7.71.4-1.111.8-6.614.3%5.7%23.4%5.5
Adam Thielen13.118.90013.118.918.8%0.0%35.8%32
D.J. Moore132.100132.117.7%0.0%28.6%15.1
Demaryius Thomas12.6-3.90012.6-3.923.2%0.0%35.0%8.7
Joe Mixon12.6-0.710.8-1.51.80.812.8%88.5%2.8%11.9
Diontae Johnson12.4-5.50012.4-5.517.2%0.0%25.3%6.9
Josh Gordon12.3-1.40012.3-1.412.6%0.0%19.8%10.9
Geronimo Allison12.1-7.30012.1-7.313.2%0.0%23.9%4.8
DeAndre Hopkins12.13.70012.13.713.1%0.0%21.8%15.8
Zach Ertz124.700124.716.5%0.0%28.2%16.7
Sony Michel129.37.97.24.12.112.3%60.3%6.6%21.3
Miles Sanders11.9-1.54.4-2.97.41.516.3%25.6%17.4%10.4
Courtland Sutton11.87.40011.87.421.3%0.0%42.3%19.2
Chris Thompson11.8-32.109.7-319.6%17.5%24.9%8.8
Jared Cook11.72.40011.72.414.0%0.0%22.2%14.1
Mecole Hardman11.7-0.41.3-1.910.41.514.0%17.6%17.5%11.3
Odell Beckham Jr.11.5-4.31.10.410.1-5.419.2%10.7%26.6%7.2
Alshon Jeffery11.10.10011.10.115.2%0.0%26.1%11.2
Tarik Cohen11.1-0.21.8-0.89.30.616.0%15.7%20.3%10.9
Nick Chubb10.909.2-0.51.70.518.2%89.3%4.5%10.9
Juju Smith-Schuster10.89.70010.89.715.0%0.0%22.0%20.5
Julio Jones10.8-3.60010.8-3.610.0%0.0%15.5%7.2
Anthony Miller10.7-1.50010.7-1.515.4%0.0%23.4%9.2
Matt Breida10.717.2512.45.74.813.3%24.0%12.4%27.9
Curtis Samuel10.6-3.21.21.39.4-4.514.4%8.5%20.7%7.4
Royce Freeman10.6-1.97.8-1.72.8-0.219.1%41.5%10.0%8.7
Marquise Brown10.50.70010.50.713.1%0.0%23.5%11.2
Damien Williams10.2-3.44.9-2.65.3-0.812.2%66.2%8.9%6.8
Mark Andrews10-0.50010-0.512.4%0.0%22.4%9.5
David Montgomery100.68.7-0.21.40.714.4%75.7%3.1%10.6
Jordan Howard102.2102.20013.7%58.1%0.0%12.2
Terry McLaurin9.7-1.6009.7-1.616.1%0.0%24.9%8.1
Demarcus Robinson9.4-3.3009.4-3.311.2%0.0%15.8%6.1
Chase Edmonds9.48.23.895.6-0.810.2%15.5%11.1%17.6
James Conner9.42.19.42.10013.1%75.2%0.0%11.5
Adam Humphries9.3-2.3009.3-2.315.3%0.0%29.2%7
Jarvis Landry9.22.3009.22.315.4%0.0%24.3%11.5
James Washington9.2-1009.2-112.8%0.0%18.8%8.2
Randall Cobb9.2-0.9009.2-0.99.5%0.0%13.8%8.3
Frank Gore9.1-0.26.8-0.82.40.513.0%54.4%5.5%8.9
DeAndre Washington93.652.740.910.3%22.0%7.9%12.6
Foster Moreau8.9-0.3008.9-0.310.1%0.0%17.6%8.6
Darius Slayton8.97.3008.97.310.5%0.0%14.8%16.2
Tra Carson8.8-1.62.9-1.55.9-0.19.6%12.9%11.6%7.2
Keenan Allen8.4-2.6008.4-2.67.7%0.0%11.2%5.8
Nyheim Hines8.30.20.6-0.77.70.99.7%1.9%18.5%8.5
Steven Sims Jr.8.36.33.594.8-2.713.8%29.2%12.3%14.6
Willie Snead8.20.9008.20.910.2%0.0%18.3%9.1
Hunter Renfrow8.2-6008.2-69.3%0.0%16.2%2.2
T.J. Yeldon8-1.20.90.67.1-1.811.4%7.2%16.3%6.8
John Brown7.94.6007.94.611.3%0.0%18.1%12.5
Trevor Davis7.80.4007.80.48.9%0.0%15.4%8.2
Mohamed Sanu7.87.50.4-0.37.37.97.2%2.2%10.5%15.3
Tevin Coleman7.787.78009.6%37.0%0.0%15.7
T.Y. Hilton7.60.1007.60.18.9%0.0%18.2%7.7
Ronald Jones7.603.9-0.43.70.411.5%32.8%9.0%7.6
Darren Waller7.40.5007.40.58.4%0.0%14.6%7.9
Golden Tate7.4-3.1007.4-3.18.7%0.0%12.3%4.3
Peyton Barber7.135.83.41.3-0.410.8%48.7%3.2%10.1
Vance McDonald7-0.6007-0.69.7%0.0%14.3%6.4
Will Dissly6.95.90.8-0.16.25.99.3%4.1%14.5%12.8
Eric Ebron6.8-5006.8-57.9%0.0%16.3%1.8
Dawson Knox6.7-3.5006.7-3.59.6%0.0%15.4%3.2
Marquise Goodwin6.71.90.41.16.30.88.3%1.9%13.7%8.6
D'haquille Williams6.66.3006.66.39.4%0.0%15.1%12.9
Dare Ogunbowale6.6-2.30.5-0.96.1-1.410.0%4.2%14.9%4.3
Giovani Bernard6.6-1105.6-16.7%8.2%8.7%5.6
Jordan Wilkins6.6-3.86.6-3.8007.7%21.1%0.0%2.8
Antonio Callaway6.5-6.5006.5-6.510.9%0.0%17.2%0
D.K. Metcalf6.55.9006.55.98.8%0.0%15.2%12.4
Jaylen Samuels6.4-4.52.2-26.6-2.58.9%17.6%13.5%1.9
Marquez Valdes-Scantling6.4-3.6006.4-3.67.0%0.0%12.6%2.8
Tyler Eifert6.4-3006.4-36.5%0.0%9.9%3.4
Jason Witten6.4-0.5006.4-0.56.6%0.0%9.6%5.9
Latavius Murray6.4-13.3-0.53.1-0.57.7%23.2%5.9%5.4
Jonathan Hilliman6.4-33.9-1.92.5-1.17.6%45.3%4.2%3.4
Olabisi Johnson6.22.1006.22.18.9%0.0%16.9%8.3
Tyler Lockett6.28.1-0.8078.18.4%-4.1%16.4%14.3
Jaron Brown6.2-0.6006.2-0.68.4%0.0%14.5%5.6
Dion Lewis6.1-1.10.90.25.2-1.310.1%4.7%16.3%5
Damion Willis6.11.7006.11.76.2%0.0%9.4%7.8
Duke Johnson6.11.64.71.21.40.46.6%23.2%2.5%7.7
Stefon Diggs61.40061.48.6%0.0%16.4%7.4
Mike Evans6-6006-69.1%0.0%14.6%0
James O'Shaughnessy62.70062.76.1%0.0%9.4%8.7
Deebo Samuel5.8-4.5005.8-4.57.2%0.0%12.6%1.3
Trent Sherfield5.8-2.5005.8-2.56.3%0.0%11.5%3.3
Josh Hill5.81.1005.81.17.0%0.0%11.0%6.9
Corey Davis5.7-0.9005.7-0.99.4%0.0%17.9%4.8
Trey Quinn5.7-1.2005.7-1.29.5%0.0%14.6%4.5
Hayden Hurst5.71.5005.71.57.1%0.0%12.8%7.2
Trey Burton5.6-1005.6-18.1%0.0%12.2%4.6
Keke Coutee5.64.6005.64.66.1%0.0%10.1%10.2
Matt LaCosse5.5-2.3005.5-2.35.6%0.0%8.8%3.2
Darren Fells5.410.6005.410.65.9%0.0%9.7%16
Rashaad Penny5.41.52.8-12.52.67.3%14.5%5.9%6.9
Brandin Cooks5.41.20.81.94.5-0.64.8%6.3%5.8%6.6
Jack Doyle5.1-0.2005.1-0.25.9%0.0%12.2%4.9
Dante Pettis5-2.9005-2.96.2%0.0%10.9%2.1
Jamison Crowder4.9-1.9004.9-1.99.0%0.0%13.6%3
Brandon Bolden4.86.42.5-1.22.47.54.9%19.1%3.9%11.2
Chris Conley4.6-1004.6-14.6%0.0%7.2%3.6
Demetrius Harris4.5-3.5004.5-3.57.5%0.0%11.9%1
Jeremy Sprinkle4.5-0.8004.5-0.87.5%0.0%11.5%3.7
Jimmy Graham4.52.6004.52.64.9%0.0%8.9%7.1
Dallas Goedert4.4-2.3004.4-2.36.0%0.0%10.3%2.1
Cole Beasley4.30.8004.30.86.1%0.0%9.9%5.1
Jarius Wright4.3-2.7004.3-2.75.9%0.0%9.5%1.6
Tyler Higbee4.33.4004.33.43.8%0.0%5.5%7.7
Raheem Mostert4.3-0.94.3-0.9005.3%20.7%0.0%3.4
Robby Anderson4.2-1.6004.2-1.67.7%0.0%11.7%2.6
Nelson Agholor4.2-1.2004.2-1.25.8%0.0%9.9%3
Ted Ginn4.27.40.7-0.63.585.0%4.9%6.6%11.6
Jakobi Meyers4.1-2.5004.1-2.54.2%0.0%6.6%1.6
Jake Kumerow4-2.1004-2.14.4%0.0%7.9%1.9
Gus Edwards4-0.72.2-0.51.8-0.25.0%10.0%4.0%3.3
David Moore3.94.1003.94.15.3%0.0%9.1%8
Kyle Juszczyk3.90.1003.90.14.8%0.0%8.5%4
Zach Pascal3.9-0.90.90.33-1.24.5%2.9%7.2%3
Jalen Richard3.91.31.30.12.61.24.4%5.7%5.1%5.2
Reggie Bonnafon3.910.12.511.51.4-1.45.3%17.6%3.1%14
Marcedes Lewis3.8-0.1003.8-0.14.2%0.0%7.5%3.7
C.J. Uzomah3.8-0.2003.8-0.23.9%0.0%5.9%3.6
Jeff Heuerman3.7-0.1003.7-0.16.7%0.0%13.3%3.6
Pharoh Cooper3.61.7003.61.73.9%0.0%7.1%5.3
Ryan Izzo3.68.3003.68.33.7%0.0%5.8%11.9
Alexander Mattison3.51.73.51.7005.0%17.3%0.0%5.2
Delanie Walker3.4-1.4003.4-1.45.6%0.0%10.7%2
A.J. Brown3.31.4003.31.45.4%0.0%10.3%4.7
Mo Alie-Cox3.3-1.3003.3-1.33.8%0.0%7.9%2
Kendrick Bourne3.31.1003.31.14.1%0.0%7.2%4.4
Keelan Doss3.3-0.2003.3-0.23.8%0.0%6.5%3.1
O.J. Howard3.2-1.2003.2-1.24.9%0.0%7.8%2
Isaiah McKenzie3.24003.244.6%0.0%7.3%7.2
Nick Boyle3.2-3.2003.2-3.24.0%0.0%7.2%0
Travis Benjamin3.2-0.9003.2-0.92.9%0.0%4.3%2.3
Paul Richardson3.10.3003.10.35.1%0.0%7.9%3.4
J.P. Holtz3.1-0.5003.1-0.54.5%0.0%6.8%2.6
Russell Gage3.1-0.9003.1-0.92.9%0.0%4.5%2.2
Adrian Peterson3.1-1.33.1-1.3005.1%25.8%0.0%1.8
Tommy Sweeney3-3003-34.3%0.0%6.9%0
Ross Dwelley3-1.3003-1.33.7%0.0%6.5%1.7
Elijhaa Penny30.41.8-0.31.20.73.5%20.9%2.0%3.4
Chester Rogers2.9-2.9002.9-2.93.4%0.0%7.0%0
Scott Miller2.9-1.10.61.22.3-2.34.4%5.0%5.6%1.8
Damion Ratley2.8-2.8002.8-2.84.7%0.0%7.4%0
Greg Olsen2.8-2.8002.8-2.83.8%0.0%6.2%0
Stanley Morgan Jr.2.8-1.2002.8-1.22.9%0.0%4.3%1.6
Jonnu Smith2.74002.744.5%0.0%8.5%6.7
Bobo Wilson2.7-0.6002.7-0.64.1%0.0%6.6%2.1
Seth Roberts2.7-2.7002.7-2.73.4%0.0%6.0%0
LeSean McCoy2.71.6002.71.63.2%0.0%4.5%4.3
Jakob Johnson2.7-1.2002.7-1.22.8%0.0%4.3%1.5
Wendell Smallwood2.702.70004.5%22.5%0.0%2.7
Marqise Lee2.6-1.1002.6-1.12.6%0.0%4.1%1.5
Mack Hollins2.5-2.5002.5-2.53.4%0.0%5.9%0
Derek Carrier2.51.7002.51.72.8%0.0%4.9%4.2
Darren Sproles2.5-2.11.5-1.11-13.4%8.7%2.3%0.4
Lee Smith2.45.4002.45.43.4%0.0%5.5%7.8
Rhett Ellison2.4-1.1002.4-1.12.8%0.0%4.0%1.3
Tajae Sharpe2.3-0.1002.3-0.13.8%0.0%7.2%2.2
Tavon Austin2.31.40.60.81.80.52.4%4.8%2.7%3.7
Ryan Griffin2.2-1002.2-14.0%0.0%6.1%1.2
Jordan Akins2.20.9002.20.92.4%0.0%4.0%3.1
Andy Isabella2.2-1.12.2-1.1002.4%9.0%0.0%1.1
Ameer Abdullah2.10.32.10.3003.0%10.4%0.0%2.4
Virgil Green1.9-0.4001.9-0.41.7%0.0%2.5%1.5
Ryquell Armstead1.9-0.30.5-0.61.40.31.9%2.9%2.2%1.6
Javon Wims1.8-1.8001.8-1.82.6%0.0%3.9%0
Anthony Sherman1.8-1.60.4-0.21.4-1.42.1%5.4%2.4%0.2
Tony Pollard1.80.11.80.1001.9%14.3%0.0%1.9
D'Ernest Johnson1.7-0.1001.7-0.12.8%0.0%4.5%1.6
Deon Cain1.70001.702.0%0.0%4.1%1.7
Luke Willson1.70.3001.70.32.3%0.0%4.0%2
Cody Latimer1.7-1.7001.7-1.72.0%0.0%2.8%0
Justin Hardy1.7-0.2001.7-0.21.6%0.0%2.4%1.5
Noah Fant1.60001.602.9%0.0%5.7%1.6
Johnny Holton1.6-1.6001.6-1.62.2%0.0%3.3%0
Andrew Beck1.50.5001.50.52.7%0.0%5.4%2
Kyle Rudolph1.5-0.1001.5-0.12.2%0.0%4.1%1.4
Kelvin Harmon1.5-0.1001.5-0.12.5%0.0%3.8%1.4
Alex Armah1.5-0.1001.5-0.12.0%0.0%3.3%1.4
Charles Clay1.52.2001.52.21.6%0.0%3.0%3.7
Maxx Williams1.50.2001.50.21.6%0.0%3.0%1.7
Robert Tonyan Jr.1.51.8001.51.81.6%0.0%3.0%3.3
Geoff Swaim1.5-0.1001.5-0.11.5%0.0%2.4%1.4
Derek Watt1.50.3001.50.31.4%0.0%2.0%1.8
Vyncint Smith1.56.41.56.4002.8%16.1%0.0%7.9
C.J. Ham1.4-0.5001.4-0.52.0%0.0%3.8%0.9
Ricky Seals-Jones1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.3%0.0%3.7%0
Cameron Brate1.40.7001.40.72.1%0.0%3.4%2.1
Nick Vannett1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.9%0.0%2.9%0
Dan Vitale1.30.6001.30.61.4%0.0%2.6%1.9
Keelan Cole1.3-1.3001.3-1.31.3%0.0%2.0%0
Alex Erickson1.30.4001.30.41.3%0.0%2.0%1.7
Lance Kendricks1.3-1.3001.3-1.31.2%0.0%1.7%0
Emmanuel Sanders1.20.7001.20.72.2%0.0%4.3%1.9
Josh Reynolds1.21001.211.1%0.0%1.5%2.2
Wayne Gallman10.410.4001.2%11.6%0.0%1.4
Diontae Spencer0.900.90001.6%4.8%0.0%0.9
Justice Hill0.9-0.20.9-0.2001.1%4.1%0.0%0.7
Ty Montgomery0.7-0.60.7-0.6001.3%7.5%0.0%0.1
Cordarrelle Patterson0.7-0.20.7-0.2001.0%6.1%0.0%0.5
Andre Roberts0.50.20.50.2000.7%4.0%0.0%0.7
Alec Ingold0.5-0.20.5-0.2000.6%2.2%0.0%0.3
Bilal Powell0.400.40000.7%4.3%0.0%0.4
Malcolm Brown0.300.30000.3%2.3%0.0%0.3
Deonte Harris0600000.0%0.0%0.0%6
Braxton Berrios0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
D.J. Foster0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dalton Schultz0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Darrius Shepherd0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
De'Anthony Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Deonte Harris0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dontrell Hilliard0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Fred Brown0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Geremy Davis0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gunner Olszewski0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ian Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Levine Toilolo0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Pharaoh Brown0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Richie James0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ryan Switzer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
T.J. Logan0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Taiwan Jones0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trenton Cannon0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Troymaine Pope0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Conklin0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Andre Roberts0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gunner Olszewski0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ryan Switzer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Darrius Shepherd0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
T.J. Jones0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chad Beebe0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Justin Watson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dalton Schultz0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jamize Olawale0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
De'Anthony Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0

Some Observations

Many Qualified Candidates

Will Fuller led all players with 53.7 PPR points on just 26.8 expected points, probably from many owners’ benches. He also led all players in FPOE and team share of receiving EP — accounting for nearly half of Houston’s receiving workload value. Only one other player had over 40% of his team’s receiving workload: Courtland Sutton.

Sutton vs. Fuller was a decision point that many RotoViz readers likely faced in Week 5. They were both wide receivers we thought were undervalued in drafts and had both underwhelmed in 2019. I’m sad to say that in at least one league where I faced this exact decision, I chose wrongly.2

The Incumbents Make a Strong Case

However, neither Fuller nor Sutton led the league in receiving EP or total EP. Aaron Jones and Austin Ekeler each had 29 total EP, bested only by Cooper Kupp’s 30 EP. Kupp slightly underperformed his workload, but when you’re getting 30 EP, it almost doesn’t matter. He still finished as a top-10 WR in PPR scoring. Kupp now leads all WRs in EP on the season, with 12 more EP than second-place Keenan Allen and nearly 20 more points than third-place Michael Thomas. He’s now had at least 20 total EP in three straight weeks.

Kupp is on pace for over 320 EP this season. An increase in his efficiency could see him challenge for the elusive 400-point WR season.3

The only non-quarterback with more total EP on the season than Kupp is Christian McCaffrey, who leads all players with 118 EP, the fifth-highest mark through five weeks since 2000. What’s even more impressive is that McCaffrey has been remarkably efficient with this workload. In Week 5 he joined Fuller, Thomas, Jones, and Fuller’s QB — Deshaun Watson — as the only players with over 20 FPOE. His 159.6 PPR points through five weeks represent the third-highest total since 2000 and the second-highest for a non-QB.4

McCaffrey’s current pace of over 510 PPR points over a 16-game season is probably unsustainable, and his upcoming matchup against Tampa Bay looks difficult. McCaffrey was held to just 7.3 points in their previous matchup. However, the Bucs did surrender two rushing TDs along with seven catches for 54 yards to Todd Gurley in Week 4 before allowing Alvin Kamara to catch six passes for 42 receiving yards last week.5

So there is some hope that McCaffrey can keep up this pace for at least one more game. McCaffrey ranks first or second among RBs in every metric involving receiving production, which is the one area where RBs have had some success against the Buccaneers.

Sorry, That Position Has Already Been Filled

The only RB who’s possibly been better than McCaffrey this season is Austin Ekeler, who maintained a massive role in the Chargers offense despite the return of Melvin Gordon. Gordon may eventually reclaim much of the workload Ekeler inherited in Gordon’s absence, but Week 5 was not that week. Ekeler saw by far his most substantial receiving workload of the season.

Ekeler accounted for 36.6% of the Chargers’ receiving EP, which was not only the highest mark among RBs in Week 5 — it’s also the highest mark an RB has achieved all season. For the time being, it looks like Ekeler has done enough to maintain his value and should remain in your starting lineups. Gordon was targeted six times himself and handled 12 carries, but he might be on the outside looking in at this point.

Gordon wasn’t the only RB to return to action in Week 5, as Tevin Coleman reemerged to rush for 97 yards and a TD on just 16 carries. Unfortunately, like Gordon, his performance was overshadowed by that of his teammate, who has looked good for weeks. Matt Breida rushed for an even more impressive 116 yards and a TD on only 11 carries. He also caught all three of his targets for 15 yards and another TD. His three targets gave him the edge in total EP (10.7 to Coleman’s 7.7) as Coleman failed to record a target. It’s likely that both will continue to have roles and to provide starting-caliber performances occasionally. But if Breida continues to get more of the targets, he’s the back I’d rather plug into my lineups.

2019 Expected Points

PlayerGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Christian McCaffrey511841.661.433.356.58.427.6%79.5%20.8%159.6
Cooper Kupp5104.611.41.1-0.7103.61219.5%1.4%29.0%116
Austin Ekeler5104.528.838.81.965.726.922.2%57.3%21.4%133.3
Leonard Fournette597.7-6.353.14.144.5-10.323.8%78.7%16.6%91.4
Keenan Allen592.610.71-0.791.611.419.6%1.5%29.8%103.3
Dalvin Cook590.135.156.427.8348.327.6%58.9%19.3%125.2
Aaron Jones585.826.454.623.631.12.919.1%66.9%11.3%112.2
Michael Thomas585.631.70085.631.721.2%0.0%33.8%117.3
Alvin Kamara5851242.2-242.213.921.1%57.9%16.6%97
David Johnson584.78.435.7-3.348.811.917.7%52.5%15.7%93.1
Tyler Boyd582.51.30.4-0.182.11.417.6%0.8%25.7%83.8
Robert Woods580-9.24.6-0.375.4-8.914.9%6.0%21.1%70.8
Nick Chubb579.119.55121.428.2-2.119.4%78.3%10.7%98.6
Julio Jones578.87.20.6-0.578.27.715.4%1.0%22.3%86
Chris Carson578.23.549.3-5.1298.619.7%59.6%12.1%81.7
Larry Fitzgerald578.2-1.40078.2-1.416.4%0.0%25.1%76.8
Evan Engram577.94.90.5077.44.916.7%0.6%25.8%82.8
Ezekiel Elliott576.68.252.110.524.4-2.218.0%62.5%9.2%84.8
Le'Veon Bell476.1-3.934.1-13.542.19.529.5%82.0%24.5%72.2
Zach Ertz575.4-7.20075.4-7.216.1%0.0%26.5%68.2
Phillip Lindsay575.16.843.57.231.5-0.317.5%53.6%11.9%81.9
Derrick Henry574.29.261.90.812.58.221.1%74.0%6.0%83.4
Julian Edelman572.94.22.1-1.269.25.415.3%2.4%23.6%77.1
Travis Kelce571.76.20071.76.214.7%0.0%23.3%77.9
Chris Godwin571.448.70071.448.717.0%0.0%27.2%120.1
Odell Beckham Jr.571.3-6.31.10.470.1-7.617.5%1.7%26.7%65
Amari Cooper570.143.10070.143.116.5%0.0%26.5%113.2
Marlon Mack569.82.458311.9-0.715.5%62.4%4.4%72.2
Austin Hooper56915.3006915.313.4%0.0%19.7%84.3
Chris Thompson568.9-10.413.7-755.2-3.416.0%23.9%19.5%58.5
Todd Gurley568.98.938.218.830.7-9.912.8%49.5%8.6%77.8
DeAndre Hopkins567.97.80068.88.917.3%0.0%27.8%75.7
Allen Robinson567.812.90067.812.917.4%0.0%27.2%80.7
Courtland Sutton567.416.70067.416.715.7%0.0%25.4%84.1
Devonta Freeman566.9-2.930.3-11.636.58.813.0%51.9%10.4%64
Darren Waller566.86.80.7066.16.816.8%0.9%26.4%73.6
Mike Evans566.412.40066.412.415.8%0.0%25.3%78.8
Mark Ingram566.224.754.22111.83.914.0%45.0%4.4%90.9
James Conner5665.734.6-3.231.48.916.6%61.6%11.6%71.7
Joe Mixon564.6-15.538.4-14.126-1.213.8%72.0%8.1%49.1
Curtis Samuel564.3-13.83.3-0.561-13.315.0%4.3%22.5%50.5
Sammy Watkins464.313.20064.313.213.1%0.0%20.9%77.5
D.J. Moore563.94.51.5-0.362.44.814.9%1.9%23.0%68.4
David Montgomery562.6-11.946.5-1216.10.116.1%67.9%6.5%50.7
Marquise Brown562.59.10062.59.113.2%0.0%23.2%71.6
Jarvis Landry562.310.50.561.80.515.3%0.8%23.6%63.3
Mark Andrews562.314.80062.314.813.2%0.0%23.2%77.1
Will Fuller562.123.90062.123.915.8%0.0%25.1%86
Christian Kirk461.8-9.82.3-0.559.6-9.412.9%3.4%19.1%52
Dede Westbrook561.7-9.40.9-0.360.9-9.215.0%1.3%22.8%52.3
Emmanuel Sanders561.57.20061.57.214.3%0.0%23.1%68.7
Josh Jacobs561.519.248.518.512.90.815.5%63.8%5.1%80.7
Cole Beasley561.1-5.40061.1-5.414.0%0.0%23.4%55.7
John Brown560.912.50.7-0.360.212.814.0%0.7%23.1%73.4
Kenny Golladay460.370060.3717.4%0.0%28.1%67.3
Davante Adams460.22.60060.22.613.4%0.0%21.9%62.8
D.J. Chark559.845.70059.845.714.6%0.0%22.4%105.5
Frank Gore559.8-4.850.8-5.590.713.7%53.4%3.4%55
Kerryon Johnson459.7-5.747.1-1612.410.517.2%66.6%5.8%54
Sterling Shepard459.64.32.31.957.42.312.8%3.0%19.1%63.9
Josh Gordon559-5.90.9-0.858.1-5.112.4%1.0%19.8%53.1
Tyler Lockett558.226.9-0.805926.914.7%-1.0%24.7%85.1
Royce Freeman558.1-6.828.4-3.429.7-3.413.5%35.0%11.2%51.3
Mohamed Sanu557.85.61.6-1.356.1711.3%2.7%16.0%63.4
Brandin Cooks5575.21.62.155.33.210.6%2.1%15.5%62.2
Calvin Ridley555.812.70055.812.710.9%0.0%15.9%68.5
Juju Smith-Schuster554.614.70054.614.713.7%0.0%20.1%69.3
Marquez Valdes-Scantling554.5-80054.5-812.1%0.0%19.8%46.5
Sony Michel554.4-3.846.6-2.27.8-1.611.4%53.9%2.7%50.6
T.Y. Hilton45417.2005417.212.0%0.0%19.9%71.2
Terry McLaurin453.314.50053.314.512.4%0.0%18.8%67.8
Carlos Hyde552.8-442.90.19.9-4.113.4%56.2%4.0%48.8
Jordan Howard552.712.839.39.513.43.311.3%40.7%4.7%65.5
Miles Sanders552.4-9.831.2-11.921.12.211.2%32.3%7.4%42.6
John Ross452.314.50052.314.511.2%0.0%16.4%66.8
LeSean McCoy552.37.5330.419.44.710.7%38.4%6.3%59.8
Nelson Agholor551.64.20051.64.211.0%0.0%18.1%55.8
James White451.116.6-0.344.8110.7%7.6%15.3%52.1
Greg Olsen550.91.70050.91.711.9%0.0%18.8%52.6
Tarik Cohen550.6-8.18.1-4.442.5-3.713.0%11.8%17.0%42.5
George Kittle450.53.81.8048.73.814.9%1.9%25.9%54.3
Adam Thielen5483333.14529.914.7%3.1%25.5%81
Mike Williams448-10.90048-10.910.2%0.0%15.6%37.1
Jamison Crowder447.7-7.90.9-0.546.8-7.418.5%2.2%27.3%39.8
Peyton Barber547.20.735.24.212.2-3.711.2%46.3%4.6%47.9
Preston Williams447.1-60047.1-615.9%0.0%23.3%41.1
D.K. Metcalf546.24.50046.24.511.6%0.0%19.3%50.7
Saquon Barkley345.82.322.47.323.4-59.8%28.9%7.8%48.1
Randall Cobb545.6-0.51.3-0.244.2-0.210.7%1.6%16.7%45.1
Trey Quinn545.6-9.20045.6-9.210.6%0.0%16.1%36.4
Will Dissly545.428.50.8-0.144.728.511.4%1.0%18.7%73.9
Diontae Johnson545.14.50.8-0.244.34.711.3%1.4%16.3%49.6
Gerald Everett544.71.60044.71.68.3%0.0%12.5%46.3
Demarcus Robinson544.618.50044.618.59.1%0.0%14.5%63.1
KeeSean Johnson544.3-14.91.4-1.142.9-13.89.3%2.1%13.8%29.4
Delanie Walker5443.200443.212.5%0.0%21.3%47.2
Michael Gallup343.516.40043.516.410.2%0.0%16.4%59.9
Kenyan Drake443.4-8.415.2-3.928.2-4.514.7%40.5%14.0%35
Paul Richardson543.25.10043.25.110.0%0.0%15.2%48.3
Alshon Jeffery443.133.82.539.30.69.2%3.9%13.8%46.1
Tyrell Williams442.819.80042.819.810.8%0.0%17.1%62.6
Auden Tate442.4-5.40042.4-5.49.1%0.0%13.3%37
Jared Cook541.8-10.70041.8-10.710.4%0.0%16.5%31.1
Damien Williams340.9-718.8-7.122.10.18.4%21.9%7.2%33.9
Rex Burkhead440.72.2143.226.6-0.98.5%16.2%9.1%42.9
Ronald Jones5407.131.31.68.85.49.5%41.1%3.3%47.1
Marvin Jones439.912.20.4039.512.211.5%0.6%18.4%52.1
Wayne Gallman539.66211.718.54.48.5%27.1%6.2%45.6
Mecole Hardman539.59.22-1.937.511.18.1%2.3%12.2%48.7
Jason Witten538.380038.389.0%0.0%14.5%46.3
Jimmy Graham538.1-0.90038.1-0.98.5%0.0%13.8%37.2
Matt Breida438.118.524.915.113.13.511.2%26.5%7.0%56.6
Phillip Dorsett437.517.31.40.73616.77.9%1.6%12.3%54.8
Nyheim Hines537.4-4.45.4-2.432-28.3%5.8%11.8%33
Stefon Diggs536.810.50036.810.111.3%0.0%20.8%47.3
Ito Smith536.7-1.717.5-2.219.20.57.2%30.0%5.5%35
Giovani Bernard536.5-11.28.9-4.427.6-6.87.8%16.7%8.6%25.3
DeVante Parker4360.100360.112.2%0.0%17.8%36.1
Corey Davis535.83.30035.83.310.2%0.0%17.3%39.1
Hunter Renfrow535.8-13.70035.8-13.79.0%0.0%14.3%22.1
Jack Doyle535.4-2.60035.4-2.67.8%0.0%13.0%32.8
Adrian Peterson434.8-14.627.4-10.67.4-48.1%47.7%2.6%20.2
Eric Ebron534.600034.607.7%0.0%12.7%34.6
Duke Johnson534.33.7164.518.2-0.78.7%20.9%7.3%38
Tyler Eifert534.2-5.70034.2-5.77.3%0.0%10.7%28.5
Geronimo Allison534-0.91-0.333-0.67.6%1.2%12.0%33.1
Chris Conley533.910.40033.910.48.3%0.0%12.7%44.3
James O'Shaughnessy533.67.70033.67.78.2%0.0%12.6%41.3
T.J. Hockenson433.36.30033.36.39.6%0.0%15.5%39.6
Tyler Higbee433.2-1.30033.2-1.36.2%0.0%9.3%31.9
Raheem Mostert4337.422.6110.46.49.7%24.0%5.5%40.4
Jaylen Samuels532.9-1.412.3-1.322.3-18.3%21.9%8.2%31.5
Zay Jones432.5-18.60032.5-18.67.5%0.0%12.5%13.9
Robby Anderson432.3-8.20032.3-8.212.5%0.0%18.8%24.1
Hayden Hurst532.1-1.40032.1-1.46.8%0.0%11.9%30.7
Deebo Samuel4323.81.6-130.34.89.4%1.7%16.1%35.8
Adam Humphries531.8-2.50.3-0.231.5-2.39.0%0.4%15.2%29.3
James Washington531.3-8.30031.3-8.37.9%0.0%11.5%23
Bennie Fowler431.2-7.31.20.830-8.16.7%1.5%10.0%23.9
Gus Edwards531.2-7.825-8.56.10.86.6%20.8%2.3%23.4
Ted Ginn531.25.90.7-0.630.56.57.7%1.0%12.0%37.1
A.J. Brown530.318.70030.318.78.6%0.0%14.6%49
Mack Hollins530.3-7.80030.3-7.86.5%0.0%10.7%22.5
Jakeem Grant430.2-16.22.3-2.527.8-13.610.2%6.1%13.8%14
Dawson Knox530.12.40.9029.22.46.9%0.9%11.2%32.5
Dion Lewis529.8-9.17.8-2.222-6.98.5%9.3%10.6%20.7
Vance McDonald429.57.70029.57.77.4%0.0%10.9%37.2
Darrel Williams329.47.117.22.312.34.76.0%20.0%4.0%36.5
Dare Ogunbowale529.3-5.92.6-326.7-2.97.0%3.4%10.2%23.4
Noah Fant528.92.20.8-1.328.23.46.7%1.0%10.6%31.1
Vernon Davis428.9-0.60028.9-0.66.7%0.0%10.2%28.3
Damiere Byrd328-6.40028-6.45.9%0.0%9.0%21.6
Damion Ratley527.6-9.30027.6-9.36.8%0.0%10.5%18.3
Danny Amendola327.33.80027.33.87.9%0.0%12.7%31.1
Jarius Wright527.1-2.90027.1-2.96.3%0.0%10.0%24.2
Kalen Ballage426.7-17.913-10.113.8-7.99.0%34.7%6.8%8.8
Jordan Akins526.211.50026.211.56.7%0.0%10.6%37.7
Taylor Gabriel325.914.20.61.525.312.76.7%0.9%10.1%40.1
DaeSean Hamilton425.7-110025.7-116.0%0.0%9.7%14.7
DeAndre Washington524.90.813.8-0.4111.36.3%18.2%4.4%25.7
Willie Snead524.819.70024.819.75.2%0.0%9.2%44.5
Jamaal Williams424.2412-3.312.27.35.4%14.7%4.4%28.2
Darren Fells523.712.30023.712.36.0%0.0%9.6%36
Nick Boyle523.3-3.60023.3-3.64.9%0.0%8.7%19.7
Trey Burton423.2-6.50023.2-6.56.0%0.0%9.3%16.7
Jeff Wilson223.16.121.57.71.7-1.76.8%22.9%0.9%29.2
Parris Campbell423.1-0.20.50.222.6-0.45.1%0.5%8.3%22.9
Tony Pollard522.57.116.36.56.20.65.3%19.5%2.3%29.6
Chase Edmonds522.46.69.29.513.2-2.94.7%13.5%4.2%29
O.J. Howard522.22.90022.22.95.3%0.0%8.5%25.1
Anthony Miller522-60022-65.6%0.0%8.8%16
T.J. Yeldon5222.55.1-0.616.93.15.1%5.4%6.5%24.5
Jeremy Sprinkle521.9-7.40021.9-7.45.1%0.0%7.7%14.5
Geoff Swaim521.5-3.50021.5-3.55.2%0.0%8.0%18
Kenny Stills421.414.40021.414.45.4%0.0%8.6%35.8
Jaron Brown521-1.40021-1.45.3%0.0%8.8%19.6
Zach Pascal5216.50.90.320.16.24.6%1.0%7.4%27.5
Foster Moreau520.84.90020.84.95.2%0.0%8.3%25.7
Malcolm Brown520.64.817.85.62.7-0.73.8%23.1%0.8%25.4
Cody Latimer420.3-3.90020.3-3.94.4%0.0%6.8%16.4
Deon Cain520.3-11.10020.3-11.14.5%0.0%7.5%9.2
Justin Jackson320.21.38.75.511.6-4.34.3%12.9%3.8%21.5
Damion Willis420-2.80020-2.84.3%0.0%6.3%17.2
Donte Moncrief320-16.30020-16.35.0%0.0%7.4%3.7
Latavius Murray5204.6114.490.25.0%15.1%3.5%24.6
Chester Rogers519.8-0.60019.8-0.64.4%0.0%7.3%19.2
Jalen Richard519.6-2.95.9-0.713.7-2.24.9%7.8%5.5%16.7
Darren Sproles519.5-4.58.9-110.6-3.54.2%9.2%3.7%15
Marquise Goodwin419.513.60.41.119.112.55.7%0.4%10.2%33.1
Cameron Brate519.43.80019.43.84.6%0.0%7.4%23.2
Darius Slayton319.311.40019.311.44.1%0.0%6.4%30.7
Dontrelle Inman419.12.10019.12.14.1%0.0%6.2%21.2
Josh Hill519-40019-44.7%0.0%7.5%15
Alexander Mattison518.97.817.57.41.40.45.8%18.3%0.8%26.7
Byron Pringle518.77.60018.77.63.8%0.0%6.1%26.3
Breshad Perriman418.5-12.60.90.417.6-134.4%1.2%6.7%5.9
C.J. Prosise318.32.47.30.3112.14.6%8.8%4.6%20.7
Travis Benjamin417.7-9.70017.7-9.73.8%0.0%5.8%8
Dallas Goedert417.5-2.20017.5-2.23.7%0.0%6.2%15.3
Kendrick Bourne417.3-6.40017.3-6.45.1%0.0%9.2%10.9
Dante Pettis416.8-0.20015.9-0.14.9%0.0%8.5%16.6
Keke Coutee416.8-0.80.80.216-14.3%1.0%6.5%16
Mike Gesicki416.6-5.50016.6-5.55.6%0.0%8.2%11.1
Dontrell Hilliard416.55.77.189.4-2.34.0%10.9%3.6%22.2
Melvin Gordon116.4-8.67.9-4.88.5-3.83.5%11.7%2.8%7.8
Marcedes Lewis516.1-2.20016.1-2.23.6%0.0%5.9%13.9
Justice Hill515.9-6.36-1.39.8-4.93.4%5.0%3.6%9.6
Jeff Heuerman515.8-2.10015.8-2.13.7%0.0%5.9%13.7
Demaryius Thomas215.4-5.80015.4-5.86.0%0.0%9.0%9.6
Blake Jarwin415.3100015.3103.6%0.0%5.8%25.3
Miles Boykin415.26.60015.26.63.2%0.0%5.6%21.8
Demetrius Harris515.1-5.50015.1-5.53.7%0.0%5.8%9.6
Tevin Coleman2158.310.77.34.314.4%11.4%2.3%23.3
Devin Smith414.97.40014.97.43.5%0.0%5.6%22.3
Ryan Switzer514.9-50014.9-53.7%0.0%5.5%9.9
DeSean Jackson214.820.60014.820.63.2%0.0%5.2%35.4
Jordan Wilkins414.71.3120.52.70.83.3%12.9%1.0%16
Seth Roberts514.70.60014.70.63.1%0.0%5.5%15.3
Luke Stocker414.5-8.90014.5-8.92.8%0.0%4.1%5.6
Antonio Brown114.41.70.9-0.413.52.13.0%1.0%4.6%16.1
Rhett Ellison514.4-2.80014.4-2.83.1%0.0%4.8%11.6
Ryan Grant214.4-90014.4-93.6%0.0%5.7%5.4
Rashaad Penny314.2810.25.63.92.53.6%12.3%1.6%22.2
Steven Sims Jr.514.27.75.28.99-1.23.3%9.1%3.2%21.9
C.J. Uzomah514.10.10014.10.13.0%0.0%4.4%14.2
Cordarrelle Patterson513.9-2.65.31.88.6-4.43.6%7.7%3.4%11.3
Alex Erickson513.8-0.60013.8-0.62.9%0.0%4.3%13.2
C.J. Ham513.8-7.90013.8-7.94.2%0.0%7.8%5.9
Russell Shepard313.5-80013.5-82.9%0.0%4.5%5.5
David Njoku213.20.50013.20.53.2%0.0%5.0%13.7
Devin Singletary213.213.34.7148.5-0.73.0%4.9%3.3%26.5
Mike Davis313.2-3.33.8-1.69.3-1.63.4%5.5%3.7%9.9
Olabisi Johnson513.22.60013.22.64.0%0.0%7.5%15.8
Justin Hardy513.1-1.90013.1-1.92.6%0.0%3.7%11.2
Kyle Rudolph513.1-3.50013.1-3.54.0%0.0%7.4%9.6
Javon Wims512.9-1.50012.9-1.53.3%0.0%5.2%11.4
Tajae Sharpe512.82.80012.82.83.6%0.0%6.2%15.6
Ty Johnson412.8-2.76.2-0.86.7-23.7%8.8%3.1%10.1
Kyle Juszczyk412.71.50.60121.63.7%0.6%6.4%14.2
Tommy Sweeney512.6-5.80012.6-5.82.9%0.0%4.8%6.8
Trent Sherfield512.6-6.80012.6-6.82.6%0.0%4.0%5.8
D'Ernest Johnson512.52.72.7-0.59.83.33.1%4.1%3.7%15.2
David Moore312.31.50012.31.53.1%0.0%5.1%13.8
Adam Shaheen412.1-0.10012.1-0.13.1%0.0%4.8%12
Jonathan Hilliman212-5.39.5-4.22.5-1.12.6%12.2%0.8%6.7
Nick Vannett5120.600120.63.0%0.0%4.4%12.6
Brandon Bolden411.910.35.62.66.47.62.5%6.5%2.2%22.2
Richie James411.94.90011.94.93.5%0.0%6.3%16.8
Josh Reynolds511.7-6.30011.7-6.32.2%0.0%3.3%5.4
Trevor Davis411.513.92.111.39.42.62.9%2.8%3.8%25.4
Ricky Seals-Jones411.48.20011.48.22.8%0.0%4.3%19.6
Allen Hurns311.3-4.20011.3-4.23.8%0.0%5.6%7.1
Ryan Griffin411.2-4.50011.2-4.54.3%0.0%6.5%6.7
Jakobi Meyers411.1-0.50011.1-0.52.3%0.0%3.8%10.6
Bobo Wilson510.9-6.40010.9-6.42.6%0.0%4.1%4.5
Isaiah McKenzie510.911.62.4-18.512.62.5%2.5%3.3%22.5
Jonnu Smith510.84.11.3-0.39.54.43.1%1.6%4.6%14.9
Ryquell Armstead310.83.45.3-0.55.442.6%7.9%2.0%14.2
Jesse James410.6-10010.6-13.1%0.0%4.9%9.6
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside410.5-7.10010.5-7.12.2%0.0%3.7%3.4
Charles Clay510.4-0.40010.4-0.42.2%0.0%3.3%10
J.D. McKissic410.23.94.33.35.90.62.9%6.1%2.7%14.1
Ameer Abdullah510.1-3.34.1-0.76-2.63.1%4.3%3.4%6.8
Ty Montgomery410.1-2.54.3-1.25.8-1.33.9%10.3%3.4%7.6
Mark Walton39.9-0.74.3-0.45.6-0.33.3%11.5%2.8%9.2
Dan Vitale59.8-0.40.6-0.39.3-0.22.2%0.7%3.4%9.4
Mo Alie-Cox59.7-1.9009.7-1.92.1%0.0%3.6%7.8
Robert Tonyan Jr.59.31.3009.31.32.1%0.0%3.4%10.6
Derek Carrier49.21.3009.21.32.3%0.0%3.7%10.5
Lance Kendricks38.9-0.9008.9-0.91.9%0.0%2.9%8
Troymaine Pope28.92.54.8-2.84.15.31.9%7.1%1.3%11.4
Derrius Guice18.8-24.8-33.91.12.0%8.4%1.4%6.8
Irv Smith Jr.48.82.6008.82.62.7%0.0%5.0%11.4
Tra Carson18.8-1.62.9-1.55.9-0.12.0%3.6%2.1%7.2
Braxton Berrios48.7-3.8008.7-3.83.4%0.0%5.1%4.9
Devin Funchess18.7-2.5008.7-2.51.9%0.0%3.2%6.2
Matt LaCosse38.7-0.2008.7-0.21.8%0.0%3.0%8.5
Russell Gage58.5-4.11-1.17.5-31.7%1.7%2.1%4.4
Malik Turner48.24.1008.24.12.1%0.0%3.4%12.3
Tre'Quan Smith28.210.3008.210.32.0%0.0%3.2%18.5
J.J. Nelson28.15.5008.15.52.0%0.0%3.2%13.6
Michael Crabtree28.1-1.9008.1-1.91.7%0.0%2.6%6.2
Ryan Izzo5810.300810.31.7%0.0%2.7%18.3
Cody Core47.9-2.1007.9-2.11.7%0.0%2.6%5.8
Chris Hogan47.8-2.4007.8-2.41.8%0.0%2.9%5.4
Logan Thomas47.81.9007.81.92.2%0.0%3.6%9.7
C.J. Anderson27.7-3.47.7-3.4002.2%10.9%0.0%4.3
Kelvin Harmon57.72.2007.72.21.8%0.0%2.7%9.9
Golden Tate17.4-3.1007.4-3.11.6%0.0%2.5%4.3
Hunter Henry17.42.6007.42.61.6%0.0%2.4%10
Wendell Smallwood47.413.2-0.14.21.11.7%5.6%1.5%8.4
Darius Jennings47.1-3.4007.1-3.42.0%0.0%3.4%3.7
Andre Patton16.8-2.6006.8-2.61.4%0.0%2.2%4.2
T.J. Jones36.86006.861.5%0.0%2.3%12.8
Alex Armah56.72.442.52.7-0.11.6%5.2%1.0%9.1
Johnny Holton56.7-5.80.60.36.1-6.11.7%1.1%2.2%0.9
D'haquille Williams16.66.3006.66.31.5%0.0%2.5%12.9
Albert Wilson16.5-3.10.5-0.46-2.72.2%1.3%3.0%3.4
Antonio Callaway16.5-6.5006.5-6.51.6%0.0%2.5%0
Derek Watt56.501.6-1.34.91.31.4%2.4%1.6%6.5
Tavon Austin36.50.81.50.25.10.51.5%1.8%1.9%7.3
Maxx Williams56.34.1006.34.11.3%0.0%2.0%10.4
Elijhaa Penny56.2-1.35-21.20.71.3%6.4%0.4%4.9
Nick Bawden46-1.6006-1.61.7%0.0%2.8%4.4
Zach Line45.9-4.63.4-3.42.5-1.21.5%4.7%1.0%1.3
Virgil Green45.6-0.8005.6-0.81.2%0.0%1.8%4.8
Jake Kumerow35.5-1.4005.5-1.41.2%0.0%2.0%4.1
J.P. Holtz35.4-1.1005.4-1.11.4%0.0%2.2%4.3
Lee Smith55.34.3005.34.31.2%0.0%2.0%9.6
Patrick Ricard45.13.3005.13.31.1%0.0%1.9%8.4
Marvin Hall251.70051.71.4%0.0%2.3%6.7
Reggie Bonnafon259.53.610.91.4-1.41.2%4.7%0.5%14.5
Robert Foster34.9-4.9004.9-4.91.1%0.0%1.9%0
Keelan Doss44.80.7004.80.71.2%0.0%1.9%5.5
Blake Bell44.7-1.9004.7-1.91.0%0.0%1.5%2.8
Tyreek Hill14.7-0.62-1.52.70.91.0%2.3%0.9%4.1
Josh Bellamy24.6-0.6004.6-0.61.8%0.0%2.7%4
Quincy Enunwa14.6-4004.6-2.81.8%0.0%2.7%0.6
Rashard Higgins14.62004.621.1%0.0%1.8%6.6
Scott Miller34.6-2.80.61.24-41.1%0.8%1.5%1.8
Drew Sample44.50004.501.0%0.0%1.4%4.5
Chad Beebe34.44.6004.44.61.3%0.0%2.5%9
Patrick DiMarco44.4-0.10.4-0.340.21.0%0.4%1.5%4.3
Ben Braunecker34.30.1004.30.11.1%0.0%1.7%4.4
Nick O'Leary44.22.2004.22.21.4%0.0%2.1%6.4
Xavier Grimble34.1-2.8004.1-2.81.0%0.0%1.5%1.3
Darwin Thompson44-1.82.6-1.71.4-0.10.8%3.0%0.5%2.2
Marqise Lee44-1004-11.0%0.0%1.5%3
Sean Culkin43.9-1.7003.9-1.70.8%0.0%1.3%2.2
Keelan Cole53.8-0.9003.8-0.90.9%0.0%1.4%2.9
Luke Willson23.82.8003.82.81.0%0.0%1.6%6.6
Benny Snell Jr.33.6-0.62.40.61.2-1.20.9%4.3%0.4%3
Pharoh Cooper23.61.7003.61.70.8%0.0%1.2%5.3
Anthony Sherman53.3-0.60.4-0.22.9-0.40.7%0.5%0.9%2.7
Geremy Davis33.11.4003.11.40.7%0.0%1.0%4.5
Pharaoh Brown43.1-0.3003.1-0.30.8%0.0%1.2%2.8
Andy Isabella43-1.43-1.4000.6%4.4%0.0%1.6
Robert Davis33-0.9003-0.90.7%0.0%1.1%2.1
Ross Dwelley43-1.3003-1.30.9%0.0%1.6%1.7
Isaiah Ford12.90002.901.0%0.0%1.4%2.9
Andrew Beck52.8-0.8002.8-0.80.7%0.0%1.1%2
Deon Yelder22.83.5002.83.50.6%0.0%0.9%6.3
Stanley Morgan Jr.12.8-1.2002.8-1.20.6%0.0%0.9%1.6
Jakob Johnson32.7-1.2002.7-1.20.6%0.0%0.9%1.5
James Develin22.7-2.42.7-2.4000.6%3.1%0.0%0.3
Diontae Spencer52.60.10.901.70.10.6%1.1%0.6%2.7
Deonte Harris52.54.81.1-0.11.4-1.10.6%1.5%0.6%7.3
De'Anthony Thomas42.4-0.8002.4-0.80.5%0.0%0.8%1.6
Durham Smythe42.31.1002.31.10.8%0.0%1.1%3.4
Andre Roberts32.10.20.50.21.600.5%0.5%0.6%2.3
Mike Boone31.811.81000.6%1.9%0.0%2.8
DeAndre Carter51.6-0.7001.6-0.70.4%0.0%0.6%0.9
Justin Watson41.60.7001.60.70.4%0.0%0.6%2.3
Lil'Jordan Humphrey21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.4%0.0%0.6%0
Taywan Taylor31.6-1.6001.6-1.60.4%0.0%0.6%0
Antony Auclair41.5-1.5001.5-1.50.4%0.0%0.6%0
Dwayne Harris21.50.2001.50.20.4%0.0%0.6%1.7
MyCole Pruitt41.5-1.5001.5-1.50.4%0.0%0.7%0
Vyncint Smith11.56.41.56.4000.6%3.6%0.0%7.9
Cedrick Wilson21.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.5%0
Chris Moore41.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.5%0
Ian Thomas51.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.5%0
Jamize Olawale41.4-1.4001.4-1.40.3%0.0%0.5%0
Troy Fumagalli31.40.3001.40.30.3%0.0%0.5%1.7
Darrell Henderson11.3-1.31.3-1.3000.2%1.7%0.0%0
Kenjon Barner31.10.3001.10.30.2%0.0%0.3%1.4
Alec Ingold50.9-0.50.9-0.5000.2%1.2%0.0%0.4
Bilal Powell20.400.40000.2%1.0%0.0%0.4
Alex Ellis30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Allen Lazard30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Andy Janovich10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Anthony Firkser30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ashton Dulin10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Austin Carr20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Dillon10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cethan Carter20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chandler Cox40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Lacy20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Manhertz40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cullen Gillaspia30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
D.J. Foster10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dalton Schultz50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Daniel Brown30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Darrius Shepherd30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
David Fluellen10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Devontae Booker20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Eric Tomlinson30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Evan Baylis10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Fred Brown20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Dickerson10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Greg Ward Jr.10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gregory Howell20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gunner Olszewski50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jaeden Graham30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
John Ursua10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Johnny Mundt10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Juwann Winfree10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Keith Kirkwood10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Keith Smith40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Khadarel Hodge10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Laquon Treadwell10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Levine Toilolo40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matthew Slater30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Nick Bellore30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
River Cracraft10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Samaje Perine20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Seth DeValve40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
T.J. Logan40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Taiwan Jones10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tim Patrick10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trenton Cannon30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trevon Wesco30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Conklin40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Ervin30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Zach Gentry20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Image Credit: Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Cooper Kupp.

  1. Cumulative season-long data is included at the end of the article.  (back)
  2. Whether it was the wrong decision at the time is another matter. The somewhat silver lining, depending on how you look at it, is that the opponent put up enough points that Fuller’s additional 34.5 points still would not have given me the W.  (back)
  3. The highest mark a WR has achieved since 2000 is 386.9 PPR points by Antonio Brown in 2015.  (back)
  4. Priest Holmes had 171.3 PPR points after Week 5 in 2002. He finished that season with 442.7 PPR points in 14 games.  (back)
  5. Saquon Barkley was also on pace for a strong receiving game against Tampa Bay in Week 3 before leaving with a high-ankle sprain.  (back)

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Talkin’ Trades Week 3: He’s Got Legs, Does He Know How To Use Them?

There’s been a nearly overwhelming amount of developing injury news throughout this week. My general advice for the teams with questionable quarterbacking is downgrade everyone on those teams that isn’t a clear cut No. 1 option. But in the midst of so much uncertainty, let’s focus on buying the under-reaction

Read More

Week 3 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 3 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? This article runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.1 DSF Week 3 Primetime Slate DFS Week 3 Primetime Slate theory thoughts: Players seem a bit too cheap, especially on DraftKings, which

Read More

Week 4 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 4 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.