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3 Rookies Become Year 2 Breakout Candidates: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 14

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look at how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency metric that accounts for both yards and touchdowns in a single number. Add EP (opportunity) and FPOE (efficiency) together, and you get a player’s actual fantasy output.

This weekly article will look at some of the leaders in expected points and try to tease out how fantasy gamers can take advantage of these various volume and efficiency situations. First, the Week 14 data:1

Week 14 Expected Points

PlayerEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Michael Thomas24.16.30024.16.321.7%0.0%35.1%30.4
Ezekiel Elliott23.3016.23.97-3.821.4%83.5%10.0%23.3
Christian McCaffrey231.55.7-0.417.31.923.9%39.3%27.4%24.5
Joe Mixon22.94.716.14.56.80.223.4%77.0%12.1%27.6
DeAndre Hopkins22.83.41.2021.63.420.2%8.8%28.7%26.2
Julian Edelman21.92.40.40.421.5223.1%2.6%36.3%24.3
DeAndre Washington21.10.511.9-0.69.11.224.9%61.3%20.0%21.6
Devin Singletary20.7-2.98.60.312.1-3.221.5%54.4%20.0%17.8
Aaron Jones20.111.19.89.610.21.629.6%64.5%24.9%31.2
Travis Kelce19.10.96.4012.70.920.2%33.0%21.9%20
Tyler Higbee18.8-0.20018.8-0.220.3%0.0%36.3%18.6
Robert Woods18.86.92.70.2166.820.3%11.0%30.9%25.7
Todd Gurley18.82.513.10.85.71.720.3%53.3%11.0%21.3
Alvin Kamara18.5-10.29.1-6.69.4-3.616.6%42.3%13.7%8.3
Robby Anderson1870.6-0.217.47.221.3%4.1%31.9%25
Ian Thomas17.7-10017.7-118.4%0.0%28.0%16.7
Deebo Samuel17.5-1.62.50.815-2.418.0%15.9%24.6%15.9
Melvin Gordon17.51.99.42.18.1-0.224.6%45.9%20.5%19.4
James White17.5-4.85.7-2.410.1-2.418.5%36.5%17.0%12.7
Christian Kirk17.3-0.40.8-0.416.5022.2%5.9%35.0%16.9
Michael Gallup16.900016.9015.5%0.0%24.2%16.9
Diontae Johnson16.49.21.6014.83.227.8%7.7%52.5%25.6
Devonta Freeman15.83.610.53.95.3-0.319.4%55.0%11.1%19.4
Tyreek Hill15.6-2.61.4-0.614.2-216.5%7.2%24.5%13
Patrick Laird15.6-3.47.8-2.67.8016.4%50.0%13.2%12.2
Mark Ingram15.4-4.511-64.31.621.8%53.4%11.2%10.9
Zach Pascal15.35.10015.35.117.7%0.0%26.6%20.4
Emmanuel Sanders15.319.20014.314.415.7%0.0%23.4%34.5
Isaiah Ford15.200015.2016.0%0.0%25.6%15.2
D.J. Chark151.500151.518.1%0.0%26.8%16.5
Kenny Golladay14.92.90014.92.916.1%0.0%23.8%17.8
Leonard Fournette14.9-5.66.5-1.58.3-418.0%53.3%14.8%9.3
Allen Robinson14.47.40014.47.416.5%0.0%27.3%21.8
George Kittle14.14.60014.14.614.5%0.0%23.1%18.7
Jordan Akins14-5.10014-5.112.4%0.0%18.6%8.9
Keke Coutee13.9-2.10013.9-2.112.3%0.0%18.5%11.8
Phillip Lindsay13.8-0.310.90.22.9-0.516.1%67.7%5.6%13.5
Stefon Diggs13.61.60013.61.617.3%0.0%31.1%15.2
Julio Jones13.6-20013.6-216.7%0.0%28.5%11.6
Chris Godwin13.62.50013.62.512.1%0.0%19.0%16.1
Larry Fitzgerald13.5-8.50013.5-8.517.4%0.0%28.7%5
Courtland Sutton13.4-50013.4-515.7%0.0%25.7%8.4
Danny Amendola13.4-50013.4-514.5%0.0%21.4%8.4
Bilal Powell13.3-2.59.1-1.74.2-0.815.7%61.9%7.7%10.8
Bo Scarbrough13.2-5.29-2.54.1-2.614.3%85.7%6.5%8
Cole Beasley13.11.80013.11.813.6%0.0%21.7%14.9
John Brown13.1-7.50013.1-7.513.6%0.0%21.7%5.6
Amari Cooper137.300137.312.0%0.0%18.6%20.3
Justin Watson12.940012.9411.5%0.0%18.1%16.9
Allen Hurns12.7-0.90012.7-0.913.4%0.0%21.4%11.8
Dalvin Cook12.72.8102.22.70.616.1%46.1%6.2%15.5
Duke Johnson12.6-2.10.5012.1-2.111.2%3.7%16.1%10.5
Ronald Jones12.5-2.65.4-1.87.1-0.811.1%32.7%9.9%9.9
Chris Carson12.2-0.16.70.95.5-117.5%76.1%11.3%12.1
Chris Thompson12-0.70012-0.717.7%0.0%29.9%11.3
Marcus Johnson127.500127.513.9%0.0%20.9%19.5
Derrick Henry1211.99.812.52.2-0.616.9%60.9%5.1%23.9
A.J. Brown11.921.70.90.41121.316.8%5.6%25.4%33.6
Sammy Watkins11.9-2.90011.9-2.912.6%0.0%20.5%9
Terry McLaurin11.740011.7417.3%0.0%29.2%15.7
Carlos Hyde11.5-1.77.10.24.3-1.810.2%52.2%5.7%9.8
Adrian Peterson11.42.211.42.20016.8%69.5%0.0%13.6
Jamison Crowder11.3-5.30011.3-5.313.3%0.0%20.7%6
Tyler Boyd11.31.91-0.310.42.111.6%4.8%18.5%13.2
David Montgomery11.1-2.59.7-1.11.4-1.412.7%54.5%2.7%8.6
Blake Jarwin1100011010.1%0.0%15.7%11
LeSean McCoy11-5.76.5-2.64.5-3.111.7%33.5%7.8%5.3
Austin Ekeler10.920.43.86.37.114.115.3%18.5%18.0%31.3
Kareem Hunt10.93.95.92.94.91.116.4%35.5%12.9%14.8
Marvin Jones10.8-40010.8-411.7%0.0%17.2%6.8
Dede Westbrook10.7-2.20010.7-2.212.9%0.0%19.1%8.5
Royce Freeman10.70.53.8-1.46.8212.5%23.6%13.0%11.2
Steven Sims Jr.10.6-2.60010.6-2.615.7%0.0%26.4%8
Tarik Cohen10.6-1.51.6-0.99-0.612.1%9.0%17.0%9.1
Alexander Mattison10.6-2.27.8-3.22.71.113.5%35.9%6.2%8.4
Jarvis Landry10.51.10010.51.115.8%0.0%27.6%11.6
Alex Erickson10.50.30010-0.510.7%0.0%17.8%10.8
Benny Snell Jr.10.4-6.310.4-6.30017.7%50.2%0.0%4.1
D.J. Moore10.21.90.8-0.89.42.710.6%5.5%14.9%12.1
Kenyan Drake10.2-0.56.2-2.54213.1%45.6%8.5%9.7
Jacob Hollister10.1-2.70010.1-2.714.5%0.0%20.8%7.4
D.K. Metcalf103.800103.814.3%0.0%20.6%13.8
Ted Ginn9.8-0.8009.8-0.88.8%0.0%14.3%9
Nyheim Hines9.8-3.32-1.97.8-1.411.4%16.8%13.6%6.5
Jack Doyle9.7-5009.7-511.3%0.0%16.9%4.7
Mike Gesicki9.6-8009.6-810.1%0.0%16.2%1.6
Jason Witten9.3-0.6009.3-0.68.6%0.0%13.3%8.7
Darren Waller9.24.1009.24.110.8%0.0%20.2%13.3
Davante Adams8.8-0.7008.8-0.712.9%0.0%21.5%8.1
Jonnu Smith8.83.1008.83.112.4%0.0%20.3%11.9
Austin Hooper8.8-3.6008.8-3.610.8%0.0%18.4%5.2
Kendrick Bourne8.88008.889.1%0.0%14.4%16.8
Darwin Thompson8.8-0.51.9-1.26.80.89.3%9.8%11.7%8.3
Nick O'Leary8.54.5008.54.510.2%0.0%15.2%13
Cameron Brate8.54.5008.54.57.6%0.0%11.9%13
Keenan Allen8.44.9008.44.911.8%0.0%21.3%13.3
Breshad Perriman8.47.6008.47.67.5%0.0%11.8%16
Ty Montgomery8.40.74.3-1.24.11.99.9%29.3%7.5%9.1
Peyton Barber8.4-1.14.9-1.53.50.47.5%29.7%4.9%7.3
Parris Campbell8.3-4.1008.3-4.19.6%0.0%14.4%4.2
Josh Hill8.30.1008.30.17.5%0.0%12.1%8.4
Curtis Samuel8.3-2.12.4-0.75.9-1.48.6%16.6%9.3%6.2
Raheem Mostert8.316.65.57.42.89.28.5%35.0%4.6%24.9
Odell Beckham Jr.8.2-2.3008.2-2.312.4%0.0%21.6%5.9
Cooper Kupp8.26.3008.26.38.9%0.0%15.8%14.5
Marlon Mack8.21.68.21.6009.5%68.9%0.0%9.8
Nick Chubb8.14.66.93.71.20.912.2%41.6%3.2%12.7
Willie Snead82.30082.311.3%0.0%20.9%10.3
Tyler Lockett80.30080.311.5%0.0%16.5%8.3
Irv Smith Jr.7.9-2.8007.9-2.810.0%0.0%18.1%5.1
Calvin Ridley7.910.7007.910.79.7%0.0%16.5%18.6
Isaiah McKenzie7.9-2.4007.9-2.48.2%0.0%13.1%5.5
Jarius Wright7.9-0.9007.9-0.98.2%0.0%12.5%7
Latavius Murray7.53.93.63.33.90.66.7%16.7%5.7%11.4
Dawson Knox7.3-2.6007.3-2.67.6%0.0%12.1%4.7
Logan Thomas7.3-3.2007.3-3.27.9%0.0%11.6%4.1
J.D. McKissic7.3-1.50.7-0.56.6-17.9%6.7%10.5%5.8
O.J. Howard7.34007.346.5%0.0%10.2%11.3
Randall Cobb7.2-0.9007.2-0.96.6%0.0%10.3%6.3
DaeSean Hamilton7.1-1.5007.1-1.58.3%0.0%13.6%5.6
Javon Wims7.1-7.1007.1-7.18.1%0.0%13.4%0
David Njoku7-5.6007-5.610.6%0.0%18.4%1.4
Jimmy Graham70.90070.910.3%0.0%17.1%7.9
Demaryius Thomas73.80073.88.3%0.0%12.8%10.8
Jesper Horsted6.90.7006.90.77.9%0.0%13.1%7.6
Dare Ogunbowale6.92.9006.92.96.1%0.0%9.7%9.8
Giovani Bernard6.9-0.32.3-0.84.60.57.1%11.0%8.2%6.6
Jalen Richard6.9-0.33.2-0.43.70.18.1%16.5%8.1%6.6
Foster Moreau6.83.6006.83.68.0%0.0%14.9%10.4
Noah Fant6.814.5006.814.57.9%0.0%13.0%21.3
Josh Gordon6.5-1.1006.5-1.19.3%0.0%13.4%5.4
Matt LaCosse6.5-3.1006.5-3.16.9%0.0%11.0%3.4
Tre'Quan Smith6.54.4006.54.45.8%0.0%9.5%10.9
Seth Roberts6.4-4.6006.4-4.69.0%0.0%16.7%1.8
Anthony Miller6.36.9006.36.97.2%0.0%11.9%13.2
Myles Gaskin6.3-4.22.4-1.93.9-2.36.6%15.4%6.6%2.1
Tyrell Williams6.20.3006.20.37.3%0.0%13.6%6.5
Auden Tate6.2-3.6006.2-3.66.3%0.0%11.1%2.6
Darren Fells6.2-4006.2-45.5%0.0%8.2%2.2
James Washington6.11.2006.11.210.4%0.0%21.6%7.3
Nick Boyle6300638.5%0.0%15.7%9
Hunter Henry65.90065.98.4%0.0%15.2%11.9
Russell Gage6-2.3006-2.37.4%0.0%12.6%3.7
Jakobi Meyers6-1.5006-1.56.3%0.0%10.1%4.5
Tyler Eifert5.93005.936.0%0.0%10.5%8.9
Brian Hill5.96.35.96.3007.2%30.9%0.0%12.2
Kelvin Harmon5.8-1.8005.8-1.88.6%0.0%14.5%4
Corey Davis5.8-0.4005.8-0.48.2%0.0%13.4%5.4
Malcolm Brown5.82.35.82.3006.3%23.6%0.0%8.1
Tajae Sharpe5.60.9005.60.97.9%0.0%12.9%6.5
Robert Foster5.5-5.5005.5-5.55.7%0.0%9.1%0
John Ross5.3-0.5005.3-0.55.4%0.0%9.4%4.8
Jaylen Samuels5.30.13.2-1.62.11.79.0%15.5%7.4%5.4
Tyler Conklin5.2-0.9005.2-0.96.6%0.0%11.9%4.3
Mike Williams5.19.2005.19.27.2%0.0%12.9%14.3
Chris Conley5.1-3.4005.1-3.46.1%0.0%9.1%1.7
Benjamin Watson5.1-3.4005.1-3.45.4%0.0%8.6%1.7
Dion Lewis5.1-13.8-1.21.30.27.2%23.6%3.0%4.1
Keelan Doss4.90.7004.90.75.8%0.0%10.7%5.6
Rex Burkhead4.9-3.43.5-21.5-1.55.2%22.4%2.5%1.5
Matt Breida4.823.22.21.7-0.34.9%20.4%2.8%6.8
C.J. Uzomah4.7-3.3004.7-3.34.8%0.0%8.4%1.4
Spencer Ware4.7-3.51.9-0.82.7-2.65.0%9.8%4.7%1.2
Marquise Brown4.6-1.8004.6-1.86.5%0.0%12.0%2.8
Jamaal Williams4.6-2.23-0.61.6-1.66.8%19.7%3.9%2.4
Frank Gore4.6-44.6-4004.8%29.1%0.0%0.6
Hayden Hurst4.511.8004.511.86.4%0.0%11.7%16.3
Mark Andrews4.5-2.1004.5-2.16.4%0.0%11.7%2.4
Tim Patrick4.52.5004.52.55.3%0.0%8.6%7
J.P. Holtz4.44.2004.44.25.0%0.0%8.3%8.6
Vyncint Smith4.40.3004.40.35.2%0.0%8.1%4.7
Malik Turner4.3-2.3004.3-2.36.2%0.0%8.9%2
Keelan Cole4.3-2.1004.3-2.15.2%0.0%7.7%2.2
Kyle Juszczyk4.30.9004.30.94.4%0.0%7.0%5.2
Kerrith Whyte Jr.4.21.83.111.10.87.1%15.0%3.9%6
Sony Michel4.2-2.32.8-21.4-0.34.4%17.9%2.4%1.9
Allen Lazard4.1-0.2004.1-0.26.0%0.0%10.0%3.9
Zay Jones4.1-2.6004.1-2.64.8%0.0%9.0%1.5
David Johnson3.99.41.40.52.58.95.0%10.3%5.3%13.3
Jeff Heuerman3.84003.844.4%0.0%7.3%7.8
Albert Wilson3.8-2.3003.8-2.34.0%0.0%6.4%1.5
Chase Edmonds3.8-2.90.902.9-2.94.9%6.6%6.2%0.9
Olamide Zaccheaus3.712.6003.712.64.5%0.0%7.7%16.3
Ryquell Armstead3.6-2.90.9-0.22.7-2.74.3%7.4%4.8%0.7
Derek Watt3.62.83.62.8005.1%17.6%0.0%6.4
Charles Clay3.54003.544.5%0.0%7.4%7.5
DeVante Parker3.51.3003.51.33.7%0.0%5.9%4.8
Brandon Zylstra3.5-1.8003.5-1.83.6%0.0%5.5%1.7
Cordarrelle Patterson3.50.32-2.51.62.74.0%11.2%3.0%3.8
Phillip Dorsett3.4-3.4003.4-3.43.6%0.0%5.7%0
Jared Cook3.417003.4173.1%0.0%5.0%20.4
Mike Evans3.29.9003.29.92.8%0.0%4.5%13.1
Kenny Stills3.2-0.4003.2-0.42.8%0.0%4.2%2.8
Alec Ingold3.2-3.33.2-3.3003.8%16.5%0.0%-0.1
Jalen Guyton3.1-3.1003.1-3.14.4%0.0%7.8%0
Robert Tonyan Jr.3.15.1003.15.14.6%0.0%7.6%8.2
Brandin Cooks3.1-3.1003.1-3.13.3%0.0%6.0%0
Devontae Booker3.11.3003.11.33.6%0.0%5.9%4.4
Daniel Brown3.1-1.4003.1-1.43.7%0.0%5.7%1.7
Jesse James3.10.2003.10.23.3%0.0%4.9%3.3
C.J. Ham3.10.41.6-1.61.523.9%7.4%3.4%3.5
Kalif Raymond3-0.9003-0.94.2%0.0%6.9%2.1
Tavon Austin3-3003-32.8%0.0%4.3%0
Laquon Treadwell2.93.3002.93.33.7%0.0%6.6%6.2
David Moore2.8-0.3002.8-0.34.0%0.0%5.8%2.5
Khari Blasingame2.54.2002.54.23.5%0.0%5.8%6.7
Olabisi Johnson2.45.5002.45.53.0%0.0%5.5%7.9
Derrius Guice2.41.82.41.8003.5%14.6%0.0%4.2
Jace Sternberger2.3-2.3002.3-2.33.4%0.0%5.6%0
Kyle Rudolph2.30.8002.30.82.9%0.0%5.3%3.1
Andrew Beck2.31.6002.31.62.7%0.0%4.4%3.9
Josh Reynolds2.30.62.30.6002.5%9.3%0.0%2.9
Stanley Morgan Jr.2.2-2.2002.2-2.22.2%0.0%3.9%0
Demarcus Robinson2.20002.202.3%0.0%3.8%2.2
Ty Johnson2.2-0.20.8-0.51.40.32.4%7.6%2.2%2
Damion Ratley2.1-2.1002.1-2.13.2%0.0%5.5%0
Mike Boone2.1-0.82.1-0.8002.7%9.7%0.0%1.3
N'Keal Harry20.20020.22.1%0.0%3.4%2.2
Qadree Ollison2-1.42-1.4002.5%10.5%0.0%0.6
Justin Hardy1.81.1001.81.12.2%0.0%3.8%2.9
Mohamed Sanu1.80.5001.80.51.9%0.0%3.0%2.3
Gus Edwards1.80.21.80.2002.5%8.7%0.0%2
Ricky Seals-Jones1.71.5001.71.52.6%0.0%4.5%3.2
Virgil Green1.76.7001.76.72.4%0.0%4.3%8.4
Andy Isabella1.7-0.2001.7-0.22.2%0.0%3.6%1.5
Riley Ridley1.7-0.2001.7-0.21.9%0.0%3.2%1.5
Mecole Hardman1.710.1001.710.11.8%0.0%2.9%11.8
MyCole Pruitt1.63.6001.63.62.3%0.0%3.7%5.2
Rico Gafford1.610.3001.610.31.9%0.0%3.5%11.9
Pharoh Cooper1.6-0.1001.6-0.12.1%0.0%3.4%1.5
Braxton Berrios1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.9%0.0%2.9%0
Cedrick Wilson1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.5%0.0%2.3%0
Deonte Harris1.61.50.10.71.50.81.4%0.5%2.2%3.1
Deon Cain1.51.7001.51.72.5%0.0%5.3%3.2
Anthony Firkser1.53.4001.53.42.1%0.0%3.5%4.9
Alexander Hollins1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.9%0.0%3.4%0
Troy Fumagalli1.5-0.2001.5-0.21.8%0.0%2.9%1.3
Mo Alie-Cox1.50.3001.50.31.7%0.0%2.6%1.8
Ross Travis1.5-0.4001.5-0.41.7%0.0%2.6%1.1
Tyler Kroft1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.6%0.0%2.5%0
Chris Manhertz1.50.6001.50.61.6%0.0%2.4%2.1
Justice Hill1.5-0.71.5-0.7002.1%7.3%0.0%0.8
Trey Edmunds1.40.3001.40.32.4%0.0%5.0%1.7
Khadarel Hodge1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.1%0.0%3.7%0
Dan Vitale1.4-1.4001.4-1.42.1%0.0%3.4%0
Ryan Griffin1.40.4001.40.41.7%0.0%2.6%1.8
Michael Walker1.40.5001.40.51.7%0.0%2.5%1.9
Chad Williams1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.6%0.0%2.4%0
Durham Smythe1.4-0.2001.4-0.21.5%0.0%2.4%1.2
Mack Hollins1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.5%0.0%2.4%0
Geronimo Allison1.30.8001.30.81.9%0.0%3.2%2.1
Rashaad Penny1.31.3001.31.31.9%0.0%2.7%2.6
Byron Pringle1.31.1001.31.11.4%0.0%2.2%2.4
Tevin Coleman1.3-0.71.3-0.7001.3%8.3%0.0%0.6
Vance McDonald1.20.1001.20.12.0%0.0%4.3%1.3
Marcedes Lewis1.20.3001.20.31.8%0.0%2.9%1.5
Justin Jackson1.21.31.21.3001.7%5.9%0.0%2.5
Isaac Nauta1.10.2001.10.21.2%0.0%1.8%1.3
Richie James1.1-1.21.1-1.2001.1%7.0%0.0%-0.1
Stephen Carlson1-1001-11.5%0.0%2.6%0
Ameer Abdullah10.20010.21.3%0.0%2.3%1.2
Damiere Byrd0.91.1000.91.11.2%0.0%1.9%2
Jamize Olawale0.9-0.9000.9-0.90.8%0.0%1.3%0
Brandon Bolden0.86.20.86.2000.8%5.1%0.0%7
Luke Stocker0.7-0.7000.7-0.70.9%0.0%1.5%0
Wendell Smallwood0.7-0.30.7-0.3001.0%4.3%0.0%0.4
Reggie Bonnafon0.600.60000.6%4.1%0.0%0.6
C.J. Prosise0.5-0.30.5-0.3000.7%5.7%0.0%0.2
Jordan Wilkins0.5-0.40.5-0.4000.6%4.2%0.0%0.1
Andre Roberts0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Charles Jones0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Lacy0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Christian Blake0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Darrell Henderson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
De'Anthony Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Diontae Spencer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dontrell Hilliard0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Celek0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Greg Dortch0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jeremy Sprinkle0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Kenjon Barner0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Maxx Williams0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Nsimba Webster0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Patrick Ricard0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Senorise Perry0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Ervin0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0

Some Observations

Week 14 may go down as one of the more surprising weeks in the 2019 NFL season. Two separate players scored more than 20 points above expectation, but we still had only one player with more than 40 points (and he threw three interceptions). There were so many points scored above expectation because expectations were abnormally low. No non-quarterback had even 25 total EP.

Michael Thomas led the way with 24.1. He led all players with 15 targets, but he didn’t lead in market share of targets or of expected points. That was rookie WR Diontae Johnson, who accounted for over half of his team’s receiving EP. Despite coming into Week 13 with three straight negative FPOE games, Johnson is averaging 1.0 receiving FPOE per game, which is an extremely positive sign for his Year 2 outlook.

Johnson is not the only rookie to impress in the market share category while his team struggles to put up points. Terry McLaurin controlled 29.2% of his team’s receiving EP, and he leads all rookie WRs in that category through 14 weeks. That amounts to only 11.3 EP per game (ranking No. 39 in the league), as McLaurin has only had double-digit targets once.

McLaurin is on pace to score about 190 PPR points, which would be an impressive rookie season, but would keep him from counting as a rookie breakout. Things look bleak for Washington, with rookie QB Dwayne Haskins continuing to struggle. But if Haskins can show some Year 2 improvement, good things might be in store for his most efficient pass catcher.2

However, the rookie with the most total EP in Week 14 was not a WR at all, as Devin Singletary surpassed 20 total EP for the first time in his short career.

Singletary has been an RB2 or better in three straight games, and appears to have marginalized Frank Gore entirely. He also ranks 16th in FPOE, which is a huge positive signal for RB breakouts as well.

2019 Expected Points

PlayerGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Christian McCaffrey13316.861.8157.138.916022.626.0%76.2%20.6%378.6
Leonard Fournette13271.6-36142.5-20.6128.8-15.223.2%75.4%17.0%235.6
Michael Thomas13244.160.40.7-1.6243.46220.8%0.4%32.2%304.5
Julian Edelman13239.2-3.15.3-2.6227.5-0.518.1%2.2%27.9%236.1
Dalvin Cook13236.852.3153.235.683.518.123.3%60.5%14.4%289.1
Ezekiel Elliott13227.414.4147.713.479.61.218.9%66.0%10.5%241.8
DeAndre Hopkins13217.226.21.80214.824.519.9%0.9%31.1%243.4
Nick Chubb1321512.7151.618.463.3-5.719.3%73.6%9.2%227.7
Aaron Jones13211.543.9116.533.494.810.719.0%57.9%13.7%255.4
Chris Carson13209.3-2.2145.4-9.563.77.618.2%61.2%8.9%207.1
D.J. Moore132038.14.5-1.5198.59.616.7%2.2%25.6%211.1
Austin Ekeler13202.567.668.7-2.6133.970.117.4%36.3%18.0%270.1
Mike Evans13201.631.100201.631.115.8%0.0%24.8%232.7
Keenan Allen13200.871.90.2198.96.817.2%1.0%26.7%207.8
Alvin Kamara11196.6-8.577.7-10.5118.51.716.7%41.4%15.7%188.1
Le'Veon Bell12193-12.8100.8-23.99211.319.6%62.1%14.5%180.2
Chris Godwin13190.968.10.70.1190.168.115.0%0.3%23.4%259
Cooper Kupp13190.727.81.1-0.7189.728.415.4%0.5%24.2%218.5
Jarvis Landry13189.89.70.50.5189.49.117.1%0.2%27.4%199.5
Tyler Boyd13189.5-132.8-0.5186.8-12.616.1%1.7%24.1%176.5
Robert Woods12189.3-3124177.1-6.815.3%5.4%22.6%186.3
Allen Robinson13186.521.300186.521.317.0%0.0%26.5%207.8
Travis Kelce13183.221.16.40176.821.115.7%3.3%23.7%204.3
Joe Mixon13182.1-15.1117.4-20.464.75.315.5%69.8%8.4%167
Julio Jones1218014.31.3-1.6178.715.914.8%0.8%22.7%194.3
Odell Beckham Jr.13179.4-222.2-1.2177-21.616.1%1.1%25.6%157.4
Derrick Henry13177.575.3142.559.734.815.819.3%73.7%6.2%252.8
Zach Ertz12173.3-9.700173.3-9.716.3%0.0%26.2%163.6
D.J. Chark13171.143.51.70.3169.443.214.6%0.9%22.3%214.6
Courtland Sutton13169.722.92.2-0.5167.121.918.0%1.1%30.2%192.6
Todd Gurley12167.77.2111.514.656.1-7.313.6%50.0%7.2%174.9
Mark Ingram13166.139.7127.317.438.822.315.2%40.1%6.5%205.8
David Montgomery13165.2-20.9121.6-23.643.52.815.0%64.5%6.2%144.3
James White12165-5.538.3-6.2125.17.812.5%16.1%15.4%159.5
Marvin Jones13164.329.61-1163.230.713.9%0.5%21.7%193.9
John Brown13163.427.20.6-0.2160.124.715.7%0.2%26.7%190.6
Josh Jacobs12163.417.3127.420.736-3.415.1%60.7%5.3%180.7
Phillip Lindsay13161.77.710413.757.6-5.917.1%53.5%10.4%169.4
Kenny Golladay1316053.80016053.813.5%0.0%21.3%213.8
Amari Cooper13159.663.800159.663.813.2%0.0%21.1%223.4
Saquon Barkley9159-19.580.3-13.978.9-5.814.9%50.4%11.3%139.5
Calvin Ridley13158.938.11.91.515736.613.0%1.1%20.0%197
Curtis Samuel13157.1-9.29.86.5147.4-15.812.9%4.8%19.0%147.9
Darren Waller13153.225.30.50152.725.314.1%0.2%22.6%178.5
Larry Fitzgerald13152.4-3.500152.4-3.512.9%0.0%20.0%148.9
DeVante Parker13151.827.400151.827.414.1%0.0%21.4%179.2
Michael Gallup11148.415.100148.415.112.3%0.0%19.6%163.5
Christian Kirk10148.1-4.55.2-0.2143.1-4.512.6%2.6%18.8%143.6
Jamison Crowder13147.6-7.40.9-0.5146.7-6.915.0%0.6%23.1%140.2
Devonta Freeman11146.74.471.9-15.374.719.812.0%43.2%9.5%151.1
Dede Westbrook12145.7-17.82.2-0.2143.6-17.712.4%1.2%18.9%127.9
Tyler Lockett13145.644.31.3-1.8144.346.112.6%0.5%20.2%189.9
Emmanuel Sanders1414429.20014324.412.2%0.0%19.9%173.2
Tarik Cohen13143.3-16.628.4-12.7115.1-4.113.0%15.1%16.4%126.7
D.K. Metcalf13142.718.71.6-0.5141.119.212.4%0.7%19.8%161.4
Cole Beasley13142.223.200142.223.213.7%0.0%23.7%165.4
Kenyan Drake11141.7-15.857.2-5.884.7-10.212.0%29.0%11.1%125.9
Sony Michel13141.4-22.4116.6-21.124.8-7.310.7%49.1%3.0%119
Davante Adams9139.25.300139.25.312.5%0.0%20.1%144.5
Melvin Gordon9136.5-886.3-450.1-3.911.7%45.5%6.7%128.5
Mark Andrews13136.130.600136.130.612.5%0.0%23.0%166.7
Terry McLaurin12135.217.100135.217.114.3%0.0%22.9%152.3
Auden Tate12134.8-31.300134.8-31.311.5%0.0%17.4%103.5
Sammy Watkins11133.1-9.11.4-0.2131.7-8.911.4%0.7%17.7%124
Stefon Diggs13132.858.53.62.1129.25613.0%1.4%22.2%191.3
Royce Freeman13130.3-7.865.3-7.365-0.513.8%33.6%11.8%122.5
Marlon Mack11130.111.5111.810.218.41.212.1%50.7%2.8%141.6
Carlos Hyde13129-0.2108.77.920.2-811.8%54.5%2.9%128.8
Robby Anderson13126.27.40.6-0.2125.67.612.8%0.4%19.8%133.6
Austin Hooper10125.734.300125.734.310.3%0.0%16.0%160
Miles Sanders12125.514.464.1-4.161.518.411.8%32.4%9.3%139.9
George Kittle11124.536.45.2-3.7119.44010.6%2.0%16.6%160.9
Deebo Samuel12124.321.88.16.8116.11510.5%3.1%16.2%146.1
Mike Williams121237.30.8-0.6122.27.910.5%0.4%16.4%130.3
David Johnson11121.719.555-9.466.828.810.3%27.9%8.8%141.2
Tevin Coleman11121.3478.23.8430.310.3%30.4%6.0%125.3
Frank Gore13119.9-33.7101.3-33.518.4011.5%41.6%3.1%86.2
Danny Amendola12119.6-9.700119.6-9.710.1%0.0%15.9%109.9
Jason Witten13118.30.200118.30.29.8%0.0%15.6%118.5
Tyreek Hill9117.724.55.4-3.3112.127.910.1%2.7%15.1%142.2
Mohamed Sanu12117.7-8.82.2-1.1115.5-7.78.9%0.9%14.2%108.9
Alshon Jeffery9117.54.73.82.5113.82.211.1%1.9%17.2%122.2
Chris Conley13116.70.500116.70.510.0%0.0%15.4%117.2
Ronald Jones13116.214.770.611.245.83.39.1%33.2%5.6%130.9
Jamaal Williams12116.118.752.2-6.164.124.610.4%25.9%9.3%134.8
Nelson Agholor11115.9-19.91.5-0.8114.4-19.110.9%0.8%17.3%96
Devin Singletary10115.317.959.916.355.41.611.1%24.6%9.2%133.2
LeSean McCoy12113.37.764.74.248.41.49.7%32.9%6.5%121
Adrian Peterson12112.5-1.992.6-2.819.61.211.9%54.5%3.3%110.6
Latavius Murray13112.125.261.821.550.33.79.5%32.9%6.7%137.3
Greg Olsen12111.43.800111.43.89.2%0.0%14.4%115.2
Randall Cobb12111.419.42.3-1.210821.79.2%1.0%14.3%130.8
Duke Johnson13111.321.139.15.972.215.210.2%19.6%10.5%132.4
Diontae Johnson13110.813.63.60.5107.36.211.0%1.8%17.1%124.4
Evan Engram8109.400.70108.7010.3%0.4%15.5%109.4
James Conner8108.620.659.53.549.117.110.8%30.6%7.8%129.2
Peyton Barber13108.2-2.580.70.327.7-38.5%37.9%3.4%105.7
Jaylen Samuels11107.3-12.435.8-12.973.2-110.7%18.4%11.6%94.9
Noah Fant13104.5-3.50.1-1.3104.4-2.211.1%0.1%18.9%101
Marquise Brown11104.522.300104.522.39.6%0.0%17.6%126.8
Anthony Miller13103.9-3.9-0.20.1104-3.99.4%-0.1%14.8%100
Zach Pascal13102.220.70.90.3101.320.49.5%0.4%15.7%122.9
Hunter Henry9102.220.400102.220.48.8%0.0%13.7%122.6
Jack Doyle13101.50.900101.50.99.4%0.0%15.7%102.4
Darius Slayton10100.616.900100.616.99.4%0.0%14.4%117.5
Will Fuller9100.119.700100.119.79.2%0.0%14.5%119.8
Juju Smith-Schuster101008.4001008.410.0%0.0%15.9%108.4
Preston Williams899.7-6.90099.7-6.99.3%0.0%14.1%92.8
Nyheim Hines1399.7-5.224.62.575.3-7.99.3%11.2%11.6%94.5
Gerald Everett1199.2-9.40099.2-9.48.0%0.0%12.6%89.8
Tyrell Williams1196.921.50096.921.58.9%0.0%14.3%118.4
A.J. Brown1396.857.21.3-0.295.457.510.6%0.7%17.1%154
Jordan Howard996.814.677.51119.43.59.1%39.1%2.9%111.4
Jared Cook1196.725.60096.725.68.2%0.0%12.8%122.3
T.J. Hockenson1296-15.30096-15.38.1%0.0%12.8%80.7
Alex Erickson1395-10.72.20.692.3-12.18.1%1.3%11.9%84.3
Tyler Higbee1293.12.40093.12.47.5%0.0%11.9%95.5
Demaryius Thomas1192.7-7.40092.7-7.49.4%0.0%14.6%85.3
Chris Thompson892.6-14.916.5-7.276.2-7.89.8%9.7%12.9%77.7
Mike Gesicki1392-2.30092-2.38.6%0.0%13.0%89.7
James Washington1291.1220091.1229.1%0.0%14.5%113.1
Damien Williams990.92.649.3-0.441.53.17.8%25.1%5.6%93.5
T.Y. Hilton790.612.20090.612.28.4%0.0%14.0%102.8
Jimmy Graham1389.3-1.10089.3-1.18.0%0.0%12.9%88.2
Corey Davis1289.21.80089.21.89.7%0.0%15.9%91
Dallas Goedert1188.97.60088.97.68.4%0.0%13.5%96.5
Eric Ebron1188.4-1.90088.4-1.98.2%0.0%13.7%86.5
Brandin Cooks1187.70.33.12.184.6-1.87.1%1.4%10.8%88
Golden Tate787.519.10.70.986.817.68.2%0.4%12.4%106.6
Phillip Dorsett1186.58.31.40.785.17.66.6%0.6%10.4%94.8
Kalen Ballage1286.3-34.553.2-21.733.2-12.98.0%36.0%4.7%51.8
Sterling Shepard686-0.43.13.382.9-3.78.1%1.9%11.8%85.6
Matt Breida1085.614.457.18.528.65.87.3%22.2%4.0%100
Hunter Renfrow1184.92.70084.92.77.8%0.0%12.5%87.6
Kerryon Johnson684.1-13.763.4-20.620.76.97.1%31.3%2.8%70.4
Giovani Bernard1383.5-22.725.2-11.658.1-10.97.1%15.0%7.5%60.8
Ted Ginn1382.8-1.21.8-0.181-1.27.1%1.0%10.7%81.6
J.D. McKissic1382.6-3.124.9-4.657.61.67.0%12.3%7.7%79.5
Tyler Eifert1382-5.90082-5.97.0%0.0%10.6%76.1
Russell Gage1381.9-13.81-1.180.9-12.76.7%0.6%10.3%68.1
Dare Ogunbowale1381.5-13.619.4-6.462.3-7.46.4%9.1%7.7%67.9
Raheem Mostert1281.343.455.729.125.714.26.9%21.7%3.6%124.7
Darren Fells1379.823.40079.823.47.3%0.0%11.6%103.2
Vance McDonald1279.3-3.60.2079.1-3.67.9%0.1%12.6%75.7
Marquez Valdes-Scantling1278.7-0.11-0.177.707.1%0.5%11.2%78.6
Kyle Rudolph1378.126.10078.126.17.7%0.0%13.4%104.2
Taylor Gabriel977.712.61.30.776.3127.1%0.7%10.9%90.3
Trey Quinn1277.2-23.70077.2-23.78.2%0.0%13.1%53.5
Geronimo Allison1377.2-10.41-0.376.3-10.26.9%0.5%11.0%66.8
Alexander Mattison1376.6-6.259.9-7.716.61.67.5%23.7%2.9%70.4
Adam Humphries1276.210.30.3-0.275.910.58.3%0.2%13.6%86.5
Demarcus Robinson1376.190076.196.5%0.0%10.2%85.1
Ryan Griffin1376220076227.7%0.0%12.0%98
Jacob Hollister875.1-4.40075.1-4.46.5%0.0%10.5%70.7
Allen Hurns1274.82.80074.82.87.0%0.0%10.6%77.6
Dawson Knox1374.1-0.80.9073.2-0.87.1%0.4%12.2%73.3
Josh Gordon1074.1-5.20.9-0.873.2-4.46.4%0.4%10.3%68.9
DeAndre Washington1373.84.137.2-4.336.18.96.8%17.7%5.3%77.9
Kendrick Bourne1372.718.10072.718.16.2%0.0%10.1%90.8
Jarius Wright1371.5-22.4-0.7072.2-22.45.9%-0.3%9.3%49.1
KeeSean Johnson1071.3-23.31.4-1.169.9-22.26.1%0.7%9.2%48
Rex Burkhead1070.5-7.425.6-1.545-65.3%10.8%5.5%63.1
Paul Richardson1070.4-5.90.8-0.869.6-5.17.5%0.5%11.8%64.5
Jordan Akins1369.86.90069.86.96.4%0.0%10.1%76.7
Olabisi Johnson1368.7-1.20068.7-1.26.7%0.0%11.8%67.5
Cameron Brate1368.75.20068.75.25.4%0.0%8.5%73.9
Breshad Perriman1168.5-6.60.80.567.7-7.15.4%0.4%8.3%61.9
Zay Jones1268.3-29.41.1-0.867.2-28.66.3%0.5%9.9%38.9
Nick Boyle1368.100068.106.2%0.0%11.5%68.1
Albert Wilson1067.8-16.84.8-1.263.1-15.76.3%3.2%8.9%51
Adam Thielen867.340.93.72.463.538.66.6%1.5%10.9%108.2
Mecole Hardman1366.5453.7-262.8475.7%1.9%8.4%111.5
Darrel Williams1165.84320.1343.75.6%16.3%4.6%69.8
Willie Snead1364.922.51.4-1.263.523.76.0%0.4%10.7%87.4
Gus Edwards1364.44.256.63.47.70.95.9%17.8%1.3%68.6
O.J. Howard1164.15.60064.15.65.0%0.0%7.9%69.7
Jalen Richard1363.9-1.514.5-4.249.52.85.9%6.9%7.3%62.4
Kenny Stills1163.427.50063.427.55.8%0.0%9.2%90.9
Irv Smith Jr.1363.22.60063.22.66.2%0.0%10.9%65.8
Josh Reynolds1363.1-124.2-1.958.8-105.1%1.9%7.5%51.1
Jonnu Smith1362.89.21.7-0.361.19.56.8%0.9%10.9%72
Jakobi Meyers1262.7-6.30062.7-6.34.7%0.0%7.7%56.4
Ty Johnson1362.4-14.729.2-10.733.3-4.15.3%14.4%4.4%47.7
Chase Edmonds962.120.829.924.532.1-3.65.3%15.2%4.2%82.9
Keke Coutee862-8.95.32.156.8-11.15.7%2.7%8.2%53.1
Hayden Hurst1360.46.20060.46.25.5%0.0%10.2%66.6
Dion Lewis1360.2-11.417.3-4.942.7-6.36.6%8.9%7.6%48.8
Kareem Hunt55912.118.68.740.23.65.3%9.0%5.8%71.1
Jakeem Grant1058.2-10.38.9-2.449.1-13.75.4%6.0%6.9%47.9
Isaiah McKenzie1257.8-3.34.2-2.353.5-0.95.6%1.7%8.9%54.5
Blake Jarwin1357.819.30057.819.34.8%0.0%7.6%77.1
John Ross557.514.10057.514.14.9%0.0%7.4%71.6
Bennie Fowler857.4-11.11.20.856.2-11.95.4%0.8%8.0%46.3
Delanie Walker857.14.70057.14.76.2%0.0%10.2%61.8
Mark Walton757.1-13.127.9-7.829.2-5.35.3%18.9%4.1%44
Brian Hill754.32.633.50.5211.94.5%20.1%2.7%56.9
Josh Hill1354.2-2.60054.2-2.64.6%0.0%7.2%51.6
David Moore1153.6-21.1-0.552.5-1.54.7%0.5%7.4%51.6
Allen Lazard1253.419.60.61.552.718.24.8%0.3%7.6%73
Tony Pollard1253.4829.25.224.22.84.4%13.1%3.2%61.4
Rashaad Penny105225.335.519.516.55.84.5%14.9%2.3%77.3
DaeSean Hamilton1351.2-20.80051.2-20.85.4%0.0%9.3%30.4
Benny Snell Jr.851-7.745.7-7.75.305.1%23.5%0.8%43.3
Foster Moreau1350.517.90050.517.94.7%0.0%7.5%68.4
Steven Sims Jr.1349.217.17.141.8-11.85.2%4.2%7.1%50.2
C.J. Uzomah1349.1-14.90049.1-14.94.2%0.0%6.3%34.2
Jeremy Sprinkle1349-4.40049-4.45.2%0.0%8.3%44.6
Malcolm Brown1148.30.74434.2-2.23.9%19.7%0.5%49
Cody Latimer1148-3.70048-3.74.5%0.0%6.8%44.3
Rhett Ellison1047.8-7.10047.8-7.14.5%0.0%6.8%40.7
Pharoh Cooper1047.8-1.80.7-0.547.2-1.44.1%0.4%6.2%46
Will Dissly647.526.40.8-0.146.826.44.1%0.3%6.6%73.9
Damiere Byrd847.4-10.60047.4-10.64.0%0.0%6.2%36.8
Chester Rogers1246.31.410.845.30.64.3%0.5%7.0%47.7
Patrick Laird545.80.917.1-2.328.744.3%11.6%4.1%46.7
Kelvin Harmon1345.7-0.50045.7-0.54.8%0.0%7.7%45.2
Wayne Gallman1045.34.921.81.223.33.94.2%13.7%3.3%50.2
Seth Roberts1344.2-40044.2-44.1%0.0%7.5%40.2
Jaron Brown1044.140044.143.8%0.0%6.2%48.1
Parris Campbell743.1-32.50.940.6-3.94.0%1.1%6.3%40.1
Demetrius Harris1242.3-1.80042.3-1.73.8%0.0%6.1%40.5
Dante Pettis1142-7.30041.1-7.23.6%0.0%5.7%34.7
Keelan Cole13426.500426.53.6%0.0%5.5%48.5
Derrius Guice54215.428.87.713.17.84.4%17.0%2.2%57.4
Bo Scarbrough441.4-3.835.70.45.5-43.5%17.6%0.7%37.6
Ito Smith740.1-3.820.9-4.319.20.53.3%12.6%2.4%36.3
Bilal Powell1139.1-10.425.4-5.514.4-5.64.0%15.7%2.3%28.7
Tavon Austin1138.9-7.310.10.328.9-7.73.2%4.5%3.8%31.6
Tajae Sharpe1238.712.20038.712.24.2%0.0%6.9%50.9
Trey Burton838.7-16.30038.7-16.33.5%0.0%5.5%22.4
Scott Miller937.9-11.21.6036.5-11.43.0%0.8%4.5%26.7
Mack Hollins1337.4-14.90037.4-14.93.5%0.0%5.3%22.5
Christian Blake637.4-17.30037.4-17.33.1%0.0%4.8%20.1
Javon Wims1337.2-5.50037.2-5.53.4%0.0%5.3%31.7
Justin Hardy1336.2-4.70036.2-4.73.0%0.0%4.6%31.5
Ross Dwelley1235.8-3.20035.8-3.23.0%0.0%5.0%32.6
Ryquell Armstead1135.7-4.313.2-622.51.73.0%7.0%3.0%31.4
Jeff Wilson835.211.726.87.78.34.13.0%10.4%1.2%46.9
Marcus Johnson534.99.80034.99.83.2%0.0%5.4%44.7
Marquise Goodwin834.83.30.41.134.42.23.0%0.2%4.8%38.1
Benjamin Watson734.8-6.40034.8-6.42.6%0.0%4.3%28.4
James O'Shaughnessy534.27.10034.27.12.9%0.0%4.5%41.3
C.J. Ham1333.9-2.76-5.227.82.63.3%2.4%4.8%31.2
Logan Thomas1333.6-0.50033.6-0.52.8%0.0%4.5%33.1
Ty Montgomery1333.5-513.4-4.320.1-0.73.4%8.3%3.2%28.5
Justice Hill1333.5-11.520-4.813.5-6.73.1%6.3%2.3%22
Jordan Wilkins1133.4-2.522-0.711.4-1.83.1%10.0%1.8%30.9
Cordarrelle Patterson1333.1-3.69.7-2.423.5-7.33.0%5.1%3.3%29.5
Charles Clay13339.300339.32.8%0.0%4.3%42.3
Jonathan Williams432.87.626.23.36.64.33.0%11.9%1.0%40.4
Dontrell Hilliard1232.14.610.36.621.7-1.92.9%5.0%3.1%36.7
Jeff Heuerman1131.6-3.50031.6-3.53.3%0.0%5.7%28.1
Kyle Juszczyk931.51.20.6030.91.22.7%0.2%4.3%32.7
Ian Thomas1331.5-70031.5-72.6%0.0%4.1%24.5
Brandon Bolden1230.92014.410.416.69.52.3%6.1%2.0%50.9
Vyncint Smith1030.2-1.32.2728.1-8.43.1%1.4%4.4%28.9
Darrell Henderson830.1-8.420.1-6.110-2.32.4%9.0%1.3%21.7
Miles Boykin123011.5003011.52.8%0.0%5.1%41.5
Damion Ratley1029.7-11.40029.7-11.42.7%0.0%4.3%18.3
Vernon Davis429.2-0.90029.2-0.93.1%0.0%4.9%28.3
Derek Carrier1128.9-2.52.7026.2-2.52.7%1.3%3.9%26.4
Anthony Firkser1228.58.70028.58.73.1%0.0%5.1%37.2
Deon Cain1028.2-9.80028.2-9.82.8%0.0%4.5%18.4
Marcedes Lewis1328.23.40028.23.42.5%0.0%4.1%31.6
Ricky Seals-Jones1128.111.60028.111.62.5%0.0%4.1%39.7
Nick O'Leary1027.920027.922.4%0.0%3.7%29.9
Jake Kumerow1027.74.60027.74.62.5%0.0%4.0%32.3
Tre'Quan Smith827.615.80027.615.82.4%0.0%3.7%43.4
Geoff Swaim626.9-7.40026.9-7.42.3%0.0%3.5%19.5
Antonio Callaway426.8-9.90026.8-9.92.4%0.0%3.9%16.9
Jesse James1326.8-7.40026.8-7.42.3%0.0%3.6%19.4
Byron Pringle1126.38.70026.38.72.3%0.0%3.5%35
Donte Moncrief826.1-20.30026.1-20.32.1%0.0%3.4%5.8
Travis Benjamin525.9-16.90025.9-16.92.2%0.0%3.5%9
Adam Shaheen825.8-7.40025.8-7.42.3%0.0%3.7%18.4
Wendell Smallwood1125.5-2.58.6-116.8-1.42.7%5.1%2.8%23
Tim Patrick525.4-5.40025.4-5.42.7%0.0%4.6%20
C.J. Prosise625.40.510.9-0.614.51.12.2%4.6%2.0%25.9
Justin Jackson524.12.310.86.613.4-4.42.1%5.7%1.8%26.4
Damion Willis924-6.80024-6.82.0%0.0%3.1%17.2
Nick Vannett1223.9-2.10023.9-2.12.4%0.0%3.8%21.8
Kaden Smith523.92.90023.92.92.2%0.0%3.4%26.8
Matt LaCosse823.9-4.80023.9-4.81.8%0.0%2.9%19.1
Andy Isabella1223.710.43-1.420.711.82.0%1.5%2.7%34.1
Isaiah Ford523.6-5.50023.6-5.52.2%0.0%3.3%18.1
Darren Sproles623.2-6.210-1.413.3-4.92.2%5.0%2.0%17
Malik Turner1323.113.50023.113.52.0%0.0%3.2%36.6
Darwin Thompson822.80.711.9010.90.72.0%6.1%1.5%23.5
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside1222.7-0.60022.7-0.62.1%0.0%3.4%22.1
Maxx Williams1322.68.30022.68.31.9%0.0%3.0%30.9
Trey Edmunds722.5-2.512.7-3.59.812.2%6.5%1.6%20
Trent Sherfield1222.4-10.40022.4-10.41.9%0.0%2.9%12
T.J. Yeldon5222.55.1-0.616.83.22.1%2.1%2.8%24.5
Robert Foster921.2-8.91.81.119.4-102.0%0.7%3.2%12.3
Johnny Holton1221-16.90.60.320.4-17.62.1%0.3%3.2%4.1
Qadree Ollison320.8-3.416.4-0.74.4-2.71.7%9.9%0.6%17.4
Trevor Davis1120.611.82.610.718.111.9%1.2%2.7%32.4
David Njoku320.2-5.10020.2-5.11.8%0.0%2.9%15.1
Luke Stocker1219.6-10.20019.6-10.21.6%0.0%2.5%9.4
Jonathan Hilliman319.3-7.114.5-5.44.8-1.71.8%9.1%0.7%12.2
Laquon Treadwell1019.114.30019.114.31.9%0.0%3.3%33.4
Dontrelle Inman418.92.30018.92.31.6%0.0%2.5%21.2
Keelan Doss718.82.80018.82.81.7%0.0%2.8%21.6
Rashard Higgins718.7-3.20018.7-3.21.7%0.0%2.7%15.5
Jordan Matthews318.4-11.10018.4-11.11.7%0.0%2.8%7.3
Dan Vitale1318.4-1.40.6-0.317.8-1.11.7%0.3%2.6%17
Zach Line1018.4-7.24.9-3.313.4-3.81.6%2.6%1.8%11.2
Marvin Hall91821.80.9-0.217.1221.5%0.4%2.3%39.8
Ben Braunecker817.80.10017.80.11.6%0.0%2.5%17.9
Greg Ward Jr.317.6-6.10017.6-6.11.7%0.0%2.7%11.5
Virgil Green1217.63.80017.63.81.5%0.0%2.4%21.4
Andre Patton817.4-11.40017.4-11.41.5%0.0%2.3%6
Alec Ingold1317.3-4.48.3-6.692.21.6%4.0%1.3%12.9
Seth DeValve917.2-4.40017.2-4.41.5%0.0%2.3%12.8
Richie James1317.211.22.3-2.414.913.61.5%0.9%2.1%28.4
Ameer Abdullah1317.13.35.3-1.211.94.41.7%2.1%2.0%20.4
Robert Tonyan Jr.8174.600174.61.5%0.0%2.5%21.6
Braxton Berrios1316.9-1.50016.9-1.51.7%0.0%2.7%15.4
Reggie Bonnafon816.85.16.11010.7-4.91.4%3.0%1.4%21.9
Jaeden Graham1116.613.30016.613.31.4%0.0%2.1%29.9
Luke Willson716.5-0.60016.5-0.61.4%0.0%2.3%15.9
Myles Gaskin516.5-7.15.9-2.410.6-4.71.5%4.0%1.5%9.4
DeSean Jackson316.220.70016.220.71.5%0.0%2.5%36.9
Mike Davis516.2-4.54.7-2.211.4-2.21.5%2.5%1.6%11.7
Ryan Switzer916-5.30016-5.31.6%0.0%2.5%10.7
Justin Watson10163.200163.21.3%0.0%2.0%19.2
N'Keal Harry415.9-0.90015.9-0.91.2%0.0%2.0%15
Stanley Morgan Jr.815.7-10.90015.7-10.91.3%0.0%2.0%4.8
Bobo Wilson615.6-9.10015.6-9.11.2%0.0%1.9%6.5
Tevin Jones315.2-5.10015.2-5.11.5%0.0%2.4%10.1
Mo Alie-Cox1315.1-3.40015.1-3.41.4%0.0%2.3%11.7
Devin Smith4157.300157.31.2%0.0%2.0%22.3
Antonio Brown114.61.50.9-0.413.71.91.1%0.4%1.7%16.1
Derek Watt1314.6-1.46.30.78.3-2.11.3%3.3%1.1%13.2
Tra Carson214.6-48.7-3.95.9-0.11.2%4.3%0.8%10.6
Ryan Grant214.5-9.10014.5-9.11.3%0.0%2.1%5.4
Ryan Izzo614.490014.491.1%0.0%1.8%23.4
Tyler Conklin1214.3-2.40014.3-2.41.4%0.0%2.5%11.9
Patrick Ricard1314.24.50014.24.51.3%0.0%2.4%18.7
Diontae Spencer1314.2-3.72-0.612.3-3.21.5%1.0%2.2%10.5
Russell Shepard313.8-8.30013.8-8.31.3%0.0%2.0%5.5
Boston Scott513.73.212.33.11.40.11.3%6.2%0.2%16.9
Kalif Raymond613.211.90.6-1.112.6131.4%0.3%2.3%25.1
Elijhaa Penny1212.9-5.97.6-3.55.4-2.51.2%4.8%0.8%7
Lance Kendricks712.8-4.80012.8-4.81.1%0.0%1.7%8
Tommy Sweeney512.7-5.90012.7-5.91.2%0.0%2.1%6.8
D'Ernest Johnson912.62.62.8-0.69.83.31.1%1.4%1.4%15.2
Durham Smythe1312.4-4.50012.4-4.51.2%0.0%1.8%7.9
Tyler Kroft811.7-2.50011.7-2.51.1%0.0%2.0%9.2
Jesper Horsted311.66.20011.66.21.1%0.0%1.7%17.8
Blake Bell1111.6-7.60011.6-7.61.0%0.0%1.6%4
Kenjon Barner1111.64.22.20.67.9-1.11.0%1.3%1.0%15.8
Cedrick Wilson411.5-1.90011.5-1.91.0%0.0%1.5%9.6
Alex Armah1211.2-1.58.5-1.42.7-0.10.9%4.1%0.3%9.7
D'haquille Williams311.16.70011.16.71.1%0.0%1.9%17.8
Hale Hentges710.3-70010.3-71.1%0.0%1.7%3.3
Josh Oliver410.2-5.70010.2-5.70.9%0.0%1.3%4.5
Andy Janovich710.25.13.52.66.72.51.1%1.8%1.2%15.3
Troymaine Pope710.21.24.8-2.85.440.9%2.5%0.7%11.4
Troy Fumagalli810.12.10010.12.11.1%0.0%1.8%12.2
Darius Jennings710-6.30010-6.31.1%0.0%1.8%3.7
Andrew Beck139.90.9009.90.91.0%0.0%1.8%10.8
J.P. Holtz119.83.1009.83.10.9%0.0%1.4%12.9
Stephen Carlson69.54.9009.54.90.9%0.0%1.4%14.4
Zach Zenner39.5-5.81.5-1.78-4.10.8%0.8%1.1%3.7
Patrick DiMarco129.30.51-0.38.110.9%0.4%1.4%9.8
Khadarel Hodge89.3-2.2009.3-2.20.8%0.0%1.3%7.1
Drew Sample98.9-0.9008.9-0.90.8%0.0%1.1%8
Nick Bawden108.8-3.1008.8-3.10.7%0.0%1.2%5.7
Andre Roberts118.7-4.70.50.28.2-4.90.8%0.2%1.4%4
Devin Funchess18.7-2.5008.7-2.50.8%0.0%1.3%6.2
Lee Smith128.64.5008.64.50.8%0.0%1.4%13.1
Kerrith Whyte Jr.38.62.77.51.91.10.80.9%3.9%0.2%11.3
Michael Crabtree28.3-2.1008.3-2.10.7%0.0%1.1%6.2
J.J. Nelson28.15.5008.15.50.7%0.0%1.2%13.6
DeAndre Carter137.90.4007.90.40.7%0.0%1.1%8.3
Cody Core107.9-2.1007.9-2.10.7%0.0%1.1%5.8
Chris Hogan47.8-2.4007.8-2.40.6%0.0%1.0%5.4
Chris Moore87.6-2.5007.6-2.50.7%0.0%1.3%5.1
T.J. Logan107.6-3.33.3-2.34.3-10.6%1.6%0.5%4.3
C.J. Anderson27.6-3.37.6-3.3000.6%3.8%0.0%4.3
MyCole Pruitt137.40.8007.40.80.8%0.0%1.3%8.2
Paul Perkins37.4-2.66.1-3.21.40.50.6%3.0%0.2%4.8
Deonte Harris117.36.81.20.66.10.20.6%0.6%0.8%14.1
Devontae Booker77.200.5-0.16.70.10.8%0.3%1.2%7.2
T.J. Jones37.15.7007.15.70.7%0.0%1.0%12.8
Jason Moore46.8-0.5006.8-0.50.6%0.0%0.9%6.3
Daniel Brown136.75.9006.75.90.7%0.0%1.1%12.6
Mike Thomas66.5-4.6006.5-4.60.5%0.0%0.8%1.9
Tanner Hudson66.4-4.2006.4-4.20.5%0.0%0.8%2.2
Ross Travis26.10.1006.10.10.6%0.0%0.9%6.2
Deon Yelder76200620.5%0.0%0.8%8
Austin Carr65.9-4005.9-40.5%0.0%0.8%1.9
Gunner Olszewski85.6-0.2005.6-0.20.4%0.0%0.7%5.4
Dan Arnold25.5-1005.5-10.5%0.0%0.7%4.5
Marqise Lee65.5-0.60.6-0.54.9-0.10.5%0.3%0.6%4.9
Antony Auclair85.4-3.3005.4-3.30.4%0.0%0.7%2.1
Anthony Sherman125.3-0.21.6-0.73.60.60.5%0.8%0.5%5.1
C.J. Board25-1.7005-1.70.4%0.0%0.7%3.3
Johnny Mundt75-3.1005-3.10.4%0.0%0.6%1.9
Keith Smith125-4.12.3-1.42.7-2.70.4%1.4%0.3%0.9
Marcell Ateman74.94.1004.94.10.5%0.0%0.7%9
Brandon Zylstra44.9-3.2004.9-3.20.4%0.0%0.6%1.7
Fred Brown84.8-0.7004.8-0.70.5%0.0%0.9%4.1
Roosevelt Nix24.8-2.4004.8-2.40.5%0.0%0.8%2.4
Josh Bellamy54.8-0.8004.8-0.80.5%0.0%0.8%4
Ben Koyack74.8-2.9004.8-2.90.4%0.0%0.6%1.9
Geremy Davis64.72.1004.72.10.4%0.0%0.6%6.8
Olamide Zaccheaus74.711.6004.711.60.4%0.0%0.6%16.3
Spencer Ware14.7-3.51.9-0.82.7-2.60.4%1.0%0.4%1.2
Quincy Enunwa14.6-4004.6-2.80.5%0.0%0.7%0.6
Darrius Shepherd64.6-3.5004.6-3.50.4%0.0%0.7%1.1
Levine Toilolo104.5-1.5004.5-1.50.4%0.0%0.6%3
Chad Beebe34.44.6004.44.60.4%0.0%0.8%9
Mike Burton64.4-4.4004.4-4.40.5%0.0%0.7%0
Michael Walker54.3-0.8004.3-0.80.4%0.0%0.6%3.5
Xavier Grimble34.2-2.9004.2-2.90.4%0.0%0.7%1.3
Pharaoh Brown840.70040.70.4%0.0%0.6%4.7
Sean Culkin44-1.8004-1.80.3%0.0%0.5%2.2
De'Anthony Thomas113.9-1.900.44-2.40.4%0.0%0.7%2
Mike Boone53.90.23.90.2000.4%1.5%0.0%4.1
Josh Adams23.8-2.63.8-2.6000.4%2.3%0.0%1.2
Jay Ajayi23.6-1.13.6-1.1000.3%1.8%0.0%2.5
Cody Hollister13.4-0.1003.4-0.10.4%0.0%0.6%3.3
Tony Brooks-James33.4-0.73.4-2.7000.3%1.7%0.0%2.7
Jalen Guyton23.1-3.1003.1-3.10.3%0.0%0.4%0
Robert Davis33-0.9003-0.90.3%0.0%0.5%2.1
Da'Mari Scott13-0.9003-0.90.3%0.0%0.4%2.1
Darrell Daniels62.9-1.5002.9-1.50.2%0.0%0.4%1.4
Travis Homer22.902.90000.3%1.2%0.0%2.9
Trevon Wesco122.8-0.10.3-0.12.500.3%0.2%0.4%2.7
Dwayne Washington22.82.61.42.41.40.20.2%0.7%0.2%5.4
Jakob Johnson42.7-1.2002.7-1.20.2%0.0%0.3%1.5
James Develin22.7-2.42.7-2.4000.2%1.1%0.0%0.3
Chris Herndon12.6-0.9002.6-0.90.3%0.0%0.4%1.7
Clive Walford42.6-0.8002.6-0.80.2%0.0%0.4%1.8
Khari Blasingame32.54.2002.54.20.3%0.0%0.4%6.7
Jace Sternberger42.3-2.3002.3-2.30.2%0.0%0.3%0
Jamize Olawale132.3-2.3002.3-2.30.2%0.0%0.3%0
Ventell Bryant526.50026.50.2%0.0%0.3%8.5
Damien Harris11.9-0.71.9-0.7000.1%0.8%0.0%1.2
Scott Simonson21.80.2001.80.20.2%0.0%0.3%2
Riley Ridley21.7-0.2001.7-0.20.2%0.0%0.2%1.5
Rico Gafford11.610.3001.610.30.1%0.0%0.2%11.9
Steven Mitchell21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.1%0.0%0.2%0
Taywan Taylor31.6-1.6001.6-1.60.1%0.0%0.2%0
Lil'Jordan Humphrey41.6-1.6001.6-1.60.1%0.0%0.2%0
DeAndrew White51.60.2001.60.20.1%0.0%0.2%1.8
John Kelly11.6-0.71.6-0.7000.1%0.7%0.0%0.9
Alexander Hollins21.5-1.5001.5-1.50.1%0.0%0.3%0
Ashton Dulin71.50.8001.50.80.1%0.0%0.2%2.3
Dwayne Harris31.50.2001.50.20.1%0.0%0.2%1.7
Chris Manhertz121.50.6001.50.60.1%0.0%0.2%2.1
Eric Tomlinson51.5-0.4001.5-0.40.1%0.0%0.2%1.1
Jordan Scarlett21.5-0.61.5-0.6000.1%0.7%0.0%0.9
Chad Williams11.4-1.4001.4-1.40.1%0.0%0.2%0
Dexter Williams11.3-1.11.3-1.1000.1%0.6%0.0%0.2
Nick Bellore101.21.8001.21.80.1%0.0%0.2%3
Isaac Nauta31.10.2001.10.20.1%0.0%0.1%1.3
Dalton Schultz121.10.5001.10.50.1%0.0%0.1%1.6
Jason Vander Laan21-1001-10.1%0.0%0.1%0
Dalyn Dawkins11-0.81-0.8000.1%0.5%0.0%0.2
Gregory Howell61-0.51-0.5000.1%0.5%0.0%0.5
Javorius Allen10.5-0.10.5-0.1000.0%0.3%0.0%0.4
Alfred Morris10.400.40000.0%0.2%0.0%0.4
Alex Ellis30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Dillon10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cam Sims30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Carson Meier10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cethan Carter40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chandler Cox110000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Charles Jones30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Lacy40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cullen Gillaspia50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
D.J. Foster10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
David Fluellen10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Davion Davis20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Devine Ozigbo20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Evan Baylis40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Celek50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Dickerson20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gary Jennings10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gehrig Dieter20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Greg Dortch20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jerome Cunningham20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson120000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
John Ursua10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jordan Thomas20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Josh Doctson10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Juwann Winfree30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Keith Kirkwood10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Krishawn Hogan50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Mason Schreck10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matt Lengel10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matthew Slater70000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Nsimba Webster10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud60000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
River Cracraft10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ryan Nall20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Samaje Perine20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Senorise Perry10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Taiwan Jones10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trayveon Williams20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trenton Cannon30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Ervin60000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyrone Swoopes20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Zach Gentry30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Image Credit: Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Terry McLaurin.

  1. Cumulative season-long data is included at the end of the article.  (back)
  2. The bar is, admittedly, low.  (back)

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