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Scoreless Streaks and Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 13

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look at how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency metric that accounts for both yards and touchdowns in a single number. Add EP (opportunity) and FPOE (efficiency) together, and you get a player’s actual fantasy output.

This weekly article will look at some of the leaders in expected points and try to tease out how fantasy gamers can take advantage of these various volume and efficiency situations. First, the Week 13 data:1

Week 11 Expected Points

PlayerEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Robert Woods31.6-1.40031.6-1.427.0%0.0%42.3%30.2
Christian McCaffrey30.8-13.612.1-7.718.6-5.829.6%76.6%27.2%17.2
Leonard Fournette28.4-10.310.4-6.618-3.727.2%81.3%26.5%18.1
Alshon Jeffery26.52.20026.52.224.1%0.0%34.5%28.7
Ezekiel Elliott21.8-1.16.1115.6-219.2%64.2%19.8%20.7
James White21.42.16.71.214.80.819.4%44.4%20.4%23.5
Aaron Jones20.7-13.610.3-8.510.4-5.122.2%56.6%18.2%7.1
D.J. Moore20.6-1.40-0.320.6-1.119.8%0.0%30.2%19.2
Anthony Miller20.52.50020.52.523.4%0.0%34.1%23
Saquon Barkley19.5-59.2-0.910.3-4.123.2%71.9%18.6%14.5
Julian Edelman19.22.70.9-1.618.24.417.4%6.0%25.1%21.9
Jack Doyle18.50.80018.50.820.5%0.0%31.8%19.3
Derrick Henry18.47.213.57.44.9-0.230.1%92.5%13.8%25.6
Allen Robinson18.24.40018.24.420.8%0.0%30.3%22.6
Mike Evans18-8.70018-8.719.4%0.0%34.6%9.3
Dede Westbrook17.81.20017.81.217.0%0.0%26.3%19
Amari Cooper17.8-1.30017.8-1.315.7%0.0%22.6%16.5
Tyler Higbee17.36.40017.36.414.8%0.0%23.2%23.7
Alvin Kamara17.3-4.96.8-0.710.5-4.221.9%66.0%19.6%12.4
Davante Adams16.87.60016.87.618.0%0.0%29.3%24.4
Christian Blake16.5-4.80016.5-4.814.8%0.0%22.2%11.7
Jarvis Landry16.3-2.70016.3-2.721.5%0.0%32.0%13.6
Miles Sanders15.95.68.20.17.75.514.5%89.1%10.0%21.5
DeVante Parker15.819.10015.819.115.8%0.0%25.4%34.9
Zach Pascal15.82.10015.82.117.5%0.0%27.2%17.9
Joe Mixon15.71.39.21.26.40.217.3%74.8%10.6%17
Russell Gage15.70.50015.70.514.1%0.0%21.1%16.2
Tyler Boyd15.61.30015.61.317.2%0.0%25.7%16.9
T.J. Hockenson15.4-7.60015.4-7.617.4%0.0%27.3%7.8
Calvin Ridley15.120015.1213.6%0.0%20.3%17.1
Jason Witten14.83.40014.83.413.0%0.0%18.8%18.2
Darren Waller14.82.20014.82.219.1%0.0%29.2%17
Travis Kelce14.8-0.80014.8-0.819.7%0.0%34.2%14
Patrick Laird14.72.16.8-0.37.92.414.7%42.2%12.7%16.8
Devonta Freeman14.5-4.18.3-3.26.2-0.913.0%63.8%8.3%10.4
Derrius Guice14.413.310.114.84.2-1.420.1%54.0%10.5%27.7
Robby Anderson14.22.90014.22.915.5%0.0%21.4%17.1
Jamison Crowder14.2-11.40014.2-11.415.5%0.0%21.4%2.8
Todd Gurley144.512.43.11.51.512.0%68.5%2.0%18.5
Albert Wilson13.8-2.54-0.99.8-1.613.8%24.8%15.7%11.3
Darius Slayton13.8-3.40013.8-3.416.4%0.0%25.0%10.4
Melvin Gordon13.6-0.69.20.74.4-1.320.2%70.2%10.3%13
Kenyan Drake13.3-6.26.4-3.37-318.3%52.9%14.6%7.1
Duke Johnson13.16.94.4-0.88.77.722.5%43.6%23.1%20
Benny Snell Jr.13.10.611.80.51.4022.2%49.6%5.0%13.7
Tyreek Hill13.1-30.7-1.112.5-217.4%4.0%28.9%10.1
Raheem Mostert12.910.59.211.43.7-0.924.7%69.2%12.1%23.4
Phillip Lindsay12.8-3.68.8-34-0.619.0%71.0%9.4%9.2
Michael Thomas12.7-1.90012.7-1.916.1%0.0%23.7%10.8
Mark Ingram12.7-4.59.1-3.23.6-1.317.9%40.3%9.7%8.2
Devin Singletary12.66.56.5-0.26.16.719.5%42.2%16.6%19.1
David Montgomery12.64.18.1-0.64.44.814.4%73.6%7.3%16.7
Danny Amendola12.6-6.40012.6-6.414.3%0.0%22.3%6.2
Dallas Goedert12.40.20012.40.211.3%0.0%16.1%12.6
Jakobi Meyers12.4-4.80012.4-4.811.2%0.0%17.1%7.6
Peyton Barber126.4126.40013.0%44.9%0.0%18.4
DeAndre Hopkins12-0.30011.9-0.520.6%0.0%31.6%11.7
C.J. Uzomah11.8-1.70011.8-1.713.0%0.0%19.5%10.1
Zach Ertz11.6-6.20011.6-6.210.6%0.0%15.1%5.4
Phillip Dorsett11.6-8.10011.6-8.110.5%0.0%16.0%3.5
Mike Williams11.45.30011.45.316.9%0.0%26.7%16.7
Auden Tate11.4-0.80011.4-0.812.6%0.0%18.8%10.6
Curtis Samuel11.35.20011.35.210.9%0.0%16.5%16.5
Sterling Shepard11.31.70011.31.713.5%0.0%20.4%13
Nelson Agholor11.3-2.20011.3-2.210.3%0.0%14.7%9.1
Jamaal Williams11.1-0.45.1-160.611.9%28.0%10.5%10.7
Le'Veon Bell11.1-0.44.7-1.56.41.112.1%60.3%9.7%10.7
Mike Gesicki117.900117.911.0%0.0%17.7%18.9
Austin Ekeler115.73.9-2.37.1816.3%29.8%16.6%16.7
Kaden Smith1120011213.1%0.0%19.9%13
Marvin Jones10.92.10010.92.112.3%0.0%19.3%13
Jared Cook10.90.60010.90.613.8%0.0%20.3%11.5
Cooper Kupp10.87.70010.87.79.2%0.0%14.5%18.5
Bo Scarbrough10.7-2.410.7-2.40012.1%74.8%0.0%8.3
Kareem Hunt10.66.93.31.37.35.614.0%31.1%14.3%17.5
Chris Godwin10.6-1.60010.6-1.611.4%0.0%20.4%9
Ryan Griffin10.5-2.50010.5-2.511.5%0.0%15.8%8
Cole Beasley10.212.80010.212.815.8%0.0%27.7%23
Christian Kirk10.2-4.90010.2-4.914.1%0.0%21.3%5.3
Keenan Allen108.800108.814.8%0.0%23.4%18.8
Larry Fitzgerald101.600101.613.8%0.0%20.9%11.6
Nick Chubb9.8-0.96.9-1.12.90.212.9%65.1%5.7%8.9
Odell Beckham Jr.9.8-3.9009.8-3.912.9%0.0%19.2%5.9
Mark Andrews9.64.4009.64.413.5%0.0%25.8%14
Jordan Wilkins9.6-25.2-0.54.4-1.510.6%34.4%7.6%7.6
Michael Gallup9.5-0.2009.5-0.28.4%0.0%12.1%9.3
Pharoh Cooper9.4-2.8009.4-2.813.0%0.0%19.7%6.6
Royce Freeman9.2-2.82.6-1.56.7-1.413.6%21.0%15.8%6.4
Marcus Johnson9.10.4009.10.410.1%0.0%15.7%9.5
Jeff Heuerman8.9-4.4008.9-4.413.2%0.0%21.0%4.5
Kenny Golladay8.717.1008.717.19.9%0.0%15.4%25.8
Courtland Sutton8.714.7008.714.712.9%0.0%20.5%23.4
John Brown8.72.3006-0.413.5%0.0%16.3%11
Emmanuel Sanders8.7-0.6008.7-0.616.6%0.0%28.3%8.1
Nyheim Hines8.63.45.92.32.71.19.5%39.1%4.6%12
Diontae Johnson8.6-4.50.80.97.9-5.514.6%3.4%28.4%4.1
Javon Wims8.52.1008.52.19.7%0.0%14.1%10.6
Breshad Perriman8.35.4008.35.49.0%0.0%16.0%13.7
O.J. Howard8.32.8008.32.89.0%0.0%16.0%11.1
Kelvin Harmon8.3-0.2008.3-0.211.6%0.0%20.8%8.1
D.J. Chark8.3-1.6008.3-1.67.9%0.0%12.2%6.7
LeSean McCoy8.23.8434.20.810.9%22.9%9.7%12
Josh Jacobs82.482.40010.3%72.7%0.0%10.4
Anthony Firkser8-2.8008-2.813.1%0.0%22.6%5.2
Josh Reynolds7.90007.906.8%0.0%10.6%7.9
Jarius Wright7.9-1.5007.9-1.57.6%0.0%11.6%6.4
Allen Hurns7.9-1.6007.9-1.67.9%0.0%12.7%6.3
Demaryius Thomas7.9-2.6007.9-2.68.6%0.0%11.9%5.3
Chris Conley7.81.9007.81.97.5%0.0%11.5%9.7
Adrian Peterson7.68.36.29.71.3-1.310.6%33.2%3.3%15.9
Tavon Austin7.6-3.4007.6-3.46.7%0.0%9.6%4.2
Darrel Williams7.51.12.7-1.44.92.410.0%15.4%11.3%8.6
Tarik Cohen7.501.4-0.56.10.58.6%12.7%10.1%7.5
Mohamed Sanu7.5-3.1007.5-3.16.8%0.0%10.3%4.4
Tyrell Williams7.4-5.5007.4-5.59.5%0.0%14.6%1.9
Derek Carrier7.21.8007.21.89.3%0.0%14.2%9
Jaeden Graham6.97.2006.97.26.2%0.0%9.3%14.1
Darwin Thompson6.93.56.93.5009.2%39.4%0.0%10.4
Demetrius Harris6.9-3.6006.9-3.69.1%0.0%13.5%3.3
Deebo Samuel6.87.30.81.25.96.213.0%6.0%19.2%14.1
Jeremy Sprinkle6.7-1.1006.7-1.19.3%0.0%16.8%5.6
Terry McLaurin6.6-3.8006.6-3.89.2%0.0%16.5%2.8
James Washington6.514.6006.514.611.0%0.0%23.4%21.1
Marcedes Lewis6.50.6006.50.67.0%0.0%11.3%7.1
Dare Ogunbowale6.5-3.33.2-3.23.4-0.27.0%12.0%6.5%3.2
Nick O'Leary6.3-4.7006.3-4.76.0%0.0%9.3%1.6
Brian Hill6.20.51.9-0.64.415.6%14.6%5.9%6.7
Ty Johnson6.1-0.21.7-0.54.40.36.9%11.9%7.8%5.9
Steven Sims Jr.6.1-0.2006.1-0.28.5%0.0%15.3%5.9
A.J. Brown61.50061.59.8%0.0%16.9%7.5
Jaylen Samuels61.43.5-0.32.51.710.2%14.7%9.0%7.4
J.D. McKissic5.9-0.51.5-0.64.506.7%10.5%8.0%5.4
Nick Boyle5.9-4.5005.9-4.58.3%0.0%15.9%1.4
Dawson Knox5.8-1.1005.8-1.19.0%0.0%15.8%4.7
DeAndre Washington5.72.20.9-0.44.82.67.3%8.2%9.5%7.9
Ian Thomas5.70.7005.70.75.5%0.0%8.3%6.4
Carlos Hyde5.7-2.54.7-310.59.8%46.5%2.7%3.2
George Kittle5.6-2.20.2-0.55.4-1.710.7%1.5%17.6%3.4
Tyler Eifert5.6-3.4005.6-3.46.2%0.0%9.2%2.2
Jonathan Williams5.5-24-2.61.50.66.1%26.5%2.6%3.5
Noah Fant5.5-4005.5-48.1%0.0%13.0%1.5
Kenny Stills5.39.8005.39.89.1%0.0%14.1%15.1
Frank Gore5.3-1.83.9-2.81.418.2%25.3%3.8%3.5
Blake Jarwin5.2-2.3005.2-2.34.6%0.0%6.6%2.9
Keelan Cole5.2-3.1005.2-3.15.0%0.0%7.7%2.1
Allen Lazard5.114.2005.114.25.5%0.0%8.9%19.3
Randall Cobb5.13.2005.13.24.5%0.0%6.5%8.3
Darren Fells55.30055.38.6%0.0%13.3%10.3
Hayden Hurst50.10050.17.0%0.0%13.4%5.1
Sony Michel5-0.55-0.5004.5%33.1%0.0%4.5
Alec Ingold5-1.30.404.6-1.36.4%3.6%9.1%3.7
Zay Jones4.9-1.5004.9-1.56.3%0.0%9.7%3.4
Sammy Watkins4.9-4.9004.9-4.96.5%0.0%11.3%0
Geronimo Allison4.8-0.8004.8-0.85.1%0.0%8.4%4
Isaiah McKenzie4.71.7004.71.77.3%0.0%12.8%6.4
Malcolm Brown4.7-1.73.2-0.21.5-1.54.0%17.7%2.0%3
Hunter Henry4.7-1.7004.7-1.77.0%0.0%11.0%3
Cody Latimer4.60.7004.60.75.5%0.0%8.3%5.3
Ross Travis4.60.5004.60.55.1%0.0%7.9%5.1
Durham Smythe4.6-1.3004.6-1.34.6%0.0%7.4%3.3
Josh Hill4.6-3.4004.6-3.45.8%0.0%8.6%1.2
Damiere Byrd4.6-4.6004.6-4.66.3%0.0%9.6%0
Rashard Higgins4.6-4.6004.6-4.66.1%0.0%9.0%0
Kendrick Bourne4.52.7004.52.78.6%0.0%14.7%7.2
Justin Hardy4.51.3004.51.34.0%0.0%6.0%5.8
Bilal Powell4.5-0.71.8-0.42.7-0.34.9%23.1%4.1%3.8
DaeSean Hamilton4.5-1.3004.5-1.36.7%0.0%10.6%3.2
Vyncint Smith4.4-0.1004.4-0.14.8%0.0%6.6%4.3
Greg Ward Jr.4.4-2.9004.4-2.94.0%0.0%5.7%1.5
Greg Olsen4.21004.214.0%0.0%6.1%5.2
Chris Thompson4.2-0.31.402.9-0.45.9%7.5%7.3%3.9
David Johnson4.10.31.8-0.32.30.65.7%14.9%4.8%4.4
Jalen Richard4.1-2.30.4-0.23.7-2.15.3%3.6%7.3%1.8
Matt LaCosse4-0.6004-0.63.6%0.0%5.5%3.4
Adam Humphries3.94.4003.94.46.4%0.0%11.0%8.3
Vance McDonald3.91.2003.91.26.6%0.0%14.0%5.1
Robert Foster3.8-0.11.2-0.52.60.45.9%7.8%7.1%3.7
Gus Edwards3.8-0.62.4-0.91.40.35.3%10.6%3.8%3.2
Giovani Bernard3.6-1.41.4-12.2-0.44.0%11.4%3.6%2.2
Tevin Coleman3.5-12.4-1.81.20.76.7%18.0%3.9%2.5
Cody Hollister3.4-0.1003.4-0.15.6%0.0%9.6%3.3
Braxton Berrios3.4-1.9003.4-1.93.7%0.0%5.1%1.5
Stanley Morgan Jr.3.4-3.4003.4-3.43.8%0.0%5.6%0
Marquez Valdes-Scantling3.4-3.4003.4-3.43.6%0.0%5.9%0
Marquise Brown3.3-2.2003.3-2.24.6%0.0%8.9%1.1
Stephen Carlson3.21.6003.21.64.2%0.0%6.3%4.8
Will Fuller3.2-1.4003.2-1.45.5%0.0%8.5%1.8
Tre'Quan Smith3.10.3003.10.33.9%0.0%5.8%3.4
Corey Davis3.10.2003.10.25.1%0.0%8.8%3.3
Rex Burkhead3.1-1.61.40.11.7-1.72.8%9.3%2.3%1.5
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside35.50035.52.7%0.0%3.9%8.5
Da'Mari Scott3-0.9003-0.93.6%0.0%5.4%2.1
Tevin Jones2.90.9002.90.94.9%0.0%10.4%3.8
Michael Walker2.9-1.3002.9-1.32.8%0.0%4.3%1.6
Seth Roberts2.9-1.4002.9-1.44.1%0.0%7.8%1.5
Ronald Jones2.9-2.12.9-2.1003.1%10.9%0.0%0.8
Alex Erickson2.81.3002.81.33.1%0.0%4.6%4.1
Kenjon Barner2.8-0.2002.8-0.22.5%0.0%3.8%2.6
Willie Snead2.8-0.6002.8-0.63.9%0.0%7.5%2.2
Jonnu Smith2.8-0.8002.8-0.84.6%0.0%7.9%2
Charles Clay2.72.2002.72.23.7%0.0%5.6%4.9
Andre Patton2.7-0.9002.7-0.94.0%0.0%6.3%1.8
Patrick Ricard2.7-1.5002.7-1.53.8%0.0%7.3%1.2
Tim Patrick2.7-2.7002.7-2.74.0%0.0%6.4%0
Tony Pollard2.6-1.91.4-0.71.2-1.22.3%14.7%1.5%0.7
Jesper Horsted2.46.4002.46.42.7%0.0%4.0%8.8
Myles Gaskin2.41.2111.40.22.4%6.2%2.2%3.6
Virgil Green2.4-2.4002.4-2.43.6%0.0%5.6%0
Hale Hentges2.3-2.3002.3-2.33.2%0.0%5.8%0
Brandin Cooks2.22.2002.22.21.9%0.0%2.9%4.4
Keith Smith2.2-1.80.9-0.51.3-1.32.0%6.9%1.7%0.4
Elijhaa Penny2.2-21-0.81.3-1.32.6%7.8%2.4%0.2
Kalen Ballage2.2-2.21.4-1.40.8-0.82.2%8.7%1.3%0
Ventell Bryant26.50026.51.8%0.0%2.5%8.5
Cameron Brate1.9-0.4001.9-0.42.1%0.0%3.7%1.5
Johnny Mundt1.9-1.9001.9-1.91.6%0.0%2.5%0
Kalif Raymond1.89.2001.89.22.9%0.0%5.1%11
Ty Montgomery1.800.50.21.3-0.22.0%6.4%2.0%1.8
Darrell Henderson1.8-0.11.8-0.1001.5%9.9%0.0%1.7
Latavius Murray1.8-1.61.8-1.6002.3%17.5%0.0%0.2
Foster Moreau1.60.9001.60.92.1%0.0%3.2%2.5
Keelan Doss1.60.5001.60.52.1%0.0%3.2%2.1
Trey Quinn1.6-1.6001.6-1.62.2%0.0%4.0%0
Andy Isabella1.6-1.6001.6-1.62.2%0.0%3.3%0
Ted Ginn1.6-1.6001.6-1.62.0%0.0%3.0%0
Robert Tonyan Jr.1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.7%0.0%2.8%0
Clive Walford1.6-1.6001.6-1.61.6%0.0%2.6%0
Benjamin Watson1.51.8001.51.81.4%0.0%2.1%3.3
Ashton Dulin1.50.8001.50.81.7%0.0%2.6%2.3
Dion Lewis1.50.4001.50.42.5%0.0%4.2%1.9
Justin Watson1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.6%0.0%2.9%0
Dan Vitale1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.6%0.0%2.6%0
Isaiah Ford1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.5%0.0%2.4%0
Ryquell Armstead1.5-1.5001.5-1.51.4%0.0%2.2%0
Jordan Akins1.41.5001.41.52.4%0.0%3.7%2.9
Andrew Beck1.40.7001.40.72.1%0.0%3.3%2.1
Nick Vannett1.40.3001.40.32.4%0.0%5.0%1.7
Kerrith Whyte Jr.1.4-0.41.4-0.4002.4%5.9%0.0%1
Damion Willis1.4-1.4001.4-1.41.5%0.0%2.3%0
Daniel Brown1.30.6001.30.61.4%0.0%2.0%1.9
Anthony Sherman1.30.40.5-0.50.711.7%2.9%1.6%1.7
Jeff Wilson1.30.4001.30.42.5%0.0%4.2%1.7
Deon Cain1.30.2001.30.22.2%0.0%4.7%1.5
Blake Bell1.3-1.3001.3-1.31.7%0.0%3.0%0
Jimmy Graham1.21.4001.21.41.3%0.0%2.1%2.6
Jay Ajayi1-0.11-0.1000.9%10.9%0.0%0.9
Jason Vander Laan1-1001-11.3%0.0%1.9%0
Olamide Zaccheaus1-1001-10.9%0.0%1.3%0
Mecole Hardman0.900.90001.2%5.1%0.0%0.9
N'Keal Harry0.8-0.8000.8-0.80.7%0.0%1.1%0
Javorius Allen0.5-0.10.5-0.1000.6%3.9%0.0%0.4
Justice Hill0.5-0.20.5-0.2000.7%2.2%0.0%0.3
T.J. Logan0.5-0.30.5-0.3000.5%1.9%0.0%0.2
Alex Armah0.3-0.10.3-0.1000.3%1.9%0.0%0.2
Trevor Davis0.3-0.30.3-0.3000.4%2.7%0.0%0
Andre Roberts0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Bolden0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cam Sims0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cordarrelle Patterson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
De'Anthony Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndre Carter0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
DeAndrew White0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Deonte Harris0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Devontae Booker0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Diontae Spencer0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Dontrell Hilliard0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gregory Howell0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Kyle Juszczyk0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Mack Hollins0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Mike Thomas0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Reggie Bonnafon0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Richie James0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Troymaine Pope0000000.0%0.0%0.0%0

Some Observations

Christian McCaffrey finished Week 13 with a disappointing 17.2 PPR points, but it was actually his second-largest workload of the season.

He’s surpassed 30 EP for the second week in a row, but relinquished his hold on the No. 1 spot in FPOE per game among running backs. Derrick Henry took the lead following his fourth straight game with at least 24 PPR points, and his sixth in a row with positive FPOE.

Henry led all non-quarterbacks in market share of EP, but neither McCaffrey nor Henry nor any other RB led the week in total EP. Instead, Robert Woods’ 19 targets propelled him to 31.6 total EP. Woods surprisingly is No. 8 in the league in EP per game, but what’s less surprising is his No. 170 ranking in FPOE per game, as he still has yet to score a touchdown this season.

Since 2000, only one other player has had at least 800 receiving yards in a season and no receiving touchdowns.

Including the playoffs, Woods has now played 15 consecutive games without a score. His last trip to the end zone came in the fourth quarter of the Rams’ 2018 Week 16 game at Arizona. Since then, Woods has accumulated 1,031 receiving yards without a TD.

I don’t know if that’s the most productive scoreless streak,2 but it’s a lot of yards.

D.J. Moore had his fourth straight game with at least 19 EP. After 13 weeks he is quietly the WR8 on the season in PPR scoring, and he ranks inside the top five in targets, receptions, yards, and EP per game.

Moore has scored three touchdowns in his last two games, after Jack Miller identified him as a screaming buy low and positive TD-regression candidate. He’s also seen double-digit targets in four of his last five games and is heating up at the perfect time. He faces three positive matchups in a row to close out the fantasy season.

With 199 total PPR points through 12 games, we can’t technically take victory laps on our second-year breakout prediction yet. But Moore looks poised to join the ranks of the elite NFL WRs.

2019 Expected Points

PlayerGMsEPFPOEruEPruFPOEreEPreFPOEmsEPmsRuEPmsReEPPPR
Christian McCaffrey12293.660.5151.339.4142.321.126.2%78.9%20.0%354.1
Leonard Fournette12256.7-30.4136.1-19.2120.7-11.423.6%77.0%17.2%226.3
Michael Thomas12219.754.40.7-1.62195620.7%0.4%31.9%274.1
Julian Edelman12217.2-5.44.9-3205.8-2.317.8%2.2%27.3%211.8
Dalvin Cook11212.345.9136.930.875.616.224.7%62.4%15.6%258.2
Nick Chubb12207.17.9144.714.762.3-6.819.8%76.4%9.5%215
Ezekiel Elliott12204.114.4131.49.672.55.118.7%64.3%10.6%218.5
Mike Evans12198.321.300198.321.317.0%0.0%26.8%219.6
DeAndre Hopkins12193.2200.60193.420.919.8%0.3%31.6%213.2
Le'Veon Bell12192.9-12.7100.9-249211.321.5%68.4%15.9%180.2
D.J. Moore12192.66.43.7-0.7188.97.117.2%1.9%26.5%199
Keenan Allen12192.22.31.90.2190.32.117.6%1.1%27.0%194.5
Aaron Jones12191.432.8106.823.784.59.218.3%57.4%13.0%224.2
Austin Ekeler12191.447.464.9-8.9126.556.317.5%38.4%17.9%238.8
Cooper Kupp12182.521.51.1-0.7181.422.216.0%0.6%24.8%204
Jarvis Landry12179.38.60.50.5178.88.117.1%0.3%27.3%187.9
Chris Carson11178.7-1.6122.9-10.855.69.518.2%62.2%9.1%177.1
Alvin Kamara10178.11.768.5-3.81095.416.8%41.2%15.9%179.8
Tyler Boyd12178.1-14.81.8-0.2176.3-14.616.5%1.2%24.6%163.3
Chris Godwin12177.265.70.70.1176.465.715.2%0.4%23.8%242.9
Zach Ertz12173.2-9.600173.2-9.615.8%0.0%24.9%163.6
Allen Robinson12171.614.400171.614.417.0%0.0%26.4%186
Odell Beckham Jr.12171.1-19.62.2-1.2168.8-19.316.4%1.2%25.8%151.5
Robert Woods11170.6-109.53.6161-13.514.9%4.8%22.0%160.6
Julio Jones11166.116.61.3-1.6164.818.214.6%0.9%22.3%182.7
Derrick Henry12165.563.4132.94732.616.419.6%74.9%6.3%228.9
Travis Kelce12164.519.800164.519.815.3%0.0%24.0%184.3
Josh Jacobs12163.317.4127.320.836-3.416.3%66.9%5.7%180.7
Joe Mixon12159.4-20101.4-2557.95.114.8%68.7%8.1%139.4
Saquon Barkley9159-19.580.3-13.978.9-5.814.9%50.4%11.3%139.5
Courtland Sutton12156.427.82.2-0.5153.826.818.2%1.2%30.7%184.2
D.J. Chark12155.942.21.70.3154.241.914.3%1.0%22.0%198.1
David Montgomery12154.1-18.4111.9-22.542.14.215.2%65.5%6.5%135.7
Marvin Jones12153.433.71-1152.434.714.1%0.5%22.1%187.1
Calvin Ridley12150.927.51.91.5149.125.913.3%1.3%20.2%178.4
Mark Ingram12150.444.5116.323.434.420.814.8%39.2%6.2%194.9
John Brown12150.134.90.6-0.2146.832.415.9%0.3%27.3%185
Todd Gurley11148.74.998.413.850.4-913.0%49.6%6.9%153.6
Curtis Samuel12148.3-6.67.47.2141-13.913.3%3.9%19.8%141.7
DeVante Parker1214826.40014826.415.7%0.0%24.1%174.4
Phillip Lindsay12147.88.193.113.554.6-5.317.2%52.3%10.9%155.9
Amari Cooper12146.356.800146.356.813.4%0.0%21.4%203.1
James White11145.2-4.432.7-3.9112.9-0.911.9%14.7%15.0%140.8
Kenny Golladay12144.951.100144.951.113.3%0.0%21.0%196
Darren Waller12143.821.40.50143.321.414.4%0.3%22.7%165.2
Larry Fitzgerald12138.85.100138.85.112.6%0.0%19.4%143.9
Sony Michel12137-19.9113.6-18.923.4-711.2%51.2%3.1%117.1
Jamison Crowder12136.1-1.90.9-0.5135.2-1.415.2%0.6%23.4%134.2
Dede Westbrook11134.9-15.52.2-0.2132.7-15.312.4%1.2%18.9%119.4
Tarik Cohen12132.6-1526.8-11.8105.8-3.213.1%15.7%16.3%117.6
Tyler Lockett11132.149.51.3-1.8130.851.313.5%0.7%21.4%181.6
Mark Andrews12131.632.700131.632.712.9%0.0%23.8%164.3
Kenyan Drake10131.5-15.351-3.380.6-12.112.0%27.7%11.3%116.2
Devonta Freeman10130.90.861.4-19.269.52011.5%41.8%9.4%131.7
Christian Kirk9130.7-44.40.2126.5-4.411.9%2.4%17.7%126.7
Davante Adams8130.55.900130.55.912.5%0.0%20.0%136.4
Cole Beasley12129.221.300129.221.313.7%0.0%24.0%150.5
Auden Tate11128.8-27.900128.8-27.911.9%0.0%17.9%100.9
Michael Gallup10128.817.800128.817.811.8%0.0%18.8%146.6
Emmanuel Sanders13128.610.100128.610.111.9%0.0%19.6%138.7
Miles Sanders12125.414.564-461.318.611.4%32.3%8.8%139.9
Terry McLaurin11123.313.300123.313.314.1%0.0%22.4%136.6
Marlon Mack101229.8103.58.718.41.212.3%49.6%3.1%131.8
Sammy Watkins10121.1-6.11.4-0.2119.6-5.811.3%0.8%17.4%115
D.K. Metcalf1112113.11.6-0.5119.513.512.3%0.8%19.6%134.1
Tevin Coleman101204.776.84.6430.311.1%31.8%6.5%124.7
Royce Freeman12119.2-7.961.1-5.558.2-2.513.9%34.3%11.6%111.3
Melvin Gordon8119-9.976.9-6.142-3.710.9%45.5%6.0%109.1
Mike Williams11118-20.8-0.6117.1-1.310.8%0.5%16.6%116
David Johnson10117.810.153.7-1064.22010.7%29.2%9.0%127.9
Alshon Jeffery9117.64.63.82.5113.82.210.7%1.9%16.4%122.2
Carlos Hyde12117.61.4101.77.615.9-6.212.1%54.7%2.6%119
Austin Hooper9116.937.900116.937.910.3%0.0%15.8%154.8
Nelson Agholor11115.6-19.61.5-0.8114.1-18.810.5%0.8%16.4%96
Mohamed Sanu11115.5-8.92.2-1.1113.3-7.89.5%1.0%15.1%106.6
Frank Gore12115.3-29.796.8-29.618.4012.2%42.4%3.4%85.6
Jamaal Williams11112.819.649.2-5.563.924.810.8%26.4%9.8%132.4
Chris Conley12111.73.800111.73.810.3%0.0%15.9%115.5
Greg Olsen121114.2001114.29.9%0.0%15.6%115.2
George Kittle10110.531.75.2-3.7105.335.410.2%2.2%16.0%142.2
Evan Engram8109.400.70108.7010.3%0.4%15.5%109.4
Jason Witten12109.10.700109.10.710.0%0.0%16.0%109.8
James Conner8108.620.659.53.549.117.111.5%34.2%8.2%129.2
Robby Anderson12108.30.300108.30.312.1%0.0%18.7%108.6
Deebo Samuel11106.923.35.85.810117.59.9%2.4%15.4%130.2
Danny Amendola11106.1-4.600106.1-4.69.7%0.0%15.4%101.5
Latavius Murray12104.721.258.318.146.539.9%35.1%6.8%125.9
Randall Cobb11104.220.32.3-1.2100.822.69.5%1.1%14.7%124.5
Ronald Jones12103.717.365.21338.64.28.9%33.2%5.2%121
Stefon Diggs11103.563.42.10.9101.462.112.1%1.0%20.9%166.9
LeSean McCoy11102.213.558.16.943.94.59.5%32.8%6.4%115.7
Jaylen Samuels10102.1-12.632.7-11.471.3-2.910.8%18.8%11.9%89.5
Tyreek Hill810227.24.1-2.897.730.19.5%2.3%14.2%129.2
Adrian Peterson11101-481.1-4.919.61.211.5%52.9%3.6%97
Darius Slayton10100.616.900100.616.99.4%0.0%14.4%117.5
Juju Smith-Schuster101008.4001008.410.6%0.0%16.7%108.4
Will Fuller910019.80010019.810.3%0.0%16.3%119.8
Marquise Brown1099.824.20099.824.29.8%0.0%18.0%124
Peyton Barber1299.7-1.375.81.824.2-3.48.6%38.6%3.3%98.4
Preston Williams899.7-6.90099.7-6.910.6%0.0%16.3%92.8
Gerald Everett1199.4-9.60099.4-9.68.7%0.0%13.6%89.8
Duke Johnson1298.723.238.75.86017.410.1%20.8%9.8%121.9
Anthony Miller1297.6-10.8-0.20.197.7-10.89.6%-0.1%15.0%86.8
Noah Fant1297.6-17.90.1-1.397.5-16.611.4%0.1%19.5%79.7
Jordan Howard996.714.777.411.119.43.58.8%39.1%2.8%111.4
Hunter Henry896.114.60096.114.68.8%0.0%13.6%110.7
T.J. Hockenson1295.7-150095.7-158.8%0.0%13.9%80.7
Devin Singletary994.620.851.31643.34.810.0%22.5%8.0%115.4
Diontae Johnson1294.44.420.592.5310.0%1.1%15.4%98.8
Jared Cook1093.38.60093.38.68.8%0.0%13.6%101.9
Jack Doyle1291.85.90091.85.99.3%0.0%15.6%97.7
Damien Williams9912.549.4-0.541.53.18.5%27.9%6.0%93.5
Tyrell Williams1090.621.30090.621.39.1%0.0%14.4%111.9
T.Y. Hilton790.512.30090.512.39.1%0.0%15.4%102.8
Nyheim Hines1289.8-1.822.64.467.4-6.49.1%10.8%11.4%88
Dallas Goedert1188.580088.588.1%0.0%12.7%96.5
Eric Ebron1188.4-1.90088.4-1.98.9%0.0%15.0%86.5
Golden Tate787.6190.70.986.917.58.2%0.4%12.4%106.6
Zach Pascal1286.915.60.90.38615.38.8%0.4%14.6%102.5
Kalen Ballage1286.3-34.553.2-21.733.3-139.2%39.9%5.4%51.8
Sterling Shepard685.8-0.23.13.382.7-3.58.1%1.9%11.8%85.6
Demaryius Thomas1085.7-11.20085.7-11.29.6%0.0%14.8%74.5
A.J. Brown1284.935.50.4-0.684.436.210.0%0.2%16.4%120.4
Hunter Renfrow1184.82.80084.82.88.5%0.0%13.4%87.6
James Washington1184.8210084.8219.0%0.0%14.1%105.8
Brandin Cooks1084.53.532.281.41.47.4%1.5%11.1%88
Alex Erickson1284.2-10.72.20.682-11.37.8%1.5%11.4%73.5
Kerryon Johnson684.2-13.863.4-20.620.76.97.7%33.1%3.0%70.4
Corey Davis1183.22.40083.22.49.8%0.0%16.1%85.6
Phillip Dorsett1083.111.71.40.781.611.16.8%0.6%10.8%94.8
Mike Gesicki1282.65.50082.65.58.8%0.0%13.5%88.1
Jimmy Graham1282.3-20082.3-27.9%0.0%12.6%80.3
Matt Breida980.812.4546.226.96.17.5%22.3%4.1%93.2
Chris Thompson780.4-1416.5-7.264.2-7.19.2%10.8%11.7%66.4
Marquez Valdes-Scantling1278.7-0.11-0.177.707.5%0.5%11.9%78.6
Vance McDonald1178.1-3.70.2077.9-3.78.3%0.1%13.0%74.4
Taylor Gabriel977.712.61.30.776.3127.7%0.8%11.7%90.3
Trey Quinn1277.3-23.80077.3-23.88.8%0.0%14.0%53.5
Giovani Bernard1276.6-22.422.9-10.853.5-11.47.1%15.5%7.5%54.2
Adam Humphries1276.310.20.3-0.27610.49.0%0.2%14.7%86.5
Geronimo Allison1276-11.31-0.375-117.3%0.5%11.5%64.7
Russell Gage1275.9-11.51-1.174.9-10.46.7%0.7%10.1%64.4
Tyler Eifert1275.8-8.60075.8-8.67.0%0.0%10.6%67.2
J.D. McKissic1275.3-1.624.3-4.2512.66.9%12.7%7.4%73.7
Dare Ogunbowale1274.6-16.519.4-6.455.4-10.36.4%9.9%7.5%58.1
Ryan Griffin1274.421.80074.421.88.3%0.0%12.9%96.2
Tyler Higbee1174.22.70074.22.76.5%0.0%10.1%76.9
Demarcus Robinson1173.89.10073.89.16.9%0.0%10.8%82.9
Darren Fells1273.427.60073.427.67.5%0.0%12.0%101
Raheem Mostert1173.126.750.321.622.956.8%20.8%3.5%99.8
Ted Ginn1273-0.41.8-0.171.2-0.46.9%1.1%10.4%72.6
KeeSean Johnson1071.2-23.21.4-1.169.8-22.16.5%0.8%9.8%48
Paul Richardson1070.5-60.8-0.869.6-5.18.0%0.5%12.6%64.5
Adam Thielen867.340.93.72.463.638.57.8%1.7%13.1%108.2
Dawson Knox1266.71.90.9065.81.97.1%0.4%12.2%68.6
Josh Gordon866.2-4.70.9-0.865.3-3.96.8%0.5%10.7%61.5
Kyle Rudolph1165.820.30065.820.37.7%0.0%13.6%86.1
Darrel Williams1165.74.131.90.2343.76.1%18.0%5.0%69.8
Rex Burkhead965.6-422.20.443.5-4.55.4%10.0%5.8%61.6
Mecole Hardman1264.934.83.7-261.136.96.0%2.1%8.9%99.7
Zay Jones1164.2-26.81.1-0.863.1-266.4%0.6%10.0%37.4
Albert Wilson964-14.54.8-1.259.3-13.46.8%3.6%9.7%49.5
Kendrick Bourne1263.810.20063.810.25.9%0.0%9.7%74
Jarius Wright1263.6-21.5-0.7064.3-21.55.7%-0.4%9.0%42.1
Gus Edwards1262.6454.83.27.70.96.2%18.5%1.4%66.6
Allen Hurns1162.13.70062.13.76.6%0.0%10.1%65.8
Nick Boyle1262.1-30062.1-36.1%0.0%11.2%59.1
Olabisi Johnson1162-3.50062-3.57.2%0.0%12.8%58.5
Josh Reynolds1260.8-12.61.9-2.558.8-105.3%1.0%8.0%48.2
Cameron Brate1260.20.70060.20.75.2%0.0%8.1%60.9
Ty Johnson1260.2-14.528.3-10.132-4.55.5%14.8%4.6%45.7
Kenny Stills1060.1280060.1286.2%0.0%9.8%88.1
Breshad Perriman1060-14.10.80.559.2-14.65.2%0.4%8.0%45.9
Chase Edmonds858.223.82924.529.2-0.75.3%15.8%4.1%82
Jakeem Grant1058.2-10.38.9-2.449.2-13.86.2%6.7%8.0%47.9
Bennie Fowler857.2-10.91.20.856-11.75.4%0.8%8.0%46.3
Delanie Walker8574.800574.86.7%0.0%11.1%61.8
Jalen Richard1257-1.211.3-3.845.82.75.7%5.9%7.3%55.8
Mark Walton756.9-12.927.8-7.729.2-5.36.0%20.9%4.8%44
O.J. Howard1056.81.60056.81.64.9%0.0%7.7%58.4
Jakobi Meyers1156.7-4.80056.7-4.84.6%0.0%7.5%51.9
Willie Snead1256.720.41.4-1.255.321.65.6%0.5%10.0%77.1
Hayden Hurst1255.8-5.50055.8-5.55.5%0.0%10.1%50.3
Jordan Akins1255.8120055.8125.7%0.0%9.1%67.8
Dion Lewis1255-10.313.5-3.741.5-6.66.5%7.6%8.0%44.7
Alexander Mattison1154.9-4.247.8-2.47.1-1.86.4%21.8%1.5%50.7
Jonnu Smith1253.96.21.7-0.352.26.56.4%1.0%10.1%60.1
Tony Pollard1253.38.129.25.224.22.84.9%14.3%3.5%61.4
DeAndre Washington1252.73.625.3-3.727.27.55.3%13.3%4.3%56.3
John Ross452.114.70052.114.74.8%0.0%7.3%66.8
Irv Smith Jr.1151.27.90051.27.96.0%0.0%10.6%59.1
Jacob Hollister650.62.30050.62.35.2%0.0%8.3%52.9
Isaiah McKenzie1149.7-0.74.2-2.345.41.75.3%1.8%8.4%49
Allen Lazard1149.419.70.61.548.718.34.7%0.3%7.5%69.1
Jeremy Sprinkle1249.2-4.60049.2-4.65.6%0.0%8.9%44.6
Brian Hill648.5-3.827.5-5.7211.94.3%18.7%2.8%44.7
Kareem Hunt448.18.212.75.835.42.44.6%6.7%5.4%56.3
Cody Latimer1148-3.70048-3.74.5%0.0%6.9%44.3
Keke Coutee748-6.75.32.142.7-8.84.9%2.8%7.0%41.3
Rhett Ellison1047.8-7.10047.8-7.14.5%0.0%6.8%40.7
Will Dissly647.526.40.8-0.146.826.44.8%0.4%7.7%73.9
Blake Jarwin1246.619.50046.619.54.3%0.0%6.8%66.1
Damiere Byrd746.6-11.80046.6-11.84.2%0.0%6.5%34.8
Chester Rogers1146.41.310.845.40.54.7%0.5%7.7%47.7
Pharoh Cooper946.1-1.60.7-0.545.5-1.24.2%0.4%6.4%44.5
Josh Hill1245.9-2.70045.9-2.74.3%0.0%6.7%43.2
Wayne Gallman1045.34.921.81.223.33.94.3%13.7%3.3%50.2
C.J. Uzomah1244.4-11.60044.4-11.64.1%0.0%6.2%32.8
DaeSean Hamilton1244.2-19.40044.2-19.45.1%0.0%8.8%24.8
Foster Moreau1243.714.30043.714.34.4%0.0%6.9%58
Malcolm Brown1042.5-1.638.20.74.2-2.23.7%19.3%0.6%40.9
Jaron Brown942.44.10042.44.14.3%0.0%7.0%46.5
Demetrius Harris1242.2-1.70042.2-1.64.0%0.0%6.5%40.5
Dante Pettis1141.9-7.20041-7.13.9%0.0%6.2%34.7
David Moore941.7-7.11.1-0.540.7-6.74.3%0.6%6.7%34.6
Benny Snell Jr.740.6-1.435.3-1.45.304.3%20.3%0.9%39.2
Ito Smith740.1-3.820.9-4.319.20.53.5%14.2%2.6%36.3
Kelvin Harmon1239.81.40039.81.44.5%0.0%7.2%41.2
Derrius Guice439.413.826.36137.94.5%17.2%2.4%53.2
Trey Burton838.7-16.30038.7-16.33.8%0.0%6.0%22.4
Steven Sims Jr.1238.53.77.17.131-94.4%4.6%5.6%42.2
Scott Miller937.9-11.21.6036.5-11.43.3%0.8%4.9%26.7
Seth Roberts1237.70.70037.70.73.7%0.0%6.8%38.4
Keelan Cole1237.68.70037.68.73.5%0.0%5.4%46.3
Christian Blake537.3-17.20037.3-17.23.3%0.0%5.1%20.1
Tavon Austin1036-4.410.10.326-4.83.3%4.9%3.8%31.6
Mack Hollins1235.8-13.30035.8-13.33.3%0.0%5.1%22.5
Ross Dwelley1135.8-3.20035.8-3.23.3%0.0%5.4%32.6
Jeff Wilson835.311.626.87.78.443.3%11.1%1.3%46.9
Marquise Goodwin834.83.30.41.134.42.23.2%0.2%5.2%38.1
Parris Campbell634.81.12.50.932.30.23.5%1.2%5.5%35.9
Justin Hardy1234.3-5.70034.3-5.73.0%0.0%4.6%28.6
James O'Shaughnessy533.97.40033.97.43.1%0.0%4.8%41.3
Tajae Sharpe1133.111.30033.111.33.9%0.0%6.4%44.4
Jordan Wilkins1032.9-2.121.5-0.311.4-1.83.3%10.3%1.9%30.8
Jonathan Williams432.87.626.23.36.64.33.3%12.6%1.1%40.4
Dontrell Hilliard1132.14.610.36.621.7-1.93.1%5.4%3.3%36.7
Justice Hill1232-10.818.5-4.113.5-6.73.1%6.2%2.4%21.2
Ryquell Armstead1031.9-1.212.3-5.819.74.52.9%7.0%2.8%30.7
Rashaad Penny831.716.324.517.17.2-0.83.2%12.4%1.2%48
Javon Wims1230.21.50030.21.53.0%0.0%4.6%31.7
Patrick Laird430.24.39.30.320.943.2%7.0%3.4%34.5
Brandon Bolden1130.113.813.64.216.69.52.5%6.1%2.2%43.9
Darrell Henderson730.1-8.420.1-6.110-2.32.6%10.1%1.4%21.7
Miles Boykin113011.5003011.52.9%0.0%5.4%41.5
Benjamin Watson629.6-2.90029.6-2.92.4%0.0%3.9%26.7
Cordarrelle Patterson1229.6-3.97.70.121.9-102.9%4.5%3.4%25.7
Charles Clay1229.55.30029.55.32.7%0.0%4.1%34.8
Vernon Davis429.1-0.80029.1-0.83.3%0.0%5.3%28.3
Derek Carrier1128.9-2.52.7026.2-2.52.9%1.4%4.2%26.4
Bo Scarbrough328.11.526.631.5-1.52.6%13.9%0.2%29.6
Damion Ratley827.7-9.40027.7-9.42.6%0.0%4.2%18.3
Jeff Heuerman1027.7-7.40027.7-7.43.2%0.0%5.5%20.3
C.J. Ham1127.6-6.14.4-3.623.1-2.43.2%2.0%4.8%21.5
Jake Kumerow927.64.70027.64.72.6%0.0%4.2%32.3
Kyle Juszczyk827.30.20.6026.60.32.5%0.2%4.0%27.5
Anthony Firkser11275.300275.33.2%0.0%5.2%32.3
Marcedes Lewis12273.100273.12.6%0.0%4.1%30.1
Antonio Callaway426.8-9.90026.8-9.92.6%0.0%4.1%16.9
Geoff Swaim626.8-7.30026.8-7.32.5%0.0%3.8%19.5
Deon Cain926.7-11.50026.7-11.52.8%0.0%4.4%15.2
Ricky Seals-Jones926.410.10026.410.12.5%0.0%4.0%36.5
Logan Thomas1126.32.70026.32.72.4%0.0%3.8%29
Donte Moncrief726.1-20.30026.1-20.32.3%0.0%3.7%5.8
Vyncint Smith925.9-1.72.2723.8-8.82.9%1.5%4.1%24.2
Adam Shaheen825.8-7.40025.8-7.42.5%0.0%4.0%18.4
Travis Benjamin525.8-16.80025.8-16.82.4%0.0%3.7%9
Bilal Powell1025.7-7.816.3-3.810.1-4.72.9%11.1%1.7%17.9
Ty Montgomery1225.1-5.79.1-3.116-2.62.8%6.2%2.8%19.4
Byron Pringle9257.600257.62.3%0.0%3.6%32.6
C.J. Prosise524.90.810.5-0.414.51.12.5%5.3%2.4%25.7
Wendell Smallwood1024.8-2.27.9-0.716.8-1.42.8%5.2%3.1%22.6
Damion Willis924-6.80024-6.82.2%0.0%3.3%17.2
Kaden Smith5242.800242.82.3%0.0%3.4%26.8
Nick Vannett1223.9-2.10023.9-2.12.5%0.0%4.0%21.8
Jesse James1123.7-7.60023.7-7.62.2%0.0%3.4%16.1
Darren Sproles623.3-6.310-1.413.3-4.92.1%5.0%1.9%17
Justin Jackson422.919.65.313.4-4.42.1%5.7%1.9%23.9
Marcus Johnson422.92.30022.92.32.3%0.0%3.9%25.2
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside1222.7-0.60022.7-0.62.1%0.0%3.3%22.1
Maxx Williams1122.78.20022.78.22.1%0.0%3.2%30.9
Trent Sherfield1122.5-10.50022.5-10.52.0%0.0%3.2%12
Andy Isabella112210.63-1.419122.0%1.6%2.7%32.6
T.J. Yeldon521.92.65.1-0.616.83.22.3%2.2%3.1%24.5
Tre'Quan Smith721.111.40021.111.42.0%0.0%3.1%32.5
Trey Edmunds521.1-2.812.7-3.58.40.72.2%7.3%1.4%18.3
Johnny Holton1121-16.90.60.320.4-17.62.2%0.3%3.4%4.1
Tim Patrick421-80021-82.4%0.0%4.2%13
Trevor Davis1120.811.62.710.618.20.92.1%1.4%2.9%32.4
Nick O'Leary919.4-2.50019.4-2.51.8%0.0%2.8%16.9
Jonathan Hilliman319.3-7.114.6-5.54.8-1.71.8%9.2%0.7%12.2
Luke Stocker1119-9.60019-9.61.7%0.0%2.6%9.4
Dontrelle Inman418.92.30018.92.31.7%0.0%2.7%21.2
Malik Turner1118.815.80018.815.81.9%0.0%3.1%34.6
Qadree Ollison218.8-214.40.74.4-2.71.7%9.8%0.6%16.8
Rashard Higgins718.7-3.20018.7-3.21.8%0.0%2.9%15.5
Jordan Matthews318.4-11.10018.4-11.11.7%0.0%2.6%7.3
Zach Line1018.3-7.14.9-3.313.3-3.71.7%2.9%1.9%11.2
Marvin Hall91821.80.9-0.217.1221.7%0.5%2.5%39.8
Ben Braunecker817.80.10017.80.11.8%0.0%2.7%17.9
Greg Ward Jr.317.6-6.10017.6-6.11.6%0.0%2.5%11.5
Andre Patton817.4-11.40017.4-11.41.6%0.0%2.5%6
Seth DeValve917.3-4.50017.3-4.51.6%0.0%2.5%12.8
Matt LaCosse717.2-1.50017.2-1.51.4%0.0%2.3%15.7
Dan Vitale121700.6-0.316.40.31.6%0.3%2.5%17
Jaeden Graham1116.613.30016.613.31.5%0.0%2.2%29.9
Luke Willson716.4-0.50016.4-0.51.7%0.0%2.7%15.9
DeSean Jackson316.220.70016.220.71.5%0.0%2.3%36.9
Mike Davis516.2-4.54.7-2.211.4-2.21.6%2.8%1.8%11.7
Reggie Bonnafon716.25.15.51010.6-4.81.4%2.9%1.5%21.3
Ameer Abdullah1116.13.15.3-1.210.94.21.9%2.4%2.3%19.2
Richie James1216.112.41.2-1.214.913.61.5%0.5%2.3%28.5
Ryan Switzer916-5.30016-5.31.7%0.0%2.7%10.7
Virgil Green1116-30016-31.5%0.0%2.3%13
Robert Foster815.7-3.41.81.113.9-4.51.7%0.8%2.6%12.3
Bobo Wilson615.6-9.10015.6-9.11.3%0.0%2.1%6.5
Braxton Berrios1215.30.10015.30.11.7%0.0%2.6%15.4
Tevin Jones315.2-5.10015.2-5.11.6%0.0%2.5%10.1
Devin Smith4157.300157.31.4%0.0%2.2%22.3
Antonio Brown114.61.50.9-0.413.81.81.2%0.4%1.8%16.1
Tra Carson214.6-48.7-3.96-0.21.3%4.5%0.9%10.6
Ryan Izzo614.58.90014.58.91.2%0.0%1.9%23.4
Ryan Grant214.4-90014.4-91.4%0.0%2.3%5.4
Diontae Spencer1214.2-3.72-0.612.3-3.21.7%1.1%2.5%10.5
Alec Ingold1214.1-1.15.1-3.392.21.4%2.7%1.4%13
Darwin Thompson7141.2101.24.1-0.11.3%5.7%0.6%15.2
Patrick Ricard12144.700144.71.4%0.0%2.5%18.7
Keelan Doss613.92.10013.92.11.4%0.0%2.2%16
N'Keal Harry313.9-1.10013.9-1.11.1%0.0%1.8%12.8
Robert Tonyan Jr.713.9-0.50013.9-0.51.3%0.0%2.1%13.4
Ian Thomas1213.8-60013.8-61.2%0.0%1.9%7.8
Boston Scott513.73.212.33.11.40.11.2%6.2%0.2%16.9
Russell Shepard313.7-8.20013.7-8.21.3%0.0%2.0%5.5
Mo Alie-Cox1113.6-3.70013.6-3.71.4%0.0%2.3%9.9
Stanley Morgan Jr.713.6-8.80013.6-8.81.3%0.0%1.9%4.8
Laquon Treadwell813.410013.411.6%0.0%2.8%14.4
David Njoku213.20.50013.20.51.3%0.0%2.0%13.7
Elijhaa Penny1212.9-5.97.6-3.55.4-2.51.2%4.8%0.8%7
Lance Kendricks712.8-4.80012.8-4.81.2%0.0%1.8%8
D'Ernest Johnson912.62.62.8-0.69.83.31.2%1.5%1.5%15.2
Tommy Sweeney512.6-5.80012.6-5.81.3%0.0%2.3%6.8
Blake Bell1111.6-7.60011.6-7.61.1%0.0%1.7%4
Kenjon Barner1011.54.32.20.67.8-11.0%1.5%1.1%15.8
Alex Armah1211.2-1.58.5-1.42.7-0.11.0%4.4%0.4%9.7
D'haquille Williams3116.800116.81.2%0.0%2.0%17.8
Derek Watt1111-4.22.7-2.18.3-2.11.0%1.6%1.2%6.8
Durham Smythe1211-4.30011-4.31.2%0.0%1.8%6.7
Hale Hentges710.3-70010.3-71.2%0.0%1.9%3.3
Kalif Raymond510.312.70.6-1.19.613.91.2%0.3%1.9%23
Andy Janovich710.25.13.52.66.72.51.2%2.0%1.3%15.3
Myles Gaskin410.2-2.93.5-0.56.7-2.41.1%2.6%1.1%7.3
Tyler Kroft610.2-10010.2-11.1%0.0%1.9%9.2
Josh Oliver410.1-5.60010.1-5.60.9%0.0%1.4%4.5
Cedrick Wilson39.9-0.3009.9-0.30.9%0.0%1.4%9.6
Darius Jennings79.9-6.2009.9-6.21.2%0.0%1.9%3.7
Troymaine Pope79.91.54.8-2.85.24.20.9%2.8%0.7%11.4
Zach Zenner39.5-5.81.5-1.78-4.10.9%0.8%1.1%3.7
Patrick DiMarco119.30.51-0.38.111.0%0.4%1.5%9.8
Drew Sample98.9-0.9008.9-0.90.8%0.0%1.2%8
Nick Bawden108.8-3.1008.8-3.10.8%0.0%1.3%5.7
Andre Roberts108.7-4.70.50.28.2-4.90.9%0.2%1.5%4
Devin Funchess18.7-2.5008.7-2.50.9%0.0%1.5%6.2
Lee Smith118.64.5008.64.50.9%0.0%1.6%13.1
Troy Fumagalli68.62.3008.62.31.0%0.0%1.7%10.9
Stephen Carlson58.55.9008.55.90.8%0.0%1.3%14.4
Isaiah Ford48.4-5.5008.4-5.50.9%0.0%1.4%2.9
Michael Crabtree28.2-2008.2-20.7%0.0%1.1%6.2
J.J. Nelson28.15.5008.15.50.8%0.0%1.3%13.6
Cody Core97.9-2.1007.9-2.10.7%0.0%1.1%5.8
DeAndre Carter127.90.4007.90.40.8%0.0%1.3%8.3
Khadarel Hodge67.9-0.8007.9-0.80.8%0.0%1.2%7.1
Chris Hogan47.8-2.4007.8-2.40.7%0.0%1.1%5.4
Andrew Beck127.6-0.7007.6-0.70.9%0.0%1.5%6.9
C.J. Anderson27.6-3.37.6-3.3000.7%4.0%0.0%4.3
Chris Moore87.6-2.5007.6-2.50.7%0.0%1.4%5.1
T.J. Logan107.6-3.33.3-2.34.3-10.7%1.7%0.6%4.3
Paul Perkins37.5-2.76.1-3.21.40.50.7%3.2%0.2%4.8
Jason Moore46.8-0.5006.8-0.50.6%0.0%1.0%6.3
T.J. Jones36.76.1006.76.10.6%0.0%1.0%12.8
Mike Thomas66.5-4.6006.5-4.60.6%0.0%0.9%1.9
Tanner Hudson56.4-4.2006.4-4.20.5%0.0%0.9%2.2
Deon Yelder76200620.6%0.0%0.9%8
Austin Carr65.9-4005.9-40.6%0.0%0.9%1.9
Deonte Harris105.85.21.1-0.14.7-0.70.5%0.7%0.7%11
MyCole Pruitt115.8-2.8005.8-2.80.7%0.0%1.1%3
Tyler Conklin105.7-0.9005.7-0.90.7%0.0%1.2%4.8
Gunner Olszewski85.6-0.2005.6-0.20.5%0.0%0.7%5.4
Dan Arnold25.5-1005.5-10.5%0.0%0.8%4.5
Marqise Lee65.5-0.60.6-0.54.9-0.10.5%0.3%0.7%4.9
Antony Auclair85.4-3.3005.4-3.30.5%0.0%0.7%2.1
J.P. Holtz95.4-1.1005.4-1.10.5%0.0%0.8%4.3
Anthony Sherman125.3-0.21.6-0.73.60.60.5%0.9%0.5%5.1
C.J. Board25-1.7005-1.70.5%0.0%0.7%3.3
Johnny Mundt75-3.1005-3.10.4%0.0%0.7%1.9
Keith Smith125-4.12.3-1.42.7-2.70.4%1.6%0.4%0.9
Marcell Ateman64.94.1004.94.10.5%0.0%0.8%9
Roosevelt Nix24.9-2.5004.9-2.50.5%0.0%0.8%2.4
Ben Koyack64.8-2.9004.8-2.90.4%0.0%0.7%1.9
Fred Brown74.8-0.7004.8-0.70.6%0.0%1.0%4.1
Jesper Horsted24.85.4004.85.40.5%0.0%0.7%10.2
Josh Bellamy54.8-0.8004.8-0.80.5%0.0%0.8%4
Geremy Davis64.72.1004.72.10.4%0.0%0.7%6.8
Darrius Shepherd64.6-3.5004.6-3.50.4%0.0%0.7%1.1
Quincy Enunwa14.6-4004.6-2.80.5%0.0%0.8%0.6
Ross Travis14.60.5004.60.50.5%0.0%0.8%5.1
Levine Toilolo104.5-1.5004.5-1.50.4%0.0%0.7%3
Chad Beebe34.44.6004.44.60.5%0.0%0.9%9
Kerrith Whyte Jr.24.40.94.40.9000.5%2.5%0.0%5.3
Mike Burton54.4-4.4004.4-4.40.5%0.0%0.8%0
Xavier Grimble34.2-2.9004.2-2.90.4%0.0%0.7%1.3
Devontae Booker64.1-1.30.5-0.13.6-1.20.5%0.3%0.7%2.8
Pharaoh Brown840.70040.70.4%0.0%0.6%4.7
Sean Culkin44-1.8004-1.80.4%0.0%0.6%2.2
De'Anthony Thomas103.9-1.900.44-2.40.4%0.0%0.7%2
Josh Adams23.8-2.63.8-2.6000.4%2.6%0.0%1.2
Daniel Brown123.67.3003.67.30.4%0.0%0.6%10.9
Jay Ajayi23.6-1.13.6-1.1000.3%1.8%0.0%2.5
Cody Hollister13.4-0.1003.4-0.10.4%0.0%0.7%3.3
Tony Brooks-James33.4-0.73.4-2.7000.4%2.0%0.0%2.7
Justin Watson93.1-0.8003.1-0.80.3%0.0%0.4%2.3
Da'Mari Scott13-0.9003-0.90.3%0.0%0.4%2.1
Robert Davis33-0.9003-0.90.3%0.0%0.5%2.1
Darrell Daniels52.9-1.5002.9-1.50.3%0.0%0.4%1.4
Michael Walker42.9-1.3002.9-1.30.3%0.0%0.4%1.6
Dwayne Washington22.82.61.42.41.40.20.3%0.8%0.2%5.4
Trevon Wesco112.8-0.10.3-0.12.500.3%0.2%0.4%2.7
Jakob Johnson42.7-1.2002.7-1.20.2%0.0%0.4%1.5
James Develin22.7-2.42.7-2.4000.2%1.2%0.0%0.3
Clive Walford42.6-0.8002.6-0.80.3%0.0%0.4%1.8
Chris Herndon12.5-0.8002.5-0.80.3%0.0%0.4%1.7
Ventell Bryant526.50026.50.2%0.0%0.3%8.5
Damien Harris11.9-0.71.9-0.7000.2%0.9%0.0%1.2
Mike Boone31.811.81000.2%0.8%0.0%2.8
Scott Simonson11.80.2001.80.20.2%0.0%0.3%2
DeAndrew White51.60.2001.60.20.1%0.0%0.2%1.8
John Kelly11.6-0.71.6-0.7000.1%0.8%0.0%0.9
Lil'Jordan Humphrey41.6-1.6001.6-1.60.2%0.0%0.2%0
Steven Mitchell21.6-1.6001.6-1.60.2%0.0%0.3%0
Taywan Taylor31.6-1.6001.6-1.60.2%0.0%0.2%0
Ashton Dulin71.50.8001.50.80.2%0.0%0.3%2.3
Dwayne Harris31.50.2001.50.20.2%0.0%0.2%1.7
Eric Tomlinson51.5-0.4001.5-0.40.1%0.0%0.2%1.1
Jordan Scarlett21.5-0.61.5-0.6000.1%0.8%0.0%0.9
Brandon Zylstra31.4-1.4001.4-1.40.1%0.0%0.2%0
Jamize Olawale111.4-1.4001.4-1.40.1%0.0%0.2%0
Dexter Williams11.3-1.11.3-1.1000.1%0.7%0.0%0.2
Nick Bellore101.21.8001.21.80.1%0.0%0.2%3
Dalton Schultz111.10.5001.10.50.1%0.0%0.2%1.6
Dalyn Dawkins11-0.81-0.8000.1%0.6%0.0%0.2
Gregory Howell61-0.51-0.5000.1%0.5%0.0%0.5
Jason Vander Laan21-1001-10.1%0.0%0.1%0
Olamide Zaccheaus61-1001-10.1%0.0%0.1%0
Javorius Allen10.5-0.10.5-0.1000.0%0.3%0.0%0.4
Alfred Morris10.400.40000.0%0.2%0.0%0.4
Alex Ellis30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Brandon Dillon10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cam Sims30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cethan Carter40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chandler Cox100000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Charles Jones10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Lacy20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Chris Manhertz100000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Corey Clement30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Cullen Gillaspia50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
D.J. Foster10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
David Fluellen10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Davion Davis20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Devine Ozigbo20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Evan Baylis40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Celek30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Garrett Dickerson20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gary Jennings10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Gehrig Dieter10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Greg Dortch10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Isaac Nauta10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jace Sternberger20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jerome Cunningham20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
JoJo Natson120000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
John Ursua10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Jordan Thomas10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Josh Doctson10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Juwann Winfree30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Keith Kirkwood10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Khari Blasingame10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Krishawn Hogan40000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Matthew Slater70000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ray-Ray McCloud60000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
River Cracraft10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Ryan Nall20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Samaje Perine20000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Taiwan Jones10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Travis Homer10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trayveon Williams10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Trenton Cannon30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyler Ervin50000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Tyrone Swoopes10000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Zach Gentry30000000.0%0.0%0.0%0
Image Credit: Steven King/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: D.J. Moore.

  1. Cumulative season-long data is included at the end of the article.  (back)
  2. Actually I know it’s not, at least from a total yardage standpoint. In 49 straight games between 2000 and 2003, Tiki Barker amassed over 1,900 receiving yards on 318 targets without scoring a receiving TD. However, on a per-game basis, no one has been better than Woods without scoring a TD.  (back)

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