Diontae Johnson’s Historical Comps Indicate He’s on the Verge of a Sophomore Breakout
Share on twitter
Share on facebook
Image Credit: Mark Alberti/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Diontae Johnson.

Diontae Johnson had an incredible rookie season. There’s no other way to put it. Although his end-of-year numbers — 59 receptions for 680 yards and five scores — don’t really jump off the page, the Toledo product managed to post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) despite playing in one of the worst situations imaginable.

Before the season, it looked like one of the best possible situations for a rookie WR, as the Steelers’ pass-heavy offense lacked a proven WR2 behind JuJu Smith-Schuster. Unfortunately, a Ben Roethlisberger injury derailed what likely would have been one of the most potent aerial attacks in the league. Still, their third-round pick was a beacon of hope in an otherwise dreary campaign. Among rookie WRs who played six or more games, Johnson finished:

  • Fifth in targets per game and receptions per game
  • Eighth in receiving yards per game
  • Ninth in fantasy points per game
  • Seventh in expected points per game (reEP)
  • 11th in per-game efficiency (reFPOE)

What’s more, his 1.0 reFPOE per game led all Steelers’ WRs — a critical distinction given what Blair Andrews has shown about the importance of rookie-year efficiency at WR.

 
Player reFPOE per Game
Diontae Johnson 1.0
James Washington 0.7
JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0
Ryan Switzer -1.8
Johnny Holton -2.4
Donte Moncrief -5.1

Heading into his sophomore season, Johnson will be in a better position with Roethlisberger (hopefully) healthy. He’s currently being drafted as the WR48 in early best ball drafts. What can you expect from him in Year 2?

Historical Comps

Please subscribe to Read The Entire Article!

 

What’s included in your subscription?

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • NFL, CFB, and PGA coverage included in all subscription levels.
  • And a whole lot more…

 

 

What we do
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2020 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.