Devin Singletary’s 2020 Outlook: Which Path Will He Take?
Image Credit: Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Devin Singletary.

RotoViz is continuing our look back on the 2019 rookies with a review of Buffalo Bills running back Devin Singletary. Singletary turned into a viable RB2/Flex option down the stretch of his rookie season, and he’ll look to build on that momentum in his sophomore campaign. So what can we expect from Singletary during the 2020 fantasy football season?

Devin Singletary’s Rookie Season

Per the NFL Stat Explorer, Singletary finished his rookie campaign as the overall RB33 in PPR leagues, and the RB27 on a per-game basis.

But looking at Singletary’s rookie year all at once is misleading because he was a firm backup the first part of the season before turning into more of a workhorse the second half of the year.

  • Singletary averaged 19.5 touches per game over his last six games of the season; he was the RB19 in this stretch
  • His expected fantasy production over those final six games was RB13

On the whole, Singletary’s rookie year was a mixed bag. While he was a solid flex option — which is in and of itself a win — it was disappointing to see him get off to such a slow start, and then when he did get more chances down the stretch, it didn’t pack as much punch as it could have (RB19 real vs. RB13 expected).

Singletary had an above-average best ball win rate as a rookie, and he overcame a poor size/speed combination en route to posting solid overall numbers as a rookie.

Historical Comps

Using the RotoViz Screener‘s Similarity Search, I found the closest rookie RB comps to Singletary over the last two decades. Here are the results:

And here’s how these players fared in their second season, which could give you an idea on what to expect from Devin Singletary in 2020:

devin-singletary-2020

Half of these comps are good, half of them are bad, and one of them is an injury wash.1

  • The Good: DeMarco Murray and Mark Ingram as two of Singletary’s three closest comps should make Singletary fans happy. Murray was the fantasy RB2 in 2014, but didn’t display much longevity on the fantasy front. However, Ingram has had a long run of fantasy relevance
  • The Bad: Tre Mason lasted only two seasons in the NFL. Laurence Maroney was a first-round bust who never topped 900 rushing yards in a season

Devin Singletary’s 2020 fantasy football outlook

So how will Devin Singletary work out for fantasy football owners in 2020? Using his Year 2 comps as a guideline, it’s safe to say that Singletary’s second year will be pivotal. Will he go the Ingram and Murray route, and be an every-week fantasy starter for at least a few seasons? Or will he be Laurence Maroney 2.0, plodding his way to touchdown-dependent weeks before he’s replaced by someone more athletic?

Whatever his long-term returns are, Devin Singletary seems poised to produced RB2 numbers for fantasy football players in 2020. It’s hard to see Singletary putting up RB1 numbers in 2020 so long as Josh Allen is a legitimate threat to as a rusher in the red zone.

  1. I maintain that Jerick McKinnon would have been amazing for the Kyle Shanahan-led San Francisco 49ers if he stayed healthy.  (back)

Tyler Loechner

Tyler specializes in DFS, redraft, and dynasty. He is a member of the FSWA and won the Best Football Series award in 2017. Tyler previously wrote for PFF Fantasy and Bleacher Report.
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