PGA DFS: Expected Birdies for The PLAYERS Championship
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Image Credit: Julian Avram/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Collin Morikawa.

We’re heading back to TPC Sawgrass for The PLAYERS Championship. It’s a course  If you want a more in-depth look at the statistical breakdown of the course, check out last year’s course preview. Here’s a look at the field shakes out in Expected Birdies this week.

Expected Birdies - The PLAYERS Championship

NameSalaryExpeced Birdies Score
Rory McIlroy11700100
Jon Rahm1100093
Justin Thomas1080096
Brooks Koepka1020084
Dustin Johnson1000089
Patrick Cantlay980090
Adam Scott960087
Xander Schauffele940084
Webb Simpson920090
Bryson DeChambeau910091
Tommy Fleetwood900086
Rickie Fowler890085
Hideki Matsuyama880094
Justin Rose870085
Sungjae Im860089
Patrick Reed850084
Jason Day840083
Gary Woodland830079
Paul Casey820085
Tony Finau810082
Sergio Garcia800073
Louis Oosthuizen800074
Henrik Stenson790080
Collin Morikawa790092
Byeong Hun An780074
Shane Lowry780078
Matt Kuchar780086
Viktor Hovland770082
Jordan Spieth770082
Joaquin Niemann760075
Marc Leishman760079
Billy Horschel750080
Scottie Scheffler750095
Phil Mickelson740072
Lee Westwood740075
Tyrrell Hatton740081
Matt Wallace730060
Kevin Kisner730074
Matthew Fitzpatrick730075
Bubba Watson730077
Ian Poulter730078
Erik Van Rooyen720022
Matthew Wolff720059
Danny Willett720067
Abraham Ancer720077
Ryan Moore720079
Harris English720079
Daniel Berger720081
Brandt Snedeker720082
Bernd Wiesberger710037
Francesco Molinari710069
Brendon Todd710071
Charles Howell III710072
Rafa Cabrera Bello710075
Carlos Ortiz710075
Lanto Griffin710077
Chez Reavie710078
Victor Perez700050
Sam Burns700072
Lucas Glover700072
Cameron Smith700076
Aaron Wise700078
Adam Hadwin700080
Kevin Na700081
Cameron Champ690071
Keegan Bradley690071
Kyoung-Hoon Lee690072
Graeme McDowell690072
Harold Varner III690072
Russell Knox690074
Talor Gooch690074
Christiaan Bezuidenhout680074
Jason Kokrak680074
Corey Conners680074
Emiliano Grillo680075
Nick Taylor680075
Jim Furyk680077
Rory Sabbatini680080
Branden Grace670066
Mackenzie Hughes670068
Dylan Frittelli670070
Andrew Landry670073
Danny Lee670074
Scott Piercy670081
Vaughn Taylor670081
Denny McCarthy670082
Jazz Janewattananond660040
Si Woo Kim660064
Kyle Stanley660071
Keith Mitchell660072
Max Homa660073
Cameron Tringale660075
Joel Dahmen660079
Kiradech Aphibarnrat650066
Luke List650068
Matt Every650068
J.B. Holmes650072
Patrick Rodgers650072
Andrew Putnam650078
Ryan Palmer650078
Tom Hoge650080
Sung Kang640066
Ryan Armour640070
Matt Jones640074
Brian Harman640075
Wyndham Clark640076
Russell Henley640077
J.T. Poston640078
J.J. Spaun630063
C.T. Pan630063
Jonas Blixt630068
Chesson Hadley630071
Jhonattan Vegas630072
Pat Perez630073
Kevin Streelman630074
Kelly Kraft620062
Roger Sloan620064
Chris Stroud620066
Brice Garnett620068
Brian Stuard620071
Nate Lashley620074
Nick Watney620076
Bud Cauley620076
Scott Brown610065
Michael Thompson610069
Jason Dufner610070
Bronson Burgoon610070
Adam Long610072
Peter Malnati610073
Troy Merritt610073
Martin Laird610073
Sam Ryder610077
Sebastian Munoz610085
Shugo Imahira600048
Jim Herman600058
Retief Goosen600065
Kevin Tway600066
Tyler Duncan600066
Patton Kizzire600067
Brian Gay600067
Scott Stallings600068
Jimmy Walker600070
Mark Hubbard600071
Charley Hoffman600072
Adam Schenk600075
Aaron Baddeley600076
Sepp Straka600076
Zach Johnson600077


Pricing is always interesting in these strong fields. Collin Morikawa ($7,900) is below $8,000 despite his impressive made cut streak. He is coming off of a top-10 finish as well. Oh, and he’s also tied for sixth in Expected Birdies with a 92.

Matt Kuchar ($7,800) also comes in sporting an excellent course fit via the Expected Birdies model. Many of the golfers in his price range are sitting in the 70s while Kuchar gets an 86 from the model this week. The big exception to that is Scottie Scheffler ($7,500). Scheffler was a couple of mistakes away from a top-five finish last week and has shown scoring upside in spades throughout his time on Tour this year.

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